SUNDAY - from www.ladbrokes.com

1130am - Verona v Roma - 1.8 away

Standout stats

Profitable in play opportunities

1130am - Vitesse V NEC Nijmegen - 1.25 home

Standout stats

Profitable in play opportunities

1245pm - Hibernian( HIBS) v Celtic - 1.36 away

Standout stats

• the last 2 head to heads have been 1-1 and 1-0 Celtic. At Hibs, Hibs have won 1-0, lost 0-3 and drawn 1-1
• this is 7th v 1st and Celtic actually have a game in hand ( or 2) over their rivals.

HIBS

• have lost their last 2 matches.
• have only lost 1 of their last 5 home matches.
• were beaten 1-0 this season by Celtic and drew 1-1 with Celtic so this season's form is good .
• have scored 2-3-2-2-0-2 in their last 6 matches.
• have scored 1/2 of all home goals in the last 1/4 hour of matches.
• have had 6 halftime 0-0's at home

CELTIC

• are unbeaten this season and on a run of 10 consecutive wins with 8 consecutive clean sheets.
• have scored in all matches.
• have scored 19 of their 29 away goals in the 2nd half.

Profitable in play opportunities

• It is interesting that Hibs have such a solid record against Celtic this season already . Will that continue, particularly as Hibs have scored 2 goals average in their last 6 matches. 
• Celtic could serve up another clean sheet so must be favoured. 
• It is tough to predict a DRT angle given the positive early season head to heads, the fact Hibs have kept 6 halftime 0-0's at home ( back 0-0 pre match perhaps),. and with Celtic keeping clean sheets.

1pm - Sheffield United v Fulham - 2.5 away

Standout stats

Profitable in play opportunities

1pm - Lyon v Evian - 1.55 home

Standout stats

• 2 draws and an Evian win in the last 3 head to heads. Bogey team? 1.55 vulnerable therefore?
• this is 8th v 17th

LYON

• only 1 loss in 10 was against PSG
• have scored 3-2-2-2-2 in their last 5 matches.
• have only lost 1 home matches but drawn 6.
• have only failed to score in 4 this season.
• are undefeated in 9 at home
• have had 5 halftime 0-0's, nearly 50% of home matches.

EVIAN

• only 1 win in 9 and that was a 2-0 v PSG! 
• have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches.
• have only kept 3 clean sheets
• have played 7 of the top 13 away and lost 6 of those matches, failing to score against 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th and 12th
• have conceded 8 of 10 2nd half goals in the last 1/2 hour.

Profitable in play opportunities

• the value is in opposing Lyon based on head to heads, but recent form might supercede historical form.
• Will Lyon continue to score at least 2 goals as they have recently? 
• Lyon are the form side, only losing the PSG recently, the same PSG have Evian beat in their only win in 9.
• Evian should concede at some stage . If the match is 0-0 at halftime, it wouldn't be a shock.
• These matches are tough to call. As I say it is historical form v most recent form. Which is most reliable?

130pm - Groningen V Twente - 1.83 away

Standout stats

• 6 consecutive wins in head to heads for Twente who scored 3-5 goals in 5 of them.
• This is 7th v 3rd, and Twente are bang in there re the title

GRONINGEN

• only 5 defeats, 4 of which came away from home.
• have scored and conceded in 6 of the last 8 home matches.
• have failed to score in only 3 and kept only 3 clean sheets so that natural inclination is for both teams to score.
• have already lost 0-5 to Twente this season. 
• have only played 2 of the top 6, drawing 1-1 with Ajax and 1-0 win v PSV in 6th, Twente makes the Triumvirate of top dutch sides.
• have scored 14 of their 19 home goals in the 2nd half.
• have had 4 home 0-0's at halftime, but none in last 5 overall.

TWENTE

• only 2 defeats all season
• have scored and conceded in their last 5 away matches.
• have scored and conceded in their last 10 matches.
• have only failed to score in 2 this season.
• are on an unbeaten run of 8.
• have not had a halftime 0-0 in 6.
• have conceded in all bar 2 away
• have scored in their last 15 matches and conceded in last 10 matches.
• have scored 11 away goals in the last 1/2 hour of matches
• the opponent has scored first in 7 of their 9 away matches.

