1230pm - Hearts v Hibernian - 2.2 home
Standout stats
- Both 2-1 wins in their opening matches, and Hearts will, erm, take heart from a 1-2 win against Rangers although that carried an element of "smash and grab" about it.
- In the Premiership we had 2 2-1 scorelines , one each, and a 2-0 win for Hearts
Profitable in-play opportunities
- In head to heads and in only the single matches this season, a 2-1 scoreline crops up a lot. Will both teams score? If any team leads 2-0, lay them
1245pm - Sion v FC Basel - 1.82 away
Standout stats
- an unexpected loss for FC Basel at 1.4 odds last time out. Can they gain recompense today?
- Basel are unbeaten in head to heads with Sion in this Swiss Super League match but a 2-2 and 2 1-0 wins is less than convincing; Both 1-0 wins were courtesy of a penalty which brings the 0-0 pre match back to lay into play here.
- 5 matches played so far
Sion
- 2 1-0 wins at home this season. 1-1, 1-0, 0-0 away from home and a series of under 2.5 goals matches this season.
Basel
- 4 wins and a loss v St gallen last time out. All wins were over 2.5 goals . Basel have scored and conceded in all bar 1 match this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Little to go on but an argument can be made to back 0-0 pre match at its highest point and hope this match remains 0-0 for a while.
- The last 2 head to heads were settled by penalties. Sion at home have had 2 1-0 wins this season and all under 2.5 goals.
- A hope Basel struggle enough to enable the 0-0 odds to drop and a trade to be made.
1pm - Arsenal Tula v Dinamo Moscow - 1.45 away
Standout stats
- this is a Russian Premier League match and these 2 have not met before. Judging by the odds, Tula are the newly promoted side.
- Arsenal Tula have failed to score this season in 2 defeats and a 0-0 with Rubin kazan
- Dinamo Moscow won 7-3 against Rostov,lost 1-2 in a local Moscow derby, and beat Ufa 0-2
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Arsenal Tula will not go the season without scoring. When will they score their first goal? The odds are about right here. If Tula do score first, I will back Dinamo Moscow who have goals in them for sure.
- A small Sample, but a 100% record for Dinamo Moscow in scoring before halftime - will that continue? If 0-0 for a while, lay the 0-0 halftime score low and late
130pm - llertissen v W Bremen - 1.24 away
Standout stats
- the German Cup sees Regionalliga v Bundesliga in a match obviously favouring the away side. There were loads of goals yesterday in Germany.
- Werder Bremen have not won any of their last 4 Cup matches, 2-1, 2-1, 2-2, 1-1 Both teams have scored, and the teams they played were better than regionalliga.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- little to go on. I would be very surprised if this ended 0-0. This is a match for the inplay stats at the live chat.
130pm - Liverpool v Southampton - 1.37 home
Standout stats
- life without racist cannibal Luiz Suarez. How will Liverpool cope up front?
- Liverpool have had a busy summer, buying Origi from Lille, Lovren from Southampton,Markovic from Benfica, Can from Leverkusen,Lambert and Lallana from Southampton.
Liverpool
- 2nd last season by 2 points, so 1 extra win would have won them the title
- 31 goals Suarez is bound to be missed.
- Liverpool at home last season won all bar 3 matches, 2 of those being defeats.
- Southampton won 0-1 at Anfield last season
- Liverpool only had one 0-0 at halftime ALL last season
Southampton
- Southampton were 8th last season. They lost away to 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th and as I say beat Liverpool 0-1
- Having off loaded their best players, erm mostly to Liverpool, Southampton have bought Gardos from Steaua, Long from Hull,Forster from Celtic, Pelle ( no not THAT Pele) from Feyenoord and Tadic from Twente.Saints have also lost Chambers to Arsenal, and Shaw to Manchester United . Their new manager is Ronald Koeman whose credentials , for me, fall a little flat. It's hardly a stretch to manage one of the top 3 in Holland. But the Premiership will be different. I stand to be corrected though by Ronald .
- most of last year's Southampton are now playing for Liverpool, and the players brought in are less than adequate replacements on paper.
