1215pm - QPR v Burnley - 1.8 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
1245pm - Newcastle v Sunderland - 1.8 home
Standout stats
- this is a local derby and as such I don't really know what use research will be. It's one of those " one off" matches
1245pm - West Ham v Swansea - 2.62 home and away
Standout stats
- I am not going to research this match as both sides are exactly the same price . The market doesn't know what to make of this one.
Profitable in play opportunities
1pm - PAS Giannina V Levadiakos - 1.85 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
230pm - Augsburg v Werder Bremen - 1.72 home
Standout stats
- an Augsburg 3-1 win is sandwiched between 2 1-1 draws and 2 1-0 wins ( one for either side) in scorelines which belie the reputation Werder Bremen matches have for goals.
- this is 9th v 11th so 2 apparently well-matches sides.
AUGSBURG
- a 6 match unbeaten run is their best part of the season so far.
- 3 consecutive home wins
- have only failed to score in 4 matches.
- have only kept 4 clean sheets
- have scored and conceded in their last 3 matches, including a 2-2 against the might of Dortmund.
- have only had 1 0-0 at halftime in 11 matches.
- have scored in all home matches bar 1
- have scored 2 goals at least against 8th and lower at home.
- 88% of home matches over 2.5 goals.
- have scored 8 of their 10 1st half goals in the first 1/2 hour/
- have only had 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
WERDER BREMEN
- only 5 wins all season
- a team of some contrasts. Recent matches have seen total goals of 5-4-5-8-7-5 and then suddenly we get a home 1-0 win against Bayer Leverkusen and a 0-0 against Braunschweig.
- goals have really been flowing away from home. Recent totals 3-4-8-5 goals
- all bar one of Werder's defeats this season came against top 8 sides ( 5 of their away defeats v 3rd to 7th inclusive).
- I don't know what to make of this match. Away from home recently, Werder Bremen have had eyecatchingly high amounts of goals, but in head to heads, the general trend between these 2 teams hase been very tight indeed. And suddenly, Werder's last 2 matches are 1-0 and 0-0.
- there is an argument for a 0-0 halftime score lay given Augsburg's impressive stats.
- Augsburg tend to score at home. Werder should find this an easier assignment given all bar one of their defeats is v top 8 sides. Both teams to score?
230pm - Bayer Leverkusen v Stuttgart - 1.5 home
Standout stats
- Leverkusen are unbeaten in head to heads . 2 2-2 draws, ,a 2-1 and a 0-1 indicate that Stuttgart can put up a fight.
- this is 2nd v 12th and Leverkusen are some 13 points behind Bayern
BAYER LEVERKUSEN
- only 1 draw all season
- on a 3 match losing streak
- have failed to score in 4 this season, and twice in 2 of the last 3 matches.
- their first loss of the season at home came in the last race.
- only 1 draw at home came against 1st
- have scored 2+ in 7 of 9 home matches
- have scored 11 in the first half and 12 in the 2nd half at home
- no opponent has led at halftime at home.
- have not had a 0-0 this season.
- have only had one 0-0 at halftime at home
STUTTGART
- 6 defeats in their last 8.
- no draw in the last 8 matches.
- 7 of the last 8 matches over 2.5 goals.
- have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 11 matches.
- have only failed to score in 3 matches.
- have kept a clean sheet in 2 only.
- have conceded 3-6-1-3-3 in their last 5 away matches.
- Leverkusen historically have the upper hand. Stuttgart put up a strong home performance midweek going down to a 93rd minute Bayern winner. BUT their away concessions are a worry and Leverkusen must take advantage.
- 3 match losing streak for Leverkusen a concern but they have a chance to win.
- Will Leverkusen really lose a 2nd consecutive home match? Stuttgart have only kept a clean sheet in 2 so expect them to concede at some stage , especially if taking the lead as they did against bayern.
