A red card all but killed off Volga as Lokomotiv cruised to a 3-0 win . I thought about the 0-0 for a while but again said red card scuppered that.
Juventus did what a 1.18 shot should do, win to nil. 2-0, 2 first half goals and I was spot on - 2-4 goals and a possible win to nil. No DRT's there alas.
As easy as you like for Benfica , cruising to a 4-0 eventual win, with 2 late penalties. Only 1 goal in the first half in the Genoa match and AC Milan won 1-2 in the end in a match I was not really taken with given the relatively poor season the away side have had.
A nice DRT in the Spurs v Sunderland match which saw Sunderland threaten to " do a Sassuolo" with a 17th minute lead. My research indicated to "favour" Spurs, and when I say "favour" I mean this is the side we have on our side so if opponents score first, we can comfortably lay the opponents.
I suppose the ultra conservative amongst you would have backed 0-1 insurance and layed Sunderland incase of said " sassuolo type win"
Ath Bilbao were the form side going into the clash with levante . No 0-0 here though as Bilbao scored 2 first half goals and missed a penalty
Levante continue to fail to score - their goal was an own goal.
The Sunderland match then was the best DRT match of the night. The shorties all behaved themselves and won with ease ( which then does not present any DRT opportunities).
745pm - Blackburn v QPR - 2.48 home
Standout stats
- QPR are a side I have been following this season. 0-0 when these 2 met earlier in the season and the odds suggest an equally tight affair tonight.
- 11th v 3rd. Blackburn could conceivably be one place from the play-offs with 3 points this evening. QPR are 10 points from automatic promotion so their goal now must be the preservation of a play-off place
Blackburn
- unbeaten in 6 with 4 score draws, 3 of them 3-3,2-2,3-3
- 6 over 2.5 goals matches in their last 9
- against the top 8 at home, Blackburn are yet to win. They have drawn 4 though so warning for QPR
- In the 7 matches played home and away v top 4 sides, Blackburn have drawn 5 of them
- 9 0-0's at halftime at home is 45% of home matches
- have scored first in only 10 of 20 home matches yet only lost 5 matches at home.
QPR
- are haemorraghing points away from home at precisely the wrong time. 5 away defeats in their last 7 away matches
- Only 1 away win v the top 10 and are playing 11th today
- no draw in 8 aways against the supposed draw kings it seems, in Blackburn
- 11 0-0's at halftime away from home
- have conceded 15 of their 21 goals away in the 2nd half
Profitable in-play opportunities
- the 0-0 at halftime occurs a lot with these 2 and cannot be discounted. Neither can the draw when Blackburn play the top teams home and away.
- If QPR score first, Blackburn might be able to respond you feel, given the number of draws, and high scoring draws of late.
- do note this is a league I don't specialise in. I'm only researching because it's a quiet night.
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745pm - Chelsea v Paris St-G - 1.86 home
Standout stats
- straightforward angles in here. It's 1-3 to PSG. Chelsea have an away goal so a 2-0 home win would see them through.
- PSG for their part will go through with a simple 1-0 loss, 0-0 draw . Ideally a PSG away goal will make Chelsea's task very difficult as they'll need 3 goals.
- Imperative therefore that a clean sheet is achieved by Chelsea and that is likely to be the early focus of the first half. A 0-0 pre match therefore?
745pm - Dortmund v Real Madrid - 2.28 away
- Dortmund failed to score an away goal and that could be their downfall this evening. They must replicate a 3-0 home win in order just to stay in the tie. A Real Madrid away goal will see them through with a 3-1 home win .
- Expectation is for an attack-led game in stark contrast to Chelsea's defensive led early stages.
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745pm - Leicester v Brighton - 1.78 home
Standout stats
- a 3-1 Brighton home win earlier in the season
- this is 1st v 8th and like Blackburn, 3 points for Brighton could see them on the cusp of a play-off spot.
- leicester have a 9 point cushion at the top and a 19 point cushion to play-off spots. With 6 matches remaining and 18 points on offer to 3rd in the league, it seems leicester are promoted automatically already as they cannot finish anything less than 2nd ( I'd better phone Carole Vorderman to make sure) so this is not a must-win for Leicester and their questionable motivation means this is a match I will leave alone. We see this at this stage of the season with seeming "dead rubbers" making for tough matches to trade.
745pm - Peterborough v Gillingham - 1.69 home
Standout stats
- this is 6th v 14th Peterborough are currently in a play-ff place but only 3 points from 7th in the league. They need to win therefore.
- Gillingham are 5 points from relegation so this will keep them honest to season-end
Peterborough
- only 4 draws all season so statistically more likely to avoid draws.
- have avoided a draw in their last 10 matches but only won 6 of those matches. Troubling times
- only 5 clean sheets in 21 matches
- only 2 draws at home were 0-0
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home
Gillingham
- only 6 clean sheets all season for Gillingham
- 3 of their 5 away wins came v bottom 6 sides.
- have lost away to 1st, 2nd and 3rd but not played 4th, 5th and are playing 6th away today
- A 2-2 when these 2 met earlier in the season
- 79% over 2.5 goals away is eyecatching
- NO 0-0 this season
- have conceded 17 1st half and 20 2nd half away goals
Profitable in-play opportunities
- I don't like this league - I'll start by saying that. I am only researching as it;s a quiet night. Stats wise, can we retain faith in Peterborough avoiding a draw, enough to allow us to profit from a trade if 0-0, 1-1 for a while?
- No 0-0 this season for Gillingham so if we get a concerted 0-0, then faith in Gills conceding at some stage. That tallies with only 6 clean sheets all season!
- Both sides could score this evening.
745pm - Wigan v Millwall - 1.68 home
Standout stats
- 2-1 to Millwall in the last head to heads
Profitable in-play opportunities
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