shorties for drt

1pm - FC Midtjylland v Silkeborg  - 1.48 home

130pm - NEC Nijmegen v Den Bosch  - 1.55 home

130pm - QPR v Liverpool  - 1.59 away

130pm - Sparta Rotterdam v VVV  - 1.67 home

2pm - CS Uni Craiova v Concordia Chiajna  - 1.64 home

2pm - Panathinaikos v OFI  - 1.37 home

230pm - AGF v Vendsyssel FF  - 1.52 home

230pm - Stromsgodset v Lillestrom 1 - 1.61 home

3pm - Coimbroes v Rio Ave   - 1.38 away

3pm - Freamunde v Felgueiras  - 1.53 home

3pm - Maritimo v Gondomar  - 1.17 home

3pm - Nacional v Alcanenense  - 1.23 home

3pm - Santa Maria v Academica  - 1.38 away

4pm - Brondby v FC Vestsjaelland  - 1.65 home

4pm - Moreirense v Pedras Rubras  - 1.27 home

430pm - Brommapojkarna v AIK  - 1.26 away

5pm - Besiktas v Sivasspor  - 1.65 home

5pm - Mjondalen v Nest-Sotra  - 1.32 home

5pm - Odd v Bodo Glimt  - 1.5 home

530pm - Dnipro v Chernomorets Odesa  - 1.45 home

7pm - Rosenborg v Valerenga  - 1.57 home

7pm - Steaua Bucharest v Uni Cluj  - 1.23 home

8pm - San Jose v Sport Boys (Bol)  - 1.14 home

8pm - Villarreal v Almeria  - 1.37 home

shorties saturday

230pm - FC Koln v B Munich  - 1.39 away

230pm - Freiburg v Leverkusen  - 1.84 away

230pm - Molde v Bodo Glimt  - 1.27 home

3pm - Arbroath v Elgin  - 1.68 home

3pm - Ayr v Airdrieonians  - 1.66 home

3pm - Blackpool v Norwich  - 1.76 away

3pm - Botev Plovdiv v Lokomotiv Plovdiv  - 1.48 home

3pm - Chelsea v Aston Villa  - 1.24 home

3pm - Hull v Man City  - 1.57 away

3pm - Man Utd v West Ham  - 1.39 home

3pm - Slaven Belupo v Dinamo Zagreb  - 1.26 away

3pm - Southampton v QPR  - 1.53 home

3pm - Telford v Torquay  - 1.66 away

3pm - Villarreal v Real Madrid  - 1.77 away

3pm - Volyn v Dnipro  - 1.61 away

3pm - Zenit St Petersburg v Spartak Moscow  - 1.6 home

445pm - Grasshoppers Zurich v Aarau  - 1.7 home

5pm - Barcelona v Granada  - 1.14 home

5pm - Roma v Verona  - 1.36 home

5pm - Stromsgodset v Viking  - 1.67 home

5pm - Trans Narva v Sillamae Kalev  - 1.11 away

530pm - Karpaty v Dinamo Kiev  - 1.42 away

530pm - Wolfsburg v W Bremen  - 1.51 home

6pm - Besiktas v Eskisehirspor  - 1.67 home

6pm - Rijeka v NK Zagreb  - 1.2 home

7pm - FC Basel v Thun  - 1.63 home

7pm - Lille v SC Bastia  - 1.69 home

730pm - Legia Warsaw v Lech Poznan  - 1.68 home

745pm - Atalanta v Juventus  - 1.57 away

745pm - Cobh Ramblers v Galway FC  - 1.27 away

9pm - Ath Bilbao v Eibar  - 1.66 home

9pm - Seattle v Chivas USA  - 1.25 home

the shorties 24th September 2014

1130am - FC Seoul v Gyeongnam  - 1.58 home

12pm - FK Obod Tashkent v Gallakor-Avtomobilchi  - 1.08 home

12pm - Khimik Dzerzhinsk v CSKA Moscow  - 1.35 away

1230pm - Balcova v Balikesirspor  - 1.27 away

1pm - Sibir v Lokomotiv  - 1.62 away

2pm - ESMTK v Ferencvaros  - 1.1 away

2pm - Targoviste v FC Brasov  - 1.44 away

2pm - Viitorul Axintele v CFR Cluj  - 1.2 away

230pm - NK Ponikve v Dinamo Zagreb  - 1.07 away

230pm - NK Vuteks Sloga v Osijek  - 1.11 away

230pm - Opatija v NK Zagreb  - 1.07 away

230pm - Slavonija v Istra  - 1.4 away

230pm - Xanthi v Niki Volou  - 1.56 home

3pm - Frankfurt (W) v SC Sand (W)  - 1.05 home

3pm - Ostrovia v Ruch Chorzow  - 1.44 away

3pm - Shakhter Soligorsk v Gorodeya  - 1.25 home

3pm - Stal Stalowa Wola v Lechia Gdansk  - 1.52 away

330pm - Aarhus Fremad v Fredericia  - 1.42 away

330pm - Esbjerg IF 92 v Sonderjyske  - 1.03 away

330pm - MAS Taborsko v Plzen  - 1.28 away

4pm - AFC v Excelsior  - 1.22 away

4pm - Ajman Club v Al Ain  - 1.56 away

4pm - Anzhi Makhachkala v Zenit St Petersburg  - 1.46 away

4pm - HBS v Heracles  - 1.22 away

430pm - Kaiserslautern v Union Berlin  - 1.6 home

430pm - Unirea Jocu v Petrolul Ploiesti  - 1.36 away

445pm - Miedz Legnica v Legia Warsaw  - 1.54 away

5pm - Bronshoj v OB  - 1.5 away

5pm - Daugava Riga v Ventspils  - 1.57 away

5pm - Mezokovesd-Zsory v Gyori  - 1.61 away

5pm - SV Wallern v Rapid Vienna  - 1.12 away

5pm - Wisla Plock v GKS Tychy  - 1.92 home

530pm - FC Kitzbuhel v Austria Vienna  - 1.12 away

530pm - SC Egedal v FC Nordsjaelland  - 1.07 away

545pm - Varbergs BoIS v Hammarby  - 1.74 away

6pm - AB Tarnby v AB  - 1.4 away

6pm - Arminia Bielefeld v Stuttgart II  - 1.67 home

6pm - Djurgardens v Falkenbergs  - 1.52 home

6pm - Elfsborg v Gefle  - 1.33 home

6pm - Helsingborgs v Brommapojkarna  - 1.24 home

6pm - Lyon v Lorient  - 1.72 home

630pm - Fortuna Poiana Campina v Dinamo Bucharest  - 1.49 away

645pm - FC Zurich v Aarau  - 1.48 home

7pm - Almeria v Atl Madrid  - 1.69 away

7pm - Barendrecht v Groningen  - 1.39 away

7pm - De Treffers v Telstar  - 1.57 away

7pm - Dortmund v Stuttgart  - 1.42 home

7pm - EVV v Az Alkmaar  - 1.15 away

7pm - Genk v RC Mechelen  - 1.47 home

7pm - Leverkusen v Augsburg  - 1.62 home

7pm - Lokeren v Sint-Eloois-Winkel  - 1.16 home

7pm - Mgladbach v Hamburg  - 1.77 home

7pm - Olsa Brakel v Westerlo  - 1.51 away

7pm - Sint-Gillis Waas v Cercle Brugge  - 1.34 away

7pm - Stabaek v Molde  - 1.58 away

7pm - Zwolle v FC Oss  - 1.32 home

715pm - Celtic v Hearts  - 1.31 home

730pm - Charleroi v Eupen  - 1.68 home

730pm - Club Brugge v Eendracht Aalst  - 1.2 home

730pm - Dessel Sport v KV Mechelen  - 1.51 away

730pm - Patro Eisden v Anderlecht  - 1.15 away

730pm - UR Namur v Gent  - 1.05 away

730pm - Wiener SK v Red Bull Salzburg  - 1.1 away

730pm - Woluwe-Zaventem v Oostende  - 1.64 away

745pm - Chelsea v Bolton  - 1.2 home

745pm - Dundee Utd v Dundee  - 1.76 home

745pm - Fiorentina v Sassuolo  - 1.48 home

745pm - Go Ahead Eagles v Feyenoord  - 1.72 away

745pm - Inter v Atalanta  - 1.51 home

745pm - Juventus v Cesena  - 1.15 home

745pm - Lech Poznan v Wisla Krakow  - 1.46 home

745pm - Man City v Sheff Wed  - 1.28 home

745pm - Napoli v Palermo  - 1.43 home

745pm - Tottenham v Nottm Forest  - 1.62 home

8pm - Caen v Paris St-G  - 1.67 away

9pm - Granada v Levante  - 1.72 home

9pm - Malaga v Barcelona  - 1.39 away

21st Sep the shorties

9am - South Korea (W) v Maldives (W)  - South Korea unbackable

1030am - CSKA Moscow v Lokomotiv  - 1.83 home

11am - Sociedad v Almeria  - 1.51 home

12pm - Ventspils v FS METTA LU  - 1.12 home

1230pm - Hertha Berlin II v Germania Halberstadt  - 1.63 home

130pm - Leicester v Man Utd  - 1.68 away

130pm - PSV v Cambuur  - 1.45 home

130pm - Tottenham v West Brom  - 1.54 home

2pm - AIK v Halmstads  - 1.53 home

2pm - Asteras Tripolis v AEL Kalloni  - 1.76 home

2pm -Mjallby v Elfsborg  - 1.79 away

2pm - Roma v Cagliari  - 1.34 home

245pm - Plzen v Banik Ostrava  - 1.33 home

3pm - Celtic v Motherwell  - 1.28 home

3pm - FK Radnicki v Partizan Belgrade  - 1.41 away

3pm - Shakhtar v Zorya  - 1.15 home

330pm - Red Bull Salzburg v Austria Vienna  - 1.34 home

4pm - Assyriska v Husqvarna  - 1.63 home