- Lay the 0-0 halftime score based on Leverkusen's record at home.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
230pm - Hoffenheim v Hamburg - 2.05 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
230pm - Mainz v Freiburg - 1.75 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
230pm - Schalke v Wolfsburg - 2. home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
3pm - Cardiff v Norwich - 2.75 home
Standout stats
- this is another toughie served up by the Premiership.A favourite at 2.75 is a favourite under sufferance
- a rather predictable 0-0 the last time these 2 met in the Premiership. Will a new manager for Cardiff, renowned for scoring, chance his side into a more attacking force?
- The Man Utd connection sees Fabio in and Zaha in, 2 very good signings.
- Guittierez is a loanee from Newcastle to strengthen Norwich's defence and he's a very good player.
- this is bottom v 12th
CARDIFF
- poor old Ole. Cardiff have recent played Arsenal, Manchester City and Manchester united in their last 4 matches, and predictably got nothing.
- worryingly, Cardiff have conceded 2+ goals in their last 7 matches. Perhaps Ole should have headed for defensive players in the transfer window?
- only 4 wins this season, 3 of them were at home and the last 2 were 1-0 home wins.
- have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches
- have scored 8 of their 10 home goals in the 2nd half and conceded 7 of their 8 away concessions in the last 1/4 hour
- have had 5 0-0's at halftime at home
NORWICH
- only 3 defeats in 9 sees Norwich on the right tracks. 2 of those defeats were to Everton and Manchester United and not such a surprise.
- have kept 2 consecutive clean sheets
- have lost all bar 1 away match against top 8 sides.
- against teams below them away, matches are very tight. They have scored 1-1-0-0-0 in away matches v 13th-17th inclusive.
- have conceded 14 first half goals away.In fact, they have conceded 24 goals away and scored only 7.( 3(ish) coneded for every one scored).
- have only had 1 0-0 at halftime
- post transfer window is always tough to call, particularly when one of your signings is as high class as Wilfred Zaha,. His impact on loan from United could be the difference.
- This is not a match I have any inclination for. Statswise it points to Norwich scoring a maximum of one goal . Will Cardiff stop conceding 2+ goals ? This might be the match when they do.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3pm - Everton v Aston Villa - 1.44 home
Standout stats
- A recent 4-0 thumping by Liverpool for Everton and Aston Villa will be delighted with a 4-3 win over West Brom but worried about conceding 2 goals so quickly in the first half
- DDDWDW ( where D=Draw and W=Win) in head to heads for Everton saw all score draws.
- this is 6th v 10th. Do note that 10th placed are only 6 points from 4th bottom!!!
EVERTON
- only 3 defeats all season and are unlikely to have a 2nd consecutive defeat.
- only Sunderland have beaten them at home.
- only 1 clean sheet in 9 is not quite in keeping with the Martinez reputation.
- have won 4 of their last 5 home matches.
- have scored 3-2-2-2 at home to 8th, 9th, 12th and 13th and are playing 10th today.
- have scored 10 first half and 11 2nd half goals at home
- only 2 0-0's at halftime at home
ASTON VILLA
- only 1 defeat in 5, but only 2 wins in 9 matches.
- have conceded 2-2-3 in their last 3 matches
- 2-3-6 goals scored before halftime in their last 3 matches
- only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 matches.
- have actually scored and conceded in the 4 away matches against top 9 sides.
- have a good record v top 9 away, 1-3 win, 2-1 loss, 2-2 draw and 2-3 win.
Profitable in play opportunities
- 2 consecutive defeats for Everton? Really? I would hope note. Everton tend to score 2 goals at least against teams near Villa's position. Villa have conceded 2-2-3 in their last 3 matches, so that 2 goals for Everton seems to have legs.
- 0-0 halftime score lay based solely on Aston Villa's 2-3-6 goals before halftime in their last 3.
- both teams could reasonably score today, as Everton are not keeping clean sheets lately, and history points to a lot of score draws. Aston Villa tend to find the net against top 9 away and beware their interesting record v top 9.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3pm - Fulham v Southampton - 2.2 away
Standout stats
- only 3 head to heads of relevance, 2 draws and a home win for Southampton.
- no transfers it seems for Southampton.
- Berbatov has left Fulham who have signed Mitroglou from Olympiakos and Heitinga from Everton
- this is 19th v 9th
FULHAM
- only 1 draw this season.
