7am - Iwata v Thespakusatsu Gunma - 1.32 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
12pm - FC Koln v Arminia Bielefeld - 1.36 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
1215pm - Wigan v Leeds - 1.56 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
1245pm - Dundee Utd v Celtic - 1.62 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
1245pm - Man City v Southampton - 1.33 home
Standout stats
- both sides have scored in the last 5 head to heads
- It's been tight in the Premiership between these 2.1-1 last time out
- 3rd v 8th. City must turn the screw and make their games in hand count, particularly at home
Man City
- have lost only 5 matches this season
- 5 clean sheets in their last 6 matches
- have failed to score in only 4 matches this season
- all wins at home bar a 0-1 v Chelsea
- 71% over 2.5 goals at home and 57% over 3.5 goals at home
- only 3 0-0's at halftime at home
- have scored 48 at home and conceded only 9
Southampton
- have won 3 of their last 4 matches
- all draws this season bar 1 have been score draws, so therefore only 1 0-0 this season
- 13 over 2.5 goals matches in their last 16
- have failed to score in only 5 matches this season
- have only won 1 match home and away v top 7 ( 0-1 shut out of Liverpool)
- have lost to 2nd, 4th, 5th and 6th away conceding 2/3 goals
- all wins bar 2 this season home and away have come v 13th in the league and lower
- have scored in their last 10 away matches
- 5 0-0's at halftime away is about 1/3rd of away matches
- apart from a seemingly anomolous win over Liverpool, Saints tend to conceded 2/3 goals in defeats v the best in the league. They also find it difficult to win against teams positioned above them in the league.
- there is a statistical liking for over 2.5 goals for these 2 sides, and I think both sides could contribute to the scoring ( saints have scored in their last 10 away matches). Man City have failed to score in only 4 matches this season.
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1255pm - England (W) v Montenegro (W) - 1.01 home
A quick mention for this game. We've had some fun with 1.01 shots in the past. Usually look towards a large scoreline and an apparent win to nil. Do you remember the German ladies recently who I think won 9-0? With Eng-er-land ladies, I'd look to something like 6-0 starters. There will be greater liquidity in the bookmakers/Betfair sports book. This is a Womens' World Cup Qualification match for European teams.
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130pm - Kryliya Sovetov v CSKA Moscow - 1.72 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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230pm - Augsburg v B Munich - 1.43 away
Bayern Munich cannot reasonably be researched anymore as they had the title wrapped up 2 weeks ago. Since then they very uncharacteristically drew 3-3 at home , after going behind to Hoffenheim.
Augsburg for their part are 8th and in relative comfort.
Augsburg
- have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches
- have not won in 4 matches, losing 3.
- have not had a clean sheet in 13 matches
- have only had 1 0-0 at halftime in 13 matches
- have lost to all of the top 5 teams they have played in home ( playing the last of the quintet today)
- have scored and conceded in 5 of 6 matches home to the top 7.
- 77% over 2.5 goals at home
- only 2 0-0's at halftime at home
- have scored 10 goals in the first half hour of home matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- you would expect Pep Gladioli and his boys to ensure professionalism and seek an undefeated season but it's hard to weigh up the mentality of a team who have won the title and have the Champions League to now focus on.
- Augsburg for their part - well we might see both teams scoring today. Statistically they are poor agaiinst the top 5 and are likely to lose ( ordinarily)
- there might be a goal before halftime
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230pm - Eintracht Frankfurt v Mainz - 2.54 home
Standout stats
- Mainz are unbeaten in 4 head to heads
- this is 11th v 7th and a top 4 place is there for Mainz with a good run.
Frankfurt
- only 2 defeats in their last 8 matches
- only 1 defeat in their last 7 home matches
- have failed to score in only 6 matches all season
- have had only 1 0-0 at halftime in their last 12 matches
- losses at home to 1st, 2nd 5th and 9th amongst top 10 with 3 1-2 losses.
- 3 0-0's at halftime away
- only 1 0-0 all season
- have scored most goals at home between the 31st and 60th minutes
Mainz
- only 3 losses in 14 matches
- only 2 defeats in 9 away matches
- have failed to score in only 5 matches this season/
- 6 away losses and conceded 3+ goals in 5 of those matches.
