Tuesday, 18 February 2014

Galatasary provided a decent enough DRT yesterday, going 2-1 down to Antalayaspor. The latter were layable as low as 1.3 so I hope you spotted this one

415pm - Steaua Bucharest v Uni Cluj - 1.22 home
Standout stats

  • this is a Romanian league match, featured at www.soccerstats.com.
  • the only concern is ring-rustiness after a prolonged Winter break
  • Steaua have won all recent head to heads but note they did concede in their 2 recent home wins
  • this is 1st v 17th ( of 18)
Steaua
  • these teams have had one match since the winter break
  • are unbeaten all season
  • 7 wins and a draw at home
  • have scored in all matches
  • 4 home matches played against 10th and lower has produced a 4-0, 3-0, 5-0, 4-0
Uni Cluj
  • 4 wins and 2 defeats since November 2013 sees an improvement. Bear in mind, those were the only wins this season
  • have failed to score, though, in 3 defeats away from home
  • quite comprehensively agaisnt top 8 away from home, they have lost the lot.
Profitable in play opportunities
  • this all looks very straightforward which is good news for DRT as if anything less than a straightforward victory arrives, we can exploit it.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



745pm - Inverness CT v Stranraer - 1.22 home
This is a Scottish Cup match

  • This is Premiership v League v Scottish league 1
Inverness
  • only 1 win in 10 matches in all competitions. Solace tonight?
  • no win in 5 home matches
  • this looks like a replay today. 2-2 at Stranraer saw Stranraer lead 2-1 until late

Stranraer

  • no win in 5 but 4 consecutive score draws
  • 3 1-1 draws in the last 4 matches away . In fact, Stranraer have scored and conceded in 16 of their last 17 matches.
  • only 3 defeats in 16 in the Scottish Cup.
  • have scored and conceded in their last 5 matches in the Scottish cup
Profitable in play opportunities
  • both teams to score ( again)? Stranraer definitely have a standout stat in that regard. 
  • an out of form Inverness are strong favourites. Are they vulnerable? Or is this solace for a Premiership team against a League one outfit.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

745pm - Leverkusen v Paris St-G - 2.22 away

  • very tough to research this match.
  • I don't even know how to start researching these matches. Rather than being reactive, you have to make your own decisions pre-match as to which side you favour.
  • PSG have scored in all aways in the Champions League since 2012
Leverkusen
  • only 3 wins in their last 8 home matches 
  • Leverkusen's opponents in the Champions League were the weaker of the bunch, Real Sociedad and Shakhtar Donetsk , and that might weaken their form. Add to that a Moyes mangled Man Utd and Leverkusen should think themselves lucky to be here.
  • no draw in 19 home Champions League matches
  • Manchester United, Liverpool and Barcelona are 3 teams who have recently beaten Leverkusen at home
PSG
  • since the start of the season only Evian and Benfica have beaten PSG away in all competitions.
  • PSG have scored and conceded in their last 8 away matches
  • Olympiakos and Anderlecht amongst the teams PSG had to tackle to get here and to be honest they're not the hardest nuts to crack are they?
  • questionable away form for PSg, playing the likes of Zagreb, Anderlecht, Olympiakos, Kiev ( oh and Barcelona too).
Profitable in play opportunities
  • both teams have unremarkable champions league form , being in groups deemed rather weak. No draw in 19 for Leverkusen something to go to war with? 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



745pm - Man City v Barcelona - 2.58 away

  • good luck with this one!
  • Manchester City under Mancini were not quite ready for the Champions League. Here they play the kind of side they will rarely meet in the Premiership. And it could be a case of value Barcelona?
  • BUT then we have a shaky Barcelona side on the road in the Champions League. 
  • where's the value? Perhaps in laying Manchester City if City score first?

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

745pm - Wigan v Barnsley - 1.62 home
Standout stats

  • this is a Championship match.
  • Wigan won 0-4 in an earlier meeting this season
  • this is 9th v 23rd
Wigan
  • only 2 defeats in 11 matches
  • undefeated in 5 home matches, with 3 wins.
  • Wigan have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches, but those were away.
  • Wigan at home have only lost 2 matches against top 7 only.
  • 3 matches against bottom 6 sides have been laboured at home, with 3-2, 2-2 and 2-1 scorelines. Remember Wigan are playing 2nd bottom today
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home, about 29% of home matches.
Barnsley
  • seem to have a case of recent draw-itis
  • 6 draws in their last 10 matches includes 3 2-2 draws in their last 4 matches.
  • Barnsley have scored first in 4 of their last 5 matches so should be a good team to oppose if they lead.
  • only 3 clean sheets all season
  • only 1 win away for Barnsley
  • they have scored and conceded agaisnt 5th-10th inclusive away from home. Wigan are 9th.
  • 8 0-0's at halftime could see Barnsley keep it tight first half.
  • have conceded 11 goals in total in the last 1/4 hour of 1st and 2nd halves away.
Profitable in play opportunities
  • both teams could score today. Barnsley's score draws hint at it , as does their away performances against teams around Wigan's position in the league away from home.
  • not sure about a 0-0 halftime score lay. 57% of Barnsley's away matches are 0-0 at halftime
  • Wigan perform well outside top 7 at home but note their high scoring struggles against bottom 6, again an argument for both teams to score, and to oppose Barnsley if Barnsley score first.




No comments:

Post a Comment