- 3 wins and 12 defeats in their last 15 matches.
- have only kept 3 clean sheets all season
- Fulham's last 2 home wins were secured by goals by Berbatov. Will Mitroglou be an able replacement?
- have scored and conceded in 8 of 10 home matches.
- have lost to top 7 sides at home, yet beat 10th placed Villa 2-0. How will they fare against 9th placed Southampton?
- have scored in their last 11 home matches and conceded in their last 8 matches overall
- 7 home goals have been conceded in the last 1/4 hour.
SOUTHAMPTON ( SAINTS)
- only 2 wins in their last 12 matches but within thos 12 matches, they have played Arsenal twice, Chelsea twice, Man City, Newcastle, Tottenham and Everton, all top 10 sides.
- have scored in 8 of their last 9 away matches
- have had 2 consecutive 2-2 results, part of a run of 4 matches out of 5 where they have conceded 2+ goals.
- are unbeaten home and away against 13th and below
- another match where there has been team changes. Will Mitroglou help Fulham score as they have in their last 11 home matches.?
- If so, it looks as if both teams could score.
- Advantage Southampton for me given their unbeaten record against 13th and below . Welcome respite from a recent fixture list of mostly top 10 teams.
- Lay Fulham if Fulham score first.
- Note Fulham have only had one draw all season. Lay any late draw?
3pm - Hull v Tottenham - 1.9 away
Standout stats
- Tottenham ( Spurs) won 1-0 at home in October 2013 under differrent management.
- This is 5th v 13th. Hull should not feel flattered though, they are only 4 points higher than the relegated 3.
HULL CITY
- only 1 win in 10 matches
- have played Chelsea and Man Utd recently at home and conceded at least 2 goals.
- have failed to score in their last 4 matches,
- have only kept 2 clean sheets in 13
- have only played 3 of the top 7 at home, losing 2 and beating Liverpool 3-1.
- Outside of the top 7, Hull are really tight at home but just seem to concede 2+ against the better sides.
- no opponent has led at halftime at Hull this season.
- have had 5 0-0's at halftime .
SPURS
- only 6 defeats all season. Lost 1-5 to Manchester City, and also lost 6-0 to Manchester City this season. Was this down to some defensive absentees as well as the red card?
- We need to look at form under Tim Sherwood.
- Under Sherwood Spurs have scored 2+ goals in 5 of the 7 matches, have won 5 matches, and won all 3 away matches scoring 3-2-3 goals.
- 5 of Sherwood's matches have seen over 2.5 goals, and all bar 1 match has seen a successful 0-0 halftime score lay.
- Spurs have only lost to 1st and 2nd away from home.
- Have won all matches away v 7th and below.
- have scored in their last 5 away and conceded in their last 6 away.
- have scored 15 of their 16 away goals after the 1/2 hour mark.
Profitable in play opportunities.
- I am surprised to see Spurs at nearly evens here . They have been scoring 2+ in away matches under Tim Sherwood, and against a team without a goal in 4 matches, Spurs could claim a vital 3 points.
- Hull seem to concede 2+ against the top 7 at home, despite being ultra hard to beat in all other home matches..
- 0-0 halftime score lay does not appeal as Hull have nearly 50% home matches 0-0 at halftime. That might signal a 0-0 pre match back to lay trade?
3pm - Stoke v Manchester Utd - 1.66 away
Standout stats
- 2 different managers make head to heads really difficult to get anything useful from. Pulis's Stoke were unique. They are no more. Fergie's United were unique. They are much changed now.
- this is 7th v 16th . Stoke are only 2 points from relegation zone .
STOKE
- only 3 wins in their last 20 matches.
- have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
- have only lost 1 of their last 7 at home, a 3-5 loss to Liverpool.
- have scored and conceded in 5 of 6 matches at home to top 10. Have only lost one of those home matches v top 10
- have had 5 0-0's at halftime at home.
MANCHESTER UNITED
- United's troubles seem to be against top 8 sides home and away. They have lost all bar 1 v top 8.
