SATURDAY

12pm - FC Koln v Aalen - 1.45 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

1245pm - Chelsea v Arsenal - 1.92 home

Standout stats

• Chelsea are unbeaten in 5 head to heads with the best Arsenal mustering being a 0-0
• this is 1st v 3rd. Arsenal have a game in hand over Chelsea and are 4 points adrift. This match therefore is pivotal. Arsenal must win, their goal difference with Liverpool too is very negative so they must get the 3 points today. Chelsea can "afford" a slip up but are at a disadvantage as the chasing pack will always be a game in lieu.

Chelsea

• only 4 defeats all season, all coming away from home
• 8 wins and a 0-0 draw in the last 9 home matches is a return to that characteristic Mourinho unbeaten home record
• 4 consecutive home clean sheets
• have only failed to score in 6 matches all season
• 5 clean sheets in 8 matches
• lost away to Aston Villa latest , but as with the defeat to newcastle, these were pre-Champions League matches
• Chelsea are unbeaten at home, failing to score in only 1 match
• against top 4 at home, 2 2-1 scorelines
• 67% over 2.5 goals at home, that's 2 in 3matches
• 4 0-0's at halftime at home
• pretty consistent goalscorers throughout the 90 minutes at home, ending with 9 goals scored in the last 1/4 hour

Arsenal

• only 2 wins in their last 5 matches are seriously denting their chances of the title
• Arsenal have not won their last 3 aways, losing their last 2.
• Arsenal have failed to score in only 4 matches, but did fail to score twice in their last 4 matches
• struggles away to top 8, with heavy defeats to 2nd and 4th, a 0-1 win v Spurs, a 1-0 loss away to Manchester United, and a 2-2 with Southampton
• 5 0-0's at halftime away
• no away 0-0's this season
• have scored 15 goals away in the last 1/2 hour of matches

Profitable in-play opportunities

• Arsenal are struggling away to the top sides and that looks set to continue. Chelsea have been collecting 2-1 wins v the top 4 at home. Will that continue today?
• will Chelsea really lose 2 consecutive matches given all losses have been away and 2 of them prior to Champions League matches?
• Expect late goals? These 2 love scoring late home and away, particularly the last 1/4 hour.
• Will a must-win for Arsenal turn into a win, against a side they have a terrible time beating.

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230pm - Mainz v B Munich - 1.27 away

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

230pm - Schalke v Braunschweig - 1.44 home

Standout stats

• the last 4 meetings have been goal fests, 3-3, 3-2 ( Schalke ) , 4-2 (Braun), 2-3 ( schalke)
• Do note there is only one recent match of interest as the others were played in the 80's., that was the 2-3 Schalke win latest which required a 90th minute winner
• this is 3rd v 18th ( bottom) and Braun seem adrift now. Schalke are in a tussle for 2nd spot 

Schalke

• only 3 defeats in 19 matches , the last 2 coming away
• 5 clean sheets in 6 home matches
• have failed to score in only 4 matches
• only 7 under 2.5 goals matches all season
• 2 defeats at home came v 1st and 2nd.
• 2-0 and 3-0 at home to 2nd and 3rd bottom. Playing bottom today
• only 1 0-0 at halftime at home

Braunschweig

• 3 consecutive draws - a fight back? All score draws
• have conceded at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 away matches
• have kept 5 clean sheets only all season
• only 1 away win. 
• have lost away to 1st, 2nd and 5th 2-0, 2-1, 2-0
• 3 0-0's away from home at halftime

Profitable in-play opportunities

• this looks an obvious match but Braun are drawing lately which suggests a rally late on ( a bit too late?) Schalke at their best though will score 2 minimum today.
• There is a chance for a goal before halftime, so strong are the Schalke stats in that regard, so lay the 0-0 halftime score late and low
• this might be a goalfest and Schalke have only had 7 under 2.5 goals matches all season. There is a chance then Braun will score , and a hope it is the first goal - they scored first in their last 2 away matches, a 2-1 loss and a 2-2 draw

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230pm - Stuttgart v Hamburg - 2.1 home

Standout stats

• 2 1-0's to either side and then a 3-3 draw when these 2 have met
• this is 17th v 14th and probably not a match I should continue researching as it's " one of those" - a relegation 6 pointer which may not go the way of the form/stats
• Stuttgart are on 21 points and Hamburg on 23 points
• Stuttgart have scored and conceded in their last 11 matches, Hamburg in their last 2. Both sides are unbeaten in 2 matches so are fighting.
• This makes this match a nightmare really to predict and I shall move on. This is what comes with some matches near the end of the season

