Tuesday, 29 October 2013

10am - Dinamo Tbilisi v FC Kolkheti Khobi . The home side are about 1.06 in what is a very illiquid betting market as I write. This Georgian Cup match makes limited appeal.
This seems to be a 2 legged cup match where Tblisi won 9-0 initially.

12pm - Shakhtar Sverdlovsk v Dinamo Kiev  Dinamo Kiev are 1.06 away from home

Standout stats


  • No draws for Dinamo Kiev in the Cup. 
  • Dinamo Kiev have not scored more than 3 goals away in the Cup.
  • Only 1 draw for Shakhtar in their Cup matches . Note they only lost 0-2 to Shaktar Donetsk, the other Ukrainian powerhouses.
Profitable in play opportunities.

  • Shaktar Donetsk were priced at 1.03 yesterday and they won 0-3 only and it was 0-0 just before halftime. Perhaps the mauling the odds suggest won't oblige?
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2pm - Tyumen v Zenit St Petersburg - a russian cup match should not, I suppose, be prioritised. As one of the teams is familar Zenit, let's take a look. Zenit are 1.24 shots today.

Standout Stats

  • The first thing that grabs my attention is the 3-0 loss to CSKA for Tyumen in the Cup. It is tough to evaluate their other performances as the teams were lower league teams.
  • Zenit's only recent defeats in the cup have been 0-2 at home to CSKA, 0-1 at home to Dinamo Moscow, and 0-1 at home to an Anzhi side when the latter had money!
  • Zenit have had a tendency to level out their cup goal scoring to a maximum of 3 goals.
Profitable in play opportunities.

  • Team news particularly for Zenit is very important as quite clearly they are the dominant force here. They came from behind in the league to win at the weekend, and we can only hope they do the same this evening to furnish us with a DRT.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
230pm - Salyut v Dinamo Moscow - This is another Russian Cup match featuring an FNL side v a Premier League side. Of course the Premier League side are 1.19 to win this match.


Standout Stats

  • Dinamo seem to enjoy a good winning run when not playing other premier league sides in the cup. They have an ability to score 2 goals at least against none top flight opponents in the cup. 
  • Since 2011 in the Cup, Dinamo have lost to Rostov, 1-2, won, drawn against Anzhi ( won in extra time), beat Zenit away, and had 3 wins,  a 0-1 loss to Rubin and a 0-0 draw with Anzhi which they lost 1-0 in extra time.
  • Salyut have not played a Premier League side in the Cup for a while. They have scored and conceded in their last 4 Cup matches.


Profitable in play opportunities


  • The Russian Cup does not fall under 'matches to trust'. It seems the away side, if playing any semblance of a first team, will be able to score at least 2 goals today. 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From the Russian Cup to the Turkish Cup. Sivasspor showed yesterday that a 1.41 shot cannot necessarily be relied upon, as they conceded first and drew late on. Well we have another 1.4 home shot today in Bucaspor 

4pm - Bucaspor v Aydinspor 


Standout Stats

  • Bucaspor have not had a draw in 18 matches in all competitions and are certainly priced today to continue that run.
  • Bucaspor are a 1st division side as opposed to Turkish top flight. They have lost their last 2 matches 2-0.
  • Bucaspor have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches in all competitions at home.
  • It seems that Bucaspor are not 'up for the cup', losing 5, drawing 1 and winning 1 ( 1-0) of their last 7 matches.
  • Bucaspor have not drawn any of their home cup matches yet.They have scored in their last 6 cup matches.
  • Aydinspor are a league below Bucaspor. Aydinspor have a short cup history. 

Profitable in play opportunities


  • Would you trust a league 1 Turkish side who seem to enjoy flunking their cup matches, against a league 2 Turkish side we know nothing about? no, me neither. let's move on.


    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    5pm - Germany (W) v Croatia (W) - unbackable


    No research necessary. The last time German ladies were unbackable, they scored 13 goals. A win to nil and a nice speculative total , will give you a nice value interest in this match. 7-0. 9-0 perhaps?

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    545pm - PSV v Roda JC - the weekend showed a totally unreliable side to these major Dutch sides. Yesterday shows Ajax and Utrecht getting in an initial pickle at heavily short odds. PSV are 1.31 shots today to prevail in this Cup match.


    Standout Stats

    • PSV have drawn and lost the last 2 league meetings with Roda, which really makes that 1.31 highly opposable doesn't it? It could even signal a lay of PSV if they score first, at even shorter odds.

    Profitable in play opportunities.



      6pm - AZ Alkmaar v Achilles 29 - 1.13 home


      Standout Stats


      Profitable in play opportunities.



        6pm - KSV Superfund v Red Bull Salzburg - 1.25 away


        Standout Stats


        Profitable in play opportunities.



          6pm - Steaua Bucharest v ACS Poli Timisoara - 1.32 home


          Standout Stats


          Profitable in play opportunities.

          ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          630pm - Fokikos v Olympiakos 

          Fokikos are 11th in the Football league, Olympiakos are top of the Super league, hence their 1.08 quote tonight. 


          Standout Stats

          • This is a Cup match.
          • Only 2 wins for Fokikos in 90 minutes in their last 18 matches is perhaps not ideal preparation against Olympiakos.
          • No 90 minute wins in the Cup for Fokikos.
          • 5-2-3-6-4-1-5 the total goals scored by Olympiakos in their most recent matches in all competitions. They scored 1 against Benfica.
          • Olympiakos seem to take this cup seriously with 9 wins and an extra time win in their last 10 matches. 
          Profitable in play opportunities.

          • This looks rather straightforward and it seems this is a 2 legged affair with Fokikos losing 5-1 already to oly. This must question Olympiakos's motivation for this 2nd leg?
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          7pm - Groningen v Capelle - 1.06 home

          See all other Dutch League Cup matches today. Quite simply keep an eye on the match via www.futbol24.com and then wait for an apparent surprise and pounce. Apparent surprises can include

          • no goals scored in the first 1/2 hour of the match. A 1.06 shot must surely be able to score.
          • A concerted period of 0-0 1.06 shots should not be having 0-0 matches.
          • Capelle to score first. They should not win.




          7pm - Valencia v Almeria 
          Inconsistency seems to be the watch word with strong 1.46 favourites Valencia. The short price is deserving of DRT interest, and as this is a league match, we can be assured of 100% motivation for both teams as compared with a  League cup equalivalent match.


          Standout Stats

          • 5 consecutive wins in the league for valencia in head to heads saw them scoring between 2 and 3 goals on each occasion. They have beaten Almeria at home on the last 3 occasions Almeria visited.
          • Valencia have had only 1 draw this season.
          • Win, loss, win , win, loss at home this season for Valencia.2 of their wins were 1-0, 
          • Valencia are playing bottom side tonight at home. Their home defeats were against 1st and 9th. They beat 15th and 17th 1-0. Will tonight's match have a similar air?
          • There is no problem with Valencia infront of goal. They have scored in all matches this season. 
          • Neither team has had a 0-0 full time scoreline.
          • Almeria are yet to win a match this season and Valencia must win this match .
          • A draw and 4 defeats away for Almeria.They have conceded between 2 and 4 in away matches.
          • Almeria managed to score 2 against Atl Madrid. Do we take anything from this other than Atl Madrid perhaps taking their foot off the pedal?
          • Today's match features a team who have scored in all matches this season against a team who have conceded in all matches this season.
          • Almeria have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches. 
          • Almeria have only scored 1 goal in the 2nd half in away matches, conceding 8.

          Profitable in play opportunities


          • Valencia should score at least a goal at some stage. Bear that in mind if this match is 0-0 for a while ( and given that 3 of Valencia's 4 wins this season have been 1-0, 0-0 is not out of the question for a while).
          • Neither team has had a 0-0 this season. If it's 0-0 in the 89th minute, lay it.
          • There is a feeling that Almeria could concede at least 2 goals today. This might suggest a 2-0 correct score for the ultra speculative.
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          7pm - Vitesse v Noordwijk -This is another apparent mismatch as Vitesse in the Eredivisie are priced at 1.06 to beat Topklasse team Noordwijk

          Standout Stats

          • Vitesse have not drawn any of their last 8 Cup matches, losing only to Ajax and Heerenveen
          • Vitesse have an ability to score 3+ goals regularly in the Cup.
          • Noordwijk lost only 1-3 to Ajax in the Cup in September 2011. They might not get spanked.
          Profitable in play opportunities


          • As with all of these matches, play it by ear. A concerted 0-0 of a concession of a goal by Vitesse should trigger some involvement if the markets consent to be liquid.
          -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          730pm - Genk v KV Kortrijk .
          League matches should take priority over Cup matches. Here we have 1.58 shots Genk, who have scored 2 and drawn, won, won, in their home head to heads against KV


          Standout Stats

          • genk have had 4 wins and a solitary loss at home ( to top side Standard) . 4 of those wins were to nil, the only exception was against Zulte.
          • Genk have had 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, so 'build from the back.'
          • Genk have had 6 wins and 2 away draws in their last 8 matches. 
          • There has only been 1 0-0 scoreline in these 2 teams' matches this season. 
          • Kortrijk are inconsistent, losing away to 1st and 4th but then beating Anderlecht in 5th 1-0 away from home, and beaten 4rd placed Club Brugge 4-1.
          • Kortijk are on a 4 match winning streak with 2 of those matches being 1-0 away matches.
          • Genk have failed to score in only 2 matches this season and Kortrijk have failed to score in only 3 matches this season. 
          • Kortrijk have only had one away match where both teams scored.
          Profitable in play opportunities


          • Genk are consistent winners and scorers historically. Genk's 4 wins to nil are impressive at home. Will that ensure they score first? 
          • These 2 teams are unlikely to serve up a 0-0. 
          • Kortirjk's inconsistency is always a worry for Football traders. We want readable teams. They have won their last 2 away matches 0-1 , including against Anderlecht.
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          730pm - Lokeren v Lierse - Both teams have scored and conceded in their last 2 meetings, ending in score draws.
          With Lokeren priced at 1.45 today, a score draw is not expected from this Belgian League match

          Standout Stats

          • The strongest stat by far is Lierse's inability to win away. They have lost away to all of the top 8 this season and are playing 7th in the league
          • Lokeren have scored in all matches this season, and have only failed to score 2 minimum in only 1 home match.
          • Lokeren have beaten 11th 3-0, 14th 1-0 and 16th 2-1 and are playing 12th at home today.
          • Lokeren's recent poor run coincided with matches against top 10 sides. Their recent win was against 2nd bottom Beveren
          • Over 2.5 goals is the prevailing trend for Lokeren this season.
          • Lokeren have not had a 0-0 this season, Lierse have had a single 0-0 this season.
          • Lierse have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches and in 3 of their last 4 matches overall
          • Lierse's 2 recent wins came at home. 
          • Lierse have not had a draw away this season.

          Profitable in play opportunities


          • Lokeren tend to beat bottom teams at home, and Lierse tend to lose away to top sides. It seems straightforward.
          • Lokeren could score 2 against as they have in home matches, 
          • Lierse's recent run of failing to score could lead to a possible speculative bet on a correct score win to nil for Lokeren.
          • No away draws for Lierse - will they avoid another?
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          730pm - Morton v St Johnstone - 1.61 away


          Standout Stats


          Profitable in play opportunities.
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          730pm - Oostende v Anderlecht . This is a league match between 14th and 5th. Very rarely do you see 1.52 shots Anderlecht other than top of the league.