- only 1 defeat in 8 aways
- have failed to score in only 4 matches this season.
- no draw in 10.
- 6 wins and a draw away v 10th and below.
- against 10th and below, United have scored 2+ in all bar 1 match.
- United have conceded away against 13th, 17th, 19th and 20th .
- have scored in their last 9 away matches.
- have only scored first in 5 of their 11 away matches.
- have only had 1 0-0 at halftime away.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Stoke are in dire form. Manchester United have Van Persie , Rooney and Mata refreshing the side, and hopefully can be trusted to score at least 2 as they do against 10th and below away.
- United might concede too, and could concede 1st and I would chance a lay of Stoke if Stoke score first.
3pm - Wolves v Bradford - 1.57 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
3pm - Barcelona v Valencia - 1.14 home
Standout stats
- Barcelona tend to win the home head to heads.
- this is 1st v 10th. Valencia are under performing this season.
BARCELONA
- have drawn 2 of their last 3 matches and must win as Atl Madrid and Real Madrid are right on their coat tails.
- 100% win record at home.
- 4 clean sheets in the last 5 home matches.
- have failed to score in only 3 this season. 1.14 suggests 3/4 goals minimum.
- 90% of home matches are over 2.5 goals.
- 60% of home matches are over 3.5 goals.
- 'have scored 18 first half goals and 16 2nd half goals at home.
- have only conceded 1 goal at home in the first half.
- Sanchez has scored 11 home goals this season.
- have only had 1 0-0 at home.
VALENCIA
- have only won 2 of their last 9 matches.
- have only won 1 of their last 6 away matches.
- have failed to score in only 2.
- have conceded 3 in 3 matches home and away against top 3 sides.
- have not beaten any of the top 6 home and away
- have scored and conceded in 5 of their 6 matches against top 6.
- have only had 1 0-0 all season.
- Valencia tend to concede 3 against top 3 sides. Will that continue?
- Barcelona have won all of their home matches and score equally home and away. Lay 0-0 halftime score ? despite Valencia having 4 0-0's at halftime away.
3pm - Rangers v Brechin City - 1.11 home
Standout stats
- Rangers were excellent at the weekend, going 0-2 down at odds of 1.09 only to win 3-2. Great stuff.
- 4-1 to Rangers and 3-4 away for Rangers in head to heads. At least they are consistently scoring 4 goals, which ties in with a 1.11 quote.
RANGERS
- won all bar a score draw this season
- 6 consecutive wins
- a run of 5 consecutive clean sheets ended with a 3-2 win over Arbroath.
- 10 wins and a score draw at home.
- have scored 2+ goals in 10 home matches.
BRECHIN
- only 1 draw in 14 matches.
- have won their last 3 matches
- have won their last 3 away matches after a run of 8 without w in
Profitable in play opportunities
- Rangers don't tend to let their backers down. 1.11 suggests 3/4 goals minimum. We can only hope for an Arbroath like cock up from Rangers!
330pm - Lorient v Monaco - 1.9 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
5pm - Levante v Rayo Vallecano - 2.15 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
5pm - Bologna v Udinese - 2.5 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
5pm - Cagliari v Fiorentina - 2.15 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
5pm - Eskisehirspor V Fenerbahçe - 1.95 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
5pm - Marítimo V Porto - 1.36 away
Standout stats
- 5 wins and a draw in head to heads , Porto have scored 3 goals in each of the last 2 meetings.
- this is 11th v 3rd and there is a glimpse still at the title for Porto.
MARITIMO
- only 4 wins all season
- only 1 loss in 7 was against Benfica, but 4 score draws
- have scored and conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- have conceded in all matches this season
- have failed to score in only 4 this season
- 5 defeats have come against top 5 and 2 defeats have come against bottom 3.
- 86% over 2.5 goals at home
- have scored and conceded in all matches at home
PORTO
- only 2 defeats this season, both away.
- have lost 2 of their last 3 away matches.
- failed to score only in those defeats
- more vulnerable away from home, but have beaten 12th and 13th 1-3 away and are playing 11th today, a team Porto have beaten 3-0 this season.
