Thursday, 28 August 2014

28th august 2014 summary of yesterday's matches

28th August


4pm - FC Jurmala v Ventspils  - 1.08 away
  • "Ideally, Ventspils will score 4+ goals today. Note Skonto Riga yesterday, their goals started coming in the 40th minute so lay the 0-0 halftime score if this match is 0-0 for a while today. 1.08 shots are expected to score at least one goal before halftime". Great profit to be had if you followed this advice. The goal came in the 47th minute of the first half, so laying 0-0 halftime score as late as possible really paid off.


4pm - Lokomotiv v Apollon Limassol  - 1.41 home

  • 1-4 to Apollon here and another surprise in the Europa League which is why I prefer league football.


515pm - PAOK v Zimbru Chisinau  - 1.31 home

  • the market was spot on here with PAOK winning with ease. No DRT as Zimbru did not score first , or at all!


7pm - Feyenoord v Zorya   -1.43 home
Standout stats
  • "Feyenoord have a terrible record in this Europa League and you get the impression that this competition is not top of their list of priorities. They do have Champions league experience so perhaps look down on the Europa League.
  • Only 1 win in 11 EL matches for Feyenoord  suggests the value is in opposing them today. Live chatters this weekend remember how poor Feyenoord were at home to Utrecht . Will this be a hangover today?
  • The value is in laying feyenoord today although that places your faith in a team called Zorya , another also ran from Ukraine who we know little about." The general gist was to oppose Feyenoord here. Well they took a 3-0 lead and Zorya made it 3-3 before a 92nd minute Feyenoord winner. So I was right with the general gist that they were not strong favourites. Skin of their teeth or what?

730pm  - FC Zurich v Spartak Trnava  - 1.47 home
Standout stats
  • "The odds are a little tentative for such an apparently comprehensive away win.
  • Another toughie from the EL The Slovakian away side are relatively unknown." The odds were tentative. 1-1 it ended with Zurich living off their efforts in the first leg.


730pm - St Etienne v Karabukspor  - 1.41 home
Standout stats
  • " Logic points to the home side, but logic and the EL are poor bedfellows." St Etienne won 2-0.

730pm - Torino v RNK Split  - 1.33 home
Standout stats
  • "Torino will aim, I think, for a 2-0, which covers the concession of an away goal.
  • A 1-0 sees Torino through. A 0-1 sees Split through. The market expects Torino to win, so 2-0 correct score perhaps might offer a pre-match trading position." You would have got some swing in the 2-0 correct score odds as Torino's single goal came in the 1st 1/2 of the first half.


745pm - Hull v Lokeren  - 1.52 home
Standout stats
  • "So, if you have faith in Hull, back 2-0 and 3-1 correct scores and hope the Premiership side do not have one eye on their 31st August Premiership match." A red card messed things up. We were heading for that 3-1 Hull correct score  until that 70th minute red card. 2-1 it ended and Lokeren go through on away goals.

745pm - Inter v Stjarnan  - 1.12 home
Standout stats
  • 6-0 and easy as you like for Inter Milan. Yet another win to nil.

745pm - Mgladbach v Sarajevo  - 1.23 home
  • "the market suggests that Mgladbach from the Bundesliga will win with ease and go through. Sarajevo, if they score first, will be vulnerable so lay them" No DRT here as Mgladbach won 7-0


745pm - Tottenham v A.E.L.  - 1.19 home
  • No mistakes this time 3-0 to Spurs.

745pm - Villarreal v FC Astana  - 1.18 home
Standout stats
  • "A 0-3 away win for Villareal against Kazak side Astana was expected, given Villareal are a La liga side.
  • The market expects Villareal to replicate that away scoreline. as you can tell by the odds of 1.18 ( 3/4 goals minimum)." Villareal did replicate their away win, 4-0 in fact this time.
8pm - Club Brugge v Grasshoppers Zurich  - 1.55 home
Standout stats
  • "This looks like chalk and cheese. Grasshopper's have real trouble scoring in the EL, scoring 0-0-0-0-0-1-1-1-1. They are scoring at least 1 goal I suppose now.
  • Club Brugge have scored 3-3-2-2 in recent matches.
  • Club Brugge need a 0-0 to go through and will tolerate a 0-1 loss. Grasshoppers need a 0-2 to go through because of the away goal." 1-0 an  ideal win  for Club Brugge

8pm - Legia Warsaw v FK Aktobe  - 1.41 home
Standout stats
  • "The market expects the home team to consolidate and win. 
  • Legia have failed to score in their last 3 home EL matches. Will this end today? They are priced to end this.
  • Akrobe have only won 1 away match in 8 EL matches so are not expected to land a blow. " 2-0 it ended for Legia Warsaw.

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