SUNDAY from www.ladbrokes.com
1130am - Catania v Lazio - 2.2 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
12pm - Besiktas V Bursaspor - 1.8 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
1245pm - Celtic v St Johnstone -1.25 home
Standout stats
- this is a scottish premiership match
- 3 consecutive wins for Celtic after a run of 2 1-1 draws with St johnstone.
- this is 1st v 6th
Celtic
- all wins bar 3 draws all season
- 13 consecutive wins with 11 consecutive clean sheets
- Celtic have scored in all matches this season.
- 6 consecutive home clean sheets.
- only 3 0-0's at halftime all season.
- Celtic have scored 13 1st half and 11 2nd half goals at home, only conceding 1 goal in the 2nd half.
St Johnstone
- only 2 wins in 9 away matches.
- unbeaten in 3 matches.
- St Johnstone have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 matches.
- have scored first in only 2 of their last 11 matches
Profitable in play opportunities
- Celtic are a great drt side who will usually get themselves out of a pickle. Alas with 11 consecutive clean sheets we rarely get an opportunity for a DRT
- 0-0 halftime score lay looks worth doing.
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1pm - Lyon v Ajaccio - 1.33 home
Standout stats
- Ajaccio have won the last 2 head to heads, albeit they were played at home.
- this is 6th v 20th
- only 1 loss in 9 matches.
Lyon
- Lyon are unbeaten in 10 home matches.
- Lyon have scored 2+ in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- have failed to score in only 5 matches this season
- 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches
- Lyon have only lost 1 match this season at home.
- Lyon lost 2-1 away to Ajaccio already this season
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home
- have only conceded 2 goals in the first hour of home matches.
Ajaccio
- only 2 wins this season, one was against Lyon.
- Ajaccio won their last match, sure they can't win 2 consecutively , and do the double over Lyon
- no wins away this season
- Ajaccio are unbeaten in 3 matches
- only 1 clean sheet this season
- Ajaccio have conceded 15 of their 21 away goals in the 2nd half.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Ajaccio have an unlikely sequence to aim for, to beat Lyon again and to win a 2nd consecutive match , given they have only won 2 all season.
- Lyon are in good goalscoring fom and a 1.33 Lyon should score 2 goals.
- 0-0 at halftime would not be a surprise, given Lyon's record and Ajaccio's 15 2nd half concessions away.
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1pm - Asteras Tripolis V PAOK - 2.55 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
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130pm - Everton v Swansea - 1.6 home
Standout stats
- another FA Cup match and the home manager has a good recent FA Cup record.
- Everton are unbeaten in head to heads.
Everton
- after only 1 defeat in 17, Everton have not lost 2 of their last 3 matches
- 6 wins in their last 7 at home
- only 2 defeats in the FA Cup since 2012
- 8 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches in the FA Cup
- beat QPR in their most recent home FA Cup match, and lost to Wigan in the one prior to that
Swansea
- Swansea are tough to read as they now have a new manager who may change the team
- In the FA Cup, Swansea have beaten Man Utd and Birmingham1-2 away in their last 2 matches.
Profitable in play opportunities
- I would favour Everton at home . They should not lose at most. Swansea have won their last 2 away matches in the FA Cup 1-2 so there is a chance they can score.
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130pm - NAC Breda V Feyenoord - 1.57 away
Standout stats
- feyenoord have won 5 of the last 6 head to heads
- this is 10th v 3rd
NAC
- are unebaten in 3.
- have failed to score in only 6 this season
- 6 clean sheets only this season
- are yet to play the top 4 at home
- a mixed bag at home to top 9 teams, winning , losing and drawing.
- have scored in 10 home matches
- 5 halftime 0-0's at home
- have only conceded 3 first half goals at home
Feyenoord
- only 1 defeat in 9, includes 7 wins
- have scored and conceded in their last 5 matches.
- have failed to score in only 1
- only 5 clean sheets this season
- only 2 0-0's at halftime all season
- have scored and conceded in 9 of 11 away matches
Profitable in play opportunities
- Feyenoord historically tend to win this fixture. This season they are more vulnerable away from home, losing and drawing more than they would like.
- the strongest stats? Lay the 0-0 halftime score ( only 2 for Feyenoord). Lay it late given NAC have only conceded 3 home goals in the first half this season.
- Both teams could score
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2pm - Juventus v Chievo - 1.14 home
Standout stats
- Juventus have scored 2 in the last 3 head to heads , winning them all, and conceding in the last 2.
- this is 1st v 17th.
Juventus
- have won all home matches.
- have scored 3 or 4 goals in 7 of their last 8 home matches
- over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches
- have scored in all matches
- only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
- have scored 33 and conceded only 7 at home this season.