Profitable in play opportunities

• we look like we are in DRT territory here. Twente have conceded first in 7 of 9 away matches , yet have beaten Groningen with ease and lost only 2 matches all season. Groningen could score first therefore, so that is what we will be looking for.
• Both teams to score looks on the cards here.
• Both sides are on a small run ( 5 and 6 games) without a 0-0 at halftime.
• Look for late action. 11 Twente goals scored in the last 1/2 hour away and 14 Groningen goals at home scored 2nd half.

130pm - Go Ahead Eagles V Ajax - 1.45 away

Standout stats

• Ajax have won all head to heads recently, winning 6-0 in the last 2.
• this is 11th v 1st and Ajax are on equal footing with Vitesse

GO AHEAD EAGLES

• inconsistent is the best way to describe Go ahead eagles. They are yet to put together 2 consecutive wins.
• they have though won their last 2 home matches 
• conceded in all bar one match this season.
• have scored and conceded in 8 of their last 11 matches.
• all wins have come against 10th and lower.
• have conceded 3+ goals home and away in 6 of 7 matches against top 8 teams.
• have had only 1 0-0 all season and only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.

AJAX

• have lost only 3.
• have won their last 7 and last 4 away 
• have failed to score in only 3 
• have kept clean sheets in 4 of the last 6 matches.
• have not won any away matches v 8th and above but are yet to play 9th-13th inclusive away
• have only had one 0-0 at halftime away.

Profitable in play opportunities

• Ajax are quite clear in head to heads and will be expected to win. When a team has lost 2 consecutive head to headsa 6-0, you begin to look for a defensive reaction from them. Also, why are Ajax not 1.17 or odds reflective of a team with the capability of winning 6-0?
• Go ahead should be layed if scoring first. Their wins tend to come against 10th and lower.
• Ajax have been poor away v 8th and above a a mystery re their performance away v 9th-13th inclusive ( where Go ahead resides.)
• 0-0 halftime score could be layed.

2pm - Inter v Catania - 1.36 home

Standout stats

• Inter have scored 2 or 3 in 6 of their last 7 head to heads.
• This is 5th v 20th ( bottom)

INTER MILAN

• only 1 win in their last 8 matches.
• Only 4 defeats all season, 3 of them came away from home, and in their last 5 matches.
• trouble scoring in their last 4 matches - 1-0-1-0
• have drawn 3 of their last 4 home matches ( score draws).
• have failed to score in only 3 matches this season.
• have only kept 3 clean sheets in their last 16 matches.
• are comfortable against bottom 3 sides with 3 wins to nil, averaging 4 goals 
• have not had a 0-0 this season but had 4 0-0's at halftime at home. 

CATANIA

• only 3 wins all season, all at home.
• have lost 6 of their last 8 matches 
• have lost all away matches conceding 2 goals minimum on each occasion.
• have scored only 2 and conceded 15 in the 2nd half of away matches.

Profitable in play opportunities

• Inter should get back on the winning trail today given their good wins to nil against bottom 3 sides, as well as Catania's defeats away from home, conceding 2+ goals on each occasion.
• Inter have had trouble infront of goal, so watch out for that.
• MATCH ODDS - lay Catania if Catania score first. Lay any late draw - Inter had no 0-0 this season
• HALFTIME SCORE - with such a poor scoring record against an away team in such poor form, I would not chance a 0-0 halftime score lay. 

2pm - Cagliari v Milan - 1.85 away

Standout stats

• Milan are a shadow of their former selves.
• They have though won 6 of the last 7 head to heads.
• this is 14th v 11th. So where are Milan? Not top 5?

CAGLIARI

• only 2 defeats in 9 came in their last 2 matches, one v Juventus.
• have only kept 3 clean sheets all season
• have scored in all bar 1 match at home
• have scored 2 at home against 7th, 10th, 12th and 13th ( playing 11th )
• both teams have scored in all bar 1 home match.
• have conceded in their last 10 matches.
• have only had 1 halftime 0-0 at home

AC MILAN

• all bar 1 of Milan's defeats home and away have come via top 8 sides. They are, then, just a shade below their usual standards.
• have not played 9th to 15th inclusive away from home.
• have only won 1 away match, v bottom side.
• Only 2 defeats in last 9, one was against Inter Milan ( derby) and the other a 4-3 v Sassuolo( Milan were 0-3 up I remember).
• both teams have score 7 and 8 in the last 1/4 hour of their respective home/away matches.
• have never led at halftime away.

