11am - Sevilla v Getafe - 1.59 home
11am - Sporting Gijon v Zaragoza - 1.88 home
12pm - Nottm Forest v West Ham - 2.24 home
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KILLER STATS
1245pm - St Mirren v Celtic - 1.35 away
Standout
- This is a League match, as opposed to the cup matches which have dominated this weekend.
- Both teams have scored in the last 3 meetings, albeit only 1 premiership match ( 1-1 draw).
- This is 9th v 1st.
- Only 1 win in their last 7 for St Mirren.
- St Mirren are unbeaten in their last 7 home matches, albeit drawing 3 of their last 4.
- St Mirren have only kept 4 clean sheets this season.
- St Mirren have had 5 halftime 0-0's
- Celtic are unbeaten this season and have won their last 8 matches.
- Celtic have kept 6 consecutive clean sheets so their 4 1-0 wins in their last 5 is perfect.
- Celtic have scored in all matches.
- Celtic have kept 3 consecutive clean sheets away from home and won their last 2 away matches 0-1.
Profitable in play opportunities
- For a side keeping clean sheets, our only DRT hope seems to be a prolonged 0-0. Expect a Celtic goal if there is a concerted period of 0-0.
- If St Mirren lead at any stage, lay them
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115pm - Brest v Paris St-G - 1.31 away
Standout stats
- This is Ligue 2 v Ligue 1in the French Cup
- Brest have won 3 of their last 4 cup matches.
- Brest have only played 3 matches at home , 2 in 2006 and one in 2009 and won 2 and drawn 1.
- PSG have only won 2 of their last 7 in all competitions, but a couple of those matches were Champions League matches..
- PSG seem to like a cup run. They have only lost 2 matches in their last 21 in 90 minutes ( they lost 3 after extra time.)
- PSG have won 6, drawn 1 and lost one of their last 8 Cup matches.
- Away from home in the cup, from 2008 onwards, PSG have not lost any Cup matches in 90 minutes.
Profitable in play opportunities
- At the risk of repeating myself, team news is key. Cavani and Ibrahimovic, if chosen, will make PSG even warmer favourites than they are currently.
- If Brest score first, PSG's cup record suggests they will not lose.
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2pm - Cannes v St Etienne - 1.41 away
Standout stats
2pm - Chievo v Cagliari - 2.48 home
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2pm - Sunderland v Carlisle - 1.42 home
Standout
- Sunderland's loss to Aston Villa was courtesy of a defensive howler and not representative of major problems.
- This is Premier League v League 1 in the FA Cup and usually there are no more romantic giant killings where Premiership sides are concerned, especially against teams from this league and lower.
- Sunderland have only won 1 of their last 10 matches ( in 90 minutes).
- Prior to the defensive howler against Villa, Sunderland were on a 5 match unbeaten run.
- Sunderland have lost their last 2 home FA Cup matches 0-2 against Everton and Bolton.
- They beat Arsenal at home 2-0 in February 2012 in the cup.
- Carlisle have not had a draw in their last 9 matches.
- Carlisle have not won any of their last 7 away matches.
- Carlisle last played a Premiership side in the cup in January 2010, losing 3-1 to Everton.
- Carlisle have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches.
Profitable in play opportunities
- This seems Sunderland's to lose.They should not have lost to Aston Villa, and were unbeaten in 5. I think they can get back into the match if Carlisle score first or lead at any time.
- An ideal Sunderland performance could see a win to nil.
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215pm - Derby v Chelsea - 1.46 away
Standout stats
- Derby have lost only 1 of their last 10, and that was a 0-1 loss in their last match v Wigan.
- Since October 2013. Derby have been good at home, scoring 4-3-1-3-2-5-3 before no score in the 0-1 defeat to Wigan.
- Derby have conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches at home.
- Derby have not had a draw in their last 7 FA Cup matches.
- Derby at home in the FA Cup have been winning alternately.WLWLWL ( where W = Win and L=Loss)
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 7 matches. They lost 2-1 after extra time in the League cup against Sunderland. Is the FA Cup higher on the list than the League cup for Chelsea?
- Chelsea are more vulnerable away from home.They have only won 1 of their last 4 away matches.
- Chelsea love an FA Cup run .Since January 2005 they have only lost 4 matches in 90 minutes.
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 14 away matches in the FA Cup. 2 2-2 draws in their last 3 away matches suggests we lay Derby if Derby lead.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Derby are in good form and are likely to concede.Chelsea's FA cup record is phenomenal.
- Angles in? Well, I'm afraid it's down to team news again. The Premiership teams yesterday managed pre halftime goals and that may be the case with a strong Chelsea side.
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3pm - Barcelona v Elche - 1.09 home
Standout stats
- A return for La Liga.