- This is probably not going to end 0-1 to Southampton as it did last year. New manager syndrome means, like United, we will want to see the character of Southampton under new management. We saw what a horlicks Louis Van Seagull made of it yesterday. It is so hard to measure a team under new management in their first match of the season. Southampton's manager last year was a very defensive coach
130pm - USC Paloma v Hoffenheim - 1.06 away
130pm - Utrecht v Willem II - 1.92 home
2pm - AC Horsens v AB T - 1.87 home
Standout stats
- this is a Danish first division match and we have come across Horsens before
- 3-0, 3-0, 4-1 3-3 in head to heads. Horsens continued to score 3+ goals until a 0-0 in the last head to head. Their odds do not relate to a team about to score 3+ goals again today!
- This is 11th ( of 12) v 7th so AC Horsens are not having the best of seasons
AC Horsens
2pm - Falkenbergs v Atvidabergs - 2.32 home
Standout stats
- 5 wins for Atvitabergs in the last 6 head to heads.
- Note the 2.32 odds. I pointed this out recently. it suggests a wide open match so if the stats point to one particular side, we might get some value.
- This is 12th v 8th in the Swedish top league and these 2 are not the shining lights in Sweden
Falkenbergs
- have scored in their last 9 home matches and conceded in their last 4 home matches
- they have conceded in their last 9 matches overall so some defensive frailty
- both teams have scored in 6 of their last 7 matches
230pm - Stabaek v Odd - 2.02 away
Standout stats
- this is a Norwegian top division match and worth researching as they are well into their season
- Staebeck have not won the last 3 home head to heads.Odd have scored 3-3-2 in those wins
- this is 9th v 2nd
Stabaek
- only 1 win in 9 matches
- have conceded in their last 18 matches
- have failed to score in only 4 matches this season
- have scored and conceded in 10 of their last 12 matches
- only 2 draws all season, 1 at home, one away
- have actually beaten 3rd and 4th at home this season
- have scored first in 7 of their 10 home matches
Odd
- only 3 defeats all season
- 2 losses away came v 3rd and 4th
- failed to score in only 4 matches this season
- 5 consecutive away wins
- no defeat in 11 overall
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Odd tend to win when visiting Stabaek and score 2/3 goals. Will that continue? They are the form side going into this with no defeat in 11 and 5 consecutive away wins, they have scored 3 in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Stabaek are likely to concede at some stage, and we may see both teams scoring so watch out for that if any team leads 2-0
3pm - Eintracht Trier v Freiburg - 1.47 away
3pm - Preussen Munster v B Munich - 1.08 away
Standout stats
- 3 Liga v Bundesliga and this should be a good pipe opener for bayern Munich with the Bundesliga yet to kick off.
- Sinca August 2011 only Dortmund have stopped Bayern Munich winning a German Cup match.
- In recent times , Bayern have scored 6-3-5-4-2-5-5-0 ( v Dortmund) in head to heads. So expect 5/6 goals at least from Bayern Munich today.
345pm - Groningen v Heracles - 1.73 home
4pm - Benfica v Pacos Ferreira - 1.32 home
Standout stats
- 5 wins and a 1-1 draw in the last 6 head to heads for benfica
- 3-0 and 3-1 in the last 2 home head to heads.
- This is 1st v 15th of 16 last season. Will Pacos Ferreira struggle again this season?
- Benfica won all bar 3 score draws at home last season, and only lost 2 matches overall.
- Only 2 wins for Pacos Ferreira away last season, they lost away to all of the top 5 and there is nothing to suggest a shock.
- Of course a shock is what we'd like! This should be a routine home win for benfica with ne'er a sniff of a DRT . I said that last year in their match against Gil Vicente which yielded a 120 odds win!
4pm - Braga v Boavista - 1.38 home
Standout stats
- Boavista are a newly promoted side to the Portugeuse Primera Liga so are worth following this season to see if they struggle when leading in matches.
- Braga were 9th last season and lost at home to 1st 2nd, 3rd, 8th and 11th. The matches against 1st, 8th and 11th were 0-1 defeats.
