Friday, 13 March 2015

14th march

1245pm - C Palace v QPR - 1.84 home

Standout stats

  • 0-0 the sole time these 2 met in the Premiership recently
  • this is 12th v 18th in the Premiership.
Palace
  • conceded in their last 10 home matches.
  • only home wins v Liverpool, Spurs, and Leicester.
  • 0-1-0-0-2 scored v teams below them at home. Clearly struggling v strugglers.
  • home form is difficult to decipher.
  • only 6 clean sheets
  • only 1 0-0 at home
  • scored 12 of their 14 goals at home in the 2nd half.
  • opponents scored first in 10 of 13 home matches.
QPR
  • no draw in 13 away matches.
  • scored in their last 6 away.
  • scored and conceded in their last 3 matches.
  • all defeats away bar 1 v Sunderland.
  • 7 losses in their last 8 matches.
  • no 0-0 away
  • only 3 0-0's at halftime away
  • opponents have scored first in 12 of 13 away matches.
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • we have to side with Palace surely with such dire away form from QPR. 
  • Interestingly both teams seem to allow their opponents to score first so this suggests either side could open the scoring. If QPR do, I would have to lay them, with such poor away form.
  • Palace are struggling at home v the strugglers though so if QPR do score first, back the 0-1 insurance bet and lay QPR - note Palace failed to score in 3 at home to teams below them
------------------------------------

1pm - CSKA Moscow v Mordovia Saransk - 1.41 home

Standout stats
  • 3 consecutive CSKA wins in recent head to heads.
  • this is 2nd v 10th. The title is still alive for CSKA
CSKA
  • 4 match winning streak
  • no draw in 10 at home
  • all wins at home bar 2 0-1 losses to 1st and 7th ( spartak Moscow - derby!)
  • only 1 match since WInter break was a 1-2 away to Terek
  • only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
  • 27 goals scored at home, 17 away
  • only 5 goals conceded.
Mordovia
  • no win away v teams above them in the league
  • 3 consecutive 1-0's, 2 defeats followed by a 0-0. That 0-0 was post Winter Break.
  • failed to score in their last 3 matches.
  • only 1 0-0 away
  • 13 goals conceded away in the last 1/2 hour 
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • remember the Post Winter break , only 1 match so no real recent form to get out teeth into .
  • CSKA have won the most recent head to heads and could continue that. Season long form at home is good and they have scored plenty of goals, 27 and conceded only 5, a ratio of 5 :1
  • Lay Mordovia if they score first.
---------------------------------
3pm - Bournemouth v Blackpool - 1.23 home

Standout stats
  • 0-1 and 1-6 to Bournemouth in the last 2 head to heads.
  • this is 1st v 24th in the Championship. With 4 teams on 66 points, Bournemouth really must win against bottom side who are adrift at the base of the Championship.
Bournemouth
  • no defeat in 5 at home
  • are unbeaten v 15th and lower at home and away
  • 3 consecutive home draws ended with a win v Wolves
  • failed to score in only 4 this season
  • only 1 0-0 at home
  • 32 goals scored at home, 18 first half.
Blackpool
  • no win in 18 away matches.
  • Conceded in their last 14 away
  • no win home or away v top 13.
  • only 2 wins in 16 matches.
  • 6 defeats in 8 matches.
  • failed to score in 5 of their last 7 away matches.
  • only 1 0-0 away
  • conceded 21 first half and 20 2nd half goals away
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • With Blackpool conceding 6 v 1st and 7 v 3rd, there is a chance Bournemouth could cruise here scoring 3/4+goals today.
  • This makes this a great DRT match as Blackpool should show little.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score
-----------------------------------

3pm - Cowdenbeath v Hibernian - 1.34 away

Standout stats

  • 3-2.1-2, 5-0 in recent head to heads in Hibs favour
  • this is 8th v 2nd in the Scottish Championship
Cowdenbeath
  • no win in 6 at home
  • failed to score in their last 4 at home
  • failed to score more than 1 goal in a home match in their last 9 home matches
  • only 1 win in 10 matches.
  • Kept Rangers to a 0-0, although by luck rather than judgement
  • that was only 1 of 3 clean sheets all season
  • only 1 0-0 at home
Hibs
  • 4 match winning streak
  • scored in their last 12 matches
  • undefeated in 12 matches.
  • 3 consecutive away clean sheets
  • 9 wins in their last 12 matches.
  • no 0-0 away
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • it seems the best Cowdenbeath can hope for is another 0-0 as they did against Rangers, albeit with Rangers 23+ shots on goal.
  • With no 0-0 away from Hibs we default to score draw or away win, the latter the most likeliest outcome.
  • If the match is 0-0 for a while, take a chance and lay it. Cowdenbeath can hold out only so long.
--------------------------------
315pm - Atromitos v Panthrakikos - 1.51 home