- have scored and conceded away v 8th and below
- 4 0-0's at halftime away
- have conceded 20 of their 28 away goals 2nd half.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Mainz have the upper hand in head to heads and the motivation against a mid table side in no real dangers.
- Both sides could score today. It happens in nearly all of Mainz's away matches.
- Frankfurt are solid at home recently but like Mainz their form has no real patterns. with Frankfurt losing only 1 of their last 7 matches, we also see a Mainz side with only 2 defeats in 9 matches.
- Stick perhaps with a both teams to score trade or lay the team which leads 2-0?
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230pm - Nurnberg v Mgladbach - 2.22 away
Standout stats
- head to heads tend to go in waves. Mgladbach have 2 wins on the trot, then Nurnberg 3 on the trot and now we are back to Mgladbach winning 2 most recently, scoring 3 in each of those 2 wins.
- 16th v 6th. This is NOT a dead rubber. Nurnberg can get out of the relegation zone with a win. Mgladbach can push for 4th place and take advantage of Leverkusen losing yesterday
Nurnberg
- what a season! No win in 17 matches ended with 4 wins in 5, and now 5 defeats in 6 matches. Frustration - solace - frustration!
- Won their last home match
- have only kept 3 clean sheets all season
- since March are consistently conceding goals - 3-2-2-5-0-3
- 2 of 3 wins at home have come v bottom 2, the other win - against the mightly Hoff of course! Not a going day for Hoff that day as they lost 4-0.
- against the top 7 sides at home, they lost to bayern but drew with 2nd, 3rd, 5th and 7th which suggests certain tactics against these teams ( and Mgladbach are 6th )
- 3 0-0's at halftime at home
- have conceded 17 of 24 goals in the 2nd half at home
Mgladbach
- only 2 defeats in 8 matches
- 3 wins in their last 4 matches so Nurnberg may be catching Mgladbach at a bad time for them!
- failed to score in 5 matches only this season
- only 1 clean sheet in 12 matches
- most vulnerable away from home, BUT against 15th and lower, we see 2 away wins and a 1-1 draw with bottom.
- only 2 0-0's at halftime away
- only 1 0-0 all season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Mgladbach are riding the wave of wins in head to heads. Will this momentum see them through? They have a solid record away to bottom 4 sides with 2 wins and a draw.
- We might see both sides score today as they did in the most recent head to heads. Since March, Nurnberg are conceding 2+ goals a game and Mgladbach themselves have only 1 clean sheet in 12 matches.
- Nurnberg's wins at home won't seem to trouble Mgladbach, 2 were v bottom 2 sides and the other v Hoffenheim, a team we know can be ultra inconsistent !
- this should not end 0-0 and we might have a chance of a goal before halftime
230pm - Stuttgart v Freiburg - 1.9 home
Standout stats
- Stuttgart have won the last 2 league encounters. Both teams have scored in the last 4 encounters ( which involve 2 cup matches)
- 16th v 14th. Stuttgart are 3rd bottom. Freiburg have 5 points more. This is a very important match for both sides as Freiburg could be on the cusp of a top 10 place with a win!
Stuttgart
- only1 win in 13 matches was a 1-0 home win v strugglers Hamburg. 10 of those 13 matches were losses
- 12 over 2.5 goals matches in their last 14.
- have failed to score in only 4 matches
- have kept only 3 clean sheets all season
- against 12th and under seems to be where Stuttgart mine for points. only 1 loss in 10 matches home and away v 12th and lower.
- Stuttgart have scored in their last 8 home matches
- only 1 0-0 at home at halftime
- no 0-0 all season
- have scored 15 of their last 22 goals in the first half.
Freiburg
- 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 matches
- only 4 clean sheets all season
- Freiburg are unbeaten away to 9th and lower.
- 7 0-0's at halftime away from home ( 50% of matches)
Profitable in-play opportunities
- it looks as if both teams could score today such is the negativity of their clean sheet stats this season. That ties in with Stuttgart's over 2.5 goals stats in their last 14 matches.
- The halftime stats are incongruous.
- Freiburg are good away from home v 9th and lower - is that the key stat if Stuttgart score first?