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230pm - Wolfsburg v Augsburg - 2.18 home

Standout stats

• A 1-1 and a 1-2 Wolfsburg win in head to heads
• this is 6th v 8th

Wolfsburg

• only 3 wins in 9 matches. Heavy 6 goal losses to Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich ended with a 1-1 draw against Braunschweig
• 7 of their last 8 home matches have been over 2.5 goals.
• 14 of their last 17 matches have been over 2.5 goals
• Wolfsburg have only had 3 0-0's at halftime in 23 matches
• they have scored in their last 17 matches
• a really solid record at home v 12th and above sees 7 wins and 2 defeats v 1st and 11th 
• 75% over 2.5 goals at home
• only 2 0-0's at halftime at home

Augsburg

• only 2 defeats in 13 matches 
• have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches
• have scored and conceded ( undefeated) in their last 5 away matches
• only 2 0-0's at halftime in 19 matches
• have not beaten top 4 away but scored in all of those matches and beat 7th 1-2

Profitable in-play opportunities

• some strong stats here. I hope they hold up. Chance for both teams to score here, over 2.5 goals to come in eventually, and for a 0-0 halftime score lay ( low and late as usual!)
• Wolfsburg have a very strong consistent scoring record so I would look to back them scoring if, say Augsburg go 0-1 or better 0-2 up

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3pm - Aberdeen v Kilmarnock - 1.55 home

Standout stats

• Aberdeen have won the last 3 head to heads 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
• this is 2nd v 8th

Aberdeen

• only 3 defeats in 14 matches
• 4 wins in their last 5 home matches
• have only failed to score in 5 this season
• 2 consecutive home wins includes a win against Celtic
• 7 0-0's at halftime in their last 9 matches
• 11 at home without a draw

Kilmarnock

• only 2 wins in 10 matches came at home
• have kept only 5 clean sheets this season
• 4 defeats and a draw in their last 5 away matches

Profitable in-play opportunities

• likely this could be a 0-0 at halftime . Kilmarnock do tend to concede eventually and with Aberdeen winning at home lately, I'd favour them today if Kilmarnock happened to take the lead

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3pm - Ayr v Arbroath - 1.61 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

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3pm - Brentford v Coventry - 1.61 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

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3pm - Cardiff v Liverpool - 1.41 away

Standout stats

• an easy 3-1 Liverpool win in the earlier meeting between these 2
• a real must win for Liverpool here because 1st and 3rd play each other and you are guaranteed that at least one of these sides will drop points
• this is 19th v 2nd or 2nd bottom 2 2nd top
• such is the tightness at the bottom of the league, 3 points will take Cardiff equal with 16th and 17th. This is another vital game for both sides

Cardiff

• only 3 wins in 20 matches . All bar one of the wins all season have come at home
• Cardiff have scored in only 14 matches all season
• have only lost one of their last 4 home matches
• all bar 1 win this season have come v 14th and below
• have conceded 4-3-3-2 home and away v top 3 this season
• 6 0-0's at halftime at home might suggest some resistance

Liverpool

• unbeaten in 10 win only 2 draws in that sequence
• Ominously for Cardiff, Liverpool have scored 3 goals in the last 3 away matches
• have failed to score in only 2 matches all season
• have scored 5-2-4-1-5-3-4-3-3 recently. That's consistent
• again v the bottom 3 consistently scoring 3 or 4 goals in all wins
• 80% over 2.5 goals away from home
• only 1 0-0 at halftime all season and none away
• no 0-0's this season

Profitable in-play opportunities

• bar any surprises ( an over performance from a side desparately needing points - it's that time of the season!!),. Liverpool at their best will score 3+ goals and score before halftime. That's what the stats say. Yes Cardiff have had 40% home matches 0-0 at halftime, but Liverpool are scoring 3+ goals consistently now and have had only 1 0-0 at halftime all season

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3pm - Celtic v St Mirren - 1.18 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

3pm - Dunfermline v East Fife - 1.28 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

3pm - Everton v Swansea - 1.69 home

Standout stats

• 5 wins and a 0-0 in the last 6 head to heads in Everton's favour. Everton have conceded in the last 2 meetings
• this is 6th v 14th. Swansea are not safe by any stretch!
• 4th place looks rather distant for Everton

