footballtradingresearch: sunday 31st h august 2014 Summary

Sunday 31st August 2014 Summary

1230pm - Dundee v Celtic - 1.5 away

1pm - Bordeaux v Bastia - 1.62 home

"Advantage Bordeaux based on last year's form. They may continue scoring and conceding though so a hope Bastia score first." I was in 2 minds so did not play this match when Bastia scored first. Those who did would have profited once Bordeaux had equalised.

130pm - Groningen v Ajax - 1.86 away

"Ajax are not too hot away from home, at least that's what the back end of last season tells us. The 1.86 odds tell us they are rather tentative favourites. Groningen will seek to curry favour with home support by delivering another home win.
A tough match to call.Ajax though have the head to heads on their side." A match I left alone at 2-0 Groningen because I watched the match and Ajax were terrible. I told that to live chatters.

130pm - Aston Villa v Hull - 2.28 home

"3-1 in head to heads in May 2014 perhaps a reaction to Aston Villa's need for points. This season suggests that defences are on top? Back 0-0 pre match? Only 2 matches into the season though makes it hard to reach concrete conclusions." Learning to lay Premeriship teams 2-0 up saw Hull equalise but not get a 2nd. 2-1 it ended.

130pm - Tottenham v Liverpool - 2.74 home

"the head to heads tell a story of Liverpool utter dominance ( the Suarez factor?)
the betting market tells a different story, a story of Spurs being on a par with Liverpool here.
Current form is inconclusive, Tottenham have played 2 lower 1/2 teams and won to nil, Liverpool beat Southampton as expected and lost to City which was not a shock. I would personally favour Liverpool here based on their personnel. Striking transfer buys. This is my personal opinion and not the stats talking though." Another match I left alone. We don't have to trade all high profile matches, we can choose our battles. 0-3 to Liverpool.

130pm - Club Brugge v Anderlecht - 2.4 home

"Anderlecht are favourite in head to heads but not with the market. Club Brugge like playing at home but the last team to beat them were Anderlecht, albeit 0-1. A tight match in prospect and one I admit I have no angle into. The value lies with favouring Anderlecht but they were so poor away last season." In the live chats I put forward a lay of Anderlecht at 0-2 up given they were so poor away from home last year. It proved a very profitable lay as Club Brugge drew 2-2.

345pm - Twente v Feyenoord - 2.08 home

"an interesting match between a home side solid at home, but on a 5 match draw sequence
that draw sequence will end soon - how about today? Too tough to call with 2 solid sides." "too tough to call" and another match I sat out. 0-0 it ended.

4pm - Leicester v Arsenal - 1.84 away

"Limited matches to work with but a feeling that Arsenal could score 2 goals today, and possibly concede in the process. Both sides have shown an ability to concede when ahead ( Leicester) and not lose when behind ( Arsenal)" Arsenal led, Leicester equalised . I layed the draw late on under 1.1 but it remained 1-1.

6pm - Porto v Moreirense - 1.19 home

"this looks very clear cut and Porto should continue their amazing run at home in the league. A good DRT match therefore as if Moreirense score first, they should not win." 0-0 at halftime and Porto's odds increased as the time passed. They eventually scored and won with ease.

6pm - Villarreal v Barcelona - 1.67 away

"Do note "new manager syndrome " for Barcelona could suggest Barcelona perform better than they did away at the end of last season" - Barcelona were utterly dominant and you could have got 3.5 and more for them if delaying. 0-1 it ended.

6pm - OB v Copenhagen - 2.08 away

"this isn't the Copenhagen we know I'm afraid which makes it hard for me to trust them if they concede the first goal. There are better matches today/" As seems to be the theme, this was another match I left alone. 0-1 it ended to Copenhagen

730pm - Panathinaikos v Panionios - 1.27 home

this is the match which makes you money. Assume the 1.27 odds are correct. In the 85th minute, Panionios score. Panathanaikos's odds increased to 500+ . 91st and 94th minute Panathanaikos winners saw a potential huge payout for anyone keeping the faith. It is these matches which are key to huge profits.

8pm - Sociedad v Real Madrid - 1.48 away

"Real Madrid rarely lose against Sociedad but it must be said that last season they were vulnerable away from home. Still expectation is that Real will continue to dominate. A hope that if Sociedad score first, Real Madrid will reply with an equaliser." 0-2 to Real Madrid ended 4-2 to Sociedad. Ronaldo rested. Some of the live chatters layed REal Madrid at 1.04 and got a bumper payout.

8pm - Paris st Germain ( PSG)v St Etienne - 1.55 home

"both sides had a 0-0 in their last match so lay any late 0-0 this time I think. Head to heads show an ability for PSG to score at least 2 goals.
Judging by past history, lay any side 2-0 up in this match." 5-0 to PSG. Ibrahimovic a key player as usual.