Standout stats
  • both teams have scored in 6 of the last 7 head to heads, the last 2 being 1-1
  • this is 8th v 13th in the Super League.
Atromitos
  • undefeated at home
  • 5 consecutive clean sheets at home
  • 2 0-0's, 2 1-0;s and a 1-1 v teams below them at home.
  • after a couple of 0-0's and a 1-0 at home, suddenly spanked PAOK 4-0 at home!
  • only 2 losses in 11 matches came away
Panthrakikos
  • no win in 12 away matches
  • conceded in their last 3 away matches.
  • wish they were playing at home. Hugely contrasting fortunes
  • conceded 2+ goals in 7 of their last 8 away matches but their last 4 home matches were all wins
  • only 1 0-0 away
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • While Panthrakikos continue to be so bad at home, and hoping Atromitos ride the wave after their 4-0 win over PAOK, you can only see one team in this , albeit they are unlikely to lose, but equally likely to play a tight match as they have done v teams below them this season.
  • 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 type of scoreline appeals today.
---------------------------------

5pm - Benfica v Braga - 1.49 home

Standout stats
  • 2 Benfica 1-0's ended with 2 Braga 2-1 wins in head to heads. Hence the cautious odds today about Benfica.
  • this is 1st v 4th in the Portugeuse Primera Liga.
Benfica
  • only 4 points between Benfica and Porto so it will be this match with Braga, and another home match v Porto which may determine the title this season
  • this becomes a key must-win for Benfica today then
  • they have won all home matches bar a 1-1 with Sporting.
  • 14 wins, an away loss v Pacos and an away draw with Sporting in their last 16 matches.




Sunday, 1 February 2015

1st february 2015

830am - Djokovic v Murray - lay 3-0 set betting.11.5
1130am - Feyenoord v ADO
1pm - Pana v Platanias
130 - NEC v Helmond
130 - Arsenal v Aston Villa
130 Celtic v Rangers
140 punchestown - quantitative easing the strong favourite
2pm - Cesena v Lazio
2pm - Udinese v Juventus
200 musselburgh  - 5 horse race with a strong favourite. Lay the outsider?
210 punchestown - strong market leader - lay an outsider
220 chelmsford - competitive race, worth laying
300 musselburgh  - competitive race, worth laying?
310 punchestown - big field, lay
340 punchestown - a 2 horse race lay the outsider
4pm - Southampton v Swansea
530pm - Veria v Olympiakos
8pm - Barcelona v Villareal
815pm - Porto v Pacos Ferreira