Everton

• have lost 3 of their last 6 matches ( all away) which is the nail in the coffin re 4th place
• 7 wins and a loss in their last 8 at home sees a different Everton altogether.
• 4 consecutive 0-0's at halftime
• only 1 home loss ( when their keeper was sent off)
• are on a 5 match home winning streak
• 
  

Swansea

only 2 clean sheets in 14 matches

• have not won an away match in 9
• have kept just 3 clean sheets in 20 matches
• it seems rather clearcut. Swansea have lost away to all top 8 sides they have played
• have conceded in their last 11 away matches
• no away 0-0's this season

Profitable in-play opportunities

• Swansea keep conceding goals so expect a continuation from an Everton side with 7 wins in 8 home matches
• Everton have only lost one under extenuating circumstances so if Swansea score first, I'd keep faith in Everton maintaining a solid run

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3pm - Granada v Elche - 2.06 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

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3pm - Hull v West Brom - 2.26 home

Standout stats

• not really a match which appeals but we'll see if there are any stats of note
• only 1 head to head of relevance was a 1-1
• 13th v 16th and not out of the woods yet these 2!

Hull

• only 3 wins in 16 matches 
• 4 defeats and a draw in their last 5 home matches, but they were playing Chelsea, Spurs, Southampton., Newcastle and Manchester City
• have only kept 8 clean sheets this season
• perform a lot better at home to bottom 6  albeit lost to Palace, but elsewhere 3 wins and a 1-1 draw
• 6 0-0's at halftime at home

West Brom

• only 2 wins in 19 matches included an away win last time out
• have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches
• only 1 clean sheet in 19 matches
• have scored and conceded in 10 of 13 away matches, there were 2 0-0's
• have conceded in their last 10 away matches
• 5 0-0's at halftime away
• have scored first in only 2 of 14 away matches and given they have lost only 6 away matches, West Brom could be good at getting back after conceding?

Profitable in-play opportunities

• as they say on the Fast Show " I'll get me coat". Not a match I'll be getting involved in. 2 poor sides. 
• Hull have an easier assignment today than the top 10's they've hosted at home lately. Is this an angle in?
• West Brom seem able to respond to conceding away, so perhaps lay Hull if Hull are 2-0 up?

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3pm - Leeds v Millwall - 1.86 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

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3pm - Luton v Chester - 1.32 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

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3pm - Man City v Fulham - 1.17 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

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3pm - Middlesbrough v QPR - 2.42 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

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3pm - Motherwell v Ross Co - 1.81 home

Standout stats

• Motherwell are fresh in the memory so worth researching again
• 3 consecutive Motherwell wins in head to heads , scoring 2-3-2
• this is 3rd v 10th

Motherwell

• 3 defeats only in their last 14 matches all came away from home
• 5 wins and a 2-2 draw in their last 6 home matches.
• 3-4-2-4-4-2 scored at home in recent matches
• have failed to score in 7 this season
• 79% over 2.5 goals at home
• only 2 0-0's at halftime at home

Ross County

• only 3 defeats in 11 matches 
• only 1 defeat in 5 aways
• have kept only 5 clean sheets away this season

Profitable in-play opportunities

• ross county are tough to read. Motherwell easier. I highlighted their consistent goalscoring at home and they obliged with 2 against Inverness latest. There are limited stats for Scotland so perhaps a goals angle is the only 1
• Motherwell seem to keep winning recently in head to heads with Ross county, and latterly both teams scoring

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3pm - Newcastle v C Palace - 1.92 home

Standout stats

• there is only 1 relevant recent head to head and that was a 0-3 Newcastle win - one goal was an own goal, the other a penalty
• this is 9th v 17th. Another season in the top flight assured for mid-table mediocrity Newcastle but for Palace, a need for 3 points as they are only 3 points from relegation 

Newcastle

• Newcastle failed to score in their last 8 defeats and with 2 0-0's this season, they are vulnerable perhaps to a Palace side who know how to do clean sheets?
• 88th, 90th, 90th, and 68th minutes - timings for the last goals in Newcastle's recent 4 matches
• only 2 cleansheets in 12 matches
• failed to score in 8 of 11 matches recently and remember they are playing palace today
• 5 0-0's at halftime at home
• only 2 0-0's all season

Crystal Palace ( Crystal Pulis!)