230pm - W Bremen v Schalke - 2.02 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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3pm - Aston Villa v Fulham - 1.95 home
Standout stats
- this is a match for the home team historically. A 1-0 and 1-1 in the last 2 visits of Fulham for Aston Villa
- this is 12th v 20th. Villa are 9 points clear of relegation presently. Fulham are not out of it yet although they are 5 points shy of 17th. They need a winning run to the end of the season.
Aston Villa
- only 3 wins in 11 matches
- lost their last 2 matches 4-1!
- That was the 3rd 4-1 in 4 matches ( a win and 2 defeats)
- recently at home it's very Jekyll and Hyde, win by 4, lose 0-2, win 4-1, lose 1-4!
- only 3 clean sheets in 18 matches
- Aston Villa have only lost 2 matches home and away ( from 12) against teams below them in the league. Clean sheets at home v 18th and 19tth
- It is against 15th and 17th at home that Villa have scored 4 goals
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home
Fulham
- only 1 win in 12 matches was a 1-0 home win v Newcastle.
- Fulham have been conceding heavily of late ( recently 6-1-4-2-2-3-2-3-1-3-3-0-5-3) . Remembering that Villa have scored 4 goals against 15th and 17th in the league at home, you never know, they could meet a fulham in concession mood again?
- only 4 clean sheets all season
- no win in 11 away, includes 9 defeats
- Fulham's wins away only begin agianst 15th and lower.
- Fulham have failed to score away in 9 of the 11 away matches played v 14th and above
- Fulham have conceded in their last 15 away matches
- 7 0-0's at halftime is nearly as many as Aston Villa
- Fulham have conceded 29 of their 39 goals away in the 2nd half.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- the home team is favoured historically even if said team have lost their last 2 matches 4-1?
- Aston Villa are more reliable v teams below them in the league and given their clean sheets v the bottom 2 at home, and Fulham's failure to score in 9 of 11away matches v 14th and above, we might get a clean sheet from Villa today?
- They have though only scored first in 4 home matches.
- Speculators might want to note Fulham's conceded goals, 3 regularly, rising to 5 and 6. Speculate on a 4-1, 4-0 Villa win if you feel like a speculative correct score bet?
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3pm - Atl Madrid v Villarreal - 1.55 home
Standout stats
- Atl Madrid are unbeaten in the last 4 head to heads.
- this is 1st v 7th
- this is a must win for Atl Madrid although they have a slight distraction of the 2nd leg of the Champions League match at home to Barcelona on the 9th April.
Atl Madrid
- only 3 defeats all season came away from home
- unbeaten in 6 matches with a 5 match unbeaten run
- 4 clean sheets in those 5 matches
- failed to score in only 4 this season
- unbeaten at home. All wins bar 3 draws v top 5 sides. Scored 4-3-3 v 6th, 8th and 9th
- 69% over 2.5 goals at home
- 4 0-0's at halftime at home is 1/4 of home matches. Have had 4 0-0's at halftime in their last 5 matches
- Diego Costa is the man at home for goals. Look negatively if he is rested with the Champions League in mind.
- ultra consistent goal scoring throughout the 90 minutes. In every quarter hour period from the 15th minute to the 90th, Atl Madrid score about 8 goals a quarter hour!
- no opponent has led at halftime at madrid
Villareal
- only 2 wins in 9 matches
- only 2 clean sheets in 17 matches
- have lost away to 2nd, 3rd and 4th conceding 2 goals minimum
- no draw in 12 away matches
- 2 0-0's at halftime away
- only 1 0-0 this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- so tricky to evaluate. Keep the title push BUT balance with a home Champions League clash with Barcelona. What gives? Atl Madrid are unbeaten at home so the onus is on them to take advantage of a Villareal who have lost to the top 4 away, conceding 2 goals minimum.
- Failed to score in only 4 this season so expect an Atl Madrid goal at some stage if 0-0 for a while.
- Will Diego Costa be rested? Look for team news!
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3pm - Bournemouth v QPR - 2.46 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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3pm - Brentford v Notts Co - 1.44 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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3pm - Cardiff v C Palace - 2.4 home
Standout stats
- I was delighted for Tony Pulis and that patented 1-0 win against a pre-Champions League Chelsea side. More of the same, albeit away , today?