- have conceded in their last 6 away matches
- neither side has had a 0-0 this season so lay any 0-0 late and low
- Both teams could score today
- Porto only failed to score in 2 defeats but have scored 3 against maritimo this season and scored 3 away to 12th and 13th ( Maritimo are 11th).
- there are no halftime stats or goal times stats for Portugeuse football.
5pm - Standard Liege V Cercle Brugge - 1.2 home
Standout stats
- 4 consecutive wins for Standard ended with a cup 1-0 loss last match. The key stats though are that Standard win league meetings between these 2 .
- this is 1st v 9th
STANDARD LIEGE
- only 1 defeat all season
- have only failed to score in 3.
- are unbeaten at home but have had 4 draws in their last 7 home matches.
- have scored 2+ in each match at home to 5th-13th inclusive. Cercle are 9th.
- are undefeated in 11 at home and 13 overall.
CERCLE BRUGGE
- no draw in 11 matches
- have lost 5 of their last 8 matches
- have lost their last 3 away matches
- have lost all 3 matches away to top 6 sides.
- have not had a 0-0 this season.
Profitable in play opportunities
- there are no halftime or goals stats for Belgium
- Standard could score 2+ goals today if keeping their strong home scoring record up. This ties in with Cercle's losing performances against top 5 away.
- a worrying case of drawitis for Standard has a good chance of ending as Cercle have not had a draw in 11 matches. Cercle might score, and if scoring first, should be layed.
530pm - Hannover v Borussia Mönchengladbach - 2.5 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
545pm - Heerenveen V ADO Den Haag - 1.45 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
7pm - Getafe v Valladolid - 2.00 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
7pm - Gent V OH Leuven - 1.45 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
7pm - Club Brugge V Mons - 1.36 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
7pm - St Etienne v Valenciennes - 1.44 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
715pm - Gil Vicente V Benfica - 1.25 away
Standout stats
- Benfica have won all recent head to heads both home and away scoring 2+ goals
- this is 10th v 1st. Porto have a winnable game today so benfica must win this match to retain their 3 point advantage at the totp
Profitable in play opportunities
745pm - Milan v Torino - 1.61 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
745pm - AZ Alkmaar V Groningen - 1.66 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
9pm - Málaga v Sevilla - 2.4 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
SUNDAY
1130am - Genoa v Sampdoria - 2.45 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
1130am - Utrecht V Ajax - 1.45 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
1245am - Lausanne V Basel - 1.45 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
1pm - Magna Neustadt V Salzburg - 1.16 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
1pm - Olympiacos V Panetolikos - 1.15 home
Standout stats
- 0-1 and 0-0 in the last 2 head to heads.
- this is 1st v 6th.
OLYMPIAKOS
- have won all matches bar 2 0-0 draws.
- have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 12 matches.
- have failed to score in only 2 matches.
- have scored 2+ goals in all home matches.
PANETOLIKOS
- no draw in 7.
- have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.
- have had 3 1-0's in their last 4 matches
- have had very tight away matches against 2nd ( 1-0) and 3rd ( 1-1) . How will they fare against an Olympiakos side without their main striker Mitroglou?
- this is all about Olympiakos. 1.15 suggests 3/4 goals and a possible win to nil ( 10 clean sheets in 12)
- expect 2+ goals from Olympiakos
130pm - West Brom v Liverpool - 1.66 away
Standout stats
- Thievy is an on loan striker from Espanyol for West Brom.
- no transfer signings for Liverpool
- a win and a loss for WBA in their last 2 home head to heads matches , and in the last 2 head to heads time-wise, Liverpool lost one and won 1.
- this is 15th v 4th. West Brom are only 3 points from the relegation zone.
WEST BROM ( WBA)
- have won only 4 all season and only 1 of their last 13.
- only 1 clean sheet in 13 matches
- are unbeaten in 3 at home with an impressive 1-0 win over Newcastle and 1-1 draw with Everton.
- have scored and concede in the 3 matches played against top 6 sides at home, includes 2 1-1 draws.
