footballtradingresearch: tennis monday

Djokovic v Kohlschreiber - 1.06 Djokovic

interestingly Djokovic has lost a set in the last 3 meetings with Kohlschreiber. This suggests to me that we lay 3-0 Sets to Djokovic if Djokovic wins the first set. Remember it is best of a potential 5 sets.
3-0, 3-0, 3-0 so far for Novak in this tournament.He has rarely been over 6-3 in sets.
2nd round, 1st round, 2nd round for Kohl recently . So far this Us Open, he won 3-0, had a walkover, and won 3-1 against John Isner. Typically with John Isner, a few of the sets went to 7-6 so realistically this was a win based on a few points.

Conclusion

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Serena Williams v Kanepi - 1st v 50th.

Serena has won the last 3 head to heads. He won easily 2-0 in each.
7 2-0 set wins and a 2-1 in his/her last 8 tennis matchews
Final, semi-final and final last 3 tournaments.
2-1, 2-1, 2-0 for Kanepi this US Open. Losing a set and in 3 of those sets, 7-5, 7-6 and 7-6 appears.
A consistent performer on hard is Kanepi, going consistently to the 3rd round or beyond. That is where she faces herself today against Mike Tyson's twin brother.

Conclusion

Serena has not really been tested lately . She is likely to win in 2 sets and we may not see any real dangers for her based on recent form. There was a wobble prior to this good run Wozniaki twice and Venus . 2-0

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Tsonga v Murray - 1.8 Murray

in the best of 5 set matches, both players have won at least a set, so lay Andy Murray 3-0 set betting if he wins the first set.
10th v 9th in the world
8 consecutive Murray wins in head to heads ended with a Tsonga win latest.
3rd round, 1st round, final, 1st round and now 3-1, 3-0, 3-0 in the US Open to date.
2nd round, 4th round, final, 1st round for Tsonga on Hard courts of late.
3rd round, Quarter Final, Quarter Final, Quarter Final for Murray so far. He tend to come unstuck at this stage of late.
3-1, 3-0, 3-1 so far for Murray this US Open so he is losing sets which re-inforces the idea that we lay 3-0 set betting on Murray if Murray wins the first set. 7-5, 7-5, 6-4

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Wawrinka v Robredo - 1.52 wawrinka

4th v 18th and I think Warwinka is there falsely because he won the Australian Open. He is not a regular Major performer .
Head to heads see 6 Robredo wins and Wawrinka winning only 2, including at the Australian Open when he met a sick Nadal.
Semi Final,. Quarter Final, Quarter Final for Wawrinka recently so consistent but as I say he rarely ventures further than the Quarter Final in Majors.
3-0, 3-1 ,Walkover for Warwinka this US Open. His first match was very unappealing. 2 7-6 set wins suggests old hand Robredo will be a handful today
Final, 3rd round, quarter final, 2nd round and now 4th round US Open for Robredo.3-0, 3-2, 3-1 this US Open suggests that he will not be winning 3-0 today. 5 sets and 4 sets for Robredo versus a walkover last match for Wawrinka. Who will be the most rested?

Conclusion

a feeling that both players could win a set today so lay the 1st set winner to be winning 3-0 sets in the set betting market.
If Wawrinka wins the first set, I would lay him at odds on. I would consider laying him at 1.52 pre match just given Robredo's head to head record agaisnt him 3-1, Wawr won the first set.

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Krunic v Azarenka - 1.17 Azarenka

the screamer and her annoying boyfriend survive another round.
145th v 17th in the World.
1st round, 1st round, 1st round , 2nd round and now 4th round US Open for Krunic. How come the sudden show of form?2-0, 2-1, 2-0 so far this US Open for Krunic.
A serial 1st round exiter on hard courts, Krunic is over-performing currently.
Azarenka has been in decline, as her rankings attest.
1st round, 2nd , 2nd, quarters and now 4th round US Open 2-1, 2-0, 2-0 this US Open, 6-1, 6-1 last round hugely eyecatching
The value is in laying Azarenka if she wins the first set. Krunic beat Petra Kvitova last round.
Az lost the first setand won 3-0

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Nishikori v Raonic - 11th v 6th and 1.83 Raonic.

say hello to the tiebreakers I feel. there have been 4 tiebreakers between these 2 recently in head to heads.
2-1 for Nishikori on hard in Tokyo in 2012.
Semi final, 4th round, quarter final for Nishikori recently
Final, 3rd round, Semi final ( retired) n hard so far for Nishikori so it's a surface he likes.
Nishikori does tend to drop sets against top 10 players so that is something to note today.
Semi, Final, Quarter, Quarter for Raonic recently. So he is performing consistently.
3-0, 3-1, 3-0 so far US Open but the last 3 -0 was care of 3 tie break sets.
Quarter, Quarter, Quarter, Semi on hard. Very consistent. His serve is killer here.

Conclusion

perhaps back a tiebreaker set ? This is going to be tight so lay the first set winner to win 3-0 set betting or in the match odds. With Raonic, he tends to win his service game so lay Nishikori on his and hope for some quick scalping? 6-4, 7-6, 7-6, 7-5, 6-4

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Bautista Agut v Federer -1.1 Federer

19th v 3rd
Final , 1st, 2nd round so far for Agut recently.
1st, 3rd, 2nd round on hard for him recently.
3-2, 3-0, 3-0 so far this US Open.
Final, Final, Final, Final for Federer recently.
Quarter, Final, Final recently on hard court for Federer.
Federer is in sparkling form and should progress. So hold out for any surprises here.

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Berdych v Tiem - 1.3 Berdyrch

7th v 45th and no head to heads
3rd, 3rd, 3rd, 2nd recently for Berdych . Gone off the boil a tad.
2nd, semi, 3rd, 2nd on hard recently , conceded at least a set in 4 of this last 6 matches on hard.
3-0, 3-2, 3-0 recently in the US Open.
Final, 1st , 1st in recent tournaments for Tiem.
3rd, 2nd, 1st, 1st on hard recently for Tiem. he doesn't seem to like hard court. 3-0, 3-2, 3-0 in the US Open so far.
A toughie to predict as there are no head to heads. We have seen before that newcomers to a seeded player can present the unknown ( I have noticed that mostly with the ladies though).
If Tiem wins the first set, back Berdych to get back.

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Dimitrov v Monfils - 8th v 24th 1.73 Dimitrov

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