• only 3 over 2.5 goals matches under Pulis.
• have drawn their last 2 away matches, latterly with a 0-0
• Palace have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches
• Palace have lost all away matches v top 8 and are playing 9th today
• 7 0-0's at halftime away
• have scored first in only 3 of 14 away matches

Profitable in-play opportunities

• What do we make of Palace losing to top 8 away and playing 9th today? Is this enough to oppose them?
• both sides have only had 4 draws each this season so that suggests a win either way
• there is an argument for a longish 0-0 if Newcastle's inability to score surfaces again. WIth Palace's 7 0-0's at halftime away we have a chance of a concerted 0-0
• Palace could getsomething here if it wasn;t for their inability to score in 4 of their last 6 matches

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3pm - Norwich v Sunderland - 2.28 home

Standout stats

• 
  

Profitable in-play opportunities

3pm - Shakhtar v Dnipro - 1.45 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

315pm - St Patricks v Limerick - 1.34 home

4pm - Marseille v Rennes - 1.77 home

Standout stats

• both teams have scored in the last 4 meetings. 2 consecutive score draws
• this is 6th v 16th.  Rennes are too close to the relegation zone for safety

Marseille

• only 1 defeat in 6 at home was a local derby v Nice
• only Monaco, PSG and that derby defeat by Nice in the last 12 matches sees Marseille in good health
• they have now have 5 0-0's at halftime so are great candidates for laying the 0-0 if 0-0 into the 2nd half
• Marseille have beaten 17th. 18th and 19th at home, scoring 2 goals in each ( play 16th today)
• only 1 0-0 all season
• 2 0-0's at halftime at home

Rennes

• only 3 wins in 18 matches. have lost their last 3 matches
• all bar 1 of Rennes away defeats have come against 10th and below

Profitable in-play opportunities

• will both teams continue to score as they have done in head to heads?Rennes are on a poor run and Marseille seem to win against teams near Rennes in the league, scoring 2 goals on each occasion. Favour Marseille here?

5pm - Dukla Prague v Pribram - 1.62 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

5pm - Espanyol v Levante - 1.74 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

5pm - Galatasaray v Kayserispor - 1.31 home

Standout stats

• 2nd v bottom
• 3-3-4 goals scored by Galatasary ( Gala) for short in head to heads . It looks compelling already

galatasary

• only 2 defeats all season, were both away
• 9 consecutive home wins
• have failed to score in only 4 matches this season
• unbeaten at home but 2 1-1 draws v 15th and 16th might be the fly in the ointment
• have scored in all home matches

Kayserispor

• only 4 wins all season and did win in their last match
• 6 consecutive away defeats
• have lost away to all top 11 they have played so far
• no away 0-0's

Profitable in-play opportunities

• limited stats for Turkish football, but this looks clear cut bar the 2 1-1 draws for Galatasary v 15th and 16th at home. That's the elephant in the room!  Expect 2+ goals from Galatasary

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5pm - Guimaraes v Gil Vicente - 1.8 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

5pm - Torino v Livorno - 1.63 home

Standout stats

• a 3-3 in the only recent head to heads saw Torino infront, Livorno go to a 3-2 lead and Torino equalise with a penalty
• this is 10th v 17th. Livorno are in trouble and need points. Mid table mediocrity beckons for Torino

Torino

• only 1 win in 7 and 4 consecutive defeats , all without scoring and 3 of them 1-0's
• 3 consecutive home defeats
• signs that the bottom 4 are within Torino's grasp. A 4-1 home win v 16th, 1-2 loss to 18th, 2-0 win over 19th and 4-1 v 20th ( playing 17th today)
• 5 0-0's at halftime at home
• only 1 0-0 all season

Livorno

• only 3 defeats in 8 matches suggests Livorno are having a crack at saving their season
• they have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches
• 8 over 2.5 goals matches in their last 10
• only 3 clean sheets all season
• have lost away to all of the top 8 and are playing 10th today
• have conceded in their last 17 matches
• only 1 0-0 
• 
  

Profitable in-play opportunities

530pm - Mgladbach v Hertha Berlin - 2.06 home

Standout stats

• Draw, Hertha win, Mgladbach win in head to heads
• this is 7th v 9th

Mgladbach

• only 1 win in 10 was strangely enough against high flying Dortmund
• no win in 5 at home
• have scored and conceded in their last 5 matches
• have failed to score in only 4 matches
• have conceded in their last 9 matches
• are unbeaten at home v 10th and lower and playing 9th today
• 69% over 2.5 goals at home
• 4 0-0's at halftime at home
• have scored 14 goals at home in the last 1/2 hour