          Standout Stats

          • These 2 sides have not met since 2005 so head to heads are irrelevant.
          • Oostende have only had 1 win at home, a 1-0 v Charleroi. 
          • 1st and 3rd in the league scored 4 and 2 against Oostende. Consider that Anderlecht with a win will be on 25 points, and that there are 3 teams on 26 points above then, then we can assume that Anderlecht can replicate those top teams?
          • Oostende's only 2 wins of the season came in their last 4 matches, and were wins to nil.Those were the only 2 clean sheets 
          • No 0-0 full time scorelines in these 2 teams' matches this season.
          • No draw away for Anderlecht this season saw 3 wins and 2 draws. Anderlecht's 3 wins came away to 11th and lower , and they are playing 14th today. The 3 wins were also to nil.
          • Anderlecht have exclusively lost to top 7 this season and won to nil against all bar one of the rest.

          Profitable in play opportunities


          • Looking at the form of these 2 sides and we note no draw for Anderlecht this season, and a strong run of wins, predominantly to nil, against lower sides. Oostende tend to concede 2+ against top sides, Anderlecht tend to score 2+ against lower sides
          • This match should not end 0-0. If by some miracle, Oostende perhaps put Pat Butcher in goal, they could have a 0-0 for a while. This will be exploitable in play.
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          745pm - AC Milan v Lazio - 1.81 home


          Standout Stats

          • 4-4-2-5-3 goals in total in head to heads between these 2.
          • AC Milan are an excellent DRT team as we saw when we layed Parma at the weekend 2-0 up.
          • Win, Loss, Win, Win for AC Milan this season at home. Their last 2 home matches are in stark contrast with head to heads, 2 1-0 wins . 
          • 3 of Milan's last 4 defeats have come away from home. 
          • AC Milan have scored in all matches this season.
          • Milan have lost exclusively against top 8 sides this season. Which nearly mirrors Lazio who have lost to 1st, 3rd, and 9th away this season. 
          • Lazio have conceded 2 minimum away this season. 
          • There has only been 1 0-0 in all matches this season played by these 2 teams. 
          Profitable in play opportunities

          • Goals expected in this match ? Anything else, then get involved. There is unlikely to be a 0-0 in this match. 
          • What do we make of the 2 consecutive 1-0 wins at home for AC Milan, rather against their usual trend for goals scored and conceded
          • It is important to note that these to have lost exclusively against top 9 teams. Well Milan are 10th and Lazio are 7th.
          • Will Lazio continue to concede 2 goals away from home?

          ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          745pm - Cagliari v Bologna - 1.83 home


          Standout Stats


          Profitable in play opportunities.
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          745pm - Feyenoord v Hoek . We have another apparent giants v minnows match as 1.07 shots Feyenoord take on Hoek in the Dutch Cup. Last night saw some great bets in the Netherlands, including laying Kozzaken boys when they took the lead against 1-14 shots Utrecht, and backing over 1.5 goals in the first half, when Ajax were already ahead! Somebody took a spanking there.



          Standout Stats

          • A draw and a loss in their last 2 for Feyenoord. They would like this to end tonight. A winless sequence is unwelcome at any club.
          • Feyenoord have scored a maximum of 4 goals in their Cup exploits so base correct score bets around that scoreline.
          • Feyenoord's only 2013 Cup match at home saw a comfortable 3-0 win against Dordrecht.
          • Hoek are a Hofklasse league side, whose exploits in the cup feature a Loss, Draw ( loss extra time), loss, loss, Draw ( win extra time), and 3-0 win against HBS. 
          • Hoek are yet to play Eredivisie sides in the Cup.
          Profitable in play opportunities.


          • This is another match where a cursory glance will be kept on the scoreline , especially with Ajax's early struggles at odds of 1.02 last night, and Utrecht failing to win at odds of 1.14. 
          • Look for a long period of 0-0, and lay the 0-0 if possible. 
          • If the match is 0-0 for a long time in the first half, consider laying the 0-0 Halftime score as late as you can.
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          745pm - Fiorentina v Napoli

          Fiorentina are 2.68 favourites for this match, featuring 2 in form sides with great attacking threats.


          Standout Stats

          • With 3 draws, Napoli winning 2, and another draw, this match is very much up in the air.
          • Do note the managerial and personnel changes at Napoli may negate head to heads.
          • Both teams have had only 1 defeat this season.
          • Win, Draw, Draw, Win for Fiorentina at home this season, scoring and conceding in all home matches. Fiorentina have in fact scored and conceded in all bar 2 matches this season.
          • A recent home win against Juventus for Fiorentina really caught the eye.
          • Fiorentina are meeting a top 2 team for the first time this season. 
          • Watch out for Fiorentina at home in the last 1/2 hour of matches where they have scored 7 goals.
          • Napoli's sole defeat this season was against Roma , the top team currently.
          • Napoli had 3 away wins before that defeat to Roma.
          • Napoli have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches. 
          • Both sides have failed to score in only 1 match all season
          • Napoli are very definitely a side to lay the 0-0 Halftime score. 2-4-0-1-2-2-2-1-2 scored before halftime in all of their matches this season.
          • In contrast to Fiorentina, Napoli do the majority of their away scoring in the first 1/2 hour .
          • There has been only 1 0-0 scoreline the whole season when these 2 teams have played.

          Profitable in play opportunities.


          • The odds relay everything you need to know about this match. I feel this is a "best team on the day" match.It is not necessarily a DRT match because of these odds. There is no red hot favourite
          • From a statistical perspective, laying 0-0 before halftime will be a positive based solely on Napoli, but bear in mind that they have only played one of the current top 7 this season.
          • Napoli's clean sheets could ensure a tight early first half.
          • Fiorentina have scored and conceded in all home matches this season. With Rossi on one side, and Higuan on the other, this could continue.
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          745pm - Genoa v Parma - 2.6 home


          Standout Stats


          Profitable in play opportunities.
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          745pm - Juventus v Catania - 1.19 home


          Standout Stats

          • Draw, Win, Win at home for Juve in head to heads A degree of caution in recent head to heads with a couple of 1-0's
          • Juve have only dropped points to currently well in form teams in Inter and Fiorentina , both away from home.
          • Juve have scored 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches.
          • 4 consecutive home wins have seen Juve score 4-2-3-2. 
          • No draw in 6 matches for Juve. 
          • 7 home goals scored by Juve in the first half. 
          • Catania have only 1 win this season, at home. 
          • 4 losses away for Catania have seen them score in 3 of them. 
          • Catania has not scored an away goal in the 2nd half 

          Profitable in play opportunities

          • Juve are likely to continue scoring , and perhaps 2 are within their grasp again. 
          • Catania more often than not concede in defeat. 
          • Juve would seem to be the first goal scorers here .
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          745pm - Newcastle v Man City - 1.75 away


          Standout Stats


          Profitable in play opportunities.


          ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          745pm - Tottenham v Hull  - we saw with Zalgaris playing the same team recently ( 3 consecutive matches), and now Tottenham and Hull meet again.
          Standout Stats

          • We'll look at the stats with more of a focus towards the cup. We already know the clean sheets Spurs collect - 12 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
          • The last meeting was a 1-0 win for Spurs against Hull.
          • The Spurs goal was an 80th minute penalty which infers Hull are tough to beat .
          • Not the best record in the League cup for Spurs. Loss, Draw ( loss extra time), Draw ( loss penalties), Win, Loss, Win in recent matches. 
          • Hull have not won any of their last 3 matches. Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw ( win pens), Loss, Draw ( win extra time), Win in their recent League Cup matches. Yes they could take it to extra time, but they do not seem to be able to win in 90 minutes.
          • Hull have not won their last 4 away League cup matches in 90 minutes.

          Profitable in play opportunities

          • Another clean sheet for Spurs? It will be reliant largely on team news although to be fair Spurs still seem very strong defensively in this Cup. 
          • Hull seem unable to win in 90 minutes in the League Cup, so lay them if they lead.
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



          745pm - Wigan v QPR - 2.7 home


          Standout Stats


          Profitable in play opportunities.

            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            755pm - Reims v Monaco - 1.85 away


            Standout Stats


            Profitable in play opportunities.

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              9pm - Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano - 2.1 home


              Standout Stats


              Profitable in play opportunities.

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                9pm - Real Madrid v Sevilla  - this is a La Liga match and Ream MAdrid are 1.22 shots to win this.



                Standout Stats

                • This has generally been a goal fest for Real Madrid, scoring 6-6-3-0-4 in recent head to heads. 2-3-4 scored in home head to heads.
                • Real have only lost to Atl Madrid at home this season. Against the rest 2 minimum scored at home. 
                • Real have only dropped points against top 4 sides so far. 
                • Real have kept only 2 clean sheets all season.
                • No win away for Sevilla yet this season. They lost 3-2 to Barcelona away so are capable of scoring against the big guns.
                • Sevilla have only failed to score and concede in 1 match this season. Over 2.5 goals naturally dominates Sevilla matches.
                • Real at home are vulnerable to conceding in the first 15 minutes only. Sevilla are vulnerable to conceding in the last 1/2 hour away from home.
                • Real have had 3 1/2 time 0-0's in their last 5 matches and Sevilla have had only 2 0-0's before halftime 

                Profitable in play opportunities.

                • Both teams to score seems an obvious starting point and if this comes to fruition then over 2.5 goals will come in for traders.
                • Real Madrid like playing and scoring against Sevilla so expect 2 goals minimum.
                • If Sevilla score first, expect an eventual response from Sevilla.
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                  29/10

                  Unappealing football yesterday. Kuban scored 2 against Anzhi to continue their great scoring record against team around Anzhi's in the league. Both teams did not score alas.
                  Dinamo Bucharest continued their goalscoring too at home in a match with no DRT trades.
                  This is what you get in matches you tend to avoid! Panatalikos 4 Kallonis 0 in a match I had read as a 0-0 or 1-0.
                  Stick with Olympiakos I think!!
                  Maccabi Tel Aviv were utterly dominant, going 3-0 up in no time, with a final score 4-1.
                  There was a hint in the Profitable In play opportunities , that Brighton would score as would Watford. Watford scored first after 4 minutes in a match which ended 1-1 and had litle appeal to me as a betting medium quite simply because I don't know the teams or personnel.

                  Onto today, and here's a list of the matches of interest ( based largely on the short odds). This looks to be a day preserved exclusively for the Cup.

                  12pm - Kruoja( Kru shorthand) v Zalgiris( Zal for shorthand)
                  Zalgiris are 1.45 away from home in this Lithuanian league encounter. Zalgaris have scored 2 or more in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
                  Standout stats


                  • Please note that this is the Lithuanian league and must be treated with an element of caution. 
                  • These 2 teams met on the 23rd October in the Cup ( 2-1 to Zal) and on the 26th October ( 2-2 in the league) and mysteriously meet again on the 29th October in the league.
                  • Kru have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches in all competitions, and 5 of their last 6 league matches.
                  • Kru have scored 3-2-2 in their last 3 league meetings.
                  • A 6 match unbeaten run at home for Kru ended with a 2-4 loss to Sudova, after kru had scored first.
                  • Zal have had only one defeat since the 16th March 2013 in the league. 
                  • After 4 clean sheets, Zal have conceded in 2 score draws latest.
                  • From April 2012 to September 2013, Zal went on a superb unbeaten away run which ended on 17th September. Since then they have won and drawn.. Only 1 Zal win away in their last 4 matches 
                  Profitable in-play opportunities

                  • There is always a great risk when teams meet for the 3rd time in 5 days that the lesser favoured team will know the favourites only too well. We have already seen Kal improve from an initial 2-1 loss to record a 2-2 draw.
                  • Both sides have scored and conceded in the 2 most recent meetings.
                  • An expectation that Zal could score 2 again and Kal could reasonably score 2 as they have scored 3-2-2 in their last 3 league meetings.