4pm - Everton v C Palace  - 1.43 home

4pm - Monaco v Guingamp  - 1.65 home

4pm - Sparta Prague v Hradec Kralove  - 1.21 home

4pm - Sundsvall v Varnamo  - 1.5 home

4pm - Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano  - 1.61 home

430pm - Astra Giurgiu v Pandurii  - 1.83 home

430pm - HJK Helsinki v IFK Mariehamn  - 1.5 home

430pm - Malmo FF v Helsingborgs  - 1.63 home

5pm - Benfica v Moreirense  - 1.25 home

5pm - Club Brugge v KV Kortrijk  - 1.44 home

5pm - Hafnarfjordur v Fram  - 1.21 home

5pm - KR Reykjavik v IBV  - 1.48 home

5pm - Valur v Thor  - 1.47 home

520pm - Hammarby v Syrianska FC  - 1.28 home

530pm - Debrecen v Kecskemeti TE  - 1.38 home

6pm - Fenerbahce v Gaziantepspor  - 1.37 home

6pm - Gil Vicente v Sp Lisbon  - 1.54 away

8pm - Levante v Barcelona  - 1.19 away

8pm - Paris St-G v Lyon  - 1.35 home

8pm - Toronto FC v Chivas USA  - 1.44 home

815pm - Porto v Boavista  - 1.13 home

20th september 2014 the shorties

11am - Nomme Kalju v Paide Linnameeskond  -1.07 home

11am - Tomsk v Sibir  - 1.36 home

1130am - Rostov v Zenit St Petersburg  - 1.42 away

1pm - Viktoria Koln v FC Hennef  - 1.13 home

230pm - Hamburg v B Munich  - 1.3 away

3pm - Alloa v Rangers  - 1.27 away

3pm - Brighton v Blackpool  - 1.56 home

3pm - Brommapojkarna v Hacken  - 1.48 away

3pm - Deportivo v Real Madrid  - 1.29 away

3pm - Hearts v Cowdenbeath  - 1.31 home

3pm - Leiknir R v Tindastoll  - 1.07 home

3pm - MK Dons v Crewe  - 1.5 home

3pm - Marek Dupnitsa v Botev Plovdiv  - 1.65 away

3pm - Norwich v Birmingham  - 1.49 home

3pm - Portadown v Ballinamallard Utd  - 1.41 home

3pm - Wolves v Bolton  - 1.72 home

330pm - Roda JC v Jong Ajax  - 1.57 home

4pm - FK Jablonec v Ceske Budejovice  - 1.34 home

4pm - Marseille v Rennes  - 1.64 home

430pm - FK Senica v Podbrezova  - 1.61 home

430pm - Otelul Galati v CFR Cluj  - 1.56 away

5pm - Ath Bilbao v Granada  - 1.52 home

5pm - Barcelona B v Llagostera  - 1.65 home

5pm - CSKA Sofia v Lokomotiv Sofia  - 1.38 home

530pm - Haladas v Videoton  - 1.47 away

530pm - MTK Budapest v Dunaujvaros  - 1.41 away

530pm - Mainz v Dortmund  - 1.65 away

6pm - Balikesirspor v Galatasaray  - 1.49 away

630pm - Olympiakos v Veria  - 1.15 home

645pm - NEC Nijmegen v Emmen  - 1.41 home

7pm - Anderlecht v Cercle Brugge  - 1.2 homr

7pm - Atl Madrid v Celta Vigo  - 1.53 home

7pm - Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Heist  - 1.25 home

730pm - Lech Poznan v Zawisza Bydgoszcz  - 1.51 home

730pm - Longford v Cobh Ramblers  - 1.16 home

745pm - Galway FC v Finn Harps  - 1.59 home

810pm - Ponte Preta v Oeste  - 1.49 home

14th September 2014

14th September 2014

10:30 UK Spartak Moscow   v   Torpedo Moscow - 1.36 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities





13:00 UK Lille   v   Nantes - 1.7 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities





13:30 UK Vitesse   v   Excelsior - 1.36 home
Standout stats

• no 2013/ 2014 head to heads suggest Excelsior are newly promoted
• this is the dutch eredivisie and is only 4 matches old
• This is 17th v 6th so Vitesse are having a terrible start to the season.

Vitesse

• no win in 13 Eredivisie matches and you want me to back Vitesse at 1.36? Would you also like me to fetch you a bucket of steam?
• LDLL ( L=Loss, D=Draw) this season . Vitesse have played Ajax and PSV amongst the 4 teams.
• no win in 6 home matches sees 4 score draws.  So near to a win with Cambuur this season with a 2-1 lead being stolen with a draw at the end.

Excelsior

• draw , 2 wins and a loss this season is a good start. Yet to meet any of the marque teams though
• A loss and a draw so far away might signal vulnerability away but the sample is small.

profitable in-play opportunities

• a match to watch and react to in-play . We need to see an improvement in an off-the-boil Vitesse side . Do note that Excelsior's form may be a false dawn as they are yet to meet the established top 5 dutch sides yet. Vitesse so nearly won their last home match so I think a win is near ( and much needed)
• Both teams to score? It might be worth it as 6 of these 2 teams's 8 matches in total have seen both teams scoring.

14:00 UK Fiorentina   v   Genoa - 1.6 home
Standout stats

• 3-2 Fiorentina, 2-5 Fiorentina, and 3-3 in head to heads recently
• only 1 match for these 2 this season, Fiorentina losing to Roma 2-0 and Genoa losing to Napoli 1-2

Fiorentina

• only 2 wins in 8 matches at home in Seria A

Genoa

• only 2 wins in 13 matches in Seria A
• only 3 away wins in 21 Seria A matches

profitable in-play opportunities

• cannot get too indepth with 1 match played this season. What strikes me? Genoa's dire away record from the end of last season. Surely advantage the home side today therefore?
• Match odds - such is the goals tally between these 2 , we could lay any side who take a 2-0 lead 
• Halftime/Score - based solely on head to heads, if this is goal heaven again today, then surely we can lay the 0-0 halftime score?

14:00 UK Halmstads BK   v   Mjallby - 1.75 home
Standout stats

• Halmstads have won the last 2 home head to heads 1-0. It seems that the home team benefits in this match.
• This is the Swedish Allsvenskan and features 9th v 15th of 16

Halmstads

• have scored in their last 7 and conceded in their last 12 matches overall.
• have scored in their last 9 at home and conceded in their last 6 at home.
• only 2 defeats in 11 matches is good form.
• have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches
• only 2 clean sheets this season
• have failed to score in only 2 of their last 18 matches
• good form v bottom 6 at home 
• both teams score in 73% of matches this season
• 5 0-0's at halftime at home is quite high

Mjallby

• have conceded in their last 6 matches and last 5 away matches
• only 1 away win was v bottom side
• have not scored more than a single goal in an away game
• only 3 clean sheets all season
• have conceded 16 of their 21 away conceded goals in the 2nd half.

profitable in-play opportunities

• match Odds - both sides are leaky so if Mjallby score first, lay them. Both sides have terrible clean sheets stats so either side could open the scoring and then concede
• Halftime/Score - both sides have quite high 0-0 halftime stats - it's literally 50/50 whether it will be 0-0 at halftime. fear not sa Mjallby start conceding bucket loads 2nd half
• Both teams to score - gets a resounding thumbs up here looking at the stats

14 Sep 14:00 UK Inter Milan   v   Sassuolo  - 1.5 home
Standout stats

• 2 head to heads and 2 wins for Inter Milan to nil 

Inter Milan

• A 0-0 this season so far v Torino.
• only 1 loss in their last 15 home matches but note - 8 draws in those matches. This is not the Inter Milan we know.