- have scored 7 home goals in the last 1/4 hour of matches
- have only had 2 0-0's at halftime at home
LIVERPOOL
- only 5 defeats this season
- have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 away matches.
- have failed to score in only 2 this season.
- 12 of the last 13 matches were over 2.5 goals
- have not had a 0-0 at halftime in 18 matches . In fact, have only had 1 0-0 at halftime all season.
- against 14th and below, home and away, Liverpool have scored 3-4-1-5-3-4-4-3 goals. This is ultra consistent and an indication that they have the mark over lower 1/2 teams .
- have scored in their last 13 matches
- 'have not had a 0-0 this season
Profitable in play opportunities
- with a team consisting of Sturridge and Suarez, surely it is not a stretch to conclude that Liverpool can match the 3,4 or 5 goal tallies they have managed against other teams 13th and below.
- Contrast that with West Brom's eye catching 1-0 win at home v Newcastle and 1-1 draw with Everton. Do Liverpool have greater fire power?
- it is likely that we'll see a goal before halftime so lay the 0-0 halftimescore.
- Lay West Brom if West Brom score first, given that forward line for Liverpool
130pm - Twente V Cambuur - 1.25 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
2pm - Atalanta v Napoli - 1.83 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
2pm - Catania v Livorno - 2.00 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
2pm - Chievo v Lazio - 2.3 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
2pm - Roma v Parma - 1.4 home
Standout stats
- have won the last 2 home head to heads to nil
- this is 2nd v 7th
ROMA
- only beaten by Juventus this season.
- have won their last 3 matches scoring 3 or 4 goals
- have won the last 4 home matches scoring 2-4-4-3
- have not had a 0-0 halftime in 7
- against top 11 at home, Roma have won all matches scoring 2+ and conceding only 1
- have only conceded 2 home goals
- have scored 12 first half and 15 2nd half goals at home
PARMA
- are unbeaten in 10
- have won their last 4 matches
- have failed to score in only 3
- are unbeaten against 3rd, 4th and 5th away this season.
- have only had 1 0-0 away
Profitable in play opportunities
- this might be a toughie for Roma, although Parma did lose at home to both Juventus and Roma
- expectation for Roma to score 2+ goals. Roma score first in 10/11 home matches so not sure where a DRT comes from.
- Roma tend to keep clean sheets at home but Parma have failed to score in only 3 all season. Pray that Parma score first as we will then be able to lay them
2pm - Sassuolo v Verona - 2.37 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
230pm - Hertha Berlin v Nurnberg - 1.75 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
3pm - Nottingham Forest v Yeovil - 1.44 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
3pm - Celtic v St Mirren - 1.16 home
Standout stats
- this is likely to be business as usual , so it's good for DRT because if St Mirrne score, or if it's a long 0-0, we can get involved.
- Celtic have only had 1 home head to head in the last 6, winning 2-0.
- Celtic won 0-4 at St Mirren earlier in the season.
CELTIC
- this is 1st v 9th and it would take a monumental cock up for Celtic to lose this title
- unbeaten this season
- 12 match winning run
- 10 clean sheets
- have scored 3 or 4 in the last 4 matches
- have only conceded 1 2nd half goal at home
- only 1 0-0 at home in the first half.
ST MIRREN
- only 2 wins in 12 matches.
- lost 0-4 to Celtic as recently as 5th January
- have conceded 2 or more in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- have not had an away draw in 12
- have had 7 0-0's at halftime at home, but only 2 away
Profitable in play opportunities
- A celtic win to nil is expected, as is a goal before halftime. Winning runs and clean sheets runs will end at some point, but today? against a team they beat 0-4 away as recently as 5th January?
- Note Celtic have scored 3 and 4 in their last 4 matches.
330pm - RKC Waalwijk V PSV Eindhoven - 1.5 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
4pm - Arsenal v Crystal Palace - 1.18 home
Standout stats
- beware the curse of the Pulis 1-0! Will it be overcome by the Arsenal 2-0?
- I don't think head to heads are relevant as there is a post Pulis Palace and a Pre-Pulis Palace
- remember this is a London derby
- this is 2nd v 16th. Such is the tightness at the bottom, Palace are a point from relegation, but a win away from 11th spot!!
ARSENAL
- only 3 defeats for Arsenal, 2 came away v the Manchester clubs
- are unbeaten at home since the Aston Villa farce at the start of the season
- have had 5 2-0 wins in their last 7 matches at home
- have scored 2 in their last 4 matches
- have had 5 0-0's at halftime in their last 7
- have only failed to score in 2 this season.
- have scored 2+ win wins at home to 11th and lower.
- have only conceded 2 first half goals at home.
- have scored first in 10 of their 11 home matches
CRYSTAL PALACE ( Palace)
- Tony Pulis has made a huge difference.
- 11 of Pulis' 13 matches have been under 2. goals, 8 of those were under 1.5 goals.
- 5 of Pulis' wins in those 13 matches were 1-0, the other was 2-0.
- ample warning for Arsenal today. Chelsea only won 2-1, Man City only won 1-0, and Tottenham 2-0.
- Still, Palace have lost all 6 away matches v top 9,conceding 2+ in 5 of them. A bridge too far?
- no draw away for Palace
- have only scored 5 away goals.
- have had 5 0-0's at halftime away
Profitable in play opportunities
- it would not surprise me that this match remains 0-0 for a while. So perhaps back 0-0 pre match with a view to laying off later on, and avoid the 0-0 halftime score lay.
- Best case for Palace is a 0-1 , but they tend to concede 2 against top 9 sides, and this has occured still under Pulis. Arsenal may have to score 2 to win, and the goals are most likelt late 2nd half goals .
- If Palace score first, you must do an inusrance bet on the Palace 0-1 scoreline , while laying Palace in the match odds market. 5 Pulis wins this season have been 1-0.
4pm - Real Betis v Espanyol - 2.3 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
4pm - Rennes v Lyon - 2.4 away
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
4pm - Marseille v Toulouse - 1.9 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
430pm - Bayern Munich v Eintracht Frankfurt - 1.11 home
Standout stats
- Bayern Munich were superb mid week, with a late lay of the draw at 1.06 as they scored a 93rd minute winner.
- Bayern have won the last 3 head to heads to nil. They only won the last 2 meetings 0-1.
- this is 1st v 14th.
BAYERN
- have won all bar 2 1-1 draws this season. They had a close shave against Stuttgart last match.
- Bayern have won all home matches.
- have won their last 10 matches.
- have scored in all matches.
- have scored 2+ goals in their last 10 matches.
- have only had 1 0-0 at halftime in their last 10 matches.
- have scored 8 first half goals and 15 2nd half goals at home.
FRANKFURT
- didn't have a win in 10 but in their last 3 matches have won 2 ( both 1-0) and drawn 1-1.
- Beat Leverkusen 0-1 in the last away match after a run of 3 away defeats. Leverkusen are 2nd
- have failed to score in only 3 this season.
- have only had 4 clean sheets
- beat 2nd away 0-1 but conceded 6 against 7th away and conceded 4 against 4th away. Which is it to be today?
- have not had a 0-0 this season and have had 4 0-0's at halftime away
Profitable in play opportunities
- Bayern are likely to score at some stage, so keep the faith as you would have done mid week.
- Bayern are likely to score 2 goals if keeping up their record .
- What's with Frankfurt beating Leverkusen 0-1? Is Bayern just a step too much?
5pm - Galatasaray V Bursaspor - 1.53 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
6pm - Atlético Madrid v Real Sociedad - 1.33 home
Standout stats
- must wins from herein in for Atl Madrid.
- the last 4 head to heads have been tight, a draw, a 1-0 win for each side, and a win for Atl Madrid latest.
- this is 2nd v 6th but there's nearly 20 points difference
ATL MADRID
- equal on points with barcelona but "2nd" on goal difference.
- only 1 loss all season.
- 2 consecutive home draws now, surely not a 3rd?
- have scored in all bar one match this season.
- 73% of home matches over 2.5 goals.
- have scored 15 1st half and 19 2nd half goals at home.
- Costa is the key home goal scorer with 13.
- only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
SOCIEDAD
- only 2 defeats in 13 matches
- have scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 7 away matches.
- have not had a 0-0 at halftime in 13 matches.
- have scored in their last 13 matches.
- have lost 4 of their 5 matches this season against top 5.
- have scored in defeat against 1st, 3rd, 5th away.
- 73% of away matches over 2.5 goals.
- have scored in their last 7 away and conceded in their last 9 away.
- only 2 0-0's at halftime away.
Profitable in play opportunities
- sequentially, Atl Madrid cannot really tolerate a 3rd consecutive draw at home so this might be our cue to lay any late draw.
- both sides have 73% over 2.5 goals.
- 0-0 halftime score lay looks reasonable here as both sides have only had 2 0-0's
- Sociedad may score today , albeit they tend to get spanked by top 5 away.
615pm - Sporting Lisbon V Academica Coimbra - 1.33 home
Standout stats
Profitable in play opportunities
745pm - Juventus v Inter - 1.44 home
Standout stats
- both teams have scored in the last 3 head to heads.
- this is 1st v 5th.
JUVENTUS
- have won all matches bar 3 ( 2 1-1 draws and a loss).
- drew their last match.
- have won all home matches
- have scored in all matches.
- have scored and conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches.
- have scored 2+ goals in all bar 1 home match.
- 80% of home matches are over 2.5 goals.
- 50% of home matches are over 3.5 goals.
- have scored 17 first half and 13 2nd half goals at home.
- have only had 1 0-0 at halftime at home
INTER MILAN
- Inter have lost only 4 this season, but lost 4 in their last 6 matches.
- have lost their last 3 away matches.
- have lost their last 2 away matches 1-0.
- have failed to score in 3 of their last 4.
- have only won 1 of their last 9 matches.
- have not beaten any teams 14th and above in the league.
- have only had 1 0-0 all season and none away.
Profitable in play opportunities
- will Juventus really go 2 without winning? They have a 100% record at home and score in all matches.
- Lay 0-0 halftime score.
- Inter Milan have trouble scoring recently and cannot seem to beat top teams away from home. Lay Inter Milan if they score first.
8pm - Athletic Bilbao v Real Madrid - 1.53 away
Standout stats
- Real Madrid have scored 3+ in the last 6 head to head wins. You'd expect a shorter price if that were the case tonight.
- 0-3 scorelines in the last 3 head to heads at Bilbao.
- this is 4th v 3rd, but really the top 3 are a step above.
Athletic Bilbao
- 7 wins in their last 9 matches.
- all 5 defeats this season have come away, including their first season defeat, a 3-1 defeat to Real Madrid.
- have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 9 matches.
- only 1 0-0 at halftime in their last 13 matches
- have failed to score in only 3 this season.
- have kept 4 clean sheets .
- 5 consecutive home wins.
- have beaten Barcelona 1-0 at home so a warning sign for Real Madrid.
- have scored in 11 at home.
- have scored 17 goals in the last 1/2 hour of home matches.
- have only had 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
Real Madrid
- only 2 defeats this season.
- have won 10 of their last 11 matches, the only aberration a 2-2 draw.
- are unbeaten in 6 away matches , winning 5.
- have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 8 matches.
- have had 10 over 2.5 goals matches in their last 12.
- have had 3 0-0's at halftime in their last 4 matches.
- have only lost to 1st and 2nd this season
- have scored in their last 11 away matches.
- 64% of away matches over 3.5 goals.
- have scored 14 goals in the last 1/2 hour of matches away
- watch out for late goals -31 goals in the last 1/2 hour.
- emphatic wins for Real Madrid in head to head scoring 3 at least .
- Over 2.5 goals is a very strong trend for these 2.
- Watch out with halftime 0-0 score. Real have had 3 0-0's at halftime in their last 4 - very uncharacteristic. So although it sounds logical, lay it very very late if you must.
- Bilbao beat Barcelona 1-0 so there are conflicts as with Real Madrid we expect goals.
No comments:
Post a Comment