Friday, 22 August 2014

FRIDAY 22nd AUGUST




1230pm - Tampines Rovers v Tanjong Pagar Utd  - 1.43 home
Standout stats
  • both teams have scored and conceded in the last 6 head to heads
  • Tampines have scored 4 goals in the last 2 matches
  • this is 2nd v 10th
Tampines Rovers
  • A win takes Tampines top
  • only 3 losses this season
  • have scored in their last 10 home matches and conceded in their last 7 home matches
  • have failed to score in only 1 match.
  • have scored 3 goals in the 3 matches at home to bottom 4 sides.
Tanjong Pagar
  • only 3 wins this season
  • no draw in 6 matches 
  • have scored in their last 5 matches and conceded in their last 3 matches
  • have conceded 4 goals away to 1st, 3rd and 4th
  • only 2 clean sheets this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • the number 3/4 seems to pervade here. Expectation for Tampines Rovers to score 3/4 goals? Back Tampines if Tanjong score first.
  • Consider perhaps a goal before halftime ( if you think Tampines can score 3/4 goals again, logic suspects a goal before halftime?) Lay 0-0 halftime score as late as possible
3pm - FK Jelgava v FS METTA LU  - 1.15 home
Standout stats
  • the head to heads do not go with the odds today. the last 4 matches have been draws. 3 consecutive 1-1 draws.
  • This is 3rd v 9th of 10 in the Latvian league
Jelgava
  • only 4 defeats all season
  • 4 consecutive wins
  • 4 consecutive clean sheets
  • have failed to score in only 4 matches this season
  • 5 clean sheets in their last 7 home matches
Metta
  • only 2 wins this season
  • no win in 12 matches overall
  • no draw in 7 away matches
  • have conceded in their last 12 matches
  • have conceded 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches, all defeats
  • only 2 clean sheets this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • the head to heads tell us this could be tight. The odds tell us Jelgava should continue to score 2/3 goals against Metta .
  • Which way will you fall? The value is in following the head to heads, and laying Jelgava, but recent form sees Metta unable to land a blow and likely to concede 2+ goals.
5pm - FC Infonet v Tammeka Tartu  - 1.08 home
Standout stats
  • Tallina have scored 3-3-1-3-4 in their last 5 head to heads
  • This is 5th v 8th in the Estonian league
FC Infonet
  • only 5 defeats this season
  • no defeat in 5 home matches
  • have failed to score in only 6 ,matches, but have failed to score in their last 2 matches
  • 67% over 2.5 goals at home
Tammeka Tartu
  • only 4 wins at home
  • only 2 clean sheets this season
  • have lost away to 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th without scoring but only lost 1-0 in 3 of those matches
  • 3 1-0 losses in their last 4 away matches
  • have failed to score in 7 of their last 11 matches
  • have conceded in their last 7 away matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • you know what 1.08 suggests don't you! Goals. 3/4 goals minimum, up to 10 maximum I would suggest today. We might see a win to nil as Tammeka have trouble scoring recently.
  • Infonet have not scored in their last 2 matches but a bottom 3 side should see an end.
  • This is a good DRT match as the home side should dominate.
5pm - Nomme Kalju v Lokomotiv Johvi  - 1.15 home
Standout stats
  • 0-2 and 1-3 in head to heads to Nomme Kalju
  • This is 3rd v 10th of 10 in estonia
Nomme Kalju
  • only 3 defeats at home  were all 1-0's 
  • have only conceded in 9 matches 
  • no draw in 9 home matches
  • average 2 goals scored per game
  • 73% clean sheets at home
Lokomotiv Johvi
  • only 1 win all season
  • only 2 clean sheets this season
  • have conceded 3-6-6-2-3-3-10-2 in recent away matches
  • no win in 11 away matches.
  • have conceded in their last 11 away matches and scored in their last 6 away matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • 3/4 goals expected from the home side. Be careful with a win to nil as Johvi have scored in their last 6 away matches
5pm - Terek Grozni v Arsenal Tula  - 1.47 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






530pm - Austria Lustenau v SV Horn  - 1.73 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities





530pm - Mattersburg v FAC Team fur Wien  - 1.52 home
Standout stats
  • no head to heads
  • this is an Austrian liga 1 match , 6 matches in.
mattersburg
  • 3 home wins without conceding this season. Only 1 defeat overall.
  • actually kept a clean sheet in all bar 1 match
FAC
  • 2 consecutive defeats now in a season of 3 draws , 1 win , 2 defeats.
  • Only 1 clean sheet all season

Profitable in-play opportunities
  • I assume that the away team are newly promoted as there are no head to heads and the away team are struggling.
  • FAC look likely to concede at some stage. Mattersburg should win this encounter. Lay FAC if they are leading at any stage in this match.





530pm - RB Leipzig v Erzgebirge  - 1.5 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities





6pm - CSKA Sofia v Marek Dupnitsa  - 1.19 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities





6pm - Mjallby v Helsingborgs  - 2.26 away
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities





7pm - Angers v Chateauroux  - 1.6 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities





7pm - Den Bosch v Waalwijk  - 1.91 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities





7pm - ESTAC Troyes v Laval  - 1.54 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities





7pm - NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard  - 1.49 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities





7pm - Roda JC v FC Eindhoven  - 1.73 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities





730pm - B Munich v Wolfsburg  - 1.27 home
Standout stats
  • Bayern are likely to win and have scored 6 goals in 2 of their last 3 head to heads. That's the ideal.
  • Little else to say. I like these matches for DRT because we have a world class side, at home, and expected to win easily. History tells us it is rarely that straightforward and that's where DRT come in.

730pm - Evian TG v Paris St-G  - 1.4 away
Standout stats
  • I remember last year's match at Evian, which they won 2-0. That was a very rare loss for PSG. Head to heads point to tight matches. The odds suggest an easier assignment for the away side.
  • 2 1-0 PSG wins in their last 3.
  • 2 consecutive losses for Evian 0-3 and 6-2; something is wrong with Evian this year. 
  • PSG have scored 2 goals in a 2-2 ( came back from 2-1) and a 2-0 win this year.

Profitable in-play opportunities

  • something is up with Evian this season already, conceding 9 goals in 2 matches, and a leaky defence is not what you need facing PSG. In head to heads, matches have been tight but there's a chance PSG could let loose. Hard to weigh up. I cannot see Evian winning as they did this time last year.



745pm - Derry v Malahide Utd  - 1.17 home
Standout stats
  • this is the Irish FIA cup and Derry are from the Premier Division
  • When Malahide have met Premier Division clubs in the cup, they have lost 5-0 and 4-0 and that fits into the odds. 3/4 goals expected and a possible win to nil for Derry.

745pm - Dundalk v Galway FC  - 1.27 home
Standout stats
  • Premiership v 1st Division in the Irish FIA Cup.
  • No draw for Dundalk in the FAI cup since 2012
  • Only 1 match in the FAI cup recently for Galway was a 1-3 win away to UCD
  • Little to go on. Faith in the odds perhaps?

745pm - St Patricks v Shelbourne  - 1.25 home
Standout stats
  • and so it goes on with another Irish FAI cup match between a Premier League side and a First Division side.

Profitable in-play opportunities





930pm - Atl Madrid v Real Madrid  - 2.2 away
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities






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