1130am - Napoli v Sampdoria - 1.43 home
Standout stats
- Napoli have kept clean sheets in their last 3 head to heads and have won the last 3 home head to heads keeping clean sheets.
- This is 3rd v 14th.
- Napoli have lost only 3 matches, and 2 of those were against the top 2 teams away from home.
- Napoli have only won 2 of their last 6 matches.
- Napoli have scored 2+ goals in all bar 2 home matches.
- Napoli have scored and conceded in their last 3 matches.
- Napoli have failed to score in only 3 matches, and lost each of those 3.
- Napoli have had only 2 0-0's at halftime. Their last 4 matches saw 2-3-5-2 scored before halftime.
- Napoli have conceded in their last 8 matches.
- Napoli have scored 14 goals in the first half at home.
- Neither side has had a 0-0 this season.
- Sampdoria have not lost their last 5 matches.
- Sampdoria are yet to beat a side above them in the league.
- They have lost 2-1 away to 4th, 1-1 v 5th away, and 2-0 away to 6th.
- All draws for Sampdoria this season have been score draws.
Profitable in play opportunities
- This should not end 0-0
- Napoli have been reliable for 0-0 halftime score layers in recent matches before the Christmas break.
- Sampdoria are yet to beat any team above them this season so if they lead at any stage, lay them.
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2pm - AC Milan v Atalanta - 1.44 home
Standout stats
- Only 1 team has scored in the last 4 meetings and AC Milan was that team on 3 occasions.Milan lost the last home head to head 0-1.
- This is 13th v 15th
- AC Milan are poor but it is important to note all defeats have come against 9th and above home and away.
- AC Milan have lost only 2 home matches, and those were against 3rd and 4th.
- AC Milan have only scored one home goal in each match against 10th, 11th, 12th, 14th.
- AC Milan have lost only 1 of their last 6 matches and that was against Inter Milan.
- AC Milan have kept only 3 clean sheets .
- AC Milan have failed to score in only 3 matches this season.
- Atalanta have lost 7 and drawn 1 of their last 8 away matches.
- Atalanta have only won 1 of their last 9 matches.
- Atalanta have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Atalanta have failed to score in all bar 1 match away.
- Atalanta have conceded in their last 10 matches.
- Atalanta have not had a 0-0 this season and had 4 0-0's at halftime away.
Profitable in play opportunities
- This match should not be 0-0 full-time.
- AC Milan tend only to score one goal against teams around them so this might not be the goal fest the odds suggest.
- AC Milan have only lost to 3rd and 4th at home so if Atalanta are leading, they should not win , given they have lost 7 of their 8 away matches,
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2pm - Catania v Bologna - 2.16 home
Standout stats
- After Bologna won 3 consecutive head to heads, Catania won 1-0 in February 2013.
- This is 20th v 17th
- Catania's 2 wins this season came at home.
- Catania have only lost to the 2 Milan sides at home. They have beaten 16th and drawn with 18th, and are playing 17th
- Catania have only managed to score 2 goals in a single match on one occasion this season.
- Defense therefore is key ( 5 clean sheets at home).
- Bologna have only 3 wins this season.
- Bologna have scored and conceded in all matches away v 9th and below.
Profitable in play opportunities
- I would not ordinarily research these kinds of teams so stats are scarce and enthusiasm scarcer.
- What we can exploit is this - Catania are unlikely to score 2 goals. It follows therefore that if they score first, they are logically layable ( they have only scored 2 goals in one match this season).
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2pm - Genoa v Sassuolo - 2.26 home
Standout stats
- These teams have not met before.
- This is 10th v 18th.
- Genoa are unbeaten in their last 5 home matches.
- Genoa have only been beaten by 3rd and 4th at home.
- Genoa have only had 4 over 2.5 goals matches this season.
- Sassuolo have only won 3 matches all season and have only won 1 away from home.
- Sassuolo have not beaten any of the top 12 home or away.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Statistically Genoa look the favourites here. Sassuolo have not beaten the top 12 this season so lay them if they score first.
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2pm - Parma v Torino - 2.12 home
Standout stats
- Parma are unbeaten in head to heads, and the 2 most relevant saw them score 3 and 4 goals.
- This is 9th v 7th.
- Parma are on a 6 match unbeaten run. Alas, 5 of those matches were draws.
- At home, only the top 2 have beaten Parma.
- Parma have had 8 draws this season which is leaking them points. So while only losing 5 this season, they are not exploiting that.
- It's 50/50 who will score first.
- Parma have had 7 0-0's at halftime.
- Parma have kept only 4 clean sheets.
- Torino have lost only 4 matches this season.
- Torino have conceded in all bar 1 away match.
- Torino have won 4 of their last 5 matches ( 3 of those wins were at home).
- Torino have only failed to score in 3 matches this season, 2 were against 1st and 3rd.
