130pm - Shakhter Karagandy v Hajduk Split  - 1.98 home
Standout stats

• this is the first leg of a 2 legged Europa League ( EL) match

Shakhter Karagandy

• 21 matches into their season so they are match fit.
• have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches
• 9 consecutive wins in all competitions is part of a run of 14 without defeat.
• In the EL, they have kept 3 consecutive clean sheets
• 3 wins in 4 in the EL.
• Prior to 2014 Shakhter have struggled in the EL, failing to win in 7 matches.
• only 1 loss in 7 home EL matches includes 2 consecutive wins to nil.

Hajduk Split

• only 4 wins in 16 EL matches
• Wins have come against the likes of Skonto, Internazionale, Turnovo and Dundalk

Profitable in-play opportunities

• this is why I don't like the Europa League. I cannot get any angles into this match so will leave it alone for trading purposes. Stats wise? Well Shakhter Karagandy are unbeaten at home in 14 matches, so if you were to play, side with the home side.

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4pm - Neftchi Baku v Chikhura Sachkhere  - 1.6 home
Standout stats

• this is a Europa League ( EL) match between 2 teams I have never heard of before. I have only included it in this bulletin because the home team's odds are very short

Neftchi Baku

• An Azerbaijan team.
• have scored and conceded in their last 9 matches at home
• only 1 win in their last 8 EL matches.
• have not won in 5 home matches in the EL

Chikhura Sachkhere

• A Georgian side
• unbeaten in 4 2014 EL matches against Turnovo and Bursaspor ( 2 0-0's and went through on penalties)

Profitable in-play opportunities

• an Azerbaijani side against a Georgian side in another imponderable EL match which is best left alone. Neftchi have a terrible EL record. 

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5pm - Dinamo Moscow v Hapoel Kiryat Shmona  - 1.26 home
Standout stats

• this is the first leg of the Europa League ( EL) between a Russian Premier League side and an Israeli side.

Dinamo Moscow

• have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches
• only 1 loss in 12 matches at home
• only 1 win in 9 EL matches, includes 4 draws.
• Recently in the EL, Dundee United won 5-0 and Stuttgart drew 1-1

Hapoel

• no win in 8 EL matches.2 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 away matches in the EL

Profitable in-play opportunities

• the market expects the Russians to win with ease.
• Expectation is for Dinamo Moscow to score between 2-4 goals today. 
• Dinamo Moscow are in good form at home. This looks like a good DRT match. It would be a shock if the Israeli side were to lead in this match.

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5pm - Elfsborg v Hafnarfjordur  - 1.6 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities




5pm - Omonia v Metalurg Skopje  - 1.43 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities




6pm - Brommapojkarna v Torino  - 1.4 away
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities




6pm - PSV v St Polten  - 1.18 home
Standout stats

• this is the first leg of a Europa League ( EL) match 

PSV

• are dutch powerhouses and the market expects them to score 3/4 goals today and possible win to nil
• are unbeaten in 7 matches, winning 6 of them
• have not had a draw in 12 matches.
• have been playing in the EL each year from 2009 to 2014
• PSV lost their last 2 EL matches against Ludogorets and Chornomorets
• PSV beat Napoli and Dinamo Zagreb in EL matches last year.

St Polten

• St Polten are an austrian league side.
• this is St Polten's debut year in the EL, where they lost away to Botev Plovdiv and beat them in the home leg.

Profitable in-play opportunities

• PSV are expected to score 3/4 goals minimum today, if the 1.18 odds are accurate. St Polten are debutants in the EL and I expect the home side to dominate at home. This makes this match a good possible DRT match. I will favour PSV . 
• There is a possibility for a goal before halftime if PSV are on song today so look to lay the 0-0 halftime score in if the match is 0-0 after 15 minutes of the first half.

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6pm - Portugal U19 v Germany U19  - 1.85 away
Standout stats

• this us a Euro U19 Championship match taking place in neutral Hungary

Portugal U19

• 9 wins and a 0-0 in their last match.
• only 1 loss in 20 matches sees Portugal in solid form

Germany u19

• unbeaten in 10 matches, with 8 wins. 2 consecutive clean sheets against Ukraine and austria.

Profitable in-play opportunities

• there is no home advantage here. We have a well-matched game between 2 very in form Under 19 teams. 
• Here's how I would trade this match. I would lay any team who goes 2-0 up in this match.
• I cannot see Germany u19 as strong market leaders here. 

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630pm - Young Boys v Ermis  - 1.38 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities




7pm - Vikingur Gota v Rijeka  - 1.24 away
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities



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7pm - Zulte-Waregem v Shakhter Soligorsk  - 1.5 home
Standout stats

• this is the first leg of a Europa League match ( EL)

Zulte

• Belgian side Zulte- Waregem have played in the EL in 2006, 2007, 2013 and 2014
• they have won 4 of their last 5 matches in the EL
• only 1 win in 7 home EL matches

Shakhter

• are a team from Belarus
• 6 consecutive wins and 8 clean sheets in their last 10 matches
• beat Derry city home and away in their 2014 EL matches

Profitable in-play opportunities

• I do get exasperated on days like this as the Europa League is not my favourite tournament, nor a tournament I tend to trade. Here is another match which is hard to decipher. Zulte-Waregam are one of the better  Belgian sides, but it is very hard to compare a team from, say Belgium, and a team from Belarus.
• Quite simply, you accept the odds or you don't.
• If you go with the betting market, then if Shakhter score first, lay them.

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730pm - Diosgyori v FK Krasnodar  - 1.47 away
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities




730pm - Mainz v Asteras Tripolis  - 1.31 home
Standout stats

• 
  

Profitable in-play opportunities



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730pm - Sociedad v Aberdeen  - 1.27 home
Standout stats

• the market expects Spanish Primera Division Sociedad to beat SPL Aberdeen and I would tend to agree. There is no competition in the Scottish Premier League.

Sociedad

• have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 9 matches
• this is Real Sociedad's debut in the Europa League.

Aberdeen

• Aberdeen have a history in the EL, starting in 2000, 2002, 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2014
• In 2014 in the EL, Aberdeen have beaten Daugava Riga home and away, drew 0-0 with Groningen and beat them away

Profitable in-play opportunities

• putting your faith in EL debutants is risky, but the simple fact is that the Spanish Primera Division is far more competitive and of much better quality than the Scottish Premier League.
• Favour the home side today therefore . Aberdeen have scored in 3 of their 4 2014 EL matches so I will lay Aberdeen if Aberdeen score first.

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745pm - Brighton v Southampton  - 2.28 away
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities




805pm - SV Grodig v Zimbru Chisinau  - 1.39 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities