1245pm - Bournemouth v Liverpool – 1.38 away
Avoid the draw? Liverpool don’t seem to draw in the FA Cup in recent years.
Team news is key . I cannot really get any strong angles in here.
Fulltime - 0-2
halftime - 0-1
first goal scored - 26th minute
last goal scored - 60th minute
Avoiding the draw was the angle in ,and was easily met.
230pm - Stuttgart v Mainz – 2.12 home
Profitable in play opportunities
Both teams could score today.
Lay the 0-0 halftime score as late and low as possible.
Fulltime - 1-2
halftime - 1-1
first goal scored - 11th minute
last goal scored - 87th minute
Another very straightforward match with good research conclusions. Both teams scored and the match was not 0-0 at halftime.
230pm - Nurnberg v Hoffenheim – 2.66 home
Profitable in play opportunities
some amazing stats here. Nurnberg have not won this season and Hoffenheim have not kept a clean sheet this season.
Hoffenheim also tend towards over 2.5 goals, but one match where they didn’t was a 1-0 loss away to bottom side.
So while the stats are wonderful, there are question marks.
If we were dealing with this from a purely stats based conclusion, then we would lay Nurnberg if Nurnberg score first. We would perhaps lay 0-0 halftime score based on Hoffenheim’s strong stats, and we could expect both teams to score. Would 1-1 be a logical opening gambit?
Fulltime - 4-0
halftime - 2-0
first goal scored - 24th minute
last goal scored - 70th minute
The key stat here was the over 2.5 goals stat for Hoffenheim. Hoffenheim also did not keep a clean sheet. Nurnberg won their first match of the season. These 2 teams were so poor, a neutral bet was best ( goals bets are neutral because they involve both sides)
230pm - Dortmund v Augsburg – 1.34 home
Profitable in play opportunities
MATCH ODDS – Dortmund tend to only lose to top 6 sides, so if Augsburg are leading at any stage, lay Augsburg. Lay any late draw in the hope Dortmund continue to avoid home draws. Also will Dortmund really lose a 4th consecutive home match.
CORRECT SCORE – lay any late 0-0
HALFTIME SCORE – lay 0-0 halftime score
Fulltime - 2-2
halftime - 1-0
first goal scored - 5th minute
last goal scored - 72nd minute
The 0-0 halftime score lay was successful. I layed the late draw, at odds of 1.09 , really late on in the match, but it remained 2-2. The key to minimising risk is to delay entry until the last gasp .
230pm - Freiburg v Leverkusen – 1.8 away
Profitable in play opportunities
this is either going to end 1-0 ( either way) or Leverkusen will score at least 3 goals.
HALFTIME SCORE – Leverkusen are most likely to score an away goal in the first half so chance a 0-0 halftime score lay.
Both teams could score and concede, and if so, this suggests Leverkusen will not lose.
Fulltime - 3-2
halftime - 1-2
first goal scored - 4th minute
last goal scored - 90 minute
The research was good again. Lay the 0-0 halftime score . THe halftime score was 1-2. Both teams scored as predicted.
As to Bayer not losing, well, that was oh-so-close were it not for a 90th minute winner for Freiburg
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