- there is only one head to head of relevance from the Premiership era for these 2, a 2-0 home win for Palace
- this is 18th v 16th and you feel palace saw the 3 points against Chelsea as an unexpected bonus. Palace are now 5 points clear of the relegation zone and must get something when playing the bottom 3 in order to preserve that precious gap.
Cardiff
- there have been some big total goals in recent Cardiff matches - 6-2-3-3-0-4-1-4-3-9-6 in recent matches is particularly eye-catching.
- only 2 wins in the last 16 matches saw Cardiff win 2 matches at home.
- only 1 clean sheet in 16 matches
- Cardiff remain unbeaten at home to the bottom 6 sides, where Crystal palace still reside
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home is about 38% and a stat that will interest 0-0 backers given today's opponents.
Crystal Palace
- only 1 over 2.5 goals match in their last 14 is the signature of Tony Pulis.
- 4 consecutive under 1.5 goals matches now ( there have been 12 under 1.5 goals matches under Tony Pulis's reign)
- 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches
- 3 consecutive 0-0's in their last 4 matches
- have only scored in 6 matches away
- only 3 matches played against the bottom 6, 1-0 loss, 2-0 loss and 0-0 - again Palace having troubles scoring.
- Positive results away v 12th ( 0-1), 13th (1-1) and 14th (0-1)
- 20% over 2.5 goals away from home
- 8 0-0's at halftime away from home is over 50%
- have only scored 2 goals in the first 75 minutes of away football.
- this is likely to be a typically tight affair. Both sides have a high percentage of matches 0-0 at halftime and Crystal Palace do have problems scoring away from home. Cardiff seem to cope well against bottom 6 sides and Crystal palace seem not to score in their 3 matches away to bottom 6
- we see a pattern then, but how much with the win against Chelsea have galvanised palace?
- What do we make of Cardiff's total goals in recent matches? Will this end against a highly defensive Palace?
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3pm - Chesterfield v Newport County - 1.7 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
3pm - Falkirk v Cowdenbeath - 1.52 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
3pm - Hull v Swansea - 2.74 home
Standout stats
- 14th v 13th and both teams are 7 points clear of 3rd bottom. IS this the magic number? It will take 3rd bottom 3 wins to overtake Hull and Swansea and that is without Hull or Swansea winning!
- only 1 head to head of relevance was a 1-1 draw with Hull scoring first.
Hull
- only 1 draw in 15 matches
- 4 defeats in their last 5 matches.
- Hull's last 4 wins came without conceding a goal. If you think they can shut Swansea out, then they have a chance to win.
- Hull have had a really tough run at home, playing Chelsea, Tottenham, Southampton, Newcastle, Manchester City, before winning against lesser opposition West Brom.
- outside the top 10, Hull seem to cope at home. In 9 matches at home v 10th and lower, Hull have lost only once , a typical Crystal Palace 0-1 smash 'n' grab.
- 7 clean sheets at home v 10th and lower!
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home
Swansea
- only 3 wins in 18 matches were all at home and all to nil
- have scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches
- Swansea must be worried about their recent concessions away - 2-2-1-4-3-2 although like Hull at home, Swansea have played the likes of man Utd, Liverpool, Everton, Arsenal.
- Swansea, like Hull, perform better against teams below them in the league.
- only 2 defeats home and away agianst teams below them, one was away in a local derby v Cardiff.
- no win in 10 away matches
- have conceded in their last 13 away matches
- 4 0-0's at halftime away
Profitable in-play opportunities
- the odds tell you as much. A real headscratcher. Here we have 2 teams who cope best against the bottom sides ( where these 2 both reside). In Hull we see a home side able to keep clean sheets v 10th and below, so a great advantage, but then in Swansea we see an away side who do pretty much all of their losing v top 8 sides.
- Both sides are coming off a run of fixtures home and away v the better teams in the league, so will see this as an easier assignment.
- I'll pass on this I'm afraid., I cannot split these 2, neither can the league - equal points!
3pm - Newcastle v Man Utd - 2.02 away
Standout stats
- as part of the, erm, Moyes revolution, Newcastle won 0-1 at Old Trafford.
- the 9th April 2014 sees the small matter of an away trip to bayern munich and this might be a distraction for Manchester United.