Sassuolo

• A 1-1 this season saw Sassuolo score first at home v cagliari.
• have scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches
• only 4 wins in 19 Seria A away matches, but 3 wins in their last 4 aways.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Inter Milan should logically win today. Little to go on . Inter Milan have had a recent poor habit of drawing at home. So if Sassuolo score first, lay them first. 
• Correct score - can Inter Milan collect another win to nil? If you think so, then it's good to have a correct score punt. 

14 Sep 14:00 UK Lazio   v   Cesena  - 1.33 home
Standout stats

• Cesena are back in Seria A after a season in Seria B
• only 1 match played in Seria A this season
• Last season Lazio only lost 3 home matches. They only won 2 home matches against the top 11 sides but beat all teams 12th and lower bar 1. My assumption is that Cesena may be a bottom half side and consequently vulnerable 
• Lazio lost 3-1 to Milan and Cesena won 1-0 v Parma in their opening matches this season

profitable in-play opportunities

• little to go on so early in the season.
• Match Odds - based strictly on assumption ( which can bite you on the ass , especially regarding newly promoted sides), it seems Lazio have a good record at home to likely bottom 1/2 sides. Should Cesena take the lead, they I would expect Lazio to equalise and push on. 2/3 goals expected from them today.

14 Sep 14:00 UK Napoli   v   Chievo  - 1.4 home
Standout stats

• Chievo, Napoli, Draw in head to heads doesn't help unravel this match, neither does the fact that Seria A is only 1 match old, so do note that .
• Napoli have a Europa league match next week. I personally feel that they are a Champions League side and not a Europa League side so I don't see this impending lesser european competition impacting performance today 

napoli

• only 3 losses since December 2013 in Seria A is impressive stuff
• So far this season, a lucky 1-2 away win v Genoa saw a 90th minute winner
• only 2 defeats at home since january 2013 were 0-1 losses. Should be tough to beat in all home matches.

Chievo

• no draw in 18 matches in Seria A saw 12 defeats.
• A 0-1 loss to Juventus on the opening day was down to an own goal.
• only 4 wins in 20 away matches. Yes, did win 2 of their last 3 aways at the back end of last season but probability is for only 1 win in every 5 away matches
• 3-3-3-3-3-2-2-0 conceded in away matches at the end of last season.

profitable in-play opportunities

• tough to call as we are only 1 match in. I see a tough to beat home team playing a tough-to-win-away away team .
• What do we make of Chievo's good display against Juventus? Only an own goal defated them. It's only 1 match, it was the first match of the season and may have just been 1st match motivation that had Chievo fired up for the opening match..  favour napoli or just join me at the live chat and see how the match plays out?

14 Sep 15:30 UK Wolfsberger   v   Salzburg - 1.44 away
Standout stats

• Champions league curse for Salzburg? Live chatters saw them crash and burn last time they played but a DRT profit was realisable.
• 5-0 and 6-0 in head to heads recently for Salzburg but Wolfsberger did win the last head to head, albeit on the 11th May. Dead rubber for already title winning Salzburg?

Wolfsberger

• 7 consecutive Bundesliga wins ended with a 0-1 home loss this season
• only 1 draw in 14 matches at home. 3 home wins in their last 4 included that 2-0 win against Salzburg

Salzburg

• Champions League curse to strike or back to winning ways after shock defeat latest?
• 1.44 is untypically big for Salzburg.
• 6 consecutive wins ended with that 2-3 defeat to Sturm Graz.
• 3 consecutive away wins,all to nil

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - Salzburg were reliable DRT candidates after Sturm Graz went 0-2 up.Red Bull levelled the match at 2-2 before Sturm got a late winner. Same again today please if Wolfsberger score first! Lay any late draw here
• Champions League curse potentially scuppers any other angles in for me so join me in the live chat.

230pm - Eintracht Frankfurt v Augsburg  - 2.32 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






230pm - Gornik Zabrze v Piast Gliwice  - 1.83 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






3pm - FC Zurich v Sion  - 1.64 home
Standout stats

• Draw, Zurich, Zurich, Sion in head to heads, the last 2 were 1-0 wins to each side.
• This is the Swiss Super league and it is 7 matches old. It's a league of only 10 teams so an air of familiarity about these teams ?

FC Zurich

• solid home form, albeit 3 matches, but 3 wins 
• Scored in all matches this season
• have conceded in 5 matches

Sion

• 2 wins this season were both 1-0 and at home.
• DLDL ( D=Draw, L=Loss) away from home. 
• Only the last 2 matches have been over 2.5 goals.

Profitable in-play opportunities

• limited matches to go on but a pattern of solidity for FC Zurich at home is backed up by their odds today. Sion are yet to win away and when they have won ( at home) , the wins were only 1-0
• Favour the home side today therefore

3pm - Ljungskile v Assyriska  - 1.56 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities









14 Sep 16:00 UK Man Utd   v   QPR  - 1.28 home
Standout stats

• no Champions League distractions here!
• United tend to beat QPR when they meet.
• Blind, Falcao, di Maria are part of the new comers to United. IF they gel, they win today. As with Moyes last season, the inevitable United win will arrive, and it seems so today.

man Utd

• LDD ( L=Loss, D=Draw) this season.This is part of a run of 4 matches without a win in the Premiership.
• It used to be that United did not have consecutive defeats at home but that occured twice last season. Surely not again this season?

QPR

• had a dire 2013 in the Premiership.So far this season, QPR have lost 2 matches to Hull and Spurs and beat Sunderland 1-0
• only 2 away wins in the Premiership last time QPR were there.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - all instincts tell us to lay Manchester United at odds on during this transitional stage, but this represents an ideal opportunity for them to record their first win of the season ( famous last words) and that should be the angle into this match should 'Arry do a number on them again!

4pm - Maritimo v Penafiel  - 1.62 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






4pm - Skonto Riga v Metalurgs Liepaja  - 1.38 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






14 Sep 16:00 UK Valencia   v   Espanyol  - 1.61 home
Standout stats

• both teams have scored in 5 of the last 6 head to heads .
• valencia have scored 2 goals in the last 3 home head to heads and remain unbeaten

Valencia

• 1-1 draw and 3-0 win for valencia this season 
• only 3 defeats in their last 14 home matches straddling last season
• the most recent Valencia wins at home have seen them score at least 2 goals.

Espanyol

• A draw ( 90th minute Espanyol equaliser) and a 1-2 loss at home to Sevilla so far this season. This continues a terrible la Liga run of 10 matches without a win, and 3 draws in those matches.
• only 3 wins in their last 18 away matches

profitable in-play opportunities

• Espanyol are in very very poor form away from home , straddling last season and this and are unlikely to land a blow today. 
• match Odds - If Espanyol happen to score first, I think we can back Valencia to equalise and score 2+ goals again as they tend to in their wins.
• as with Seria A, we are still very early in the season. Research will be fuller once we have some matches under our belts.

415pm - Atromitos v Panaitolikos  - 1.6 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






430pm - FC Viikingit v FC Jazz  - 1.56 away
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






430pm - RoPS v Honka  - 1.66 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






14 Sep 16:30 UK Djurgarden   v   Atvidaberg  - 1.55 home
Standout stats

• Atvitaberg are unbeaten at home in head to heads. There have only been 2 head to heads at Djurgarden, a draw and a win
• Both teams have scored in 7 of their last 8 head to heads
• This is the Swedish Allsvenskan between 7th and 10th

Djurgarden

• scored in their last 5 at home and last 12 overall
• 3 consecutive  match wins to nil
• losses at home have come v the top 4 ( 2 losses)

Atvitabergs

• only 1 away win was v 12th , a 0-1.
• only 3 wins in 11 matches
• only 1 clean sheet in 11 matches came in their last match.
• have never led at halftime away from home

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - home side favoured in head to heads. Will that continue today. If atvitabergs score first, Djurgarden should be able to reply. They have scored in their last 12 matches and Atvitabergs kept only 1 clean sheet in 11 matches
• Halftime. If Atvitabergs score first in the first half, lay them in the halftime market
• Both teams to score - well the head to heads point to it, Djurgarden are expected to score and keep their end of the bargain , it is Atvitabergs for whom there is a question mark.

14 Sep 16:00 UK FK Krasnodar   v   Fc Ufa  - 1.44 home
Standout stats

• this is the Russian Premier League and is 6 matches old.
• Ufa I think are newly promoted

Krasnador

• only 1 loss this season came last match against Dinamo Moscow.
• 4 clean sheets in 6 league matches this season
• only 2 home matches, a 4-0 win and 0-2 loss. Will they really lose a 2nd consecutive home match?