                  12pm - MFC Mykolaiv v Shakhtar
                  1.07 shots Shakhtar are warm order here away from home.  The shorter the odds , the better the potential DRT's is my general rule.

                  Just a quick word here. Shaktar tend to score 4 maximum in recent Cup matches which might suggest a team change or taking the foot off the gas and preserving energy once comfortably ahead. This is the Ukrainian Cup, and we can only dream of a 0-0 late on and a 92nd minute Shakhtar winner. Little else to go on here.


                  545pm - Ajax v ASWH - 1.04 home shots Ajax are expected to put the woes of the weekend behind them and notch a bucket load here tonight. As above really with Ajax clearly dominant. ASWH have lost against top teams 5-0 so that could be the starting point tonight for any speculative increasing of the 1.04 odds.
                  There tends to be clean sheets in Ajax cup matches against lower teams.
                  If this match is 0-0 for an extended period, chance over 4.5 goals as a tradable option .

                  630pm - Sivasspor v Ankaragucu - This Turkish Cup game sees the home side priced at 1.41
                  This is a match between Super League team Sivasspor and 2 League Team Ankaragucu ( Ankar for short)

                  Standout stats

                  • The home team are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with 4 consecutive clean sheets.
                  • They have had only 1 draw in their last 14 matches in all competitions at home and have won 8 of their last 10 matches at home.
                  • Sivasspor have only suffered 2 cup defeats in their last 13 cup matches, against Trabzonspor and Fenerbahce.
                  • They are unbeaten in their last 6 cup matches at home, winning 5 of them
                  • In their league, Ankar have had  8 wins and a draw in their last 9 matches.
                  • Away from home, they are finding League 2 a lot easier with 3 wins and a draw .
                  • They lost 3-2 in the cup away to Besiktas at about this time last year. A possible marker?
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • The Turkish Cup, as you can imagine, is hardly top of my list of must-trade matches. This match looks clear cut. Sivasspor appear to be 2 leagues above Ankar and have only lost to top flight opponents in the Cup.
                  • A clear unbeaten run in the league and the cup should allow Sivasspor to score 2 goals at least, unless of course we get a famous cup upset .


                  7pm - Kozakken Boys v Utrecht - the Dutch cup sees Utrecht clear favourites at 1.14
                  Standout stats


                  • Kozakken Boys' most recent meeting against top flight opponents in the cup saw them lose 4-0. Is this a template for today?
                  • Utrecht have lost to Twente and Ajax in the Cup, no shame in that, lately.
                  Profitable in play opportunities.

                  • We are rather betting blind here as we cannot determine whether Utrecht will play a weakened side.
                  • 1.14 suggests 3/4 goals will be scored by Utrecht. If this is a tight 0-0, speculate on over 3.5 goals.


                  7pm - Lille v Auxerre - this French league cup equivalent match sees Lille installed as strong 1.4 favourites.
                  Standout stats


                  • Lille have only lost 2 matches since may 2013 in all competitions.
                  • Lille have kept 11 clean sheets in their last 13 matches in all competitions.
                  • Lille have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 7 matches at home. 
                  • Lille have been less than impressive in the Coupe de la Ligue. That said, their last 3 defeats in the Coupe de la Ligue came away from home. Recently, they beat Toulouse in extra time, beat Bastia away and lost on penalties away to St Etienne. There is a feeling Lille do not prioritise this cup.
                  • Lille have not lost a home match in the cup in their last 6. But they have been pushed to extra time and penalties in 4 of those matches.
                  • Auxerre are a Ligue 2 side with only 2 wins in their last 8 matches. They have only won 2 of their last 11 away matches
                  • 5 wins in their last 6 cup matches see Auxerre up for the cup, but it is hard to discern the level of opposition as compared to top flight Lille
                  • Auxerre have not had a draw away in the cup since 2005
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • All things being equal ( Lille playing their first team, the team which performs in the league), Lille could keep another clean sheet at home. 
                  • Lille have been pushed to extra time and penalties in 2 of their recent cup matches.
                  • It is difficult to weigh up Auxerre's cup achievements, which on the surface look good, but what is the level of opposition as compared with Lille?


                  730pm - Wisla Krakow v Widzew Lodz - 1.54 home

                  735pm - Stenhousemuir v Rangers 
                  Rangers made Mike from Aberdeen a few quid at the weekend when he layed under 3.5 goals as they were 0-0 at halftime. Well done Mike.
                  So what made him so confident there'd be goals?
                  Standout stats

                  • This is the Challenge Cup. Stenhousemuir are in the same league as Rangers.
                  • They have only won one of their last 5 matches in all competitions.
                  • At home, Sten have scored and conceded in 7 of their last matches and had 3 1-1 draws in their last 4 matches.
                  • Sten's last 3 Challenge Cup matches have gone to extra time.
                  • Sten have scored 3-3-4-2 in their last 4 home Cup matches
                  • Rangers have won their last 12 matches of which they kept 9 clean sheets.
                  • Rangers beat Sten 8-0 at home as recently as 28th September .
                  • Rangers have not lost a challenge cup match winning their last 3 with clean sheets.
                  Profitable in play opportunities.

                  • A win to nil could be possible for Rangers if they field the team they normally field. Team news therefore becomes important. 
                  • Could Sten be up for the cup? Their last 3 matches have gone to extra time. 


                  745pm - Arsenal v Chelsea - 2.62 Chelsea are away from home against 2.86 Arsenal at home.
                  Chelsea have not beaten a Premiership side in 90 minutes in the League Cup in recent matches. A draw with Fulham, draw with Everton, loss to Liverpool, draw with Man Utd, loss to Swansea, draw to Swansea could be compelling evidence to oppose them today?
                  Arsenal's last 3 League cup matches all went to extra time. They lost to Birmingham 1-2 ( 90th minute goal) and Man City ( late 0-1) at home since 2011 in the Cup.
                  I am afraid I am non committal. here. This is similar to Chelsea's match with man City at the weekend - an imponderable around which anything could happen.
                  Arsenal face Liverpool at the weekend , and then an away fixture against Dortmund, and you can guess which matches take priority.
                  Chelsea are away to Newcastle and home to Schalke .
                  The only strong stat is the one indicating that, in 90 minutes, Chelsea cannot beat Premiership opposition in the League Cup.

                  745pm - Atalanta v Inter  . This Seria A match must take priority above any Cup matches. Inter Milan are uneasy 2.08 favourites to prevail away from home.
                  Draw, Draw, Atalanta win when Inter have visited . In the last meeting between these 2, the score was 3-4 to Atalanta. We may have uncovered a bogey team for Inter Milan, hence I suppose the cautious odds about Inter.

                  Standout stats


                  • Atalanta are yet to draw this season. Win, loss, Win, Win at home this season 
                  • 2 of the teams Atalanta have failed to score against this season were 2nd Napoli and 5th Fiorentina. They are playing 4th place Inter today ( but I draw your attention to their ability to cope with Inter Milan in head to heads ).
                  • At least one team has scored 2 goals in Atalanta matches at home, in deed in all matches against 13th and higher.
                  • Atalanta have not scored in the first 30 minutes of home matches.
                  • Neither side has had a 0-0 final score this season.
                  • Inter have only lost one match this season, against winning machines Roma. 
                  • 3 Inter draws this season were score draws. 
                  • Inter have  only failed to score in 1 match this season.
                  • 5 over 2.5 goals matches for Inter in their last 6
                  • Inter have kept only 3 clean sheets .
                  • Palacio seems to be the dominant Inter goal threat.
                  • The last 3 Inter matches were comfortably NOT 0-0 at halftime, featuring 3,2,4 goals before halftime.
                  • Win Win Draw Draw for Inter away so far.
                  • The Opponent is yet to lead in Inter away matches at halftime.
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • A protracted 0-0 is unlikely so if you see it, lay it. 
                  • There may be potential in laying the 0-0 Halftime score given Inter Milan's last 3 matches as well as the last 2 head to heads featuring goals.
                  • Atalanta are yet to draw this season, and Inter have drawn their last 2 matches. To be honest, Inter were mugged in their last away match by a 90th minute equaliser so laying the draw there would have been a trading success in play.
                  • If Atalanta are leading at in the first half, lay them. 
                  • Inter are likely to score in this match.




                  745pm - Birmingham v Stoke - 2.12 away. I have no opinion of this match at all I'm afraid. So much depends on team news.

                  745pm - Burnley v West Ham - the above also applies to this match where West Ham are 2.44 favourites.

                  745pm - Man Utd v Norwich
                  After a very laboured and unconvincing win against Stoke at the weekend, United face Norwich in the League Cup and are 1.37 to prevail.
                  United have won 2-0 and 4-0 in Premiership head to heads at Old Trafford, but that was under Old Red Nose.
                  Standout stats


                  • Team news is vital. We are likely to see something approaching a Pre-season United side.
                  • United won their last 2 League cup matches at home to Premiership sides.
                  • United are unbeaten in their last 6 League cup matches in 90 minutes, 2 of them going to extra time.
                  • United are unbeaten at home in the League cup since September 2008.2 matches have gone to extra time, and the rest of the matches were wins. 
                  • Norwich have only 1 win in their last 6 matches in all competitions.
                  • 4 wins, a loss and an extra time win in Norwich's last 6 League Cup matches is good form, and includes a 2-1 away win against Spurs, but a 1-4 loss to Aston Villa.
                  • Norwich have only won 1 of their last 7 League cup matches in 90 minutes. 3 of those matches went to extra time.
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • dare I say that the most profitable in play opportunities involve switching off your PC when faced with the League Cup?
                  • Team news is vital to instil confidence or otherwise. We may see Zaha, Janujaz , Hernandez, Lingaard, Anderson ( as long as he hasn't found a doughnut shop ), and Keane amongst the starting XI.
                  • Norwich have a poor 90 minute record in the league cup in their last 7 matches, and must surely prioritise Premiership survival. Check out their team changes too. 



                  9pm - Celta Vigo v Barcelona . This is another league match inbetween the cup "nonsense" and seees Barcelona at their traditional 1.28 favouritism

                  Standout stats


                  • 5 wins and a 2-2 draw ( 88th minute Celta goal) in head to heads. There have been 5,4,4,4 goals in the last 4 meetings between these 2 and Celta have scored in those 4 matches. Celta scored first last year, a hope they can do so tonight.
                  • Celta's only 2 wins this season have come away to the current bottom 5 sides.
                  • Celta have failed to score in 3 matches this season at home.
                  • Barca away have kept 4 clean sheets against the 4 teams directly below Celta in the league.
                  • Celta have failed to score in their last 3 home matches.
                  • Celta are yet to concede at home in the 1st half.  
                  • The opponents are yet to lead in Celta home matches.
                  • Celta have had 3 0-0's at halftime.
                  • Barcelona failed to score against Osasuna, the only match this season. 4 wins away before this 0-0.
                  • 4 clean sheets in 5 aways for Barca this season.
                  • Barca's only 0-0 before halftime was in that Osasuna match.
                  • Barca have only conceded 2 goals away this season and none in the 2nd half.
                  • Barca have led at halftime in 4/5 aways.
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • There is a chance this match will not be 0-0 at halftime based on on barca's stats rather than Celta's 
                  • Chance over 3.5 goals if this match is 0-0 for a while. There are usually goals in this encounter, although Celta have failed to score in 3 home matches now. 
                  • This is a match where you either side with recent form ( Celta failed to score last 3 homes, Barca 4 clean sheets away ) or head to heads ( 7 goals last time these 2 met and usually 4 goals and both teams scoring). It does make the match tough to read. Your profits will be determined on which side of these 2 contrasting sets of stats you fall.