Hertha Berlin

• only 2 wins in their last 8 matches came away from home
• only 1 defeat in 7 away matches
• 3 consecutive 0-0's at halftime
• LWDLWD ( L=Loss, W=Win, D=Draw) against the top 11 sides they have played this season away. Inconclusive
• only 1 0-0 at halftime away
• no away 0-0 this season

Profitable in-play opportunities

• Hertha Berlin are tough to read away so this does not make the most appealing match. Their single 0-0 at halftime away might be the angle in but they have had 3 consecutive halftime 0-0 matches. Not a match for me to get involved with.

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530pm -Panathinaikos v Apollon Smirnis - 1.35 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

530pm - West Ham v Man Utd - 1.9 away

Standout stats

• 2-4, 2-2, 2-2 when United visit West Ham in the last 3 head to heads
• United tend to win in home head to heads.
• this is 12th v 7th

West Ham

• 4 consecutive wins gave them a real shot in the arm. 2 losses now away to everton and Stoke
• 3 consecutive home wins v Swansea, Norwich and Southampton
• at home West Ham have only won 1 of the 8 matches they have played v top 11 sides
• they conceded 3 at home v 3rd, 4th, 6th and 9th. And guess what? United got 3 against Olympiakos mid week. 
• all wins bar one for West Ham this season at home have come v 14th and below
• 6 0-0's at halftime at home ( 43%)
• have scored first in only 1/2 of their home matches

Man Utd

• did exactly what was required with a 3-0 home win against Olympiakos and a Van Persie hatrick. 
• lost most recently to Liverpool which was not unexpected and have won their last 2 away matches ( and kept clean sheets in 3 consecutive aways)
• Man Utd's struggles this season have been almost exclusively against top 9 sides home and away
• they are unbeaten away v 13th and below ( 7 wins and a 2-2 draw) and are playing 12th today
• 73% over 2.5 goals away from home
• 3 0-0's at halftime away
• only 1 0-0 away
• United have scored first in only 7 of 15 away matches

Profitable in-play opportunities

• how reliable are Man Utd? How long is a piece of string? It looks as if they should have a comfortable time of it against a team positioned where West ham are, but then United have been surprising everyone ( and not ina  good way)
• Either team could score first today so watch out for that.  At their worst, West Ham will concede 3 again as they have done v 3rd, 4th, 6th and 9th at home.

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545pm - Groningen v Vitesse - 2.12 away

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Profitable in-play opportunities

6pm - Rapid Vienna v Wolfsberger AC - 1.62 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

645pm - Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen  -1.66 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

645pm - PSV v Roda JC - 1.19 home

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•  

Profitable in-play opportunities

7pm - Bordeaux v Nice - 1.85 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

7pm - Maritimo v Sp Lisbon - 1.86 away

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Profitable in-play opportunities

7pm - Nantes v Montpellier - 2.74 away

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Profitable in-play opportunities

7pm - Toulouse v Evian TG - 1.74 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

7pm - Valenciennes v Ajaccio - 1.65 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

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745pm - Chievo v Roma - 1.65 away

Standout stats

• Chievo are unbeaten in the last 2 visits of Roma, 0-0 and 1-0. The last 2 head to heads have seen a 0-1 Chievo win and a 1-0 Roma win
• this is 16th v 2nd and Chievo are one point off relegation It seems Roma are looking to secure 2nd spot only

Chievo

• 2 consecutive home wins but a 90th minute penalty for the last is most fortunate. Infact 2 pens in those 2 wins suggests Chievo need set pieces to score
• just note the last 3 goals scored in the last 3 matches, 85th minute, 89th minute, 90th minute
• those were the only 2 wins in 13 matches
• have lost all home matches to top 9
• have scored and conceded in the 4 defeats v top 6
• only 2 0-0's at halftime at home
• only 2 0-0's at home

Roma

• only 2 defeats all season, v Napoli and Juventus, saw Roma not scoring
• one loss was their last away match. are they really going to lose a 2nd consecutive away match?
• have failed to score in only 5 matches this season
• have kept 6 clean sheets in the last 8 matches
• have beaten 13th, 14th, 17th, 18th away this season without conceding. Play 16th today
• 6 0-0's at halftime away is nearly 50% of away matches

Profitable in-play opportunities

• I suppose I have to keep repeating my warning re top teams playing desperate-for-points teams 
• form is on the side of Roma as are sequences. Having lost 2 all season, and losing an away match latest, are Roma really suddenly going to lose a 2nd consecutive away match?
• Chievo have won their last 2 home matches and are getting the penalty decisions. Maybe back a pen for Chievo? It seems their only way to get a goal!
• Although I'd be keen on a 0-0 halftime score lay given Roma's last match had 5 goals in in, to see 50% 0-0's at halftime away all season is a big figure.
• Speculate on 85th+ minute action given the trend in Chievo's last 3 matches?

