1130am - Yokohama FM v Melbourne - 1.48 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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2pm - Orduspor v 1461 Trabzon - 1.35 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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5pm - Olympiakos v PAOK - 1.53 home
Standout stats
- this is a greek cup game
- Draw, Draw, Oly Win, PAOK win latest in head to heads. Revenge is in the air for Olympiakos ( Oly)
Olympiakos
- 4 defeats in 7 matches with the Man Utd win the catalyst for this poor form.
- only 3 defeats since February 2013 at home, 2 were in European competitions and the other a derby win for panathanaikos
- undedefeated in the cup since 2012
- undefeated in the cup at home since 2005
PAOK
- unbeaten in 6 in all competitions. Have scored and conceded in those 6 matches
- only 1 win in 9 matches away from home, with 3 consecutive draws.
- 6 consecutive wins in the cup -wins came only v 3 teams though
- 3 consecutive away wins without conceding.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Olympiakos have an excellent record at home, is that enough to swing it today against the old foe who have a win last time these 2 met. Oly have been poor since they beat Manchester United and will need to return to form. They only won 1-0 at the weekend when priced at 1.11 so are in holiday mode it seems
- PAOK are poor recently away from home in all competitions. Enough to oppose them?
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530pm - Roma v Parma - 1.47 home
Standout stats
- a rescheduled match, abandoned after a waterlogged pitch
- Roma have won 4 of the last 5 meetings
- 1st v 6th. 11 points shy of Juventus could become 8 points shy with a win. 8 matches to go til the end of the season is ample time for Roma to plug the gap, albeit hoping on a few Juventus draws/defeats .Parma have lively hopes of a top 5 finish
Roma
- only 2 defeats all season
- 4 consecutive wins.
- a solid run of home clean sheets has ended with the concession of 2 and 1 goals in the last 2 matches
- have failed to score in only 5 matches this season
- Roma have scored 2 consecutive 90 minute goals now so watch out for late late action
- are unbeaten at home
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home is about a 1/3rd of matches
- have conceded only 1 goal first half at home
- no opponent has scored first at Roma or led at halftime
Parma
- 2 consecutive away defeats to Juventus and lazio
- parma have scored and conceded in their last 4 matches
- 3 90 minute goals have been scored in Parma's last 5 matches
- have failed to score in only 6 matches all season
- some high scoring matches away to top 10 teams , 2-1, 0-1, 2-2, 3-3, 0-4, 3-2, 3-2, 2-4 is very consistent in the amount of goals per match
- have scored in their last 10 away matches
- have scored 11 goals in the last 1/4 hour of matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- speculate on some 90th minute action today given the prevalence of goals at that time in both of these team's recent matches
- only 2 defeats all seasons favours Roma. Both teams could reasonably score today given that Parma's matches away to top 10 have seen 2-1, 2-2, 3-3, 3-2, 3-2, 2-4 scorelines. Speculators might like to average these and back over 4.5 goals /lay under 4.5 goals particularly if 0-0 for a while
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545pm - Go Ahead Eagles v Breda - 2.12 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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545pm - Heracles v Feyenoord - 1.83 away
Standout stats
- 10th v 2nd. 10th place is only 6 points from relegation. Feyenoord will be hoping for an Ajax slip up or 2 and they must keep their side of the bargain by winning
- Feyenoord were unbeaten in 5 head to heads until the last 2 where they lost in the league and drew in the cup
- 2 consecutive 2-1 wins really needed given how close they were to the bottom sides
- this is not the norm though. 2 wins in 10 prior to those 2 matches
- have failed to score in only 1 of their last 15 matches
- only 3 clean sheets all season
- only 1 win v teams above them at home and only 2 wins v 14th and above at home
- Did score draw against 2nd and 3rd
- have scored in their last 8 at home and conceded in their last 6 at home
- only 2 0-0's at halftime at home
Feyenoord
- only 4 defeats in 26 matches
- only 1 defeat in 9 matches
- have won their last 3 matches without conceding
- have scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 away matches
- failed to score in only 1 match this season
- only 2 defeats v top 10 came v 1st and 9th and both were 2-1
- 11 out of 14 away matches saw both teams score
- have scored in their last 15 matches
- only 2 0-0's at halftime away
- have scored 13 away goals in the first 1/2 hour
- Feyenoord are statistically likely to score, so bear that in mind if this is 0-0 or Heracles is leading.
- Heracles have a good chance of scoring too as they have only failed to score in 1 of their last 15 matches and score drew 2nd and 3rd at home.
- Only 4 defeats in 26 matches for Feyenoord suggests that statistically they have more of a chance of winning or drawing today
- Chance a 0-0 halftime score lay as both teams could score, and Feyenoord really get out of the blocks away from home
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545pm - Twente v ADO Den Haag - 1.29 home
Standout stats
- both teams have scored in all bar one of the last 7 head to heads
- ADO won the last match 3-2 so it looks like a revenge mission today for Twente
- 5th v 13th. Ajax seem assured of the title but 2nd place is very much up for grabs. ADO den Haag are only 3 points clear of the relegation zone
Twente
- only 5 defeats all season but 2 in their last 3 matches, both came away. If they'd have won those, then it would be the title they'd be contesting
- have failed to score in only 4 matches all season
- only 7 clean sheets this season and have only had 2 clean sheets in 20 matches
- unbeaten at home, with draws v top and bottom sides and all wins v 7th to 15th inclusive
- have scored in their last 13 homes
- 64% of home matches over 3.5 goals
- only 4 0-0's at halftime at home
- prolific at home, 15 first half and 22 2nd half goals
ADO
- as we see from strugglers, a tendency to put together an unbeaten run at the right time. Unbeaten in 7
- have scored and conceded in their last 5 matches with 3 1-1 scorelines in their last 4
- only 3 clean sheets this season
- only 1 win away v top 10
- failed to score v 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th
- 4 0-0's at halftime away from home
- only 1 0-0 away from home
- have conceded a whopping 12 goals in the last 1/4 hour of the first half away
Profitable in-play opportunities
- both sides with equal motivation for 3 points and at this time of the season we do see the odd Palace 1 Chelsea 0 type of scoreline.