                  Monday, 28 October 2013

                  28th October 2013

                  Today's Monday coupon is rather unappealing. The Weekend saw some strong teams helped out by quality players ( PSG for example) and it also saw the Dutch Eredivisie and the utter mediocrity of their strikers by comparison.
                  There'll be no live chat today. It's one of those days! I hope you find something in the stats which you can use. Please do email me or leave comments here if you have any questions.


                  3pm - Kuban Krasnodar v Anzhi Makhachkala

                  In a poor day of football we do not have traditional DRT matches ( short priced favourites , red hot favourites.)
                  This is the first match and sees Kuban inserted as 1.7 favourites.

                  1-0, 2-2., 1-0 when these 2 have met in the past at Kuban

                  Standout stats


                  • Anzhi have not won any matches this season
                  • Kuban have only won 1 of their last 7 matches.
                  • Both sides have only kept 1 clean sheet each this season.
                  • Although Kuban have not beaten any team above them in the league, they have 3 wins and a 0-0 draw against teams below them ( and Anzhi are below them presently).
                  • Anzhi have 3 score draws against 12th, 13th, 14th and they are playing 11th today.
                  • Kuban have scored and conceded in all bar 1 home match today.
                  • Anzhi have scored and conceded in all away matches against teams outside of the top 4.
                  • Each team has only 1 0-0 this season. 
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • No win for Anzhi this season does not discount a draw, and if a draw, most likely a score draw
                  • Teams tend to avoid the 0-0, so if 0-0 late on, lay it.
                  • Both sides have kept only 1 clean sheet all season , so expect both teams to score?
                  • Kuban's record at home against teams below them is very good scoring 3 in 2 wins at home. Anzhi are below them/
                  • With a thought that both teams could score, lay Anzhi especially if they get the first goal.



                  530pm - Dinamo Bucharest v Concordia Chiajna
                  In another match from a rather unsuitable league, I have shortlisted this match because Dinamo Bucharest are 1.47 favourites, and this match is on www.soccerstats.com

                  Dinamo have scored 2-2-3 in their 3 head to heads, the last though was a friendly.

                  Standout stats


                  • Concordia seem to have played fewer matches than Dinamo ( 8 to their 11) yet are only 1 position below them in the league.
                  • All losses for Dinamo home and away have come against current top 9. 3 wins came against 13th ( away), 16th at home and 18th at home.
                  • Dinamo have scored in their 5 at home and last 8 overall. Dinamo have conceded in their last 5 matches overall.
                  • Dinamo have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches.
                  • 3/4 defeats for Dinamo this season came away from home.
                  • Only 1 draw for Concordia in their 8 matches this season was a 1-1 draw. Win, Loss , Loss in their 3 away matches.
                  • Concordia have lost to top 7 only away from home
                  • Only 1 0-0 scoreline produced in these 2 teams' matches this season.
                  Profitable in play opportunities.

                  • Dinamo could continue their goalscoring record at home Dinamo have been conceding in their last 7 matches. Will the continue?
                  • Concordia have tended to avoid draws this season . Can we implement that in play?


                  530pm - Panaitolikos ( Pana from hereonin) v AEL Kalloni

                  I tend normally to focus on Olympiakos in the Greek League. As it is a quiet day, I'll look at this match as the favourite in the home team at 1.77
                  Standout stats


                  • Only 2 head to heads saw Kalloni winning to nil.
                  • 11th v 12th and what a contrast. In Pana we have a team with 4 draws in their last 5 matches. In AEL , we have a team without a draw this season. 
                  • Pana have not conceded at home and have 3 0-0's in their last 5 matches overall. 
                  • Pana's goal trends obviously heavily bent on under 2.5 goals.
                  • 4 of Kalloni's 5 defeats this season against top 7. They beat 13th and 16th away from home. 
                  • 1st and 3rd only beat Kalloni 1-0 ( at home), so they are obviously set up to frustrate when called for.
                  Profitable in-play opportunities

                  • What chance will a back of 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 have in this match? Even under 1.5 goals? This is scuppered by an early goal though.
                  • What do we make of the away side's dominance in head to heads?
                  • Will Kalloni continue not to draw this season? If you think so, lay the draw as late as possible at the shortest odds you can get.


                  6pm - SC Kalsdorf v St Polten
                  I normally wouldn't touch this match with the biggest bargepole in the world if it was a choice between this and the major leagues, but ona  quiet day, and  at 1.62 , the away side St Polten are worth investigating
                  Standout stats
                  To be honest I can find no pertinent stats at my favoured stats site, so this lower league Austrian match is quickly put aside.


                  7pm - Maccabi Tel Aviv v Bnei Sakhnin
                  This Israeli top flight. Not admittedly a league I know much about. I do recognise 1.44 shots Maccabi Tel Aviv though through their Champions League exploits.

                  Standout stats


                  • Maccabi have scored 3-2-3-5-4-3 in head to heads and kept 2 clean sheets in the last 2 meetings
                  • Only 1 defeat for Maccabi in the league since January 2013.
                  • 6 consecutive clean sheets now for Maccabi.
                  • Since February 2012, Maccabi have won all bar 2 losses and a draw at home. 
                  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in their last 13 matches.
                  • 13 matches unbeaten for Bnei but 8 draws in those matches, 4 clean sheets and 4 1-1's/
                  • Bnei have reasonable form away, albeit unbeaten with draw, draw, loss , win, draw, draw, draw, draw, win, draw. They have an inability to kill of matches. 4 1-1s and a 0-0 in those 5 draws.
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • Head to heads and home form points to a Maccabi team utterly dominant.
                  • 6 clean sheets points to a possible Maccabi shut out, and given the number of draws Bnei have had recently, a 0-0 back pre-match might be worth taking as insurance if you are to trade in-play.
                  • The Bnei draws really will throw a spanner in the works for confident siding with the home side. 

                   745pm - Brighton v Watford.
                  The odds suggest this is a tough match to read, and as such under normal circumstances this would not make my shortlist. As it is an english league match, I will note the stats as I know there'll be interest. This is taking place at the American Express community stadium. ( sigh! the World is one big advert!)

                  Standout stats

                  • 2.76 for the home side and 2.82 for the away side suggests a tight match this evening.
                  • Head to head offer no patterns at all with Watford and Brighton 1-0 wins alternated between 2-2 and 1-3scorelines, latterly a Watford win.
                  • Brighton have only 3 wins this season, 2 of which came at home. 
                  • Watford are in 7th place, and Brighton have lost at home to 6th and 8th, scoring and conceding. 
                  • Brighton have scored in their 6 home matches. 
                  • Brighton have a strong season long under 2.5 goals trend.
                  • Win, draw, loss, win , loss , win for Watford away from home. Watford have failed to score in only 2 matches and have kept only 2 clean sheets this season, so there is goals in their matches.
                  • Watford have conceded in their last 5 away matches. Watford have not had a draw in their last 6 away matches.
                  • Watford are yet to have a 0-0 final score this season.
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • Brighton at home might be vulnerable to top 8 sides?
                  • Will Brighton continue to score at home and will Watford continue to score -they have only failed to score in 2 matches all season.



                  9pm - Getafe v Ath Bilbao
                  This La Liga Match sees Getafe at 2.66 favourites at home. These matches I would not normally entertain purely based on these odds.

                  This is a match between 5th and 6th and there really is not that strong market leader we crave for DRT

                  Standout stats


                  • 3 draws and 2 Getafe wins in head to heads. 3 of the last 4 meetings saw 2 0-0's and a 1-0.
                  • Getafe are unbeaten at home, and have scored 2 minimum in their 4 home matches.
                  • Overall getafe have had only the one draw, a 2-2. This suggests laying the draw might be a viable option. 
                  • Getafe have scored 2-1-2-2-3-2 in most recent matches, consistent goal scoring.
                  • Getafe have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches.
                  • This all looks solid but Getafe are yet to play any current top 14 teams at home. 
                  • 3 consecutive away losses for Ath now against 3rd, 8th and 13th. They are playing 5th today. 
                  • In 3 of 4 away matches, Ath have scored and conceded.
                  • Ath have conceded in all away matches 
                  • Neither team has had a 0-0 this season.
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • if you were to look at Getafe's form at face value you'd think, solid favourite. But then they are yet to play top 14 teams at home. Similarly 4 of Bilbao's 5 wins have come against bottom 7 sides.
                  • Getafe seem to have goals in them, but the fact that they are yet to meet the better form sides in Spain means we cannot gauge whether they will continue their scoring against better opponents.
                  • Neither team has had a 0-0 and this may be what we cling to for in play purposes in what is a tough match to read and get a good angle on. As you would expect with 5th v 6th.


                  Sunday, 27 October 2013

                  27th Occtober 2013

                  7am - Oita v Yokohama FM - 1.44 away
                   11am - Sevilla v Osasuna - 1.56 home
                   11am - Spain (W) v Estonia (W) - unbackcable
                   1130am - Napoli v Torino - 1.37 home
                   1130am - Roda JC v PSV - 1.77 away
                   12pm - CSKA Moscow v FK Krasnodar - 1.71 home
                   12pm - Ilukstes NSS v Ventspils - 1.03 away
                   1230pm - Neftochimik v Litex Lovech - 1.17 away
                   1230pm - Union Berlin v Erzgebirge - 1.63 home
                   1245pm - Partick v Celtic - 1.45 away - Celtic short priced away favourites again

                  Standout stats

                  • Celtic have won all head to head recently.
                  • Celtic scored a minimum of 2 in each of those wins. 
                  • Partick are yet to win a home match and have lost 2 of their last 3. 
                  • Partick have kept only one clean sheet this season. 
                  • Partick have won only 3 matches this season, all away.
                  • Partick have had 3 0-0's at half time at home
                  • Celtic are unbeaten this season with only 2 draws.
                  • Celtic have scored at least 2 goals in 7 of their 9 matches.
                  • Celtic have scored in all matches this season.
                  • Celtic have scored 6 away goals in the last 1/4 hour of matches.
                  Profitable in play opportunities
                  • Celtic are likely to score at some stage. So if this is 0-0, keep the faith.
                  • Celtic could score late. If the odds allow, back another goal after the 75th minute.
                  • Celtic could score at least 2 goals today.



                   1pm - Lokomotiv Sofia v Pirin Gotse Delchev - 1.33 home.
                   130pm - Feyenoord v Heracles - 1.36 home
                  Will one of these title contenders take advantage of the Ajax 0-0 yesterday?