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9pm - Ath Bilbao v Getafe - 1.39 home

Standout stats

• it's a mixed bag when these 2 meet - 2 0-0's, a 1-2 Getafe win and 2 1-0 results for either side
• this is 4th v 17th and obvious differing fortunes.A win required by both sides to retain 4th and to stave off relegation

Ath Bilbao

• only 3 defeats since October 2013
• have failed to score in only 4 matches this season
• 2 consecutive 1-1 draws
• only 1 home defeat was against 12th and was 5 matches ag0
• all easy wins v 15th and lower, scoring 2-2-6-4-2
• did concede in 4 of those matches
• have scored in their last 14 home matches
• have had 3 clean sheets at half time at home and only 1 0-0 all season
• have scored a whopping 20 goals in the last halfhour of home matches

Getafe

• no win in 13 matches
• have only scored one goal in 6 away matches
• have failed to score in 6 of their last 8 matches
• only 3 clean sheets in 17 matches
• have lost away to 1st, 2nd, and 5th. Did beat 6th
• 5 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable in-play opportunities

• head to heads are inconclusive. Recent form is conclusive. Getafe will not win! Ath Bilbao have scored in all homes this season so faith perhaps in another goal or 2 for them today if this is 0-0 for a while
• this is the part of the season where they might be shocks given Getafe are in desparate need for points 
• beware the last 1/2 hour at home for Ath Bilbao. They have scored 20 goals

SUNDAY

5am - Tokushima v Kashiwa - 1.56 away

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

11am - Osasuna v Sevilla - 2.5 away

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Profitable in-play opportunities

1130am - Parma v Genoa - 1.67 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

1245pm - Brechin v Rangers - 1.25 away

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Profitable in-play opportunities

1245pm - Silkeborg v Hvidovre - 1.42 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

1pm - PAOK v PAS Giannina - 1.28 home

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Profitable in-play opportunities

1pm - St Etienne v Sochaux - 1.5 home

Standout stats

• 2 St Etienne wins followed by a 0-0 in the last 3 meetings
• this is 4th v 19th and I keep repeating there is always the chance at this stage of the season for an "over performance" by the strugglers in their desperate search for points
• It is not a lost cause of Sochaux 
• St Etienne are collecting points for a push to 3rd

St Etienne

• 3 defeats in 18 looked good but St Etienne have lost in their last 2 matches ( both away)
• 6 wins and a draw in their last 7 home matches included 6 clean sheets
• 9 clean sheets in 13 for St Etienne shows what they are capable of
• only 1 over 2.5 goals match in their last 13 ( down to those clean sheets)
• have not played bottom 2 at home yet but beat 15th , 17th and 18th at home
• have scored in their last 14 home matches
• 5 0-0's at halftime at home  - 8 1-0's !! So St Etienne might nick a goal before halftime
• have conceded only 1 goal at halftime at home

Sochaux

• only 2 defeats in 8 matches suggest Sochaux are scrapping for survival
• have conceded 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches
• Sochaux's recent clean sheets have come at home
• quite comprehensively Sochaux have lost to all of the top 15 away
• 2+ goals conceded v top 9 away
• have conceded in all away matches
• only 3 0-0's at halftime away
• no away 0-0
• have conceded 37 away goals and scored only 3 goals in the first half 

Profitable in-play opportunities

• Sochaux have shown recently that they're up for the fight but losing all aways to top 15 sides in compelling
• clean sheets are St Etienne's thing at home recently
• If Sochaux keep a 0-0 for a while, expect them to concede at some stage
• Sochaux's wins recently have come at home, it seems away they are doomed to concede at least 2 to the top teams

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130pm - AZ Alkmaar v Zwolle - 1.52 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

130pm - Tottenham v Southampton - 2.26 home

Standout stats

• Tottenham have won the last 3 meetings with Southampton
• this is 5th v 8th. Spurs are 7 points away from 4th place