- this is 9th v 7th. - United are currently 6 points off 5th spot
- only 4 wins in 14 matches and living off early season efforts
- Newacstle have won 2 of their last 3 home matches 1-0
- Newcastle failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches
- Newcastle have only beaten one team above them in the league ( Chelsea)
- Newcastle failed to score at home v 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th
- Newcastle have had 6 0-0's at halfitme at home
manchester United
- all of United's wins, bar 1, have come v 10th and below. Almost everton-ish!
- United have not beaten any of the top 10 teams they have played away from home
- 3 0-0's at halftime away
- score first in 1/2 of away matches
- statistically, United struggle v top 10 teams , but a team with only 4 wins in 14 matches doesn't scream out top 10, do they?
- Add to this, the Bayern Munich factor, and United look opposable , despite Newcastle being a bit dodgy at present!
- this might be 0-0 at halftime so don't be surprised.
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3pm - Norwich v West Brom - 2.44 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
3pm - Nottm Forest v Millwall - 1.74 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
3pm - Partick v Hearts - 1.78 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
3pm - Rochdale v York City - 1.8 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
3pm - Shakhtar v Karpaty - illiquid
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
3pm - Slovan Liberec v Banik Ostrava - 1.84 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
3pm - Wolves v Peterborough - 1.64 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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330pm - SV Grodig v Red Bull Salzburg - 1.41 away
Secondary leagues. Well you get what you're given! A league of only 10 and a huge surprise that 1.1 shots Red Bull were held to a 0-0 last weekend.I suppose it's not a problem when you're 23 points clear and only the return of Elvis, riding the Loch Ness Monster, stealing the Red Bull first team, will stop them claiming the title.
So we have that dangerous word " complacency" with Red Bull.
Red Bull have failed to score in 2. Will that really continue despite having the title in the bag?
Their opponents Grodig have conceded 10 goals in their last 2 matches so a motivated Red Bull can really go to town ( if they can be bothered - welcome to trading at the end of the season!!)
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4pm - Paris St-G v Reims - 1.28 home
Standout stats
- PSG won 0-3 in November 2013
- this is 1st v 7th and I must enter a Champions league warning! They play Chelsea on the 8th April after a less than comprehensive ( own goal and 90th minute goal) 3-1 win against Chelsea.
- this is 1st v 7th. 13 points ahead of Monaco, you feel that PSG actually have enough in hand to sacrifice this match in favour of being fresh for the Chelsea away clash
PSG
- only 1 defeat all season was the only match PSG failed to score.
- 7 consecutive wins and 5 consecutive clean sheets
- unbeaten at home
- have scored in all home matches
- 3 0-0's at halftime at home
- have scored 42 goals at home and Ibra and Cavani have scored 28!
- scored first in 14 of their 15 home matches
Reims
- have lost their last 3 away matches conceding 3-3-2.
- a tough team to read. Wins away v 3rd, 5th and 6th , defeats conceding 3 and 4 v 2nd and 4th!
- 9 0-0's at halftime away - 53% of away matches
- have conceded 10 goals in the last 1/4 hour away
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Reims are tough to read, and at their worse would concede 3/4 goals against a motivated PSG. the away match with Chelsea will be at the forefront of PSG's minds,m and their points gap is big enough that a loss today will not overtly concern, sacrificing it for a Champions league berth?
- This makes this match tough to predict. Were PSG to play as per normal, then they score bucket loads at home, Ibra and Cavani have 28 between themselves. PSG tend to score first at home to so any DRT might depend on a 0-0 lay 2nd half?
- Do note Reims have conceded 3-3-2 in their last 3 away so are there for the taking if PSG are up for this and not pre-occupied.
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5pm - Barcelona v Betis - 1.06 home
1.06 as you know should normally equal 3/4 goals minimum and a win to nil, but Barcelona have a Champions League trip to Atl Madrid on the 9th April which is not a given as Atl Madrid have the away goal. Barcelona have suffered from " the curse of the Champions League" in the past, most recently a 0-1 loss.
With the title on the line too, this match is a must win for both Barcelona and for Atl Madrid who also play, so I suspect the first team will be played and then substituted if there is a significant lead.