Sunday, 19 October 2014

shorties for drt

1pm - FC Midtjylland v Silkeborg  - 1.48 home

130pm - NEC Nijmegen v Den Bosch  - 1.55 home

130pm - QPR v Liverpool  - 1.59 away

130pm - Sparta Rotterdam v VVV  - 1.67 home

2pm - CS Uni Craiova v Concordia Chiajna  - 1.64 home

2pm - Panathinaikos v OFI  - 1.37 home

230pm - AGF v Vendsyssel FF  - 1.52 home

230pm - Stromsgodset v Lillestrom 1 - 1.61 home

3pm - Coimbroes v Rio Ave   - 1.38 away

3pm - Freamunde v Felgueiras  - 1.53 home

3pm - Maritimo v Gondomar  - 1.17 home

3pm - Nacional v Alcanenense  - 1.23 home

3pm - Santa Maria v Academica  - 1.38 away

4pm - Brondby v FC Vestsjaelland  - 1.65 home

4pm - Moreirense v Pedras Rubras  - 1.27 home

430pm - Brommapojkarna v AIK  - 1.26 away

5pm - Besiktas v Sivasspor  - 1.65 home

5pm - Mjondalen v Nest-Sotra  - 1.32 home

5pm - Odd v Bodo Glimt  - 1.5 home

530pm - Dnipro v Chernomorets Odesa  - 1.45 home

7pm - Rosenborg v Valerenga  - 1.57 home

7pm - Steaua Bucharest v Uni Cluj  - 1.23 home

8pm - San Jose v Sport Boys (Bol)  - 1.14 home

8pm - Villarreal v Almeria  - 1.37 home




Saturday, 27 September 2014

shorties saturday

230pm - FC Koln v B Munich  - 1.39 away

230pm - Freiburg v Leverkusen  - 1.84 away

230pm - Molde v Bodo Glimt  - 1.27 home

3pm - Arbroath v Elgin  - 1.68 home

3pm - Ayr v Airdrieonians  - 1.66 home

3pm - Blackpool v Norwich  - 1.76 away

3pm - Botev Plovdiv v Lokomotiv Plovdiv  - 1.48 home

3pm - Chelsea v Aston Villa  - 1.24 home

3pm - Hull v Man City  - 1.57 away

3pm - Man Utd v West Ham  - 1.39 home

3pm - Slaven Belupo v Dinamo Zagreb  - 1.26 away

3pm - Southampton v QPR  - 1.53 home

3pm - Telford v Torquay  - 1.66 away

3pm - Villarreal v Real Madrid  - 1.77 away

3pm - Volyn v Dnipro  - 1.61 away

3pm - Zenit St Petersburg v Spartak Moscow  - 1.6 home

445pm - Grasshoppers Zurich v Aarau  - 1.7 home

5pm - Barcelona v Granada  - 1.14 home

5pm - Roma v Verona  - 1.36 home

5pm - Stromsgodset v Viking  - 1.67 home

5pm - Trans Narva v Sillamae Kalev  - 1.11 away

530pm - Karpaty v Dinamo Kiev  - 1.42 away

530pm - Wolfsburg v W Bremen  - 1.51 home

6pm - Besiktas v Eskisehirspor  - 1.67 home

6pm - Rijeka v NK Zagreb  - 1.2 home

7pm - FC Basel v Thun  - 1.63 home

7pm - Lille v SC Bastia  - 1.69 home

730pm - Legia Warsaw v Lech Poznan  - 1.68 home

745pm - Atalanta v Juventus  - 1.57 away

745pm - Cobh Ramblers v Galway FC  - 1.27 away

9pm - Ath Bilbao v Eibar  - 1.66 home

9pm - Seattle v Chivas USA  - 1.25 home



Wednesday, 24 September 2014

the shorties 24th September 2014

1130am - FC Seoul v Gyeongnam  - 1.58 home

12pm - FK Obod Tashkent v Gallakor-Avtomobilchi  - 1.08 home

12pm - Khimik Dzerzhinsk v CSKA Moscow  - 1.35 away

1230pm - Balcova v Balikesirspor  - 1.27 away

1pm - Sibir v Lokomotiv  - 1.62 away

2pm - ESMTK v Ferencvaros  - 1.1 away

2pm - Targoviste v FC Brasov  - 1.44 away

2pm - Viitorul Axintele v CFR Cluj  - 1.2 away

230pm - NK Ponikve v Dinamo Zagreb  - 1.07 away

230pm - NK Vuteks Sloga v Osijek  - 1.11 away

230pm - Opatija v NK Zagreb  - 1.07 away

230pm - Slavonija v Istra  - 1.4 away

230pm - Xanthi v Niki Volou  - 1.56 home