Ufa

• only 1 win this season, a 0-1 away win v Amkar Perm
• 3 of 4 defeats this season saw them fail to score.
• only 1 clean sheet

profitable in-play opportunities

• a very small sample. The market suggests struggles for newly promoted Ufa who have kept only 1 clean sheet. Favour the home side therefore . 
• Krasnador could win to nil, 4 clean sheets in 6 suggests some defensive strengths 

14 Sep 16:30 UK Rovaniemi   v   Honka  - 1.65 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities






14 Sep 17:00 UK Gent   v   Mouscron - 1.7 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities



5pm - Bryne v Alta  - 1.58 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






5pm - Fredrikstad v Strommen  - 1.51 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






5pm - Litex Lovech v Haskovo  - 1.11 home
Standout stats

• this is the Bulgarian A PFG league and is only 7 matches old
• There are no head to heads

Litex Lovech

• 4 wins and a 3-3 draw in their last 5 matches , scoring 2 or 3 goals in each match
• 3 consecutive wins to nil now
• 3 consecutive home wins, scoring 3-2-2

Haskovo

• only 1 win this season and it seems Haskovo are newly promoted but struggling. 5 losses and a 0-0 in their last 6 matches.
• have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches
• 3 away losses, the last 2 saw 3 and 4 goals conceded to nil ( which fits into the Litex Lovech quote of 1.11 today doesn't it?)

Profitable in-play opportunities

• Haskovo seem out of their depth , albeit early on in this higher league. Their recent 2 away losses were 3-0 and 4-0, and as I keep harping on, 1.11 shots tend to score 3/4 and possibly win to nil. Let that be your angle in today.
• Halftime? -Litex Lovech are expected to score at least a goal. Lay the 0-0 halftime score if it's 0-0 for a part of the 1st half.
• Correct score  -3-0, 4-0 for starters

5pm - Mjondalen v Tromsdalen  - 1.26 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities







14 Sep 17:00 UK Guimaraes   v   Porto  - 1.57 away
Standout stats

• 5 wins and a 2-2 draw in head to heads, the wins for Porto
• Porto wins tend to be to nil. Porto were 0-2 up at halftime against Guimaraes last time out ended 2-2

Guimaraes

• unbeaten in 5 league matches and this season, 3 consecutive wins 1-3, 3-0, 3-0 - good form, but a feeling the Portos, Benficas etc are a level higher. 5 1-0 defeats against the top 3 last season so it could be a tight one today

Porto

• 4 wins this season, without conceding. 1-0, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 
• 0-1 the sole away win so far this season

profitable in-play opportunities

• Guimaraes should be a struggle for Porto if last season is anything to go by.
• Match odds - Porto could keep a clean sheet so any goal by Guimaraes should lead to us laying guimaraes if the odds are short enough . I expect Porto to prevail in a tight match
• Correct Score - 0-1 and 0-2 has potential if Porto can keep clean sheets 

14 Sep 17:15 UK Atromitos   v   Panaitolikos  - 1.57 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities

515pm - Betis v Albacete  - 1.54 home
Standout stats

• these 2 last met in 2011
• This is the Spanish Segunda Division and is only 3 matches old.

Betis

• newly relegated and finding this league easier. 2 wins and a loss so far sees both sides scoring.
• 2-3, 2-1, 4-1 loss so far this season
• no draw in 25 matches, albeit straddling their Primera Liga season last season

Albacete

•  Loss, Draw, Draw so far this season and again both sides scoring.
• it looks as if Albacete are newly promoted as they were last in the Segunda division in 2011

Profitable in-play opportunities

• Match odds - the market expects recent Primera betis to dominate today.
• Both teams to score - please note it is a very small sample of 3 matches only but both sides have a 100% record
• Will Betis continue to score 2+ goals?

14 Sep 18:00 UK Molde   v   Lillestrom  - 1.33 home
Standout stats

• This is the Norwegian Eliteserien, 22 matches in, between 1st and 4th 
• Lillestrom did the double in 2013, Molde won the 2014 league encounter 1-2 away

Molde

• one of the inform teams in Europe
• no defeat in 20 matches and have scored in their last 22 matches
• 7 wins in their last 9 matches
• 3 consecutive clean sheets
• unbeaten at home and have only failed to score 2+ goals in 1 home match
• both teams score in 55% of all matches, so 50/50
• only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
• have scored 16 goals at home in each half

Lillestrom

• no defeat in 8 matches
• have won 4 of their last 5.
• 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches
• only 3 away wins though and 5 draws
• did beat 2nd away 0-2
• 6 0-0's at halftime away

profitable in-play opportunities

• match Odds - Molde to continue their unbeaten run? Then lay Lillestrom if Lillestrom score first.
• Halftime/score - incongruous so I will leave it alone. If going by Molde alone, then I'd say , yes, there'd be a goal before halftime, but Lillestrom have had 6 0-0's at halftime away
• Correct score - back 0-0 pre mtch as a highly speculative punt based on the clean sheets of both sides in their most recent matches. It would be a bet to nothing, as Molde have scored 32 home goals.

6pm - Thor v Hafnarfjordur ( FH)  - 1.33 away
Standout stats

• This is the Icelandic Urvalsdelid between 12th and 1st after 17 matches
• 3 wins for FH in league head to heads ended with a 1-1 draw last league match
• 1-0 and 1-1 the last 2 head to heads is tighter than a 1.33 quote would suggest]

Thor

• only 2 wins all season came at home v 3rd and 6th
• no win in 7. Have lost their last 6 matches
• only 2 clean sheets this season
• 33% over 2.5 goals at home -this might not be a spanking!
• 
  

14 Sep 18:00 UK Sevilla   v   Getafe  - 1.44 home
Standout stats

• Sevilla have won the last 3 home head to heads. Enough to keep faith with them?
• The last 3 head to heads, were win, loss, draw.

Sevilla

• Draw and win this season, 1-1 at home to valencia and 1-2 win away to Espanyol
• only 3 defeats in 19 home matches and no defeat in 9 home matches

Getafe

• 3-1 loss away to Celta and 1-0 win v Almeris so far this season
• only 2 wins in 14 away matches in the league from the back end of last season.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Little to go on from this season. Head to heads point to Sevilla not losing. Poor away form suggests Getafe may not land a blow.  Sparce research for La Liga and Seria A this early on.

615pm - Levski Sofia v Slavia Sofia  - 1.44 home

8pm - Internacional v Botafogo RJ  - 1.55 home

11th/12th /13th /14th september 2014

12th September 2014



430pm - HJK Helsinki v KuPS  - 1.38 home

• KuPS score first in the 17th minute which rather scuppered the 0-0 pre match back to lay. It did offer a good DRT. HJK scored the next goal and the next to make it 2-1. KupS equalised late on to make it 2-2
• "Killer stats - only 1 loss in 20 matches for HJK. HJK have only conceded 1 2nd half goal.2 consecutive 0-0's for KuPS" These should have given you confidence once KuPS scored first.

17:30 UK Kaiserslautern   v   FSV Frankfurt - 1.53 home

• I was non committal in this match given FSV had found some defensive strength. Kaiserslautern scored a 1st half goal and the match ended 1-0. 
• "Killer Stats - 4 consecutive wins for Kaiserslautern in head to heads;" another strong killer stat .

18:00 UK Rosenborg   v   Bodo-Glimt - 1.53 home

• "Match Odds - do note Bodo-Glimt have conceded 2+ against 4th-12th away so if they score first , perhaps back Rosenborg at better odds.  - Perfect. It was 0-0 at halftime , so therein was your first DRT. The 2nd came as Bodo-Glimt scored first and Rosenborg scored the 2+ goals we expected.
• Both teams to score - highly likely today.  - 3-1 final result so another good BTTS bet.
• "Killer stats - Rosenborg have scored in their last 15 matches ; Rosenborg have scored and conceded in 12 of their last 14 matches ; no draw in 11 away matches for Bodo-Glimt" - should have given you confidence once Bodo-Glimt scored first.

19:30 UK Bayer Leverkusen   v   Werder Bremen - 1.33 home

• "match Odds - only 2 matches this season but historically we have a solid home side v an iffy away side who love their over 2.5 goals. Werder could score so lay them if they score first. bayer Leverkusen have done us well in DRT terms this season" - It was 1-1 at halftime, and Werder scored next to make it 1-2. Therein was your DRT. Bayer got the next goal and looked like winning at 3-2. BUT Werder equalised to make it 3-3 - over 2.5 goals came in with ease
• "halftime score - 15 of Werder's last 16 matches away have seen at least a goal before halftime. At least one goals has been scored before halftime in Bayer's last 8 matches. Lay the 0-0 halftime score given the total goals for Werder and recent form ( albeit remember this is straddling last season so not ultra accurate) " - we got the goal before halftime
• Both teams to score - it looks a reasonable call  - came in with ease 
• "Killer stats - Bayer have scored 2+ goals in their last 7 matches. Werder Bremen have won only 5 matches this year in the Bundesliga." More good killer stats. A very profitable match if you followed my research.