Chievo
- no win in 8 includes 2 1-1 draws with Napoli and Inter Milan in recent away matches
- have failed to score more than 1 goal in their last 9 matches
- markedly tight v top 6with 2 1-1's and 2 1-0's ( win and loss).
- 6 0-0's at halftime away
- have only scored 6 away goal
Profitable in play opportunities
- 1.14 suggests 3/4 goals minimum and coincidentally that's pretty much what Juventus have been scoring at home recently. Chievo though tend to have 1-0's or 1-1's. So what is it to be?
- Juve have won all home matches .
- 0-0 halftime score lay as late as possible
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2pm - Sassuolo v Napoli - 1.6 away
Standout stats
- 1-1 in September 2013 when Napoli were about the price of Juventus today
- this is 19th v 3rd
Sassuolo
- only 4 wins all season, 2 of which were 4-3!!
- 8 defeats and a 4-3 win v Milan in their last 9 matches.
- only kept 2 clean sheets all season
- are yet to play top 3 at home but lost to 4th-7th inclusive
- have conceded in their last 10 matches
- no 0-0's at home but 5 0-0's at halftime at home
Napoli
- only 1 defeat in 10 matches includes 4 score draws
- have only won 1 of their last 4 away matches.
- have only failed to score in 4 matches
- have not met top 3 away
- only 1 0-0 halftime score away
- no 0-0 this season
Profitable in play opportunities
- this should not end 0-0.
- Sassuolo are likely to concede.
- Sassuolo are worth backing if they go 0-2 or 0-3 down. They beat Milan when 0-3 down. We'll be getting excellent odds and a history of a fight back.
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230pm - Augsburg v Nurnberg - 1.75 home
Standout stats
- recent head to heads have been tight. 2 0-0's, a Nurnberg win and an Augsburg win
- this is 9th v 16th
Augsburg
- unbeaten in 8 matches
- 4 consecutive home wins
- have scored and conceded in their last 5 matches
- only 1 0-0 at halftime in their last 14 matches
- have failed to score in only 2 of 18 matches
- have conceded in all home wins v 13th and below
- have scored in their last 8 home matches
- 89% over 2.5 goals at home
- only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
- have scored 9 goals in the first half at home
Nurnberg
- only 1 defeat in 6 , and that was against Bayern Munich
- only 2 clean sheets all season
- only 1 away win but all score draws away to 10th and below ( playing 9th today)
- have conceded in their last 10 away matches
- only 2 0-0's away at halftime
Profitable in play opportunities
- lay the 0-0 halftime score as late and low as possible
- both teams could score given Nurnberg's score draws away
- Lay Nurnberg if they score first, given their score draws away
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3pm - Young Boys V Lausanne - 1.45 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
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315pm - Panetolikos V Apollon Smirnis - 1.61 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
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330pm - QPR v Reading - 2 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
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330pm - Ajax V Heerenveen - 1.28 home
Standout stats
- are Ajax like Twente? More reliable at home?
- 3 consecutive score draws between these 2.
- this is 1st v 6th
Ajax
- only 3 wins all season
- undefeated in 11 matches
- 4 consecutive home wins
- tight at home to top 9, 2-1's, or 1-0's
- have scored in their last 11 matches
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home
- have only conceded 4 goals at home all season, scoring 26 goals
Heerenveen
- inconsistent and not very readable
- have failed to score in only 2 matches
- have kept only 2 clean sheets
- are unbeaten away to top 10, with 2 1-1 draws against 2nd and 5th
- have scored in their last 6 away and conceded in their last 10 away
- no 0-0 this season
Profitable in play opportunities
- there is an argument for laying Ajax at 1.28, such a short price, given Heerenveen are unbeaten v top 10 sides away, they have score drawn Ajax last 3 head to heads,
- only 2 clean sheets for Heerenveen suggests they will concede at some stage.
- this will not end 0-0
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4pm - Arsenal v Liverpool - 2.3 home
Standout stats
- this is another tough to read FA Cup match which I'll not research. Best to gauge any involvement by watching.
Profitable in play opportunities
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4pm - Getafe v Real Madrid - 1.3 away
Standout stats
- Real Madrid scored 4 in each of the last 2 head to heads, which were at Real Madrid. When they visit Getafe, it's tighter, a 0-1 win and a 2-1 Getafe win
- this is 14th v 3rd
Getafe
- only 1 win in 12 matches
- Barcelona recently beat getafe 2-5 at home
- have failed to score in 6 of their last 8 matches
- only 1 0-0 at home and only 2 0-0's at halftime at home
Real Madrid
- only 2 losses all season
- unbeaten in 13 matches , winning 11 .