- braga scored and conceded in 5 home matches against bottom 5 ( and I am assuming Boavista will be in the bottom 5 - a bit presumptuous I know.)
- Real struggles for Braga against the best in this division last season but as I say at home, to lesser teams, they do not lose even if conceding.
- Dare I warn you of the shocks we have seen from newly promoted sides , particularly away to established sides? Dinamo Kiev anyone? Copenhagen anyone? So Boavista are an unknown quantity here which precludes any strongly confident plays.
4pm - Marseille v Montpellier - 1.63 home
Standout stats
- Marseille hold the advantage in this French Ligue 1 match head to heads. 4 consecutive wins now with 0-1, 3-2, 2-0, 2-3 wins. The 3-2 scorelines were classic " Desmonds" , both 2-2 until the 89th and 90th minutes. So watch out for late action if we have a draw late on.
marseille
- a 3-3 in their opening match saw marseille 1-3 up!
- Marseille were 6th last season
- no draw for Marseille at home to 12th and below last season. They lost home matches against 1st, 2nd, 11th, 12th, 13th and 17th
Montpellier
- only 3 wins for Montpellier home and away against the top 14 sides. Only 1 win away from home against 14th and higher.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Marseille may not lose but they might battle to win. Although they did win 2-0 at home to Montpellier last time out. Lay Montpellier if Montpellier score first.
- If the match is a very late draw, lay that draw at as low odds as you can get.
4pm - Newcastle v Man City - 1.68 away
- Man City have won the last 5 Premiership head to heads so deserve their odds on status here.
- Newcastle have sold Debuchy and Cabaye and bought in Janmaat, Riviere, Cabella and de Jong - hardly household names
- Man City have sold Rodwell and Garcia and brought in mangala and Fernando from Porto. No massive earth quaking signings.
- This is 10th v 1st from last season
- Newcastle only beat 2 teams above them in the league last year, in Chelsea and Stoke at home.
- 5 away losses last season for manchester city, 2 came v 2nd and 3rd, 2 v 14th and 15th and one v cardiff. A couple of these defeats may have had the "curse of the Champions league" as a culprit
- Logic points to City continuing to score 2 goals at least against a Newcastle side who struggled really against teams above them in the league last season.
4pm - Skovde AIK v Orgryte - 1.46 away
Standout stats
- Orgryte have been featured ona couple of occasions so we should be getting a feel for them now.
4pm - St Etienne v Reims - 1.56 home
430pm - Elfsborg v Kalmar FF - 1.66 home
Standout stats
- I like the Swedish league as it is 19 games old and there are plenty of patterns to uncover. Do these 2 have any patterns or sequences?
- Elfsborg have won the last 3 home head to heads 0-0, 3-0 and 1-0
- Elfsborg don't tend to win when they are away at Kalmar
- this is 4th v 5th so could this be as tight as the 0-0 last time out?
Elfsborg
- have a Europa League match coming up. Not sure how they take to the Europa League( EL). We are aware of the "curse of the Champions League" affecting performance in league matches, but what of the EL?
- only Malmo, 1st, have beaten them at home
- failed to score in only 3 matches this season
- 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches
- only 1 0-0 at halftime in the last 9 matches
- have scored in their last 7 matches overall
- have scored 7 home goals in the last 1/4 hour of matches
Kalmar
- no win in 6 away matches
- have conceded in their last 8 matches overall
- have scored in their last 5 overall
- have lost away to 1st,2nd, 3rd away, and meeting 4th today
- have conceded 4-1-3-3-3 in their last 5 away matches
- failed to score in only 3 this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- head to heads point to the home team. That's a strong pattern.
- Both teams could score today without Elfsborg losing. Kalmar are conceding 3+ regularly away from home
- we could see a goal before halftime here so lay any late 0-0 halftime score
- Lay Kalmar if Kalmar score first
430pm - FC Jazz v Haka - 1.72 away
430pm - IFK Goteborg v Brommapojkarna - 1.34 home
Standout stats
- this is the Swedish top flight
- 6th take on 16th so we should not get any surprises
- Having said that, Bromma have won 2-1 and drawn 1-1 in the last 2 head to heads.4-0, 1-1, 2-0 though for head to heads at IFK
IFK
- 10 draws this season is 10 draws too many
- 2 consecutive score draws is part of a run of 2 wins in 10 matches yet they are strong favourites today.