3pm - Frankfurt (W) v SC Sand (W)  - 1.05 home

3pm - Ostrovia v Ruch Chorzow  - 1.44 away

3pm - Shakhter Soligorsk v Gorodeya  - 1.25 home

3pm - Stal Stalowa Wola v Lechia Gdansk  - 1.52 away

330pm - Aarhus Fremad v Fredericia  - 1.42 away

330pm - Esbjerg IF 92 v Sonderjyske  - 1.03 away

330pm - MAS Taborsko v Plzen  - 1.28 away

4pm - AFC v Excelsior  - 1.22 away

4pm - Ajman Club v Al Ain  - 1.56 away

4pm - Anzhi Makhachkala v Zenit St Petersburg  - 1.46 away

4pm - HBS v Heracles  - 1.22 away

430pm - Kaiserslautern v Union Berlin  - 1.6 home

430pm - Unirea Jocu v Petrolul Ploiesti  - 1.36 away

445pm - Miedz Legnica v Legia Warsaw  - 1.54 away

5pm - Bronshoj v OB  - 1.5 away

5pm - Daugava Riga v Ventspils  - 1.57 away

5pm - Mezokovesd-Zsory v Gyori  - 1.61 away

5pm - SV Wallern v Rapid Vienna  - 1.12 away

5pm - Wisla Plock v GKS Tychy  - 1.92 home

530pm - FC Kitzbuhel v Austria Vienna  - 1.12 away

530pm - SC Egedal v FC Nordsjaelland  - 1.07 away

545pm - Varbergs BoIS v Hammarby  - 1.74 away

6pm - AB Tarnby v AB  - 1.4 away

6pm - Arminia Bielefeld v Stuttgart II  - 1.67 home

6pm - Djurgardens v Falkenbergs  - 1.52 home

6pm - Elfsborg v Gefle  - 1.33 home

6pm - Helsingborgs v Brommapojkarna  - 1.24 home

6pm - Lyon v Lorient  - 1.72 home

630pm - Fortuna Poiana Campina v Dinamo Bucharest  - 1.49 away

645pm - FC Zurich v Aarau  - 1.48 home

7pm - Almeria v Atl Madrid  - 1.69 away

7pm - Barendrecht v Groningen  - 1.39 away

7pm - De Treffers v Telstar  - 1.57 away

7pm - Dortmund v Stuttgart  - 1.42 home

7pm - EVV v Az Alkmaar  - 1.15 away

7pm - Genk v RC Mechelen  - 1.47 home

7pm - Leverkusen v Augsburg  - 1.62 home

7pm - Lokeren v Sint-Eloois-Winkel  - 1.16 home

7pm - Mgladbach v Hamburg  - 1.77 home

7pm - Olsa Brakel v Westerlo  - 1.51 away

7pm - Sint-Gillis Waas v Cercle Brugge  - 1.34 away

7pm - Stabaek v Molde  - 1.58 away

7pm - Zwolle v FC Oss  - 1.32 home

715pm - Celtic v Hearts  - 1.31 home

730pm - Charleroi v Eupen  - 1.68 home

730pm - Club Brugge v Eendracht Aalst  - 1.2 home

730pm - Dessel Sport v KV Mechelen  - 1.51 away

730pm - Patro Eisden v Anderlecht  - 1.15 away

730pm - UR Namur v Gent  - 1.05 away

730pm - Wiener SK v Red Bull Salzburg  - 1.1 away

730pm - Woluwe-Zaventem v Oostende  - 1.64 away

745pm - Chelsea v Bolton  - 1.2 home

745pm - Dundee Utd v Dundee  - 1.76 home

745pm - Fiorentina v Sassuolo  - 1.48 home

745pm - Go Ahead Eagles v Feyenoord  - 1.72 away

745pm - Inter v Atalanta  - 1.51 home

745pm - Juventus v Cesena  - 1.15 home

745pm - Lech Poznan v Wisla Krakow  - 1.46 home

745pm - Man City v Sheff Wed  - 1.28 home

745pm - Napoli v Palermo  - 1.43 home

745pm - Tottenham v Nottm Forest  - 1.62 home

8pm - Caen v Paris St-G  - 1.67 away

9pm - Granada v Levante  - 1.72 home

9pm - Malaga v Barcelona  - 1.39 away


Sunday, 21 September 2014

21st Sep the shorties

9am - South Korea (W) v Maldives (W)  - South Korea unbackable

1030am - CSKA Moscow v Lokomotiv  - 1.83 home

11am - Sociedad v Almeria  - 1.51 home

12pm - Ventspils v FS METTA LU  - 1.12 home

1230pm - Hertha Berlin II v Germania Halberstadt  - 1.63 home

130pm - Leicester v Man Utd  - 1.68 away