- ADO should concede at some stage with only 3 clean sheets all season.
- Twente are unbeaten at home so that is a decent angle in.
- If this match is 0-0 coming into the 30th minute, lay the 0-0 halftime score
545pm - Waalwijk v Ajax - 1.35 away
Standout stats
- Ajax usually win head to heads bar a 0-0 last time these 2 met
- 16th v top. Such is the tightness at the bottom, Waalwijk on 30 points are 6 points shy of a top 10 spot! Ajax have an 8 point cushion, and will that engender Olympiakos-like complacency?
Waalwijk
- a run of 5 without a win, ended with a 0-1 last time out.
- have scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 home matches
- failed to score in only 3 all season
- only 6 clean sheets this season
- WOW! Have beaten 2nd,m 3rd and 4th and drawn with 5th at home
- scored and conceded in 11 of 14 home matches
- have scored in all home matches
- only 3 0-0's at halftime at home
- have scored 10 home goals in the last 1/4 hour
Ajax
- unbeaten in 17 matches and only 3 defeats all season
- A 0-0 draw last away match. Surely not a 2nd consecutive 0-0 away?
- failed to score in only 4 matches all seaosn
- much more vulnerable away from home but have beaten 15th, 17th and 18th
- 3 0-0's at halftime away
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Beware Waalwijk at home to top 5, they are unbeaten. The 0-0 away to ajax is proof of some tactic which works re the big boys ( so why not employ it in all matches then?)
- Both sides could reasonably score here today, although a 0-0 needs respecting, it is unlikely to re-occur.
- an intriguing match given Waalwijk's home form v top sides. Recent form though points to Ajax not losing.
- You might want to back 0-0 pre-match as insurance incase the 0-0 of last meeting and Ajax;s last away match surfaces
745pm - Hearts v Aberdeen - 1.57 away
Standout stats
- Well, well, Hearts have won the last 2 head to heads 2-1 and 1-3
- there has been a red card in the last 2 head to heads
- 12th v 3rd. Hearts deducted 15 points at the start of the season so this is a pointless exercise this season
- Aberdeen have 2nd place available
Hearts
- 6 wins all season for all their pre-season woes.
- 2 wins at home in the last 4.
- only 4 clean sheets this season
- 8 at home without a draw
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home is 1/3rd of matches
- have scored first in only 3 of 15 home matches
Aberdeen
- 2 consecutive 1-1 draws is like dropping 4 points
- scored and conceded in 5 of the last 6
- have failed to score in 5 this season
- only 1 win in their last 4 away matches
- have scored in their last 10 away matches
- 8 0-0's at halftime away is 53% of away matches
- have scored 17 goals in the last 1/2 hour of away matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- only 4 clean sheets all season for Hearts suggests they will concede at some point. Aberdeen are statistically likely to score first in a match where both teams have a chance of scoring.
- watch out for late antics from Aberdeen. 17 away goals scored in the last 1/2 hour.
- The halftime 0-0 stats are high for these 2 so I would not be laying 0-0 halftime score
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745pm - Paris St-G v Chelsea - 2.06 home
Standout stats
- another toughie to get an angle into.
PSG
- 9 consecutive wins in all competitions featuring 7 clean sheets
- 5 consecutive wins at home in all competitions, scoring at least 2 goals in each.
- only 1 defeat in 16 CL matches came against benfica
- unbeatena at home since 2012 in the CL
Chelsea
- only 5 wins in 10 in all competitions includes that customary 1-0 loss before the Champions League
- only 1 wins in 6 in all competitions away from home
- only Basel have beaten Chelsea recently in the Champions League ( CL)
- loss and draw in last 2 CL matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- PSG need to keep a clean sheet, Chelsea need to score, that's the bottom line. The research hasn't really brought anything up.
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745pm - Peterborough v Colchester - 1.66 home
I have learnt my lesson delving into these lesser leagues. But that's not to say I won't investigate this match if Colchester contrive to score first or lead 0-2. Also look for 0-0 at halftime. We would expect goals surely if a team is priced at 1.66.
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745pm - Real Madrid v Dortmund - 1.38 home
Standout stats
- this should be a cracker with 2 very attacking teams. Real are likely to score - they have scored 6-4-2-2-4-2-6-3 in recent CL matches
- Dortmund have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches
- 6 consecutive home wins for Real Madrid in the CL
- Dortmund have won their last 3 away matches in the CL 1-2, 1-2, 2-4
Profitable in-play opportunities
- There should be goals here surely? Both teams to score and Real Madrid quite simply out to outscore Dortmund over 2 legs. This should not be a 0-0 cautious affair unless Real madrid have a tactical by-pass.
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