Profitable in play opportunities

• both teams could score today. If so, lay any team 2-0 up. There are signs of a return to , at least, unbeaten form for Milan.
• Milan are favoured inhead to heads. 

2pm - Torino v Atalanta - 1.8 home

Standout stats

• this is 7th v 12th. Torino are having a reasonable season
• since these 2 entered Seria A, Torino have won 2 and Atalanta have won the last 2.

TORINO

• only 5 defeats this season , the last 3 coming away.
• are unbeaten in 6 home matches, and have won 3 of the last 4.
• have failed to score in only 4 this season and kept only 4 clean sheets ( all 4 clean sheets came in the last 6 matches)
• have scored 2 or more in 4 matches against 11th and below at home.
• have only had 1 0-0 this season

ATALANTA

• only 3 wins in their last 12 matches, they have won the last 2 matches, albeit at home.
• have not won any of the last 6 away matches.
• have conceded in 13 consecutive matches but kept a clean sheet in their last match.
• only 1 win away was a 1-0 v 16th.
• have conceded 2-2-4 in 3 defeats v top 8 sides away.
• have conceded 10 of 11 goals in the 2nd half away in the last 1/2 hour.
• have not had a 0-0 this season

Profitable in play opportunities

• this should not end 0-0, so lay any 0-0 as late as you can at as low a price as you can get.
• there is an argument for between 2-4 goals for Torino today. They have scored that amount in 4 matches against 11th and lower at home, and guess what, Atalanta have conceded 2-2-4 in defeats away to top 8 sides ( Torino are 7th).
• advantage Torino today so lay Atalanta if Atalanta lead at any stage.

2pm - Sampdoria v Bologna - 1.8 home

Standout stats

• both teams have scored in 6 of the last 7 head to heads.
• the 2013 meetings were score draws.
• this is 13th v 17th so Seria A's lesser lights

SAMPDORIA

• Sampdoria are unbeaten in 4 home matches.
• have only kept 4 clean sheets all season.
• against teams below them home and away, they have scored 2+ in 6 of 7 matches.
• all defeats bar 1 this season have come home and away against teams 11th and higher.
• have scored in their last 7 home matches.
• have conceded 13 of 14 home goals in the 2nd half.
• have had 5 0-0's at halftime but none in fulltime all season.

BOLOGNA

• have only won 3 matches all season.
• have only won 1 away match, and lost 3 of their last 4.
• have only won 1 of their last 10 matches.
• have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
• have beaten 14th and drawn with 15th away ( playing 13th today)
• have only scored 7 and conceded 19 away this season
• have not had an away 0-0

Profitable in play opportunities

• Sampdoria could score 2 goals at their best today, and could concede, although Bologna are poor away goalscorers.
• We might see 2nd half action. So do not be suprised with a 0-0 at halftime.

2pm - Livorno v Sassuolo - 2.25 home

Standout stats

• there is only 1 head to head of relevance, a 1-4 Livorno win this Seria A season
• this is 19th v 18th so a relegation 6 pointer

LIVORNO

• 8 defeats in their last 9, failing to score in 7 of those matches.
• have kept only 3 clean sheets
• there is some hope. They beat Sassoulo 4-1 away and beat bottom side Catania 2-0 at home.
• have scored in all home matches against 11th and lower
• have only had 1 0-0 this season

SASSUOLO

• have lost 5 of their last 6, failing to score in those 5 defeats . It seems to be catching.
• a run of 3 draws and a win away has ended with 2 defeats last 2 away matches without scoring to Juventus and genoa.
• have kept only 2 clean sheets
• have only played one of the bottom6 away, a 0-0 draw with bottom. 
• have beaten 13th away 3-4 and drawn with 14th 2-2 so that might augur well against a bottom 3 side
• have only had 1 0-0 at halftime away from home

Profitable in play opportunities

• I think this is a unique match. Obviously these 2 struggle against better sides, failing to score.
• Perhaps we need to focus on performances against other minnows and it shows that Livorno are good v bottom 3 sides and Sassuolo away have a single 0-0 away draw
• Not a match which inspiires though. How can you trust bottom 3 sides?

