Monday, 27 January 2014

27th January 2014





6pm - Fenerbahce v Torku Konyaspor - 1.24 home

Standout stats

  • This is a turkish super lig match between 1st and 14th
  • Fenerbahce have scored 4 in 4 of the last 6 head to heads. They have scored 4-4-2-4-4-2-2 in head to heads and actually scored that last 2 in defeat at Torku.
FENERBAHCE
  • have only lost 2 matches , both away from home.
  • 7 wins and 2 draws at home.
  • have failed to score in only 1 match.
  • have had 13 over 2.5 goals matches 
  • tend to score 3-4-5 against teams 10th and below at home.
KONYASPOR
  • have not won away but had their only 0-0 in their last away match.
  • have only kept 4 clean sheets.
  • have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • have conceded 2+ goals in all matches away bar that 0-0
Profitable in play opportunities
  • it looks rather straightforward. 3-5 goals from Fenerbahce ( 2 minimum) . 
  • Over 2.5 goals looks like coming in again for Fenerbahce.
  • There are no halftime stats for Turkey but logic would suggest a team likely to score 4 goals at their best, can at least get one before halftime
  • If Konyaspor score first, back Fenerbahce
Killer stats
  • Fenerbahce have won 7 and drawn 2 at home
  • Fenerbahce have failed to score only once.
  • Fenerbahce score 3+ at home v 10th and below.
  • Konyaspor have scored 2+ goals in all bar 1 away match.


745pm - Dundee Utd v St Johnstone - 2.2 home

Standout stats

  • this is 5th v 6th in the SPL and could be as tight as league positions suggest.
  • both teams have won the last 2 head to heads, Dundee 4-0 and St Johnstone 3-0.
DUNDEE UTD
  • no win in 6
  • 9 of the last 11 matches over 2.5 goals.
  • have conceded 2 goals in the last 2 away matches and 2+ goals in 5 of the last 6 matches overall.
  • have scored in the last 8 home matches
  • have scored 16 home goals in the 2nd half and only 7 in the first half.
  • have had 8 0-0's at halftime all season.
ST JOHNSTONE
  • unbeaten in 3 but only 1 win away and that was in their last away match
  • had a recent run of failing to score in 6 of 7 matches but have since managed a goal in each of the last 3 matches.
  • have scored first in only 2 of 11 away matches.
Profitable in play opportunities
  • a match making little or no appeal. A good stat is the last stat, where St Johnstone have only scored first in 2 of their 11 away matches.
  • Other than that, we have 2 poor sides. Dundee United are conceding 2+ regularly, and the head to heads are wide open . How can we read a game where one team wins 3-0 and then in the next head to head the other team wins 4-0. 
  • A match to ignore.



9pm - Sociedad v Elche - 1.5 home

Standout stats

  • Elche have only lost 1 of the last 6 head to heads .The last 2 head to heads at Sociedad were 0-0 and 0-1
  • this is 6th v 17th . We have had a number of these matches recently, where the outsider , the clear outsider, has actually the better head to head record.
SOCIEDAD
  • have won their last 5 home matches scoring 3-5-4-5-2
  • have scored in their last 12 matches.
  • have scored and conceded in 7 of the last 8.
  • have not had a 0-0 at halftime in the last 12 matches.
  • have lost 4 of their 5 matches only against top 5 sides
  • have scored 17 2nd half goals at home.
  • have only had 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
ELCHE
  • have only won 2 of their last 11 matches.
  • have only kept 3 clean sheets all season
  • have not won any of their 8 matches home and away v top 8 sides
  • have not had a 0-0 away
  • have only had 1 -0 at halftime away
Profitable in play opportunities
  • head to heads point to Elche not losing, but season form points to a solid 2+ goal haul by Sociedad.
  • There should be a goal before halftime.
  • 17 2nd half goals from Sociedad might conflict with a 0-0 halftime lay.
Killer Stats

  • Sociedad have won their last 5 matches , scoring an average of just under 4 per match
  • Sociedad have not had a 0-0 halftime score in 12 matches
  • Elche have not beaten any top 8 sides.



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