We normally expect a goal before halftime with 1.06 shots.
betis are bottom of the league
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5pm - Besiktas v Kayserispor - 1.69 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
5pm - Chievo v Verona - 2.44 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
5pm - Widzew Lodz v Wisla Krakow - 2.06 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
530pm - Chelsea v Stoke - 1.28 home
Standout stats
- the curse of the Champions League to strike Chelsea again in a match they are priced to win? Chelsea lost to Crystal Palace before losing to PSG in the Champions League. This home match will be a distraction given Chelsea are 3-1 down to PSG and play them again at home mid week
- Stoke won 3-2 at home earlier in the season with a 90th minute winner.
- This is 2nd v 10th. Stoke are safe now and should not threaten the European placings. Chelsea are 2 points shy of Liverpool so must field a first team and must win surely or title hopes will diminish ( Man City are waiting with their 2 games in hand)
Chelsea
- 2 away 1-0 defeats in a row part of only 5 defeats all season
- 5 consecutive home matches to nil includes 4 wins
- have only failed to score in 7 matches this season
- unbeaten at home and have only conceded more than 1 goal in one home match
- 69% over 2.5 goals at home
- 50% of home matches saw clean sheets
- 4 0-0's at halftime at home
- 19 goals scored in the first half and 20 2nd half at home. Very consistent through the 90 minutes
Stoke City
- only 1 defeat in 9 was a 1-0 loss away to Man City. Solid recent form sees 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches.
- only 2 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- quite eyecatchingly, Stoke have lost all matches away to top 7 sides. Note only 1-0 losses to 1st and 3rd away and are playing 2nd today.
- Stoke have conceded in their last 8 away matches
- 6 0-0's at halftime away
- have only conceded 4 goals in the first 1/2 hour away. It is after that 1/2 hour that Stoke are more vulnerable.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- the curse of the Champions league may strike again - surely not though for a Chelsea side who have lost 1-0 away to the likes of Villa and Crystal Palace, again in pre Champions league matches!!
- this is a must win for Chelsea to keep the pressure on Liverpool and Manchester City
- This might be a tight match
- Clearly Stoke away, ordinarily, lost away to top teams! Their recent form may give them confidence but losing to 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th , 7th is resounding ( albeit only 1-0 losses to City and Liverpool!) Another 1-0 today against a pre CL Chelsea ?
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530pm - Dortmund v Wolfsburg - 1.49 home
Standout stats
- both teams have scored in the last 5 meetings and Wolfsburg are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. And remember this is a pre-Champions league Dortmund who again were losing 0-2 last league match before a Champions league match ( prior to that they lost all 4 league matches before a Champions league match)
- the 8th April sees the visit of Real madrid who have a 3-0 advantage ( no away goals conceded)
- Dortmund want to hold on to a top 3 spot to ensure European football ( they are 2nd)., while Wolfsburg in 5th are eyeing up 3rd spot and there are enough matches to nab that ( other results pending!)
Dortmund
- only 2 defeats in 11 came in , yes, you guessed, pre-Champiions League matches
- have failed to score in 5
- are a totally reliable betting proposition when they DON'T have a champions league match coming up!!
- 5 clean sheets in their last 8 matches
- WOW! It's a league of 2 halves for Dortmund. They have won all home matches v 11th and lower. They have not won any v top 10 teams at home
- 71% over 2.5 goals at home
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home - 36% of matches
- have scored 21 of their 32 home goals in the 2nd half
Wolfsburg
- only 4 defeats in 20 matches.
- have scored and conceded in 16 of their last 18 matches
- unbeaten in 4 with 2 score draws ( to be expected when you score and concede) and 2 wins
- have scored in their last 20 matches
- only 5 clean sheets all season
- only 9 under 2.5 goals matches all season
- like Dortmund at home, Wolfsburg away have trouble v the top 7 where they have failed to win.They have lost to 1st, 3rd and 4th away
Profitable in-play opportunities
- this is the time to get Dortmund although will they be playing safe in the knowledge their home tie v Real Madrid seems a lost cause. Will they really keep Real from scoring the killer away goal?
- Head to heads and this curse of the Champions League make Dortmund totally unappealing at 1.49. As does the fact they are yet to win at home to top 10 opposition.