- IFK have conceded in their last 9 matches
- only 1 0-0 at home
Bromma
- IFK must be thankful they are playing a team with only 1 win this season and only 6 draws , all score draws. A chance for IFK to break this draw habit?
- no win in 12 for Bromma
- have have scored in their last 8 overall and conceded in their last 12 overall
- no win in 9 away matches
- 56% over 3.5 goals away from home
- conceded in all aways
- no 0-0 this season
- have conceded 15 in the first half away
- have never led at halftime away
Profitable inplay opportunities
- Bromma have not lost last 2 head to heads but have been beaten in 2 of the last 3 visits to IFK.
- Bromma will concede at some stage, and likely first half, so try a 0-0 halftime score lay low and late.
- Both teams may score today. Bromma have scored and conceded away to 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 7th and 8th, and we know about IFK and their draw itis
- Bromma could conceivably score first today. If they do in the first half, LAY them in the HALFTIME SCORE market as they have not won away at halftime this season
5pm - Bodo Glimt v Sandnes Ulf - 1.67 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
5pm - Gent v Zulte-Waregem - 1.84 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
5pm - Sarpsborg v Molde - 1.73 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
530pm - Dinamo Kiev v Illychivets - 1.19 home
Standout stats
- This is the ukrainian top league
- only a few matches into the season
- 5 wins for Kiev and a 0-0 in the last 6 head to heads.Illychivets have failed to score in the last 5 head to heads
- Soccerway has this as Illychivets at home, Betfair has it the other way around
- 2 defeats and a 3-3 v Chernomorets for Illychivets
- 2 wins and a 0-0 for Dinamo Kiev in their 3 matches,
Profitable in-play opportunities
- like the Benfica match later on, this is another good DRT match because it seems like an obvious win for Dinamo Kiev. Anything else therefore we must get ready for
530pm - FC Magdeburg v Augsburg - 1.36 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
6pm - Levski Sofia v Botev Plovdiv - 1.66 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
7pm - Braga v Boavista - 1.38 home
Standout stats
- these 2 haven't met since 2008 so Boavista are newly promoted. Now folks, how have the other newly promoted sides fared away to established league sides, so far this season?
- I think you'll agree that these newly promoted sides have been a right royal pain in the Arse!
- This makes this a watch and learn match, a match where the inplay stats will reveal whether Boavista have come here with a plan to spoil.
7pm - Ceahlaul v Dinamo Bucharest - 1.75 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
7pm - Westerlo v Anderlecht - 1.91 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
715pm - Benfica v Pacos Ferreira - 1.26 home
Standout stats
- 4 wins for Benfica in the last 4 league meetings in this Portugeuse league match
- this is 1st v 15th from last season
- all wins bar 3 at home last season
- Expectation of between 2-4 goals
- Pacos lost all bar 1 away to top 8 conceding 1-4 goals.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- should be straighforward for benfica which is good news for DRT. Any pacos lead or a concerted period of 0-0 must be exploited in-play
715pm - Plzen v Hradec Kralove - 1.25 home
Standout stats
- the Czech league has only just started off
- 3 wins to nil at home in head to heads, 5-0, 3-0. 1-0 diminishing margins
- 5 clean sheets in 6 head to heads
- 2-3-4 scored by Plzen this season in a 2-2 and 2 wins
- Hradec have 2 0-0 draws and a 3-0 loss
Profitable in-play opportunities
- if 0-0 is big enough, you might want to back it pre match incase Hradec continue to collect 0-0's. Remember they tend not to score in head to heads so if they keep Plzen quiet for a short while, the 0-0 odds will shorten to allow a trade
- Another good DRT it seems here , along with Dinamo Kiev and Benfica, as Plzen look likeliest winners.
730pm - SV Darmstadt v Wolfsburg - 1.55 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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