730pm - Lyon v Monaco  - 2.6 home

• "amazingly Falcao scored only 9 last season so might not be missed too much.The odds of 2.6 tell us this is anyone's for the taking. The head to heads though tell us Monaco win and both team score. WIll you place your trust in head to heads?"  Both teams did score. Lyon scored first, Monaco equalised, and then Lyon got the 2-1 winner.

745pm - Raith Rovers v Rangers - 1.6 away

• "match Odds - I think the Raith loss to hearts is key here in giving us an idea of what Rangers can do today. Lay Raith if Raith score first, better yet back Rangers at enhanced odds
• Halftime score - in their last 2 matches, Rangers have had goals before halftime.Raith have had a goal at least before halftime so lay the 0-0 halftime score in anticipation of this ( albeit far too small) pattern continuing.
• Over/under goals - Rangers would take a 0-2 today , but could match Heart's 4 goals against Raith Rovers." More excellent conclusions . Rangers matches Heart's 4 goals and won 0-4. 0-3 at halftime.

20:00 UK Steaua Bucharest   v   Gaz Metan Medias - 1.35 home

• "Match Odds - Steaua clearly favoured on head to heads and collateral form. back Steaua if gaz score first.
• Over/under goals - Steaua have consistently scored 2 or 3 goals in head to heads so expect that today. " 3-1 to Steaua , they got the 2/3 goals expected.

20:30 UK Vitoria Setubal   v   Benfica - 1.55 away

• 0-5 it ended and 0-3 at halftime. An impressive result from a 1.55 shot.

13th September 2014

13 Sep 12:45 UK Arsenal   v   Man City  - 2.4 away 
Standout stats

• Champions League Curse for both of these sides really tempers my enthusiasm here. I will focus my precious time on other matches first. The odds tell you that the bookmakers don't have a strong opinion on this match. 

1245pm - Celtic v Aberdeen - 1.44 home
Standout stats

• Champions League Curse for Celtic might see them under perform.
• both teams have scored in the last 4 head to heads with a 5-2 Celtic win last time out
• Aberdeen have won 2 of the last 3 matches 

Celtic

• only 2 losses since May 2013 and guess who beat Celtic in one of them - Aberdeen!
• Celtic won their opening 2 matches of the season but lost away to Inverness and drew with Dundee latest. Add in the Champions League curse, and 1.44 is far too short for me to back ( so lay perhaps?)
• have not lost at home since 15th December 2012 in the league and that may be the reason for the short price?
• this is the 2nd home match of the season

Aberdeen

• no draw in 7 matches saw 4 defeats
• 2 wins and 2 losses this season. The wins were 2-0 wins v Kilmarnock and Partick and the losses were v Dundee United and St Johnstone
• only 4 defeats in 17 away matches, 2 of which were against Celtic.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - I don't know about you, but 1.44 looks dodgy for Celtic and layable. But then we have that amazing home record which might scupper the lay. Arguments for laying Celtic? Aberdeen have won 2 of the last 3 head to heads. This is a pre-Champions League for Celtic. Negatives for laying? Celtic's amazing home record. If you want to get Celtic, hope they score first and then lay them at much shorter odds and lower risk.
• Halftime/Score - not enough matches played
• Both teams to score - well they have done so in the last 4 head to heads so we can hope so again, especially with the Champions League curse in our favour.

14:30 UK Bayern Munich   v   Stuttgart - 1.17 home
Standout stats

• Champions League curse in play for Bayern Munich. Will this impact them today? Normally the curse affects Dortmund in Germany
• 6 out of 6 head to head wins for Bayern

bayern Munich

• Since November 2012 only 2 losses for Bayern came after they won the title last season so they were dead rubbers.
• So far this season, 2-1 and 1-1 for Bayern is unimpressive. 
• since November 2012 at home, only Dortmund have beaten them at home and that was after Bayern won the title.

Stuttgart

• no win in 5 matches and draw and loss this season
• no win in 11 away matches in the Bundesliga  - off the boil away from home 

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - 1.17 suggests extreme confidence for Bayern and 3/4 goals from them. They win head to heads but remember the Champions league curse! If Stuttgart score first, delay and back Bayern . A draw last time out must be turned into a win for this match. 
• Halftime/Score - only 2 matches played. Last year Bayern had a lot of 0-0's at halftime and went on winning so bear that in mind.
• Both teams to score? Bayern have conceded in 2 so far this season . I am undecided today.

14:30 UK Borussia Dortmund   v   Freiburg - 1.25 home
Standout stats

• Kings of the Champions League curse last season. My goodness, Dortmund turned into a Sunday League side ( missing 3 players who couldn't make it because they had a hangover) in their league matches prior to a Champions League match. At shorter odds than today's they really struggled, last season, they conceded first and even lost some matches. You have been warned. 
• 6 wins for Dortmund in head to heads and 4 of the last 5 matches saw wins to nil

Dortmund

• 0-2 loss and 2-3 win v Leverkusen in their 2 league matches this season and I can sniff a problem today perhaps? 2 goals conceded in each match this season.
•  10 over 2.5 goals matches in their last 12 

Freiburg

• no win in 5 matches.
• 1-0 loss and 0-0 draw in their 2 matches this season. Will Freiburg be as tough to beat against the top 3?
• only 1 win in 11 away matches. 

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match odds - the value is in laying Dortmund at 1.25 , as I  have said before more in hope than expectation. We have the Champions League curse, a Freiburg side conceding only 1 goal this season and a Dortmund side conceding 2 goals in their 2 league matches this season
• Halftime/Score - only 2 matches
• Both teams to score - this is up in the air. Dortmund are conceding with regularity but Freiburg are yet to score this season

15:00 UK Barcelona   v   Athletic Bilbao - 1.3 home
Standout stats

• You know the drill - Champions League curse for Barcelona and Ath Bilbao. 
• Only 1 win in 3 head to heads for Barcelona saw them concede first. Will Bilbao be a force today?
• Please remember that Barcelona have a new manager which kind of negates last year's form under different management with different tactics.

Barcelona

• Barcelona's last 3 losses came away from home.
• 3-0 and 0-1 wins so far this season.
• only 3 home losses since August 2009 in the league.
• Barcelona are playing APOEL in the Champions League next week so perhaps their minds will not be overtly taken up with those opponents.

Ath Bilbao

•  Away loss to malaga and Home win v Levante this season. Bilbao are likely to be a force at their new stadium this season

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - the potential for an upset v the Champions League curse negated as it applies to both sides. Barcelona conceded first to Bilbao last time out. Please do so again!! Then we can back Barcelona at better odds ( do delay or join me at the live chat !) 
• Correct score - 2 or 3 goals  expected from Barcelona but new manager syndrome means I cannot really put up a correct score.

15:00 UK Dumbarton   v   Hearts - 1.6 away
Standout stats

• Hearts, like Rangers, are set to dominate the Scottish Championship
• no head to heads

Dumbarton

• LLLW ( L=Loss, W=win) this season and I feel they have an uphill task against Hearts today.
• Dumbarton have conceded 3-4-4 in defeat this season.

Hearts

• 4 wins this season, 2-1, 2-1, 0-4, 4-1 . Consistent goal scoring but note that Hearts tend to concede 
• 1-2 and 0-4 for Hearts away this season

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - Hearts odds I would have thought would be shorter today. That said, they are dominating the Championship and must be strongly fancied today. Hearts do tend to concede so hope Dumbarton score first, and then back Hearts
• halftime score - against teams like Hibs and Rangers, the goals came 2nd half. Against lesser sides, there was at least a goal before halftime. Lay the 0-0 halftime score therefore 
• Over/under goals. - over 2.5 goals looks good , particularly if Dumbarton score first.

15:00 UK Dundee Utd   v   Hamilton - 1.6 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities





15:00 UK Dunfermline   v   Stenhousemuir - 1.53 home
Standout stats

• 3 consecutive wins for Dunfermline in head to heads ended with a 0-0 draw latest.

Dunfermline

• DLWW ( D=Draw, L=Loss, W=Win) this season. A 2-0 loss v Forfar saw 2 2nd half goals.
• only 1 loss in 9 home matches in League 1

Stenhousemuir

• WLLD for Stenhousemuir this season. Poor stuff. 
• A run of 3 away wins at the end of last season is not typical of Stenhousemuir.. Only 4 wins in 16 aways

profitable in-play opportunities

• a little early and League One might be illiquid , but it seems Stenhousemuir are in poor form and away from home are historically poor.