2pm - Parma v Udinese - 1.9 home

Standout stats

• Udinese are unbeaten in the last 4 head to heads winning 3 3-1, 3-1, 3-0 with the other a 2-2. We saw with Hannover yesterday against 1.6 Wolfsburg that head to heads winners can be bogey teams
• this is 8th v 15th

PARMA

• unbeaten in 9.
• only 1st and 2nd in the league have beaten them at home. 
• have only kept 5 clean sheets this season and failed to score in only 5
• have had 0-0's against 14th and 16th at home and are playing 15th today so perhaps a cautionary 0-0 pre match back.
• have scored 7 first half goals in the last 1/4 hour of the first half
• have only scored first in 4 of 10 home matches.
• no opponent has led at halftime at Parma

UDINESE

• only 2 wins in their last 10 matches in stark contrast with unbeaten in 9 Parma
• have conceded 3-2-1-3-3-3 in their last 6 matches
• have only kept 3 clean sheets
• have conceded in all away matches
• have lost to 9th, 11th, 12th , 13th away and are playing 8th today
• have conceded 10 away goals in the last 1/2 hour of the first half
• have never led at halftime away

Profitable in play opportunities

• due warning. Wolfsburg were 1.6 shots at home but I pointed out to you that Hannover had won the last 4 meetings. Indeed Hannover won yesterday. Today we have the same as Udinese have won 3 of the last 4 matches scoring 3 when meeting Parma.
• So your entry into this market is based on head to head Udinese dominance or recent form which sees Udinese conceding 3 in each of their last 3 matches.
• lay 0-0 halftime score after about 15 minutes if still 0-0. These 2 have a history of scoring and conceding late in the first half.
• only 1st and 2nd have beaten Parma at home, so they should not lose, but do remember the head to heads.

230pm - Werder Bremen v Braunschweig - 1.73 home

Standout stats


Profitable in play opportunities

315pm - Asteras Tripolis V OFI Crete - 1.4 home

Standout stats

Profitable in play opportunities

315pm - PAOK V Veria - 1.25 home

Standout stats

Profitable in play opportunities

330pm - Chelsea v Stoke - 1.25 home

Standout stats

• 2 new managers might make the head to heads redundant. 3-2 Stoke win last head to head is miles away from the old Tony Pulis Stoke.

CHELSEA

• 6 consecutive wins , 5 of them to nil.
• 10 wins and a 2-2 draw in the last 11 home matches in all competitions.
• have had only 2 90 minute FA cup defeats since 2007.
• the only home loss since 2007 in the fa cup came against Manchester City in the last match.

STOKE

• Only 2 wins in their last 9 matches came at home.
• have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 7 matches.
• have not won any of their last 9 away matches.
• have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 away matches.
• since 2010 in the FA Cup, only an exclusive bunch have beaten Stoke , including Chelsea, Manchester City ( twice) and Liverpool.
• the last 3 teams to defeat Stoke in the FA Cup away from home were Chelsea, Manchester City and Liverpool.

Profitable in play opportunities

• Chelsea are definitely "up for the cup" 
• Stoke only tend to lose in the FA Cup to the best - Chelsea Manchester City and Liverpool lately. 
• This looks like another bridge too far for Stoke. 

4pm - Osasuna v Athletic Bilbao - 2.25 away

Standout stats

Profitable in play opportunities

430pm - Hamburg v Schalke - 2.40 away

Standout stats

Profitable in play opportunities

5pm - Gaziantepspor ( Gaz)V Galatasaray - 1.55 away

Standout stats

• I quite like Galatasary as there is an air of readability about them and they also have the key component for DRT - quality attacking players.
• Galatasary are unbeaten in the last 4 head to heads but it seems tough when they go to Gaz, recently 1-2, 0-1 - yes Galatasary wins, but not without a battle.
• This is 12th v 2nd. A minor miracle required to catch top placed Fenerbahce

GAZIANTEPSPOR ( GAZ)

• only 1 loss in 6
• are unbeaten in 4 home matches, winning 3.
• have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 10 matches.
• have not played top 4 at home but lost to all top 4 away, conceding 2 or 3 goals.