- All of Torino's wins this season have come against 11th and under.
- Torino have scored in their last 8 matches.
- Torino have not had a 0-0 this season.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Juventus showed the importance of looking at head to heads last night. Well, here, Parma have scored 7 goals in 2 head to heads.
- Both teams could score today.
- A DRT angle is difficult as both teams are on unbeaten runs.
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2pm - Udinese v Verona - 1.86 home
Standout stats
- There are no recent head to heads as Verona are newly promoted.
- This is 12th v 6th, and rarely will you see the 6th placed team as the outsider in the odds!
- Udinese have won only 1 of their last 4 matches at home. They failed to score in 3 of those matches.
- Udinese at home have lost to 1st, 5th and 7th , without scoring. They play 6th today but the odds suggest this is a "false position" for Verona.
- Udinese have only had 2 draws this season.
- Udinese have kept only 3 clean sheets this season.
- Hellas Verona are 6th because they have won 8 of their 9 home matches. It does seem to be a rather false position given Verona are yet to play the top 7 sides at home this season.
- Away from home Verona have lost to 1st, 2nd, 4th, 5th, 10th. Their only away win came against 17th.
- Verona conceded 2+ in all away matches against 10th and higher.
- Verona have not won any of their last 4 away matches.
- Verona have conceded 6 goals away in each of the 1/4 hours before and after halftime.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Your angle in here is determinant on whether you feel Verona are in a false position in 6th. They are 6th because they have won 7 of 8 home matches, but are yet to play top 7 at home.
- Away from home, Verona have conceded 2 goals + in each match against 10th and above.
- Udinese should score at some stage today and Verona may concede 2 goals minimum .
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530pm - Aris v Apollon Smirnis - 1.72 home
Standout stats
- There is only 1 recent head to head, an Apollon home win 2-1.
- This is 18th v 17th. Would you rely in bottom and 2nd bottom sides?
- Aris have only won 2 matches this season.
- Aris have not won a home match this season.
- Aris have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Aris have kept only 2 clean sheets this season.
- Aris have not won in 9 matches and have conceded in their last 9 matches.
- Apollon beat Aris on the first day of the season. That was one of only 3 wins all season.
- Apollon have not won any away matches but have drawn their last 2 away matches.
- Apollon have conceded 2 goals in all away matches bar a 0-0 v 2nd.
- Interestingly,at home, Apollon have beaten 4th bottom, bottom and drawn with 3rd bottom.
- This is not a match which appeals, The home side have not won a match at home yet are odds on here. The away side have halted their slide with 2 draws away , and have form ( albeit at home) against bottom 4 so I would favour them if push came to shove.
- But then Apollon have conceded 2 goals consistently away.
- Next match please!
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530pm - Lazio v Inter - 2.52 home
Standout stats
- Lazio have won the last 3 head to heads.
- This is 11th v 5th.
- Inter have only lost 2 matches this season and are 2nd favourites. Is this down to the head to heads?
- Lazio have won only 2 of their last 12 matches.
- Lazio have only lost 2 home matches.
- All bar one of Lazio's wins has come against teams below them. All wins have come at home.
- Lazio have scored 10 and conceded only 2 goals in the first half at home.
- Inter have only lost against 2nd and 3rd this season.
- Inter have scored in all bar 1 match this season.
- Inter have not had a 0-0 this season.
Profitable in play opportunities.
- Inter should score today.
- Lay 0-0 halftime score in the hope Lazio score before halftime ( 10 at home in the first half).
6pm - Real Madrid v Celta Vigo - 1.09 home
Standout stats
- Barcelona, at a similar price, scored 4 goals yesterday.
- Real Madrid have won the last 2 home head to heads.
- This is 3rd v 17th and Real Madrid I feel are out of the title race. They must win though as the season is not yet over.
- Real Madrid have only lost 2 matches this season.
- Real Madrid have won 7 of their last 8 home matches.
- Total goals in Real Madrid's recent matches have been impressive - 10-5-6-5-4-4-5 suggests over 4.5 goals is a reasonable punt.
- Real Madrid have only failed to score in 1 match this season.
- Real Madrid have not had a 0-0 before halftime in their last 8 matches.
- Celta have not had a draw away from home
- Celta have only won 4 matches all season, keeping only 3 clean sheets.
- Celta have lost to 2nd , 4th and 5th away and scored in those matches.
- Celta have conceded 11 away goals in the 2nd half.
- Celta have not had a 0-0 away.
- Sub 1.1 shots are usually good for a 0-0 halftime score lay.
- Over 4.5 goals is a good starting point, and can be backed at better odds if the match is 0-0 for a while.
- Will Celta avoid another draw away? They also tend to score in defeat against top 5 away from home.
9pm - Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal - 2.3 away
Standout stats
- There are only 2 recent head to heads which Villareal won 2-0.
- This is 19th v 7th.
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