15:00 UK Hibernian   v   Cowdenbeath - 1.55home
Standout stats

• the last head to head was in 2012
• this is a Scottish Championship match

Hibernian

• Hibs first visit to the Championship since 1999
• 1 win and 3 defeats so far this season
• Win and loss at home this season. The loss was 0-1

Cowdenbeath

• DLLL ( D-Draw, L=Loss) this season, conceding 2-2-3-3 in those 4 matches
• 6 losses and a win in their lsat 7 away matches

profitable in-play opportunities

• Hibs have only conceded a max of 1 at home this season, albeit only 2 matches to work with. Both sides have had a really poor start to the season. I'd have expected Hibs to find this level easier ( see Hearts!) but it's not happening yet. No real angle for me here, albeit to note that Cowdenbeath are conceding plenty  - will they concede 2+ goals again?

13 Sep 15:00 UK Crystal Palace   v   Burnley  - 2.15 home

Standout stats

• this is a very difficult match to research because these 2 sides last met in the Championship, Crystal Palace have "new manager syndrome" and the invincibility of a Tony Pulis Palace side is gone

Crystal Palace

• no win for Palace in 6 Premiership matches from last season to this.1-3 loss and 3-3 draw for Palace this season 

Burnley

• 1-0 loss away to Burnley and 0-0 v Swansea City recounts Burnley's tactics this season 

profitable in-play opportunities

• Advantage Burnley for me today in what is a dire match research wise. Palace have conceded 3 goals in each of their 2 matches this season, Burnley have conceded just the one. There are better matches around today

13 Sep 15:00 UK Chelsea   v   Swansea  - 1.25 home

Standout stats

• Champions League curse potential for a Chelsea side who really struggled last season in league matches prior to the Champions League, and at odds ( quite like Dortmund) around today's)
• 3 consecutive wins 2-0, 1-0 and 1-0 for Chelsea in head to heads 

Chelsea

• 3 wins this season scoring 3-2-6 matches.
• since 16th January 2013, Chelsea have only lost 1 home match, that was a 1-2 v Sunderland.

Swansea

• 6 wins in 7 matches in the Premiership includes 4 consecutive wins.
• 3 consecutive wins this season, includes a 1-2 v a faltering Man Utd
• won their last 3 away matches scoring and conceding, 2 were last season.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match odds - Chelsea may be too short to back pre match which might suggest the value is in laying them at 1.25 against a Swansea with 3 wins this season, albeit 2 were v Burnley and West Brom. 
• A match to react to in-play given this Champions League hanging over Chelsea against an unbeaten Swansea.

13 Sep 15:00 UK West Brom   v   Everton  - 2.15 away

Standout stats

• West Brom are unbeaten in the last 2 head to heads at their ground.
• 2 consecutive draws in head to heads and that is built into today's odds

West Brom

• Draw, Draw, Loss this season , part of a run now of 6 without a win in the Premiership.
• only 1 win in 10 home matches, straddling last year, and an amazing 7 score draws.

Everton

• 2-2, 2-2, 3-6 loss this season for Everton. To be fair, Arsenal and Chelsea have been 2 of the opponents. This should be an easier match for Everton today.
• Straddling last season, total goals in recent games of 5-2-2-5-2-4-4-9 so plenty of goals in Everton matches recently.

profitable in-play opportunities

• as you can appreciate, little to work with this season
• Match Odds - I think Everton are favoured today. Remember that they have played Arsenal and Chelsea already so will be eyeing this West brom team who have 6 without a win in the Premiership. Lay West Brom if West Brom score first.
• Halftime score - there is a chance of a goal or 2 before halftime, so lay the 0-0 halftime score
• Both teams to score - looks like it has a good chance UNLESS Everton react to conceding 2-2-3 this season already ( we sometimes see a sudden tightening of defences after a run of steady concessions.)

13 Sep 15:00 UK Southampton   v   Newcastle  - 1.85 home

Standout stats

• Newcastle win, Draw, Southampton win in the last 3 head to heads makes this difficult to read. Add to this the "new manager syndrome" for Southampton and this is a match with little appeal early this season

Southampton

• as with head to heads, it's Loss, Draw, Win for Saints this season.A loss v Liverpool, draw v West Brom and win away v West Ham
• A 0-0 draw with West brom at home

Newcastle

• only 1 win in 11 matches in the Premiership and this season, a loss to Man City, and 2 draws.
• 5 losses and a 0-0 away . This season, a 0-0 away v Aston Villa. This is part of a run which straggles last season, of 7 aways in 9 without scoring for Newcastle.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Newcastle are really poor, from the back end of last season to the beginning of this season. They must start scoring away from home, too many matches without scoring.
• match odds - can we favour Southampton here? It's a bit early in the season and Saints have a new manager. Also, Saints have a full house this season, a win, loss and a draw, and the head to heads are the same, win loss and draw in the last 3 meetings.
• Lay Newcastle if they score first given their dire recent away and overall Premiership record. Newcastle will win again, but when?

13 Sep 15:00 UK Sunderland   v   Tottenham  - 2.05 away

Standout stats

• 4 consecutive wins for Tottenham ( Spurs) in the Premiership. Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 head to heads 

Sunderland

• 2 score draws and a 1-0 loss away to QPR for Sunderland.
• in 2014, Sunderland only beat Stoke, Cardiff and West Brom at home.

Tottenham

• only 1 draw in 17 Premiership matches for Spurs.
• Win, Win, Loss for Spurs this season and only Liverpool beat them. 
• A strange price for Spurs who were a decent team last season. 4 of Spurs' 6 away defeats last season were against the top 4 

profitable in-play opportunities

• only 3 matches to go on. Do remember the African Cup on Nations has taken Adebayour and Assou-Ekotto away. This makes the match difficult to weigh up as I would personally have favoured Spurs in this match as they only seemed to lose to top 4 sides last season. I will not get more detailed here given the African Cup of Nations factor.

13 Sep 15:00 UK Stoke   v   Leicester  - 2.15 home

Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities



16:00 UK Rennes   v   Paris Saint-Germain ( PSG) - 1.5 away
Standout stats

• PSG have won the last 2 meetings at Rennes but Rennes beat PSG at PSG last head to head.

Rennes

• 2 consecutive clean sheets came away from home
• unbeaten in 3 this season
• only 4 wins in 17 home matches in Ligue 1 from last season to this is very poor. Won their sole home match this season 6-2 v Evian 

PSG

• only 3 defeats since March 2013
• unbeaten in 6 in Ligue 1 keeping 4 clean sheets in those 5 matches.
• Unbeaten this season, drawing and winning alternately.
• only 1 away win in 5 away matches, with 2 consecutive draws.

profitable in-play opportunities

• PSG have an up and coming Champions League match as well as a poor recent record away from home. Do we sniff an upset here? PSG rarely lose so , although a draw cannot be discounted, they should be relied upon should they concede first.
• Match odds-  lay Rennes if Rennes score first. PSG have a 2 match away draw sequence so if you want to , lay the draw late and low and hope PSG break this draw sequence

17:00 UK Empoli   v   Roma - 1.6 away
Standout stats

• Empoli are new to Seria A
• the season is only 1 match old

Empoli

• a 2-0 away loss to Udinese saw 2 2nd half goals.

Roma

• lost 3 of their last 4 Seria A matches
• 2 consecutive away defeats from last season 
• Roma's Champions League match is on the 30th September so they should be on task today.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - if you have been reading the Daily Bulletin you's have heard me write " the odds are suspiciously high" for some matches, the results of which reflected my suspicions. Why are Roma only 1.6? They should be shorter. Any reason? There are no major team issues. Favour Roma today , albeit they play newly promoted side who ( as this is Italy), might be tough to beat.
• Given we have a newly promoted side I am not willing to put up any further angles. We need to see this Empoli sids a bit more often.

13 Sep 17:15 UK Olympiacos   v   OFI  - 1.14 home
Standout stats

• 4-5-4 scored by Olympiakos in the last 3 head to heads is perfectly aligned to a 1.14 quote for the home side
• this new Greek super league season is only 2 matches old.

Olympiakos

• A win and a draw so far for Olympiakos saw both teams score. 3-1 home win and 1-1 away draw.
• only 3 losses at home in the league since May 2010
• 18 wins and 1 loss in their last 19 home matches
• on the 16th September, Olympiakos have a Champions league match against Atl. madrid

OFI

• WLWLWLWL( W=Win, L=Loss) in recent Super league matches. A degree of inconsistency.also, no draw.
• Interestingly, Olympiakos and PAOK have scored 5 goals against OFI when they play away. These are standout

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - Champions league curse? Take note! That said, Olympiakos are clearly favoured here. If OFI score first, back Olympiakos to win 4-1 or 5-1 if the correct score market is available.
• Halftime/ Halftime score - this is Greece and Greece has a defensive reputation, so if this is 0-0 for a while inthe first half, lay the 0-0 halftime score late
• Correct score. 4-0, 5-0. 5-1 perhaps?
• Over/Under goals. Expectations, if the Champions League curse does not strike, for over. 4.5 goals.