- But then again Wolfsburg have lost to the top 4 away and failed to beat any of the top 7.
- One thing we could hope for is a goal from both sides. Wolfsburg have a terrible habit of scoring and conceding consistently.
- If 0-0 for a while, should be expect a Wolfsburg score? They have scored in their last 20 matches.
- At 1.49 Dortmund are layable. At anything other than a pre-Champions league match, Dortmund are ultra reliable!
545pm - Heerenveen v PSV - 1.82 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
6pm - Olhanense v Braga - 1.74 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
6pm - Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb - 1.61 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
645pm - Breda v Twente - 1.66 away
Standout stats
- Twente are unbeaten in the last 6 head to heads. The last was a comprehensive 5-2 win
- this is 13th v 3rd. Breda are 4 points from relegation. Twente are 22 points away from Ajax in 1st spot but 4 points shy of 2nd spot.
Breda
- no win in 7 matches includes 5 draws
- 3 consecutive draws at home includes a 0-0 v Ajax
- against the top 4 at home, Breda have drawn 0-0 v 1st, 1-1 v 2nd and 1-2 loss v 4th. So Breda are not winning but matches are keenly contested.
- have 7 0-0's at halftime at home , that;s nearly 50% of home matches
- have scored and conceded 7 goals in the last 1/4 hour of home matches
Twente
- only 3 defeats in 19 matches were all away and 2 of them came in the last 2 away matches
- have failed to score in only 4 matches this season but did fail to score in their last 2 away match defeats
- only 2 clean sheets in 21 matches
- all defeats have come away and lost away to 14th and 15th ( playing 13th today)
- 4 0-0's at halftime away from home, 27% of away matches).
- no away 0-0's
- have scored 17 goals in the last 1/2 hour of away matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- historically it's tight when these 2 meet. On current form though, Twente are the form side, BUT to make our job even harder they have lost their last 2 away matches and without scoring. Surely they won't lose a 3rd consecutive away match without scoring , considering they have only failed to score 4 times this season.
- Both teams could reasonably score here, with breda scoring and conceding v 2nd and 4th and Twente keeping only 2 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- 3 consecutive draws at home for breda is a sequence which will end soon
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645pm - NEC Nijmegen v Cambuur - 2.3 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
7pm - Sociedad v Real Madrid - 1.56 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
730pm - ACS Poli Timisoara v Steaua Bucharest - 1.35 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
730pm - Lech Poznan v Jagiellonia Bialystock - 1.65 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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745pm - Inter v Bologna - 1.4 home
Standout stats
- Bologna won in March 2013 and drew after scoring first at home in November 2013. The market expects Inter to not slip up here.
- this is 5th v 17th . Staying in the top 5 is Inter's goal you'd think. Bologna are one point from relegation so 3 points is key
Inter
- only 1 loss in 9 matches
- 2 consecutive draws now and threw away a 0-2 lead against Livorno
- have kept 4 clean sheets in the last 6 matches
- only 2 defeats at home, but 4 draws in 6 matches against bottom 7 sides ( where Bologna reside)
- have kept home clean sheets v 18th and 19th and 20th, and playing 17th today
- 7 0-0's at home at halftime is 44% of home matches
- have scored first in only 1/2 of home matches yet lost only 2.
Bolgona
- only 3 wins in 21 matches, 2 of which were 1-0's which occured at home
- have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches
- have failed to score in 6 of their last 8 matches
- have not won any matches played, home or away, v the top 10
- 6 0-0's at halftime away
- have scored first in only 3 matches away this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- head to heads suggest a battle with Bologna. Inter though are in good form with only 1 defeat in 9 matches. They have not conceded against bottom 3 sides at home.
- Inter have scored first in only 1/2 of home matches yet only lost 2. This tells us that , if Bologna score first, Inter are statistically likely to be able to equalise.
- The 0-0 halftime stats are big!
750pm - France (W) v Kazakhstan (W) - 1.01 home
See England ( W) earlier regarding 1.01 shots. Look at many goals. Hope for a 0-0 for a while and then back something like over 6.5 goals , preferably with a bookmaker or Betfair Sportsbook as the markets are likely to be illiquid on the Betting exchange
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815pm - Pacos Ferreira v Sp Lisbon - 1.76 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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