GALATASARY

• only 2 defeats all season.
• unbeaten in last 3 away matches, drawing 2 and winning 1, scoring and conceding in each match.
• have scored and conceded in 10 of their last 12 matches.
• have failed to score in only 2 this season.
• have only kept 3 clean sheets
• only 1 away win v 11th and higher ( playing 12th today) suggests a vulnerability away from home.

Profitable in play opportunities

• this could reflect previous head to heads. I foresee a 0-1, 1-1, 1-2 kind of a scoreline with Galatasary having to really work.
• WARNING - Gaz have not yet met top 4 at home this season so we cannot really gauge their set up against big teams at home.
• Both teams could score today I feel given Galatasary's recent record and only 3 clean sheets this season.
• Expectation, stats wise, is for a tight match.

5pm - Anderlecht V Club Brugge - 1.6 home

Standout stats

• is the tide turning? Club Brugge are unbeaten in the last 4 head to heads
• This is 2nd v 3rd today and both teams are on equal points. You get the feeling that Anderlecht are 1.6 based solely on past performances and not necessarily current form.

ANDERLECHT

• have lost 6 matches this season including their last match.
• have only lost 2 at home though, and won their last 4 home matches.
• have failed to score in only 2 matches this season.
• look vulnerable against top 7 at home, with a 1-1 draw v 1st, 1-0 win v 4th, 2-3 loss to 5th and 0-1 loss to 7th.
• have scored in their last 12 matches
• have not had a 0-0.

Club Brugge

• are unbeaten in their last 5 away matches.
• have only lost 4 all season, and only 1 of their last 9
• have failed to score in only 3 matches
• kept a clean sheet away to 1st and 5th so may yet trouble Anderlecht

Profitable in play opportunities

• there is nothing in the current form or the head to heads to lead me to want to back Anderlecht  at 1.6. 
• They would not be a reliable DRT team to me today and I would much rather lay this odds on shot given the head to heads, and the fact they are matched this season points-wise by Club Brugge.
• Both teams could score today. The value might be in laying Anderlecht if Anderlecht score first.

530pm - Xanthi V Olympiacos - 1.33 away

Standout stats

• Olympiakos have won all head to heads bar a Xanthi 1-0 win this time lastyear.
• 4-2-4 scored by Olympiakos in the last 4 head to heads.
• this is 8th v 1st

XANTHI

• only 1 win in 6 includes 4 defeats.
• have conceded 2 goals in the last 4 matches.
• 9 of the last 10 matches have been over 2.5 goals.
• are solid at home apart from when meeting top sides. They have lost at home to 2nd and 3rd.

OLYMPIAKOS

• all wins bar 2 0-0's this season.
• One of the 0-0's came in the last away match. Will Olympiakos really have a 2nd consecutive away 0-0?
• 9 clean sheets in their last 11 matches.
• Both 0-0's came away from home against top 6 sides. 
• On only one occasion this season has a team scored more than 1 goal against them.

Profitable in play opportunities

• play the probabilities today. Will Olympiakos really have another 0-0 away from home? I don't believe so.
• Difficult to really get a DRT angle in as Olympiakos keep so many clean sheets. I have earned big money by laying the 0-0 in the 90th+ minutes of Olympiakos matches. That seems our only hope
• There are no halftime stats for Greece.

6pm - Rayo Vallecano v Atlético Madrid - 1.36 away

Standout stats

• serious title contenders Atl Madrid have become. They must keep winning, quite simply , from hereon in.
• it's been tight when Atl Madrid visi, with the last 3 scorelines at Rao reading 0-0, 0-1, 2-1. 
• this is 19th v 2nd( only on goal difference)

RAYO VALLECANO

• only 5 wins all season, 2 of which came at home. All wins came without conceding.
• only 1 draw all season.
• have not had a halftime score 0-0 in 11 matches.
• have conceded at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 11 matches.
• have lost their last 5 home matches.
• have conceded 4-3-5 in home defeats to 1st, 3rd and 5th.
• have not had a 0-0 this season

ATL MADRID

• have only lost 1 match
• have had 2 consecutive draws. Surely they would want to avoid a 3rd consecutive draw?
• Have only failed to score in 2 all season, one was v Barcelona recently.
• against bottom 3 sides, scorelines have been 0-2, 5-0, 5-0 
• 34 goals scored at home as against 14 away. I would not envisage another 5-0 thumping today.