17:00 UK Malaga   v   Levante - 1.6 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities





13 Sep 17:30 UK Liverpool   v   Aston Villa - 1.25 home

Standout stats

• 2-2 the last time these 2 met at Anfield saw Aston Villa win 0-2

Liverpool

• only 2 losses for Liverpool in the Premiership in 2014
• 2 wins and a loss to Man City this season for Liverpool. Wins were against Southampton and Tottenham. 
• 14 wins, a draw and a loss in their last 16 home matches 
• have conceded in 7 of their last 8 home matches

Aston Villa

• unbeaten this season with wins against Stoke City and Hull Cityand a 0-0 draw v Newcastle United.
• 6 consecutive away losses at the back end of last season was ended with that away win v Stoke City.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Liverpool are back in the Champions League. How much of a distraction will that be against a team who led 0-2 at Anfield last season and who are unbeaten this season. Liverpool have had a superb 2014 in the Premiership and rarely lose. 
• Match Odds - we can only dream of Aston Villa taking a 0-2 lead again. Do note that if they score first, Liverpool should get back.
• Halftime - Liverpool had a wonderful run last season of at least one goal being scored before halftime. IF you think that will continue , lay the 0-0 halftime score low and late.
• Both teams to score - is possible today given the head to heads and Liverpool's ability at the back end of last season to concede at home.

17:30 UK Twente   v   Go Ahead Eagles - 1.33 home
Standout stats

• 5 Twente wins in head to heads ended with a Go ahead home 1-0 win. Old wobbly Twente do turn up now and again

Twente

• 6 consecutive draws in all competitions must be a worry. Leaking points.
• 5 draws in the Eredivisie, 4 score draws.
• unbeaten in 19 home league matches, but do note the 5 draws in the last 7 home matches
• A 0-0 with Feyenoord in their last home match

Go ahead eagles

• only 1 win in 7 league matches
• LLDW ( L=Loss, D=Draw, W=Win) and it's a contrast. 2 3-2 losses on the opening day turned into a 0-0 and a 1-0 win .

profitable in-play opportunities

• Go ahead eagles have suddenly got all defensive - will that continue against a Twente side continuing to draw?
• match odds - the longer the sequence , the nearer we get to the end of that sequence. lay a late draw? Historically, Go ahead are poor away from home so lay them if they score first.

18:00 UK Galatasaray   v   Eskisehirspor - 1.57 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities





19:00 UK Real Madrid   v   Atletico Madrid - 1.7 home
Standout stats

• an absolute horror show for the boys in pink last week. I know of a couple of live chatters who successfully layed Real Madrid at 1.04! 
• Both sides have Champions League matches coming up next week.
• Ath Madrid are unbeaten in the last 4 head to heads. Real Madrid could find themselves out of the La Liga title races already if they get nothing today.

Real Madrid

• only 2 wins in 12 matches in all competitions.
• 2-0 win and 2-4 loss this season ( when 0-2 up)
• Since May 2011 only Barcelona and Atl Madrid have beaten Real Madrid at home!
• have scored 2+ goals in 36 of their last 37 home matches

Ath Madrid

• 0-0 and 2-1 so far this season.
• only 1 win in their last 5 La Liga matches, back end of last season included of course.
• no win in 3 away matches sees 2 consecutive draws.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match odds- both teams are in poor form coming from last season into this . Intriguingly only Atl Madrid and Barcelona seem to beat Real Madrid at home so therein lies Real's vulnerability at home. Atl Madrid hold the magic sign over Real in the last 4 head to heads. Lay Real Madrid again if Real score first?
• Halftime and Halftime score - lay the 0-0 halftime score as low and late as possible. This is one of those matches which might see firm resistance from the away side but remember that Real Madrid keep scoring at least 2 goals + at home.
• Both teams to score - logic assumes this given Real's famous leaky defence and indeed Atl Madrid's habit of not getting beaten in head to heads.

19:45 UK Feyenoord   v   Willem II - 1.44 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities





19:45 UK Juventus   v   Udinese - 1.33 home
Standout stats

• 5 consecutive wins in head to heads for Juventus
• 3 clean sheets

Juventus

• 15 wins and a loss in their last 16 matches
• 7 clean sheets in their last 8 matches
• 19 consecutive wins at home
• only 1 match this season, a 0-1 away win v Chievo

Udinese

• unbeaten in 4 matches  - only 1 match this season, a 2-0 home win v Empoli
• only 3 wins in 19 away matches in the league , so not too hot on their travels
• 3-3-3-0-2-2-2 conceded in their last 7 away matches , albeit last season

profitable in-play opportunities

• far too early in the Seria A season for me to give stats pointers. Based on the back-end of last year, Udinese are very vulnerable away, conceding at least 2 goals regularly. Juventus at home are superb and could continue their winning streak. Favour Juventus today.

20:15 UK Sporting Lisbon   v   Belenenses - 1.4 home
Standout stats

• 5 consecutive wins in head to heads 
• only 3 matches played this Portugeuse Primera Division

Sporting Lisbon

• DWD ( D=Draw, W=Win) this season, 2 1-1's and a 1-0 . All low scoring affairs , part of a run of 6 league matches straddling last season where Sporting only scored a single goal.
• only 1 loss in 21 league home matches saw 9 clean sheets in the last 10 home matches

Belenenses

• 3-1, 3-1, wins then a 3-0 loss. They don't do things by halves this season.
• unbeaten in their last 3 aways straddling last season.
• 1-1, 1-0, 3-0 losses away to the big 3 in Portugal last season.

profitable in-play opportunities

• it must be advantage Sporting Lisbon here given their home record But a side struggling to score more than 1 goal must be vulnerable. It is still early in the season for strong patterns. The current patterns? One goal from Sporting. Over 2.5 goals from Belenenses. 
• Match odds  - Favour Sporting today. If Belenenses score first , lay them
• Correct score - . 1-0, 2-0 if they continue their clean sheets.

14th September 2014

10:30 UK Spartak Moscow   v   Torpedo Moscow - 1.36 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities





13:00 UK Lille   v   Nantes - 1.7 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities





13:30 UK Vitesse   v   Excelsior - 1.36 home
Standout stats

• no 2013/ 2014 head to heads suggest Excelsior are newly promoted
• this is the dutch eredivisie and is only 4 matches old
• This is 17th v 6th so Vitesse are having a terrible start to the season.

Vitesse

• no win in 13 Eredivisie matches and you want me to back Vitesse at 1.36? Would you also like me to fetch you a bucket of steam?
• LDLL ( L=Loss, D=Draw) this season . Vitesse have played Ajax and PSV amongst the 4 teams.
• no win in 6 home matches sees 4 score draws.  So near to a win with Cambuur this season with a 2-1 lead being stolen with a draw at the end.

Excelsior

• draw , 2 wins and a loss this season is a good start. Yet to meet any of the marque teams though
• A loss and a draw so far away might signal vulnerability away but the sample is small.

profitable in-play opportunities

• a match to watch and react to in-play . We need to see an improvement in an off-the-boil Vitesse side . Do note that Excelsior's form may be a false dawn as they are yet to meet the established top 5 dutch sides yet. Vitesse so nearly won their last home match so I think a win is near ( and much needed)
• Both teams to score? It might be worth it as 6 of these 2 teams's 8 matches in total have seen both teams scoring.

14:00 UK Fiorentina   v   Genoa - 1.6 home
Standout stats

• 3-2 Fiorentina, 2-5 Fiorentina, and 3-3 in head to heads recently
• only 1 match for these 2 this season, Fiorentina losing to Roma 2-0 and Genoa losing to Napoli 1-2

Fiorentina

• only 2 wins in 8 matches at home in Seria A

Genoa

• only 2 wins in 13 matches in Seria A
• only 3 away wins in 21 Seria A matches

profitable in-play opportunities

• cannot get too indepth with 1 match played this season. What strikes me? Genoa's dire away record from the end of last season. Surely advantage the home side today therefore?
• Match odds - such is the goals tally between these 2 , we could lay any side who take a 2-0 lead 
• Halftime/Score - based solely on head to heads, if this is goal heaven again today, then surely we can lay the 0-0 halftime score?
• 
  

4 Sep 14:00 UK Halmstads BK   v   Mjallby - 1.75 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities





14 Sep 14:00 UK Inter Milan   v   Sassuolo  - 1.5 home
Standout stats

• 2 head to heads and 2 wins for Inter Milan to nil 

Inter Milan

• A 0-0 this season so far v Torino.
• only 1 loss in their last 15 home matches but note - 8 draws in those matches. This is not the Inter Milan we know.

Sassuolo

• A 1-1 this season saw Sassuolo score first at home v cagliari.
• have scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches
• only 4 wins in 19 Seria A away matches, but 3 wins in their last 4 aways.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Inter Milan should logically win today. Little to go on . Inter Milan have had a recent poor habit of drawing at home. So if Sassuolo score first, lay them first. 
• Correct score - can Inter Milan collect another win to nil? If you think so, then it's good to have a correct score punt. 