- 5 away wins in their last 7 matches
- have failed to score only once this season
- 6 clean sheets in the last 10 matches
- have only lost to top 2 this season
- have scored in their last 16 away matches
- no 0-0's this season
- 4 0-0's at halftime away
- have scored 15 2nd half goals away in the last 1/2 hour
Profitable in play opportunities
- this should not end 0-0
- head to heads at Getafe have been tight.Will that continue ?
- Real Madrid are great DRTcandidates but this weekend has seen them all score first and win
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430pm - Hertha Berlin v Wolfsburg - 2.4 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
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5pm - Anderlecht V Mons - 1.21 home
Standout stats
- Anderlecht are unbeaten in head to heads
- this is 3rd v 16th ( bottom)
Anderlecht
- only 1 win in 4 matches for Anderlecht.
- they have won their last 5 home matches.
- 3 consecutive home clean sheets
- 'all of Anderlecht's "dropped-points" matches have come away recently
- they have failed to score in only 3 all season
- comprehensive wins at home to 10th and lower, scoring 2 goals minimum
- no 0-0 this season
- no halftime or goals scored stats for Belgium
Mons
- only 3 wins all season
- have lost all away matches v 12th and higher
- tend to concede 2 goals away
- no 0-0 this season
Profitable in play opportunities
- this should not end 0-0.
- Mons are likely to lose and concede at least 2 goals
- Anderlecht's dropped points recently have come away from home. Expect them to win.
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5pm - Pacos Ferreira V Benfica - 1.36 away
Standout stats
- a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon should keep Benfica honest today
- 6 Benfica wins and a 1-1 draw in their last 7 head to heads.
- this is 15th v 1st
Pacos Ferreira
- only 3 wins all season.
- unbeaten in their last 2 home matches
- only 3 clean sheets all season
- have lost all bar one of the 9 matches played home and away v top 9 sides.
- have failed to score in home defeats to 3rd, 5th and 6th
Benfica
- only lost their first match of the season.
- only 4 draws all season.
- 6 consecutive away wins ended with a draw in their last away match
- 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches
- have scored in all matches this season
Profitable in play opportunities
- this is about Benfica. You are either with them or against them. If the former, then any Pacos opening goal/ lead should be opposed. Worse case I feel for Benfica today is a score draw.
- Expect Benfica to continue scoring as they do this season
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5pm - Fenerbahçe V Kasimpasa - 1.45 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
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6pm - Athletic Bilbao v Espanyol - 1.53 home
Standout stats
- Espanyol have scored 2-2-3-3-4-3 in their last 6 head to heads. A bogey team?
- this is 4th v 10th so the market is siding with recent form over head to heads
Ath Bilbao
- only 2 defeats in 16 matches
- 5 wins in their last 6 home matches. Real Madrid drew 1-1
- unbeaten at home
- have scored and conceded in 9 of 12 home matches
- have scored in 12 home matches
- only 3 0-0's at halftime at home
- have scored an astounding 18 goals in the last 1/2 hour of home matches
Espanyol
- 4 of their last 5 wins came at home.
- 4 halftime 0-0's in their last 5
- their 2 away wins came against bottom 4 sides
Profitable in play opportunities
- this is one of those matches where the head to heads tell you Espanyol have the measure of Ath Bilbao, but recent form tells you Espanyol are in poor form, especially so away from home.
- Recent form suggests we side with Ath Bilbao and take our decisions based on that. Head to heads suggest that if Ath Bilbao are winning 2-0, we can lay them in the hope that Espanyol are a true bogey team
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715pm - Gil Vicente V Porto - 1.25 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
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745pm - Roma v Sampdoria - 1.33 home
Standout stats
- draw, Samp win, Roma win in the last 3 head to heads
- this is 2nd v 12th
Roma
- only 1 loss all season
- undefeated at home
- failed to score in only 3 this season, including the last match.
- 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches
- 3 consecutive home clean sheets and wins scoring either 3 or 4 goals
- have only conceded at home in 2 matches
- 4 0-0's at halftime at home
Sampdoria
- only 2 defeats in 11 matches were against Napoli and Juventus ( 2 recent away matches)
- have failed to score in only 2 of 14 matches
- yet to win, home and away, v top 10.
- have lost away to 1st, 3rd and 4th, conceding at least 2 goals
- no 0-0 this season
Profitable in play opportunities
- Sampdoria in reasonable form but it seems the best are a step too far.
- Roma tend to keep clean sheets at home, but Samp could get a consolation goal.
- This should not end up 0-0
- At their best, Roma will score 3/4 goals
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8pm - Sevilla v Valencia - 2.1 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
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