Profitable in play opportunities

• important patterns to end? 2 consecutive draws for Atl Madrid have stopped them going top on their own. Will this draw sequence end today?
• Lay the 0-0 halftime score
• Look for a possible Atl Madrid win to nil, although Rayo did score 2 in defeat to 3rd and 5th at home.

745pm - Fiorentina v Genoa - 1.4 home

Standout stats

• Fiorentina are unbeaten in all head to heads and scored 3 and 5 in the last 2 head to heads ( where Genoa contributed 2 goals in each match).
• This is 4th v 10th in Seria A

FIORENTINA

• only 4 defeats this season.
• are on a current 5 match unbeaten run, keeping 5 clean sheets.
• have won 5 of their last 6 home matches.
• have failed to score in only 2 matches.
• have scored and conceded in all home matches against 14th and above.
• have lost all bar one match against 5th and above.
• have scored in only 9 home matches.

GENOA

• have lost their last 3 away matches.
• have lost away to 1st, 2nd and 5th without scoring.
• have had 5 0-0's at halftime away from home

Profitable in play opportunities

• advantage Fiorentina here so if Genoa score first, lay Genoa.
• there is a lack of congruity here. Fiorentina could keep a clean sheet in victory but have scored and conceded in all home matches against 14th and above.

8pm - Barcelona v Málaga - 1.09 home

Standout stats

• Barcelona have never lost to Malaga. and have scored 4-2-4 in the last 3 home head to heads.
• This is 1st ( as I write) v 14th,
• Barcelona have on ly lost 1 this season.
• 2 consecutive draws for Barca should not continue.
• Barca have scored 3+ in 6 of 9 home matches.
• Barca have beaten Malaga 0-1 this season.
• Barca have scored 17 first half goals at home.
• Malaga have only won 1 away match. 
• Malaga have failed to score in their last 3 matches.
• Malaga's last 5 matches have seen 4 1-0's and a 0-0.
• Real Madrid only won 2-0 when Malaga visited.
• Malaga have had 5 0-'s at halftime .

Profitable in play opportunities

• It's difficult to tell which Malaga turns up. If the ultra defensive malaga turn up, we may have a chance of a DRT . But 1.09 suggests goals galore and a possible clean sheet. 
• Barcelona should not continue their 2 match draw sequence. 
• 0-0 halftime score should be a logical lay, but Malaga could be a tough nut to crack early on.

8pm - Monaco v Marseille - 1.66 home

Standout stats

• These matches are typically tight, there having been 4 2-1 results in the last 6 head to heads. Marseille have won 2 and Monaco have won 2. I suppose this is a derby of sorts. Will the Monaco money make the difference?
• This is 2nd v 5th and all matches now are must wins for Monaco, some 5 points from PSGat the top of the french league.
• Monaco have only lost 2 this season including their last match at home. 
• Monaco have only played 2 against top 8 sides at home, winning 2-1.
• Monaco have only failed to score in just 2 this season.
• Monaco kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches but did concede in 2 of their last 3.
• Monaco have scored in their last 8 home matches,
• Monaco have scored 11 first half goals at home.
• Monaco have only had one 0-0 this season.
• Marseille have won only 1 of their last 5 matches. 
• Marseille have conceded in their last 6 away matches.
• All bar one of Marseille's defeats this season came against top 7 sides.
• Marseille have never been beaten by more than a 1 goal margin this season.
• Marseille have had 5 0-0's at halftime away from home.

Profitable in play opportunities

• Marseille don't get beaten by more than a single goal it seems so therein may be our angle.
• MATCH ODDS - if Monaco are 2-0 up, lay Monaco. Marseille tend to lose to top 7 sides.
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