14 Sep 14:00 UK Lazio   v   Cesena  - 1.33 home
Standout stats

• Cesena are back in Seria A after a season in Seria B
• only 1 match played in Seria A this season
• Last season Lazio only lost 3 home matches. They only won 2 home matches against the top 11 sides but beat all teams 12th and lower bar 1. My assumption is that Cesena may be a bottom half side and consequently vulnerable 
• Lazio lost 3-1 to Milan and Cesena won 1-0 v Parma in their opening matches this season

profitable in-play opportunities

• little to go on so early in the season.
• Match Odds - based strictly on assumption ( which can bite you on the ass , especially regarding newly promoted sides), it seems Lazio have a good record at home to likely bottom 1/2 sides. Should Cesena take the lead, they I would expect Lazio to equalise and push on. 2/3 goals expected from them today.

14 Sep 14:00 UK Napoli   v   Chievo  - 1.4 home
Standout stats

• Chievo, Napoli, Draw in head to heads doesn't help unravel this match, neither does the fact that Seria A is only 1 match old, so do note that .
• Napoli have a Europa league match next week. I personally feel that they are a Champions League side and not a Europa League side so I don't see this impending lesser european competition impacting performance today 

napoli

• only 3 losses since December 2013 in Seria A is impressive stuff
• So far this season, a lucky 1-2 away win v Genoa saw a 90th minute winner
• only 2 defeats at home since january 2013 were 0-1 losses. Should be tough to beat in all home matches.

Chievo

• no draw in 18 matches in Seria A saw 12 defeats.
• A 0-1 loss to Juventus on the opening day was down to an own goal.
• only 4 wins in 20 away matches. Yes, did win 2 of their last 3 aways at the back end of last season but probability is for only 1 win in every 5 away matches
• 3-3-3-3-3-2-2-0 conceded in away matches at the end of last season.

profitable in-play opportunities

• tough to call as we are only 1 match in. I see a tough to beat home team playing a tough-to-win-away away team .
• What do we make of Chievo's good display against Juventus? Only an own goal defated them. It's only 1 match, it was the first match of the season and may have just been 1st match motivation that had Chievo fired up for the opening match..  favour napoli or just join me at the live chat and see how the match plays out?

14 Sep 15:30 UK Wolfsberger   v   Salzburg - 1.44 away
Standout stats

• Champions league curse for Salzburg? Live chatters saw them crash and burn last time they played but a DRT profit was realisable.
• 5-0 and 6-0 in head to heads recently for Salzburg but Wolfsberger did win the last head to head, albeit on the 11th May. Dead rubber for already title winning Salzburg?

Wolfsberger

• 7 consecutive Bundesliga wins ended with a 0-1 home loss this season
• only 1 draw in 14 matches at home. 3 home wins in their last 4 included that 2-0 win against Salzburg

Salzburg

• Champions League curse to strike or back to winning ways after shock defeat latest?
• 1.44 is untypically big for Salzburg.
• 6 consecutive wins ended with that 2-3 defeat to Sturm Graz.
• 3 consecutive away wins,all to nil

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - Salzburg were reliable DRT candidates after Sturm Graz went 0-2 up.Red Bull levelled the match at 2-2 before Sturm got a late winner. Same again today please if Wolfsberger score first! Lay any late draw here
• Champions League curse potentially scuppers any other angles in for me so join me in the live chat.

14 Sep 16:00 UK Man Utd   v   QPR  - 1.28 home
Standout stats

• no Champions League distractions here!
• United tend to beat QPR when they meet.
• Blind, Falcao, di Maria are part of the new comers to United. IF they gel, they win today. As with Moyes last season, the inevitable United win will arrive, and it seems so today.

man Utd

• LDD ( L=Loss, D=Draw) this season.This is part of a run of 4 matches without a win in the Premiership.
• It used to be that United did not have consecutive defeats at home but that occured twice last season. Surely not again this season?

QPR

• had a dire 2013 in the Premiership.So far this season, QPR have lost 2 matches to Hull and Spurs and beat Sunderland 1-0
• only 2 away wins in the Premiership last time QPR were there.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Match Odds - all instincts tell us to lay Manchester United at odds on during this transitional stage, but this represents an ideal opportunity for them to record their first win of the season ( famous last words) and that should be the angle into this match should 'Arry do a number on them again!

14 Sep 16:00 UK Valencia   v   Espanyol  - 1.61 home
Standout stats

• both teams have scored in 5 of the last 6 head to heads .
• valencia have scored 2 goals in the last 3 home head to heads and remain unbeaten

Valencia

• 1-1 draw and 3-0 win for valencia this season 
• only 3 defeats in their last 14 home matches straddling last season
• the most recent Valencia wins at home have seen them score at least 2 goals.

Espanyol

• A draw ( 90th minute Espanyol equaliser) and a 1-2 loss at home to Sevilla so far this season. This continues a terrible la Liga run of 10 matches without a win, and 3 draws in those matches.
• only 3 wins in their last 18 away matches

profitable in-play opportunities

• Espanyol are in very very poor form away from home , straddling last season and this and are unlikely to land a blow today. 
• match Odds - If Espanyol happen to score first, I think we can back Valencia to equalise and score 2+ goals again as they tend to in their wins.
• as with Seria A, we are still very early in the season. Research will be fuller once we have some matches under our belts.

14 Sep 16:30 UK Djurgarden   v   Atvidaberg  - 1.55 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities






14 Sep 16:30 UK FK Krasnodar   v   Fc Ufa  - 1.44 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities






14 Sep 16:30 UK Rovaniemi   v   Honka  - 1.65 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities






14 Sep 17:00 UK Gent   v   Peruwelz  - 1.6 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities






14 Sep 17:00 UK Guimaraes   v   Porto  - 1.57 away
Standout stats

• 5 wins and a 2-2 draw in head to heads, the wins for Porto
• Porto wins tend to be to nil. Porto were 0-2 up at halftime against Guimaraes last time out ended 2-2

Guimaraes

• unbeaten in 5 league matches and this season, 3 consecutive wins 1-3, 3-0, 3-0 - good form, but a feeling the Portos, Benficas etc are a level higher. 5 1-0 defeats against the top 3 last season so it could be a tight one today

Porto

• 4 wins this season, without conceding. 1-0, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 
• 0-1 the sole away win so far this season

profitable in-play opportunities

• Guimaraes should be a struggle for Porto if last season is anything to go by.
• Match odds - Porto could keep a clean sheet so any goal by Guimaraes should lead to us laying guimaraes if the odds are short enough . I expect Porto to prevail in a tight match
• Correct Score - 0-1 and 0-2 has potential if Porto can keep clean sheets 

14 Sep 17:15 UK Atromitos   v   Panaitolikos  - 1.57 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities











13 Sep 17:15 UK PAOK Salonika   v   Niki Volou  - 1.2 home
Standout stats

• no head to heads so Niki Volou are newly promoted.
• this Greek super league is only 2 matches old.

PAOK

• only 2 defeats in 16 league matches. A draw and a win this season for PAOK
• 18 wins and 3 draws in their last 21 matches at home.

Niki Volou

• 3-1 loss and 0-1 loss so far this season. A 3-1 loss to Olympiakos is a template for PAOK to copy today.

profitable in-play opportunities

• this should be a very easy home win against newly promoted side. PAOK, along with Olympiakos , are the 2 leading sides in Greece. A straightforward DRT opportunity should Niki Volou score first.

14 Sep 18:00 UK Molde   v   Lillestrom  - 1.33 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities






14 Sep 18:00 UK Sevilla   v   Getafe  - 1.44 home
Standout stats

• Sevilla have won the last 3 home head to heads. Enough to keep faith with them?
• The last 3 head to heads, were win, loss, draw.

Sevilla

• Draw and win this season, 1-1 at home to valencia and 1-2 win away to Espanyol
• only 3 defeats in 19 home matches and no defeat in 9 home matches

Getafe

• 3-1 loss away to Celta and 1-0 win v Almeris so far this season
• only 2 wins in 14 away matches in the league from the back end of last season.

profitable in-play opportunities

• Little to go on from this season. Head to heads point to Sevilla not losing. Poor away form suggests Getafe may not land a blow.  Sparce research for La Liga and Seria A this early on.

15th September 2014

15 Sep 18:00 UK Besiktas   v   Rizespor - 1.53 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities






15 Sep 18:00 UK Norrkoping   v   Brommapojkarna  - 1.44 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities






15 Sep 19:30 UK Troyes   v   Auxerre  - 1.53 home
Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities

15 Sep 20:00 UK Hull   v   West Ham  - 2.2 home

Standout stats

profitable in-play opportunities