- There are no head to heads.
- This is 2nd v 14th, albeit temporarily it seems. Atl Madrid managed a 0-1 yesterday.
- All wins for Barca this season bar a 0-0 and a 1-0.
- Barca have scored 2+ goals at home in all bar 1 match.They have scored 4-7-4 against 12th, 13th and 17th . This fits in with a 1.09 quote.
- Barca have conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Barca have scored 15 first half goals, conceding just one.
- No team has led at halftime in a Barcelona home match.
- Only 1 win in 8 for Elche.
- Elche have scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 away matches.
- Elche have only played 1 of the top 7, that was a 2-2 draw away.
- Elche have conceded in their last 10 matches.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Christmas came early for me in Barca's last match were they were 2-0 down to Getafe. I backed them at 25 in the halftime market, and they were 2-3 up thanks to my new pal Pedro. Little hope of this happening again I suspect.
- at their best, 4+ goals should come Barcelona's way.
- 0-0 halftime score is obviously vulnerable and the usual rules apply. Lay it late and lay it low.
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3pm - Hearts v Partick - 2.44 away
Standout stats
- There is only 1 recent head to head of relevance, a 1-1 which saw an 86th minute Partick penalty and then a Hearts 88th minute equaliser.
- This is 12th v 11th. Hearts were deducted 15 points at the start of the season.
- Hearts have only won 1 of their last 13 matches.
- Hearts have not won their last 7 home matches, losing 5.
- Hearts have conceded in their last 12 matches.
- Hearts have scored first in only 2 of their 9 home matches.
- Hearts have only kept 2 clean sheets this season
- Partick have only won 1 of their last 14 matches. Partick have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches.
- Partick have conceded in their last 10 away matches.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Both sides have only had a single win in their last 13 matches. This is one of those matches where the research points to simply moving on in would seem !
3pm - Kilmarnock v Aberdeen - 2.06 away
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3pm - Liverpool v Oldham - 1.14 home
Standout stats
- 11 goals in the last 2 FA Cup meetings between these 2 and Oldham won 3-2 in the last match.
- Only 1 draw in 8 for Liverpool.
- Liverpool have won their last 7 matches and only scored less than 3 goals in one match.
- 6 wins in their last 8 matches in the FA Cup for Liverpool. Liverpool have scored and conceded in their last 8 matches in the FA Cup.
- Liverpool have won their last 5 home FA Cup matches scoring 2+ goals.
- Oldham have only won 1 of their last 9 matches.
- Away from home Oldham have lost only one of their last 7 matches.
- Oldham have scored and conceded in their last 9 FA Cup matches.
- Oldham have won 4 of their last 5 away matches
Profitable in play opportunities
- Team news key for determining whether an over 4.5 goals bet is a goer ( as it has come in in the last 2 head to heads). 1.14 suggests 4 goals minimum for Liverpool
- Both teams to score?
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3pm - Stenhousemuir v Rangers - 1.2 away
Standout stats
- This is short and sweet. Rangers have only dropped points in 1 match, a 1-1 v Stranraer ( 90th minute Stranraer goal). They have won all other matches and returned emphatically with a 0-4 away win against Dunfermline.
- The last 2 times these teams met this season saw an 8-0 Rangers win and a 0-1 Rangers win in the Cup.
- Stenhousemuir have won only 2 of their last 9 matches.
- Stenhousemuir have scored and conceded in their last 8 home League 1 matches.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Rangers return to goal scoring form against Dunfermline could spell trouble for Stenhousemuir. This will be either 0-0 at halftime and a single Rangers goal, or 4 goals minimum for Rangers.
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315pm - Panthrakikos v Levadiakos - 1.65 home
Standout stats
- There are only 3 recent relevant head to heads, which favour Panthrakikos. 0-3 away, 3-0 at home and a 2-2 draw ( where Panthrakikos were 1-0 down, lead 1-2 only to be pegged back after losing a player).
- This is 9th v 15th.
- Panthrakikos have only lost to the top 2 at home this season.
- Panthrakikos have scored in all home matches bar their defeat to 2nd placed PAOK.
- Panthrakikos have scored in their last 8 matches overall.
- Panthrakikos have not had a 0-0 this season.
- Panthrakikos have only failed to score in 2 matches this season.They have only kept 3 clean sheets this season.
- Levadiakos have lost their last 7 away matches and have not won away this season.
- Against teams above them away from home, Levadiakos have failed to score in all bar 1 match .
- Levadiakos have not had a 0-0 this season.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Advantage home side here. Only the top 2 have beaten them at home. Levadiakos could have trouble scoring.
- Being greek, this might be a concerted 0-0, but Panthrakikos should score at some stage.