                  Standout Stats


                  • Feyenoord at home have scored 10 in their last 2 head to heads.
                  • A poor start to the season, albeit losing to Zwolle, twente and Ajax, has turned into 5 wins and 2 score draws.
                  • Feyenoord have scored 4 and 3 against teams just below Heracles in the league.
                  • Feyenoord have scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5. Feyenoord have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6.
                  • Feyenoord have scored in all matches.
                  • All bar one of Feyenoord's matches have ended over 2.5 goals.
                  • All defeats this season exclusively v top 4.
                  • Feyenoord score the majority of their goals just before halftime.
                  • Only one Halftime 0-0 all season.
                  • Heracles have only 3 wins this season.
                  • 4-6-2-5-3 total goals in Heracles away matches.
                  • Heracles have kept only 1 clean sheet.
                  • No away draw for Heracles this season.
                  • Feyenoord have had only one 0-0 all season
                  Profitable in play opportunities.

                  • Feyenoord are expected to score at least 2 goals today.
                  • Halftime Score 0-0 looks layable.
                  • Over 2.5 goals is likely to be stingy price but looks like it could come in. The value will be in over 3.5 goals backed if 0-0 after 15 minutes.
                  • Lay the draw if a draw late on

                   130pm - Sunderland v Newcastle - 2.58 away
                  I don't tend to trade derby matches ( apart for the Clasico of course) and will be leaving this match alone. It falls into the category of " best team on the day". If you want a speculative punt, then go for High booking points.

                   2pm - Chievo v Fiorentina - 2.04 away
                   2pm - Dinamo Zagreb v Hrvatski Dragovoljac - 1.17 home
                   2pm - Juventus v Genoa - 1.22 home With Roma having a 5 point gap at the Top of Seria A, and Napoli quoted at 1.37 odds and playing at 11am, Juve should have the motivation come 2pm to turn those 1.22 odds into a home win.

                  Standout stats


                  • 2 draws in the last 3 head to heads, and 2 consecutive draws in Juve's last 2 head to heads at Juve. 
                  • Juventus have only lost 1 match and that was after leading 0-2 away at Fiorentina.
                  • Juventus have conceded 2 goals in their last 2 matches against Milan and Fiorentina.
                  • Juventus have scored in all matches.
                  • 100% home wins but Juve have conceded one goal in each.
                  • In 6 of their last 7 matches, Juve have scored and conceded.
                  • At home Juventus matches have seen 2, 3 , 3 goals before halftime, but away they have had 3 0-0's before halftime.
                  • Only 2 wins for Genoa this season. 3 of 4 of their defeats were to nil and they have had one 0-0 draw. A potential problem scoring?
                  • Genoa ave lost all 3 matches against the top 6 sides
                  • Genoa have yet to concede an away goal in the first half this season.
                  • Genoa have had 3 0-0's before halftime in their away matches
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • Juve have conceded in all matches at home. Will this continue today? Juve have scored in all matches so a late 0-0 must be layed.
                  • A likelihood that Genoa will lose as they have done against top sides today. Do note the draws in head to heads.
                  • Genoa are yet to concede an away goal in the first half this season, so fear not a halftime 0-0

                   2pm - Parma v AC Milan - 2.32 away
                   3pm - Dinamo Kiev v Illychivets ( Illy from hereonin)
                  In this Ukrainian league match, Kiev are strong 1.32 favourites. With home advantage, the match is worth looking at, particularly as www.soccerstats.com covers Ukraine

                  Standout stats


                  • 1-0, 0-0, 1-0 in the last 3 meetings between these 2 might signal caution today and no surprise were this to be a tight encounter.
                  • 2 draws and a loss at home for Kiev, a draw came against 3rd and the loss against current 4th placed. Will they cope with 9th placed Illychivets?
                  • What on earth do we make of the recent 9-1 home win against 8th? 
                  • Kiev have only failed to score in one match this season
                  • All 4 of Kiev's defeats this season have come against current top 4 sides.
                  • There have been no 0-0's played in any of these 2's matches this season.
                  • Illy have had only 1 draw all season. They clearly struggle against current top 6 sides losing all 5. Do note the away defeats were to nil, and 2 of them were 1-0.
                  • There have been 5 1-0 scorelines in Illy's last 6 matches. 
                  Profitable in play opportunities.


                  • The value here lies in the opposition of goals. It is speculative, as Dinamo are coming off a 9 goal home haul, but looking at Illy, and head to heads, 1-0 and 0-0 could be backed pre match at biggish odds in the hope that the Illy who had only 5 1-0 scorelines in their last 6 turns up.
                  • Illy clearly struggle against top 6 sides and as they have had only 1 draw all season, this points to an avoidance of 0-0 ( neither team has had a 0-0) and another tight defeat, 1-0, 2-0 perhaps?




                   320pm - Orebro v GAIS - 1.43 home
                   330pm - Vitesse v Groningen - 1.65 home
                  . 4pm - Chelsea v Man City - 2.4 home - from a trading perspective, this is not a match which appeals. Yes, it will be great to watch, but like the North East Derby match today, it will go to the "best on the day".

                   4pm - Ludogorets v Lyubimets - 1.13 home
                   4pm - Monaco v Lyon - 1.51 home
                   4pm - Swansea v West Ham - 1.73 home
                  Odds on shots Swansea host West Ham .
                  Only 2 head to heads of relevance see Swansea win at home and West ham win at home.
                  Standout stats


                  • Swansea have only had one draw all seeason , a 2-2 so laying the draw as a trading option might be viable.
                  • No win at home for Swansea this season but to be fair they played Man Utd, Liverpool and Arsenal
                  • Swansea have failed to score in only 2 matches this season.
                  • All defeats for Swansea this season have come against top 8 sides
                  • They have been other than top 8 without conceding.
                  • Swansea have not led at halftime this season at home.
                  • No 0-0's this season.
                  • West Ham have only 2 wins this season, both to nil. The win v Spurs surprised many.
                  • West Ham have failed to score in 3 of their 4 away matches.
                  • West Ham have had 2 0-0's and a 1-0 loss away - a certain tactic?
                  • West Ham have not scored an away goal before the 60th minute 
                  Profitable in-play opportunities

                  • Swansea will not go all season without a home win. Today offer's a good opportunitiy against a team who failed to score in 3 of 4 aways.
                  • There is a logical argument for a Swansea win to nil.
                  • Swansea have scored all bar one home goal away and West Ham have exclusively scored away after the 60th minute so a halftime 0-0 would not surprise.



                   4pm - Tottenham v Hull - 1.41 home

                  Standout stats


                  • No head to heads of relevance 
                  • Spurs 2 defeats have come in London derbies. They dropped points in their 3 London derby. 
                  • All 5 Spurs wins have been to nil this season.
                  • Spurs have drawn and lost their last 2 home matches . Will they really go a 3rd home match without a win?
                  • Under 2.5 goals is the overwhelming trend this season for Spurs.
                  • Given their predonderance for clean sheets, Laying 0-0 at Halftime would be a bit hit and miss.
                  • Spurs are yet to concede a goal in the first half at home. 
                  • 3 defeats for Hull have come against Chelsea,  Man City and Everton. They have had 3 wins and 2 draws. An inference that top 6 teams are too much for Hull
                  • Hull have conceded 2 goals in all away matches.
                  • Losses away to 4th, 5th and 6th and playing 7th today.
                  Profitable in play opportunities.

                  • Spurs could score 2 goals today and this may open up a 2-0 correct score trade.
                  • Note the overwhelming under 2.5 goals trend this season in Spurs matches. Will this end against an inferior Hull team?
                  • All 5 Spurs wins have been to nil this season, so base decisions around an assumption of another win to nil.
                  • Spurs have not won their last 2 home matches, so this is an  unwelcome winless sequence they would like to end. No Gareth Bale to score an 89th minute 25 yard winner alas.

                   415pm - Sporting Cristal v Pacifico - 1.27 home
                   430pm - Helsingborgs v Kalmar FF - 1.67 home
                   5pm - Kayserispor v Galatasaray - 1.49 away
                   515pm - Benfica v Nacional - 1.34 home

                  Benfica gave me a 120 winner , and I sincerely hope they do it for you.

                  Standout stats


                  • Benfica have scored 4-3-4-3-2 in head to heads 
                  • Benfica have won 4 and drawn the last 2-2 in head to heads.
                  • 3 of Benfica's 4 wins have been while conceding 1 goal.
                  • Unbeaten in 6 matches.
                  • benfica have conceded in all 3 home matches.
                  • Benfica have scored in all matches this season and kept only 1 clean sheet.
                  • Nacional have won their last 3 matches without conceding and only conceded 1 in a defeat prior to that run.
                  • Nacional are yet to play top 5 sides.
                  • 4-3-5 total goals away from home. Nacional have scored 3 goals twice.
                  • Neither team has had a 0-0 this season.
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • Beware of Nacional today. They are in good form, but are Benfica /Porto/Sporting Lisbon a step up?
                  • Benfica have scored in all matches this season so use that in play if they concede.
                  • Neither team has had a 0-0 this season so if 0-0 late on, that would be such an anomoly that we can lay said 0-0.

                   530pm - Dnipro v Vorskla - 1.45 home
                   530pm - Olympiakos v OFI - 1.11 home

                  Like Benfica, Olympiakos ( Oly from hereonin) have furnished me with 2 1.04 successful lays.
                  Standout stats


                  • In head to heads Oly have not conceded in their last 5 matches, winning 4 and a single 0-0. 0-0 is always a goer in Greek matches so perhaps factor it in ( the odds will be huge to allow for a 0-0 back as insurance against any involvement in the match).
                  • 7 wins this season for Oly spoilt by a single 0-0
                  • 2-4-6 scored at home, 2 of the wins were to nil.
                  • Oly have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
                  • OFI have not won this season but have recorded 6 draws, with 3 consecutive 1-1's. Defeats have come away 2-0 and 1-0.
                  • OFI have conceded in their last 5 matches.
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • I would back 0-0 here pre match just incase OFI " do a Waalwijk". Looking at OFI's profile ( and I'm afraid soccerstats don't do goal times for the greek league), they are a tough nut to crack yet might be cracked eventually
                  • If this is a concerted 0-0 , get excited. That is how I profited from 2 1.04 lays in Olympiakos matches last season.
                  • If this match is not a 0-0, it could very well be a win to nil. Yes OFI have had 3 consecutive 1-1's but they did lose 1-0 to Panathanaikos.




                   6pm - SV Grodig v Red Bull Salzburg - 1.51 away
                   6pm - Sociedad v Almeria - 1.58 home
                   6pm - Stromsgodset v Start - 1.35 home
                   730pm - Zulte-Waregem v Charleroi - 1.54 home
                   745pm - Porto v Sp Lisbon - 1.67 home
                   8pm - Atl Madrid ( Atl from hereonin) v Betis - 1.28 home
                   The new kids on the block, threatening to break the monopoly in Spain?
                  Standout stats


                  • Atl have not lost any of the last 5 head to heads, but the last 2 have been 1-1 and 1-0
                  • An 8 match winning run for Atl ended with an own goal 1-0 defeat away to Espanyol
                  • Atl have scored 2 minimum at home and have conceded in their last 3 home matches ( so 2 goals necessary!!)
                  • Atl are playing 18th at home today and have beaten 17th, 19th and 20th scoring 5-2-4
                  • Atl have scored first in 8 of their 9 matches this season. They have scored 8 goals in the first half at home this season.
                  • D Costa is the top scorer - check team news if he is absent.
                  • Only 2 wins for betis this season have come at home. Loss, Draw, Loss , Loss away from home, and they have scored in all defeats this season.
                  • In defeats against the top 6 away, they have scored.
                  • Betis have only scored one away goal in the first half so far this season.
                  Profitable in play opportunities

                  • No draw yet for Atl so lay the draw if there is a late draw
                  • Betis have tended to score and Atl have tended to concede so both teams to score could be a viable option today
                  • Expectation is for Atl to score at least 2 goals at home. Atl could score 3 or more today if their results against the bottom 4 at home can be repeated.