Tottenham

• 3 defeats in their last 4 matches
• 3 consecutive 1-0 results at home, 2 wins and a loss v Arsenal
• this is the worst period under Tim Sherwood and did coincide with the Europa League
• Only arsenal and Manchester city have beaten Spurs at home under Tim Sherwood
• Tottenham have suddenly failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches
• 5 0-0's at halftime at home
• no 0-0's at home

Southampton

• only 2 defeats in the last 10 matches
• only 1 defeat away in their last 5 matches
• 3 away clean sheets in their last 4 away matches
• have failed to score in only 5 matches this season
• only 1 win home and away v top 7 sides might offer a crumb of something to Tottenham
• all wins bar 1 this season have come against 13th and lower
• have scored in their last 9 away matches
• 5 0-0's at halftime away from home
• no away 0-0's

Profitable in-play opportunities

• it could be advantage to a stuttering Spurs today given Saints tend to win against 13th and lower in the league. They do tend to find the net though so are layable if scoring first and we could chance both teams to score today
• this match should not end 0-0 so you know what to do should this be 0-0 at halftime and there is a chance 

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2pm - Bologna v Cagliari - 2.44 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

2pm - Inter v Atalanta - 1.52 home

Standout stats

• both sides have scored in 6 of their last 7 meetings
• Inter have not beaten Atalanta in 6 of their last 7 meetings ( this does not account for 4 draws)
• this is 5th v 9th

Inter Milan

• looking at head to heads, this does not make Inter Milan a 1.52 shot today. Atalanta look like a bogey team?
• unbeaten in 6 matches
• have kept 3 clean sheets in 4 matches
• Inter have only lost to Roma at home. 
• They have beaten 8th, 10th, 11th, 12th at home and are playing 9th today
• no defeat in 10 at home
• 6 0-0's at halftime at home ( 43% of matches) and considering they have had just 1 0-0, we can lay the 0-0 in the 2nd half in expectation of  a goal

Atalanta

• unbeaten in 4 matches with 3 consecutive wins
• have kept 2 consecutive clean sheets to Inter's 3. A battle of defences early doors?
• have only won 2 away matches, both 0-1 so the stats point to Inter being the more likely victors
• have lost away to 3rd, 4th and 6th
• 6 0-0's at halftime away is the same percentage as Inter Milan
• have conceded 9 goals away in the 61st to 75th minutes

Profitable in-play opportunities

• it looks as if this might be a defensive tussle today. Look perhaps at a 0-0 at halftime and a goal scored 2nd half. For Atalanta the key time they concede most seems to be after the hour mark.
• There is the question of a bogey team. Inter Milan have been unable to beat Atalanta in 6 of their last 7 meetings.

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2pm - Sampdoria v Verona - 2.06 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

2pm - Udinese v Sassuolo - 1.64 home

Standout stats

• 1-2 last time these 2 met in favour of Udinese. A tight match where a Udinese penalty opened the scoring
• this is 14th v 19th/ You'd think Udinese are safe but sassuolo desparately need points

Udinese

• only 2 defeats in 7 came away from home
• WDW( W=Win, D=Draw) in the last 3 home matches saw a 1-0 win against AC Milan latest
• yet to play the bottom 2 at home, but drew against 3rd bottom 1-1
• unbeaten in the 5 matches played at home to 11th and lower
• 6 0-0's at halftime at home ( nearly 50%)

Sassuolo

• only 2 wins in 15 matches and they are unbeaten in 2 now with a draw and win
• no win in 8 away matches and a 0-0 in the latest away
• have failed to score in 4 of 6 away matches
• have only kept 3 clean sheets
• interestingly have won 3-4 away to 13th and drawn 2-2 v 15th. Are playing 14th today
• have only scored first in 1 of their 14 away matches

Profitable in-play opportunities

• Udinese are statistically the most likeliest to score first.
• I would venture to lay any team who go 2-0/0-2 or 3-0/0-3 up given Sassuolo's performances against teams either side of Udinese in the league
• both teams may score today

230pm - Nurnberg v Eintracht Frankfurt - 2.52 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

3pm - Olhanense v Nacional - 1.88 away

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

315pm - AEL Kalloni v OFI - 1.62 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

315pm - Atromitos v Platanias - 1.34 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

315pm - Levadiakos v Veria - 1.95 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

315pm - Xanthi v Panionios - 1.59 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