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430pm - Man Utd v Swansea - 1.52 home
Standout stats
- Man Utd are unbeaten against Swansea and have won the last 3 home head to heads BUT of course the managerial change means they throw in the odd wobbly match.
- 6 consecutive wins and a single defeat ( last match at home to Spurs ) saw Man Utd return to the results expected of the side.
- Man Utd have not had a draw in 9 home matches.
- Since 2011 in the FA Cup, only Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea have beaten Man Utd. ( 2 of those results were 1-0). But there's a but! That was under Alex Ferguson.
- Since 2005 at home in the FA Cup, Man Utd have lost only twice , and those were 1-0 results.
- Man Utd are unbeaten in their last 7 home FA Cup matches.
- Only 1 win in 10 matches for Swansea sees the FA Cup perhaps as a distraction?
- Only 1 win in 10 away matches for Swansea . Apart from conceding 3 goals against Manchester City, Swansea conceded a single goal only in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Swansea have only won 2 of their last 9 FA Cup matches against Colchester and Barnsley, not really form to worry Manchester United?
- Swansea have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches in the FA Cup and have had only 1 draw in their last 15 away matches.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Man Utd had regained the winning thread before Spurs won 1-2 in their last match. That looks anomolous and I'd expect United not to lose 2 consecutive home matches. Therein lies your angle.
- Lay Swansea if they score first. If Swansea lead in the first half, lay them in the halftime market at better value odds.
5pm - Fiorentina v Livorno - 1.32 home
Standout stats
- Fiorentina return to Seria A action as warm home favourites
- This is 4th v 19th
- Fiorentina are unlikely to be vying for the title unless Roma and Juventus slip up markedly, but wins will keep them alive for 3rd spot at the very least.
- Fiorentina have won 4 of their last 5 home matches.
- fiorentina have won 7 of their last 10 matches overall.
- Fiorentina have not had a draw in 10 matches.
- Fiorentina have failed to score in only 2 this season.
- All bar one of Fiorentina's defeats this season has come against top 5 sides.
- Fiorentina have played 7 matches against 13th and below and won the lot.
- 87.5% of Fiorentina's home matches are over 2.5 goals .
- Fiorentina have scored in all home matches.
- Fiorentina have only had 1 0-0 at halftime and have tended to be reliable 0-0 halftime score layers.
- Only 1 win in 14 matches sees Livorno 2nd bottom in Seria A
- Livorno have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 6 matches.
- Livorno have failed to score in their last 5 away matches.
- Livorno have only kept 3 clean sheets all season.
- Livorno have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Livorno have lost all 4 matches they have played home and away against top 4 sides , without scoring.
Profitable in play opportunities
- Lay 0-0 halftime score late and low if we have a concerted 0-0.
- Livorno are expected to concede at least 2 goals today.
- This match could be a win to nil, so 2-0, 3-0, 4-0 kind of scorelines appeal.
530pm - Xanthi v PAOK - 1.8 away
7pm - Sociedad v Ath Bilbao - 2.24 home
715pm - Braga v Arouca - 1.41 home
745pm - Juventus v Roma - 1.71 home
Standout stats
- Juventus have been emphatic in home head to heads winning 3-0, 4-0, 4-1 in the last 3 Turin showdowns.
- This is 1st v 2nd and could very well determine who wins the title. Juventus are currently on 46 points, and Roma on 41. If Juventus win, they'll be on 49 points, and Roma on 41. If Roma win, they'll be on 44 points and Juventus on 46 points. So this really is a pivotal match.
- Juventus have only lost 1 match this season, a match they were leading 0-2 away at Fiorentina
- Juventus are on a 9 match winning run.
- Juventus have won all home matches and have kept 5 consecutive home clean sheets.
- Juventus have scored in all matches this season.
- Juventus have kept 8 clean sheets in their last 9 matches.
- Juventus have scored 23 home goals and conceded only 4.
- No opponent has led at halftime at Juventus.
- Tevez is the top scorer at home for Juventus.
- Juventus have had only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
- Roma are unbeaten this season. That said, they have drawn 5 of their last 7 matches and are consequently leaking points.
- Roma have drawn their last 3 away matches, their only away draws this season.
- Roma have failed to score in only 1 match this season.
- Roma have scored in their last 8 away matches.
Profitable in play opportunities
- This is a high profile match, and as such I feel stats and form will be redundant, but ( and there's always a but), value seekers and speculators might like to back 4-1 Juventus incase they let loose as they have done in head to heads.
- Juventus typically have been superb for 0-0 halftime score layers.I am less confident of that continuing against 2nd placed unbeaten Roma.
745pm -Marseille v Reims - 1.67 home
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