                   8pm - St Etienne v Paris St-G - 1.87 away

                  Thursday, 24 October 2013

                  25th October 2013

                  SATURDAY 26th OCTOBER 2013 12pm - Fortuna Dusseldorf v Paderborn - 1.71 home HEAD TO HEADS 27.01.2012 CF Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-1 Paderborn 16.12.2011 D2 Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-3 Paderborn 24.07.2011 D2 Paderborn 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf 12.03.2011 D2 Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-0 Paderborn 24.10.2010 D2 Paderborn 3-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf 15.01.2010 D2 Paderborn 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf LEAGUE POSITION HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT HOME FORM RECENT FORM OVERALL GOAL TRENDS STREAKS AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT AWAY FORM RECENT OVERALL FORM GOAL TRENDS STREAKS CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 1230pm - Huddersfield v Leeds - 2.64 home HEAD TO HEADS 16.03.2013 LCh Leeds United 1-2 Huddersfield 01.12.2012 LCh Huddersfield 2-4 Leeds United 27.02.2010 L1 Huddersfield 2-2 Leeds United 05.12.2009 L1 Leeds United 2-2 Huddersfield 14.02.2009 L1 Huddersfield 1-0 Leeds United 15.11.2008 L1 Leeds United 1-2 Huddersfield LEAGUE POSITION HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT HOME FORM RECENT FORM OVERALL GOAL TRENDS STREAKS AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT AWAY FORM RECENT OVERALL FORM GOAL TRENDS STREAKS CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 1245pm - C Palace v Arsenal - 1.39 away HEAD TO HEADS 14.02.2005 PR Arsenal FC 5-1 Crystal Palace 06.11.2004 PR Crystal Palace 1-1 Arsenal FC LEAGUE POSITION - 19th v top HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Palace - sacked manager RECENT HOME FORM - LWLL -win v Sunderland. FTS v Swans and Spurs. RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLWLLLLL - no draws. have only conceded less than 2 goals in 2 match this season. FTS in 4 of 5 matches against top 11 GOAL TRENDS - 2 HT 0-0's this season but 3 goals scored before HT last 2 matches. Conceded all this season. Conceded 3 and 4 last 2 matches.Most vulnerable directly after HT STREAKS - no draw all this season. Conceded last 8 amtches. AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - arse RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWD - scored and conceded all aways. Scored 3 against bottom ( playing 2nd bottom today away). RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWWWWWLW - scored and conceded in 7/8 this season. Against bottom 5 have scored 3-3-4 . GOAL TRENDS - only 1 HT 0-0 this season. Scored all this season. CS only 1 match this season. STREAKS - no defeat 7 overall. Scored last 8 conceded last 5. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 2pm - Marienlyst v Vejle - 1.56 away 2pm - Shakhtar v Zorya - 1.14 home HEAD TO HEADS 13.04.2013 D1 Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Zorya Lugansk 15.09.2012 D1 Zorya Lugansk 0-3 Shakhtar Donetsk 16.04.2012 D1 Zorya Lugansk 1-5 Shakhtar Donetsk 02.10.2011 D1 Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1 Zorya Lugansk 20.11.2010 D1 Zorya Lugansk 1-3 Shakhtar Donetsk 25.07.2010 D1 Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Zorya Lugansk LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 7th HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - shak RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWDWW - 5 wins were to nil RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLDLWDWW - ablip in the middle saw both sides score. GOAL TRENDS - Scored all matches this season. No 0-0's this season. Last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. STREAKS - scored in 7 home, no defeat in 7 home. Scored last 13 overall. AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Zorya RECENT AWAY FORM - WWDLLLD - beat 3rd and bottom away. RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWLLWDW - 3 clean sheets last 3. GOAL TRENDS - 29% overs away. STREAKS - no win in 5 away. 3 clean sheets. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 2pm - Ural v Zenit St Petersburg - 1.33 away HEAD TO HEADS none LEAGUE POSITION - 13th v 1st HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - RECENT HOME FORM - DLLDLLLL - FTS in defeats to 2nd, 3rd, 4th. RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLLLDLDLD - last 3 draws scored draws GOAL TRENDS - 63% overs at home. FTS last 2 homes. Only 1 clean sheet. STREAKS - 4 match home losing streak. No win 8 at home. Conceded last 4 at home. AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Zenit RECENT AWAY FORM RECENT OVERALL FORM GOAL TRENDS STREAKS CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 320pm - B Munich v Hertha Berlin - 1.11 home HEAD TO HEADS 17.03.2012 D1 Hertha BSC 0-6 Bayern München 15.10.2011 D1 Bayern München 4-0 Hertha BSC 08.05.2010 D1 Hertha BSC 1-3 Bayern München 19.12.2009 D1 Bayern München 5-2 Hertha BSC 14.02.2009 D1 Hertha BSC 2-1 Bayern München 31.08.2008 D1 Bayern München 4-1 Hertha BSC LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 4th HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - BM RECENT HOME FORM - all wins. not played top 5 at home this season. RECENT FORM OVERALL - all wins bar 2 away draws 1-1. GOAL TRENDS - 3 HT 0-0's. At 1.11 today and scoring 10 last 2 meetings, I think we can safely lay 0-0 HT today.Scored all this season. 83% of home goals scored 2nd half. Conceded none 2nd half at home. STREAKS - 5 home wins scored last 9 conceded last 2 overall AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - HB RECENT AWAY FORM - DLDD - no wins.not played top 6 away. All draws score draws RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLDWDW - struggles v current top 9 1-0 win, 1-1, 0-1 loss, 2-0 loss. GOAL TRENDS - no clean sheets away. scored only 1 2nd half away goal. Never scored first or led at half time in 4 aways.have had only 2 0-0s HT this season. No 0-0 this season STREAKS - 4 without a win away. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 230pm - Leverkusen v Augsburg - 1.54 home HEAD TO HEADS 16.02.2013 D1 Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 FC Augsburg 26.09.2012 D1 FC Augsburg 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen 25.07.2012 CF FC Augsburg 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen 18.02.2012 D1 Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 FC Augsburg 09.09.2011 D1 FC Augsburg 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen 23.09.2008 Cup FC Augsburg 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 13th HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - lev RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWD - 1-1 was v Bayern 4-2-3-3 scored against the rest. Conceded in 4 of those 5 RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLWWWDW - all wins bar Bayern draw and Shalke away loss. GOAL TRENDS - scored and cocneded 4 of last 5/ FTS only once. CS only twice.Scored all homes.No opponent has Led at HT.No 0-0 this season and No 0-0 HT so far. STREAKS - scored last 5 at home, no defeat 5 home. AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Augs RECENT AWAY FORM - LWLL - no draw away. win 0-1 v 3rd bottom.Lost 4-1 to 5th. RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWLDLL - GOAL TRENDS - scored and conceded last 5 and in 6 of last 7 Had 3 0-0's HT but last 3 were 1-1, 2-1, 2-1. have scord first in 3/4 away. Has not led HT away.No 0-0 this seasin. STREAKS - scored last 7 and conceded last 5 away. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 230pm - Mainz v Braunschweig - 1.6 home HEAD TO HEADS 01.07.2011 CF Eintracht Braunschweig 0-1 Mainz 25.05.2003 D2 Eintracht Braunschweig 1-4 Mainz 13.12.2002 D2 Mainz 3-1 Eintracht Braunschweig LEAGUE POSITION HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT HOME FORM RECENT FORM OVERALL GOAL TRENDS STREAKS AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT AWAY FORM RECENT OVERALL FORM GOAL TRENDS STREAKS CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 230pm - Schalke v Dortmund - 1.89 away HEAD TO HEADS 09.03.2013 D1 Schalke 04 2-1 Borussia Dortmund 20.10.2012 D1 Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Schalke 04 14.04.2012 D1 Schalke 04 1-2 Borussia Dortmund 26.11.2011 D1 Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Schalke 04 23.07.2011 SC Schalke 04 0-0/p.4-3 Borussia Dortmund 04.02.2011 D1 Borussia Dortmund 0-0 Schalke 04 LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 2nd HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Schalke RECENT HOME FORM - DWLW - l v Bayern . Did beat LEverkusen 2-0. RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLLWWLDWW - only 1 loss last 6 was v Bayern. Scored 3-4-3 last 3 matches GOAL TRENDS - 78% overs overall. Only 1 0-0 HT, 2-4-3-2 scored before HT last 4.Only 2 Cs all season.FTS 2 this season STREAKS - scored in last 3 overall and conceded last 4 overall. AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Dort RECENT AWAY FORM - WWDL - Mgladbach 2-0 shock win.No win last 2. Conceded last 3 aways. RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWWDWLW - loss v 6th away. Playing 5th today. GOAL TRENDS - Only 1 0-0 HT in last 5. FTS only 1. Mgladbach goals were 80th+ minute. No 0-0 this season STREAKS - conceded last 3 away . no draw 3 overall. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 3pm - Aston Villa v Everton - 2.3 away HEAD TO HEADS 02.02.2013 PR Everton FC 3-3 Aston Villa 25.08.2012 PR Aston Villa 1-3 Everton FC 14.01.2012 PR Aston Villa 1-1 Everton FC 10.09.2011 PR Everton FC 2-2 Aston Villa 02.04.2011 PR Everton FC 2-2 Aston Villa 29.08.2010 PR Aston Villa 1-0 Everton FC LEAGUE POSITION - 13th v 7th HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - villa RECENT HOME FORM - LLWL - conceded in all home this season RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLLLWWDL - draw 0-0 away Hull. FTS last 2. Only 1 0-0 HT all season GOAL TRENDS - 2 clean sheets only .no clean sheets home. scored all goals 2nd half. never opened scoring at home this season. Not led at HT at home this season. STREAKS - AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - everton RECENT AWAY FORM - DDWL - unlucky loss v City Howard og made it 3-1 RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDDWWWLW - only loss v City GOAL TRENDS - 3 0-0 HT at start of season, none since. no draw 5 overall scored last 5 oa and conceded last 4 oa. Scored 5 of their 6 away goals last 1/2 hour STREAKS - see above CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 3pm - Bradford v Wolves - 2.3 away 3pm - Burnley v QPR - 2.66 home HEAD TO HEADS no recent head to heads LEAGUE POSITION HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT HOME FORM RECENT FORM OVERALL GOAL TRENDS STREAKS AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT AWAY FORM RECENT OVERALL FORM GOAL TRENDS STREAKS CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 3pm - Colchester v Peterborough - 1.78 away 3pm - Dundee Utd v St Mirren - 1.73 home 3pm - East Fife v Rangers - 1.06 away 3pm - Leicester v Bournemouth - 1.66 home 3pm - Liverpool v West Brom - 1.45 home HEAD TO HEADS 11.02.2013 PR Liverpool FC 0-2 West Bromwich 26.09.2012 LC West Bromwich 1-2 Liverpool FC 18.08.2012 PR West Bromwich 3-0 Liverpool FC 22.04.2012 PR Liverpool FC 0-1 West Bromwich 29.10.2011 PR West Bromwich 0-2 Liverpool FC 02.04.2011 PR West Bromwich 2-1 Liverpool FC LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 12th HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - pool RECENT HOME FORM - WWLW - 3 1-0s ended with 3-1 win v Palace. RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWDLWWD - only 1 loss all season a shut out by Saints. GOAL TRENDS - 25% overs at home. Scored all home goals at home 1st half and conceded none 1st half. Only 1 0-0HT this season. Scored and conceded in 4 of last 5. STREAKS - no draw 4 home. conceded last 5 ocerall. scored 1st 3/4 home. AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Brom RECENT AWAY FORM - DDWD - lucky with the draw v Fulham. Beat United and drew 0-0 away at Everton RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLDWWDD - only 2 defeats at start of season when couldn't score. not played top 6 away. GOAL TRENDS - 2 HT 0-0's last 3 matcxhes. All away goals scored 2nd half. never led at HT away.50% away games 0-0 STREAKS - no defat 4 away and 5 overall. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 3pm - Malaga v Celta Vigo - 1.75 home HEAD TO HEADS 19.01.2013 D1 Málaga CF 1-1 Celta de Vigo 18.08.2012 D1 Celta de Vigo 0-1 Málaga CF 04.05.2008 D2 Celta de Vigo 1-2 Málaga CF 02.12.2007 D2 Málaga CF 1-1 Celta de Vigo 05.09.2007 Cup Málaga CF 2-1 Celta de Vigo 22.01.2006 D1 Málaga CF 0-2 Celta de Vigo LEAGUE POSITION HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT HOME FORM RECENT FORM OVERALL GOAL TRENDS STREAKS AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT AWAY FORM RECENT OVERALL FORM GOAL TRENDS STREAKS CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 3pm - Man Utd v Stoke - 1.36 home HEAD TO HEADS 14.04.2013 PR Stoke City 0-2 Manchester United 20.10.2012 PR Manchester United 4-2 Stoke City 31.01.2012 PR Manchester United 2-0 Stoke City 24.09.2011 PR Stoke City 1-1 Manchester United 04.01.2011 PR Manchester United 2-1 Stoke City 24.10.2010 PR Stoke City 1-2 Manchester United LEAGUE POSITION - 8th v 16th HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Utd RECENT HOME FORM - DWLD - unheard of really for Utd. Beat palace 2-0 19th. RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDLWLLWD - have scord and conceded last 4. United tough to read. Wins away v 11th nd bottom. GOAL TRENDS - Only 1 0-0 HT last 6. 4 1-0 HT last 6.Only 2 CS all season. FTS only 2 this season. Not conceded at home this season 1/2 half - opponent not led at HT STREAKS - united scored 3 concede 2 ghome. scored in last 5 conceded last 4. AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - LWLL stoke - 2 1-0 losses, a 1-0 win and a 3-1 loss to Arse. RECENT AWAY FORM - above RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWWDLLLD - FTS 4 of last 5. 3-1 away loss to 1, and 1-0 loss to 3rd. GOAL TRENDS - 2 0-0 HT last 2 matches and I would not discount it against a woeful Utd. FTS last 3. STREAKS - no draw in 4 away. no win in 5 overall. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 3pm - Norwich v Cardiff - 2.24 home HEAD TO HEADS 15.01.2011 LCh Norwich City 1-1 Cardiff City 30.10.2010 LCh Cardiff City 3-1 Norwich City 10.03.2009 LCh Norwich City 2-0 Cardiff City 23.08.2008 LCh Cardiff City 2-2 Norwich City 09.02.2008 LCh Cardiff City 1-2 Norwich City 01.09.2007 LCh Norwich City 1-2 Cardiff City LEAGUE POSITION - 18th v 17th HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Nor RECENT HOME FORM - DWLL - conceded 2 and 3 v Chelsea nad Everton RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLWLLWLL - one draw only. 2 wins were 1-0. GOAL TRENDS - 5 1-0's at HT last 5. conceded 3 and 4 v chelsea and arsenal only 2 cs all seaosn. scored all home goals 2nd half. team not led HT at home. No 0-0 this season. STREAKS - no draw in 7. scored last 3 conceded last 2. AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - cardiff RECENT AWAY FORM - LDWL - sole win v Fulham. scored and cocneded 3 of 4. RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWDDLWLL - not played bottom 5 yet GOAL TRENDS - no clean sheets away. 2 scored before HT last 3 matches. STREAKS - conceded last 5 overall. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 315pm - Asteras Tripolis v Levadiakos - 1.57 home HEAD TO HEADS 24.02.2013 D1 Asteras Tripoli 1-0 Levadiakos 27.10.2012 D1 Levadiakos 0-0 Asteras Tripoli 12.02.2012 D1 Levadiakos 0-1 Asteras Tripoli 08.02.2012 D1 Asteras Tripoli 0-1 Levadiakos 31.01.2010 D1 Levadiakos 1-0 Asteras Tripoli 27.09.2009 D1 Asteras Tripoli 2-1 Levadiakos LEAGUE POSITION HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT HOME FORM RECENT FORM OVERALL GOAL TRENDS STREAKS AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT AWAY FORM RECENT OVERALL FORM GOAL TRENDS STREAKS CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 4pm - Marseille v Reims - 1.64 home HEAD TO HEADS 26.05.2013 D1 Olympique Marseille 0-0 Stade Reims 12.08.2012 D1 Stade Reims 0-1 Olympique Marseille LEAGUE POSITION HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT HOME FORM RECENT FORM OVERALL GOAL TRENDS STREAKS AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT AWAY FORM RECENT OVERALL FORM GOAL TRENDS STREAKS CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 430pm - Spartak Moscow v Rostov - 1.47 home 5pm - Barcelona v Real Madrid - 1.83 home HEAD TO HEADS 02.03.2013 D1 Real Madrid 2-1 FC Barcelona 26.02.2013 Cup FC Barcelona 1-3 Real Madrid 30.01.2013 Cup Real Madrid 1-1 FC Barcelona 07.10.2012 D1 FC Barcelona 2-2 Real Madrid 29.08.2012 SC Real Madrid 2-1 FC Barcelona 23.08.2012 SC FC Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 3rd HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team = barca RECENT HOME FORM - WWWW 7-3--4-4 messi back/ RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWWWWWD 0-0 v Osasuna latest GOAL TRENDS - fts only 1 STREAKS - no defeat 9. Scored last 4 home AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - real RECENT AWAY FORM - WDWW - draw 2-2 v Villareal RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWDWWLWW - loss v Atl Madrid GOAL TRENDS - 2-3-2- scored away in 3 /4 STREAKS - CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 530pm - Metalist v Karpaty - 1.25 home 530pm - Southampton v Fulham - 1.64 home HEAD TO HEADS 26.12.2012 PR Fulham FC 1-1 Southampton 07.10.2012 PR Southampton 2-2 Fulham FC 05.01.2005 PR Southampton 3-3 Fulham FC 25.09.2004 PR Fulham FC 1-0 Southampton 07.02.2004 PR Southampton 0-0 Fulham FC 26.12.2003 PR Fulham FC 2-0 Southampton LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 14th HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - saints RECENT HOME FORM - DDWW - wins v Palace v Swansea - 3 clean sheets. RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDLDWWWD - draw v United. GOAL TRENDS - 4 clean sheets last 5. Had a run of 4 HT 0-0's. Saints have scored 2 last 2 home.NO overs all season. Have not conceded afrter 30th minute at home. STREAKS - 4 at home without defeat. 5 overall. Scored in alst 4. 3 clean sheets home. AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Fulham RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLW - losses v Newcastle and Chelsea RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLDLLWW - losses away v top 10 without scoring. GOAL TRENDS - fts only 2 this season and 2 cs only. all away goals scored before 60 mins away.opponent not led ht No 0-0 this season. STREAKS - no draw away. conceded last 3 away. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 530pm - Wolfsburg v W Bremen - 1.75 home HEAD TO HEADS 20.04.2013 D1 Werder Bremen 0-3 VfL Wolfsburg 09.01.2013 CF VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Werder Bremen 24.11.2012 D1 VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 Werder Bremen 28.04.2012 D1 VfL Wolfsburg 3-1 Werder Bremen 10.12.2011 D1 Werder Bremen 4-1 VfL Wolfsburg 29.04.2011 D1 Werder Bremen 0-1 VfL Wolfsburg LEAGUE POSITION HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT HOME FORM RECENT FORM OVERALL GOAL TRENDS STREAKS AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT AWAY FORM RECENT OVERALL FORM GOAL TRENDS STREAKS CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 545pm - ADO Den Haag v Twente - 1.49 away HEAD TO HEADS 13.04.2013 D1 ADO Den Haag 1-3 FC Twente 01.12.2012 D1 FC Twente 2-0 ADO Den Haag 24.03.2012 D1 ADO Den Haag 1-1 FC Twente 18.09.2011 D1 FC Twente 5-2 ADO Den Haag 22.04.2011 D1 ADO Den Haag 1-2 FC Twente 24.10.2010 D1 FC Twente 3-2 ADO Den Haag LEAGUE POSITION HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT HOME FORM RECENT FORM OVERALL GOAL TRENDS STREAKS AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team RECENT AWAY FORM RECENT OVERALL FORM GOAL TRENDS STREAKS CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 6pm - Sturm Graz v Admira Wacker - 1.53 home 7pm - Eupen v Vise - 1.29 home 720pm - Palmeiras v Sao Caetano - 1.36 home 745pm - Ajax v Waalwijk - 1.21 home HEAD TO HEADS 13.07.2013 CF RKC Waalwijk 1-5 AFC Ajax 17.02.2013 D1 RKC Waalwijk 0-2 AFC Ajax 15.09.2012 D1 AFC Ajax 2-0 RKC Waalwijk 11.03.2012 D1 AFC Ajax 3-0 RKC Waalwijk 11.12.2011 D1 RKC Waalwijk 0-1 AFC Ajax 03.03.2011 Cup AFC Ajax 5-1 RKC Waalwijk LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 17th HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - ajax RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWW scoring 2+ RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDWLWWD - defeats v 2nd and 8th, PSV and AZ. GOAL TRENDS - 100% overs home. 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 HT scorelines. Strong over 2.5 goals. STREAKS - 5 wins at home AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Waal RECENT AWAY FORM - DDLLL - 0-0 away to Twente.Scored and conceded in the other . RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLLLLLL - Scored and conceded in all bar the top match.3 0-0 HT all season. Have not led at HT away this season. Opponents all scored first in Away matches GOAL TRENDS - 90% overs away. STREAKS - scored and cocneded last 9. No win in 8 overall. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 745pm - Inter v Verona - 1.48 home HEAD TO HEADS 18.12.2012 Cup Inter Milano 2-0 Hellas Verona 17.02.2002 D1 Hellas Verona 0-3 Inter Milano 19.12.2001 D1 Inter Milano 3-0 Hellas Verona 11.03.2001 D1 Inter Milano 2-0 Hellas Verona 05.11.2000 D1 Hellas Verona 2-2 Inter Milano LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 4th HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Inter RECENT HOME FORM - WDWL - recent loss to Roma 0-3.LD v 1st and 3rd, playing 4th RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDWWDLD - no win in 3, conceding 1-3-3 in those matches. GOAL TRENDS - fts only 1 this seaosn. conceded last 4.50% overs at home. conceded last 3 at home. Scored all 5 home goals last 1/2 hour. 3 haftime 0-0's STREAKS - conceded in last 3 home and last 4 overall. AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - hellas RECENT AWAY FORM - LLDW - 3-2-2-1 conceded away. RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLWLDWWW - have scored and conceded last 5 GOAL TRENDS - failed to score only 1 this season/ clean sheet in only 1 this season.100% overs away from home. No clean sheets away. STREAKS - have conceded last 4 away , scored last 6 overarll, conceded last 5 overall. CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

                  Wednesday, 23 October 2013

                  DRT bulletin 24th October 2013 Europa League Football.