130pm - PSV v Cambuur  - 1.45 home

130pm - Tottenham v West Brom  - 1.54 home

2pm - AIK v Halmstads  - 1.53 home

2pm - Asteras Tripolis v AEL Kalloni  - 1.76 home

2pm -Mjallby v Elfsborg  - 1.79 away

2pm - Roma v Cagliari  - 1.34 home

245pm - Plzen v Banik Ostrava  - 1.33 home

3pm - Celtic v Motherwell  - 1.28 home

3pm - FK Radnicki v Partizan Belgrade  - 1.41 away

3pm - Shakhtar v Zorya  - 1.15 home

330pm - Red Bull Salzburg v Austria Vienna  - 1.34 home

4pm - Assyriska v Husqvarna  - 1.63 home

4pm - Everton v C Palace  - 1.43 home

4pm - Monaco v Guingamp  - 1.65 home

4pm - Sparta Prague v Hradec Kralove  - 1.21 home

4pm - Sundsvall v Varnamo  - 1.5 home

4pm - Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano  - 1.61 home

430pm - Astra Giurgiu v Pandurii  - 1.83 home

430pm - HJK Helsinki v IFK Mariehamn  - 1.5 home

430pm - Malmo FF v Helsingborgs  - 1.63 home

5pm - Benfica v Moreirense  - 1.25 home

5pm - Club Brugge v KV Kortrijk  - 1.44 home

5pm - Hafnarfjordur v Fram  - 1.21 home

5pm - KR Reykjavik v IBV  - 1.48 home

5pm - Valur v Thor  - 1.47 home

520pm - Hammarby v Syrianska FC  - 1.28 home

530pm - Debrecen v Kecskemeti TE  - 1.38 home

6pm - Fenerbahce v Gaziantepspor  - 1.37 home

6pm - Gil Vicente v Sp Lisbon  - 1.54 away

8pm - Levante v Barcelona  - 1.19 away

8pm - Paris St-G v Lyon  - 1.35 home

8pm - Toronto FC v Chivas USA  - 1.44 home

815pm - Porto v Boavista  - 1.13 home


Saturday, 20 September 2014

20th september 2014 the shorties

11am - Nomme Kalju v Paide Linnameeskond  -1.07 home

11am - Tomsk v Sibir  - 1.36 home

1130am - Rostov v Zenit St Petersburg  - 1.42 away

1pm - Viktoria Koln v FC Hennef  - 1.13 home

230pm - Hamburg v B Munich  - 1.3 away

3pm - Alloa v Rangers  - 1.27 away

3pm - Brighton v Blackpool  - 1.56 home

3pm - Brommapojkarna v Hacken  - 1.48 away

3pm - Deportivo v Real Madrid  - 1.29 away

3pm - Hearts v Cowdenbeath  - 1.31 home

3pm - Leiknir R v Tindastoll  - 1.07 home

3pm - MK Dons v Crewe  - 1.5 home

3pm - Marek Dupnitsa v Botev Plovdiv  - 1.65 away

3pm - Norwich v Birmingham  - 1.49 home

3pm - Portadown v Ballinamallard Utd  - 1.41 home

3pm - Wolves v Bolton  - 1.72 home

330pm - Roda JC v Jong Ajax  - 1.57 home

4pm - FK Jablonec v Ceske Budejovice  - 1.34 home

4pm - Marseille v Rennes  - 1.64 home

430pm - FK Senica v Podbrezova  - 1.61 home

430pm - Otelul Galati v CFR Cluj  - 1.56 away

5pm - Ath Bilbao v Granada  - 1.52 home

5pm - Barcelona B v Llagostera  - 1.65 home

5pm - CSKA Sofia v Lokomotiv Sofia  - 1.38 home

530pm - Haladas v Videoton  - 1.47 away

530pm - MTK Budapest v Dunaujvaros  - 1.41 away

530pm - Mainz v Dortmund  - 1.65 away

6pm - Balikesirspor v Galatasaray  - 1.49 away

630pm - Olympiakos v Veria  - 1.15 home

645pm - NEC Nijmegen v Emmen  - 1.41 home

7pm - Anderlecht v Cercle Brugge  - 1.2 homr

7pm - Atl Madrid v Celta Vigo  - 1.53 home

7pm - Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Heist  - 1.25 home

730pm - Lech Poznan v Zawisza Bydgoszcz  - 1.51 home

730pm - Longford v Cobh Ramblers  - 1.16 home

745pm - Galway FC v Finn Harps  - 1.59 home

810pm - Ponte Preta v Oeste  - 1.49 home