Follow this step-by-step strategy to optimise your chances of collecting an evens return time after time.
1) Ensure you know your fractional and decimal odds. This will allow you to use both the bookmakers and www.betfair.com as your resources with which to mine for 1/5, 1 /4 and 1/3 shots. For the record, a 1/5 shot is 1.20 in decimal odds. A 1 /4 shot is 1.25 in decimal odds. A 1/3 shot is 1.33 in decimal odds.
2) Don’t restrict yourself to backing selections in order to make your quota of 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shots. With our ability to lay ( as the patriarch reminds us this month), we can get the same return as a 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shot by laying selections at certain prices. Keep a note of the lay odds below which correspond to the same as backing the selection.
1/5 shot is 1.20 - lay a selection at 6.00 . Backing a 1.20 shot with £100 will return £20. Laying a selection at odds of 6.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £20.
1 /4 shot is 1.25 – lay a selection at 5.00. Backing a 1.25 shot with £100 will return £25. Laying a selection at odds of 5.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £25.
1/3 shot is 1.33 – lay a selection at 4.00. Backing a 1.33 shot with £100 will return £33. Laying a selection at odds of 4.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £33.
What I am going to attempt now is to try and sniff out a 1.2, 1.25 or 1.3 shot which can be backed, or a 6.00, 5.00 or 4.00 shot which can be layed.
I will use the techniques I suggested within the article. I hope you find it informative
RACING POST SHORTLISTERS/PRICE GAPPERS. We look to find horses with an obvious chance of winning, but we want to back them in the TO PLACE ONLY market.
Yesterday
El Salvador won and Musaddas won
Today
730 Killarney
Betting forecast: 8/11 El Salvador, 13/2 Il Fenomeno,
A huge price gap here for this Aidan O'Brien horse - 8 runners means 3 places
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840 Thirsk
Betting forecast: 1/3 Musaddas, 3/1 Iftikaar, 18/1 Glasgow Kiss, 20/1 Cayjo, 25/1 Blue Sonic, 25/1 Legal Advisor, 50/1 Wilful Minx, 100/1 Red Legacy.
this is a maiden. The favourite would have to be back only. 2nd fav perhaps place only?
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TENNIS SHORT PRICES
Yesterday's Results
10am - Dinah Pfizenmaier v Polona Hercog - 1.32 Pol - 134th v 58th - LOST 2 SETS
1045am - Gregoire Burquier v David Goffin - 1.19 Goff - 170th v 85th - WON 2 SETS
1115am - Flavio Cipolla v Sergei Bubka - 1.31 Flav - 211th v 1472nd - WON 2 SETS
12pm - Christian Garin v Andreas Haider Maurer - 1.32 Maur - 346th v 90th - - WON 2 SETS
1215pm - Ti Chen v Ryan Agar - 1.19 Ti - 284th v 663rd - CANCELLED
1pm - Alize Cornet v Anett Kontaveit - 1.21 alize - 21st v 161st - LOST 2 SETS
2pm - Karin Knapp v Ipek Soylu - 1.19 Karin - 67th v 351st - WON 2 SETS
3pm - Illya Marchenko v Darian King - 1.25 Illya - 178th v 445th - LOST 2 SETS
330pm - Blaz Rola v Hans Podlipnik Castillo - 1.29 Blaz - 82nd v 225th - WON 2 SETS
4pm - Antonio Massara v Filip Veger - 1.28 Fil - 1235th v 543rd - WON 2 SETS
5pm - Cagla Buyukakcay v Karolina Pliskova - 1.25 Karol - 153rd v 47th 0-3 H2H - WON 3 SETS
6pm - Kyle Edmund v Marc Giner - 1.28 Kyle - 275th v 270th - WON 2 SETS
745pm - Denis Kudla v Mitchell Krueger - 1.26 Denis - 122nd v 394th - WON 2 SETS
TENNIS SHORT PRICES
Today's possible selections - Please note that these times seem to be indicative only. It is extremely frustrating when I'm doing my trebles, having to wait until some hours after the allotted time for the match to start.
FOOTBALL SHORTIES
Yesterday
545pm - Slovan Bratislava v The New Saints - 1.28 home - WON
6pm - BATE Borisov v Skenderbeu - 1.31 home - 0-0
7pm - FC Santa Coloma v Maccabi Tel Aviv - 1.25 away 0-1
745pm - Braintree v Norwich - 1.33 away 1-6
745pm - Dinamo Zagreb v Zalgiris - 1.23 home - 2-0
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SHORTLIST
Yesterday
All selections won yesterday
545pm - Slovan Bratislava v The New Saints - 1.28 home - I expect the Welsh side to be out of their depth in the Champions League
7pm - FC Santa Coloma v Maccabi Tel Aviv - 1.25 away - the home side are Andorran and should logically be opposed.
745pm - Dinamo Zagreb v Zalgiris - 1.23 home - rock solid at home and another Champions League apparent mis-match
1115am - Flavio Cipolla v Sergei Bubka - 1.31 Flav - 211th v 1472nd - a huge gap in rankings but why the relatively high odds? Illiquid betting market?
5pm - Cagla Buyukakcay v Karolina Pliskova - 1.25 Karol - 153rd v 47th 0-3 H2H - nice gap in rankings and confirmed with 3-0 head to heads for Pliskova
Today
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