330pm - Red Bull Salzburg v FC Wiener Neustadt - 1.13 home

4pm - Aston Villa v Stoke - 2.22 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

4pm - Betis v Atl Madrid - 1.65 away

Standout stats

• 4 wins and a 1-1 draw in the last 5 matches in madrid's favour
• this is 20th v 2nd. Atl Madrid have wrestled a point difference between themselves in 2nd and Barca in 3rd. A win will heap pressure on Real Madrid at the top ( 3 points difference)

Betis

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Profitable in-play opportunities

4pm - FC Copenhagen v Randers - 1.5 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

4pm -Guingamp v Lyon - 2.84 away

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

430pm - Leverkusen v Hoffenheim - 1.79 home

Standout stats

• 6 consecutive wins for Leverkusen in head to heads 
• this is 4th v 10th

Leverkusen

• only 2 wins in 10 matches now and the season has imploded
• have only failed to score in 5 this season 
• have scored and conceded in 6 of the last 8 matches
• only 1 draw at home was v Bayern Munich
• 67% over 2.5 goals at home
• only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
• no 0-0 this season
• have scored first in only 1/2 home matches and considering they only lost 2, this suggests that leverkusen can come from behind

Hoffenheim

• only 3 under 2.5 goals matches all season
• failed to score in only 4 matches
• only 1 clean sheet
• 4-3-2-5-4-8-4-6 - total goals in recent Hoffenheim matches
• Hoff have not won v the 5 top 8 teams they have played away
• have conceded in their last 12 away matches
• 75% over 2.5 goals away
• only 2 0-0's at halftime away
• no 0-0 this season

Profitable in-play opportunities

• either team could score first and if it is Hoffenheim you'd think they'd be as vulnerable as they were last weekend,
• there should be a goal before halftime. Both sides have strong stats.
• Expect over 2.5 goals with Hoff matches and for them to score and concede
• Neither side has had a 0-0 and this should not be a concerted 0-0

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5pm - Besiktas v Akhisar Belediye - 1.7 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

5pm - Sageata Navodari v Steaua Bucharest - 1.34 away

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

530pm - Ergotelis v Olympiakos - 1.38 away

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

530pm - Napoli v Fiorentina - 1.89 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

6pm - Benfica v Academica - 1.2 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

6pm - Valencia v Villarreal - 2.1 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

7pm - Corinthians v Sorocaba - 1.43 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

715pm - Porto v Belenenses - 1.18 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

745pm - Catania v Juventus - 1.46 away

Standout stats

• 4 consecutive wins in head to heads for Juventus
• this is 20th v 1st and it is interesting that Juventus are such a tentative price!

Catania

• have won only 4 matches this season
• have lost only 1 of their last 6 matches
• have failed to score in 8 of their last 14 matches
• are yet to play the top 3 at home but lost to 4th and 5th 0-3
• 6 0-0's at halftime at home

Juventus

• only 1 defeat was away and they were 0-2 up at halftime!
• 3 1-0's in their last 4 matches
• 4 consecutive clean sheets
• have scored in all matches
• the 0-0 halftime last match was the first in 14 matches
• all dropped points away ( loss and 3 draws) have come v top 8 sides
• are yet to play bottom 2 away but against 17th and 18th won 0-2
• 6 0-0's at halftime away
• hyave scored 18 of their 26 goals away in the 2nd half

Profitable in-play opportunities

• an interesting price for Juventus. They have been winning 1-0 lately so reliant on defence. 
• this may be 0-0 for a while. Big halftime 0-0 stats for these 2
• 0-1, 0-2, 0-3 are the most likely scorelines in Juventus's favour

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745pm - Lazio v AC Milan - 2.5 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

8pm - Monaco v Lille - 1.9 home

Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

8pm - Real Madrid v Barcelona - 2.26 home

Standout stats

• both teams have scored in the last 14 meetings
• Barcelona have won the last 2 visits at Real and Real have drawn and won on their last 2 visits to Barcelona
• this is a must win for 3rd placed Barcelona who are 4 points adrift of Real
• I'll not research this fully as it's a "one off" match.
• Barcelona have lost their last 2 away matches
• Real Madrid's last defeat ( 18 matches ago) was against Barcelona

Profitable in-play opportunities

• the both teams to score angle looks solid here as does the over 2.5 goals angle. It is very difficult to choose of course. Will Barcelona really lose a 3rd consecutive away match? 
• Barcelona MUST win. Will that be enough?

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