                  I will be very choosy with my matches this evening. The Europa League has a reputation for being a quite unreadable competition as some of the more obscure European clubs enter the fray. My focus with research will be towards recognisable teams from strong European leagues. My second focus will be odds based. I will look firstly at home team favourites . 5pm - Anzhi Makhachkala v Tromso - 1.56 home - Russia v Norway. 2 teams in poor form at the moment. Anzhi are not the force they once were with no money now. No win for Anzhi in 18 matches is a real concern. DDLLDLL at home for Anzhi and they have failed to score in their last 2 at home. DDLDL in the EL recently. Failed to score in last 4. 0-2 home loss to Spurs most recent result in EL for Anzhi. Tromso are a Norwegian team who have only 1 win in their last 6 matches. That win was a 4-3 domestically. 3-0 loss to Spurs and 1-1 home draw with Sheriff was a tad unlucky as they were 1-0 up until the 87th minute.Tromso have only scored 1 in 3 EL matches. A dire match . 2 poorly out of form teams and a shaky home team. 5pm - Shakhter Karagandy v AZ Alkmaar - 2.02 away - beat CEltic at home. PAOK and AZ are leading group L Shakter are on a dire run and that 2.02 for AZ could look quite big. DLLLLDLLDWL Utterly dominant domestically and at home albeit DLDW recently 2-1 away loss and 2-2 home draw in group stages so far after being dumped out by Celtic from CL. All 4 goals conceded 2nd half and 3 conceded 75th+ minute. Shakter set out to frustrate? 2-2 sole recent home EL match. Bit of inconsistentcy for AZ lately. WWLDWDLWHave scored and conceded in last 5 matches. No draw in 12 away in all competitions. Have conceded in 6 of last 7 0-1 away win v Maccaibi and 1-1 home draw v PAOK, AZ suddenly goal shy in El 71st and 81st minute goals. So with Shakter's ability to keep teams out, but eventually concede, there is an argument for a concerted period of 0-0 which we can lay late on? 6pm - Apollon L. v Lazio - 1.79 away from home. 6pm - Betis v Guimaraes - 1.58 home - Spain v Portugal and a perception that the Spanish league is the strongest. Only 1 win in 7 for Betis was a 1-0 home to Villareal. 0-0-1-0-1-1-1 scored recently.Better opponents? Only 2 defeats for Betis at home in 2013 both 1-2 defeats 0-0-1-1 scored last 4 matches. WWDD last 4 EL matches.0-0 home draw v Lyon and 1-1 away draw v Rijeka. Guimaraes are top of group i in what is a very tight group. WWLLDWLW in rececnt matches for Guim. 0-0-1-1-1-3 scored recently. 3 scored in Portugeuse cup. Yes they have played likes of Porto, Benfica, Lyon so obviously these better sides impact Guim's attack LDWLDLW away in reccent matches - inconsistent. 4-0 home win v Rijeka and 1-1 away draw v Lyon in EL group.Have played Sevilla and Atl Madrid in the El, and lost to these Spanish sides. Another EL imponderable. Betis another home side in poor domestic form yet, like Anzhi and Dinamo below, very short priced favourites. 6pm - Dinamo Kiev v Thun - 1.46 home - Ukraine v Swiss team. In stark contrast to Anzhi and co. Kiev are in good form. WWDDWW in last 6, scoring 3-2-2-9-2 in last 5. 3 consecutive wins at home. in all competitions. Not the best record in the EL, LDDDLWWLD . Kiev are actually 3rd after 2 matches in group g. Kiev have an excellent record in the EL at home.with only one loss since 2002, which was a 0-1 at home to Genk last match. 2-2 draw when 0-2 up against Rapid vienna is poor in the EL. LLDLDW for Thun in recent matches. 1-0-1-1-1-1 scored in those matches, hence the win was 1-0. Only 1 win in 6 aways for Thun. Thun have not had a draw last 10 EL. WWWWLWWL in recent matches. A 1-0 home win v Rapid Vienna and a 2-1 away loss v Genk. Thun lost away to genk as I say, and they have had 2 away losses. Thun don't tend to score more than 1 in their recent matches which is a concern. 6pm - Freiburg v Estoril - 1.89 home 6pm - Genk v Rapid Vienna - 1.75 home 6pm - Lyon v Rijeka - 1.51 home - Lyon are 2nd in Group I and Rijeka are bottom. Like Anzhi, we have a short priced team here who really are in bad overall form. LLLLDDWLDDLD 1-0-1-1-1 scored in their last 5 matches. LLDWDDD at home recently. Just as in all competitions it's DDD last 3 EL matchs. 0-0 and 1-1. Rijeka are a Croatian team. They seem dominant locally as their only 2 losses were 4-0 away v Guimaraes and 1-0 away to Zagreb. Trouble scoring in this comeptition against better opponents. That might continue, or will Lyon's drawitis strike again. 6pm - PAOK v Maccabi Haifa - 1.9 home 6pm - Sheriff Tiraspol v Tottenham - 1.36 away - Spurs are top of Group K with 2 wins in 2 matches.Moldovan Sheriff should be no match for Spurs. Only 1 win in 12 EL matches for Sheriff and 7 draws in their last 10 might signal slight concerns for Spurs. A 0-0 at home v Anzhi. 6pm - Slovan Liberec v Sevilla - 2.12 away 6pm - Trabzonspor v Legia Warsaw - 1.85 home 805pm - Bordeaux v APOEL - 2.06 home 805pm - Chernomorets Odesa v Ludogorets - 2.24 home 805pm - Dinamo Zagreb v PSV - 2.1 away 805pm - Eintracht Frankfurt v Maccabi Tel Aviv - 1.58 home - Germany v Israel. The 2 leaders in Group 4, 1st and 2nd Only 3 defeats for EF since April 2013, 2 v Dort and Bayern. 4 score draws in last 6 so not finishing matches off. In last 3 score draws, they have conceded 1 goal in 85th+ minute. This must be addressed as they are dropping 2 points in the last 5 mins of matches. Only Bayern (0-1) and Dortmund (1-2) have beaten EF at home since April 2013. 2 draws at home last 2 matches. WWWW so far 2013 EL matches, 3-0 v Bordeaux and 3-0 v Apoel . Maccaibi really struggle in the El LLDLLLDDW -win against an obviously out of sorts Bordeaux side saw goals in 71st and 80th minute. Historically have lost plenty away in El, conceding 2+ goals. I think if Frankfurt are up for this match, they could win easily. They have only really been beaten by the cream in Germany in Dortmund and Bayern and only then in very tight matches. Beware late goal action. Frankfurt's unhealthy habit of conceding after 85th+ minute and Maccaibi's 71st+ minute 2 goals last time out. 805pm - Elfsborg v Esbjerg - 2.22 home 805pm - Fiorentina v Pandurii - 1.36 home - coming off the back of a miraculous 4-2 home win, when 0-2 down at HT v Juventus, Fior must be buzzing.Mario Gomez out for Fior but Rossi doing a superb job. This group e clash sees top v bottom. Only 2 defeats this season, both tight 1-0 and 2-1( Inter). Only 2 defeats at home since Jan 2013 were both 1-0 v Roma and Grasshopper. Have scored 3-2-4 last 3 home matches. 3-0 home win v Pacos and 1-2 away win v Dnipro so far in the group. Pandurii are a Romanian side, 4th in their league Only 1 defeat last 9 aways. 1-1 away at Pacos in the group stages so far. 805pm - Pacos Ferreira v Dnipro - 1.84 away 805pm - Red Bull Salzburg v Standard - 1.51 home - Salzburg head the group with Standard bottom on 1 point. A slight surprise that as Standard been domestivally good, Only 1 defeat since May 2013 was in the Cl v fener.Unbeaten in the domestic league in 31 matches. Only 2 defeats at home since April 2012 is excellent. Only 1 draw since July 2011 for RB in the El. 4 cosnecutive wins in El conceding only 1. Group C 4-0 home v Elfsborg and 1-2 away v esjberg DLD last 3 for Standard ended a run of 17 wins in 18. WWWDWWWWWWWWWWWDL away form in all competitions. WWWWWWLD latest in EL, scoring and conceding in 7 of last 8. 1-2 home loss to Esjberg very unlucky ( 90th min) and 1-1 away draw v Elfsborg ( 1-0 down ). Vulnerable to conceding a goal, but an ability to score. That away record must account for something too, albeit ending DL latest. REd Bull have the winning thread here. 805pm - Swansea v Kuban Krasnodar - 1.5 home - only 2 draws for Swans since May 2013, one was a 2-2 suggests laying the draw a success. Only losses at home in last 7 were against United and arsenal. Last 2 wins clean sheets v St Gallen and Sunderland/ Pretty solid in EL. Only loss v Petrolul but that was 2nd leg after a 5-1 home win. Suggestion tight defence. Ignoring that 2nd leg, Swans conceded 0-0-1-0-0 in this EL campaign Russian side Kuban 11th in league. Really poor recent form. DLLLLWLLDL. Failed to score in 5 of those 8 matches. DLLLL last 5 aways Failed to score in 4 of them Lost to St Gallen and Valencia 2-0 without scoring. With swans very good defensive record, it could be a win to nil for the home side. 805pm - Valencia v St Gallen - 1.43 home - Spain v Swiss. Both sides 3 points behind Swansea who have a winnable home match. This is an important match therefore for 2nd and 3rd to take points from nearest rivals. Only 2 draws for Val since April 2013. DL last 2 matches. No draws last 13 matches at home. LLWWL last 5.Losses v Barca, Swans and Real Sociedad. LLLW last 4 EL matches, lost to Swansea and beat Kuban 0-2 Have failed to score in last 2 home EL matches. End today? Only 2 defeats for St gallen since July 2013 in all competitions. Away to Swans and BaselHave scored 0-1-0-1-0 in last 5 matches 2-0 home win v Kuban and 1-0 away loss to Swansea. That promising loss ( as Valencia lost 0-3 at home to Swans) could see St gallen surprise defensively this evening? 805pm - Wigan v Rubin Kazan - 2.34 away - this group d clash sees 2nd at home to 1st. Only 1 draw for Wigan in 9 (0-0). DDWWWW at home could count for something ( the winning groove). Have scored 2-2-2-2-3-2 0-0 away to Zulte and 3-1 home win v Maribor so far. Zulte are renowned goalscorers so shutting them out was some feat. Rubin, 10th in russian league after 13 matches. LDLWWL recently. Have lost their alst 2 aways 9 consecutive wins in the El scoring 3-3-1-2-2-2-3-5-4 and with 3 clean sheets last 4. 3-2-2-5 scored last 4 aways -could just score more goals than Wigan? 805pm - Zulte-Waregem v NK Maribor