A really good live chat last night. I hope you could come along
5am - Tokushima v Kashiwa - 1.56 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
11am - Osasuna v Sevilla - 2.5 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
1130am - Parma v Genoa - 1.67 home
Standout stats
- Parma are unbeaten at home in head to heads. The latest was a 0-0 draw and latterly Genoa won at their place 1-0
- this is 6th v 11th. 4th place is up for grabs for parma
- Genoa re in mid table mediocrity, seeing out the season, with no fear it seems of going down
Parma
- undefeated in 16 matches
- only Juventus and Roma have beaten Parma at home
- have failed to score in only 2 of 16 matches
- 5 clean sheets in their last 7 matches
- 4-3 and 3-2 v teams either side of Genoa in the league
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home
- have scored first in only 7 of 14 home matches, and considering they have only lost to top 2, it suggests Parma are able to get back on parity if conceding first
- have scored an eyecatching 9 home goals in the last 1/4 hour of home matches
Genoa
- only 2 wins in 8 matches
- Genoa have not beaten top 5 away from home and are playing 6th. They have beaten 7th away though
- 5 0-0's at halftime away
- no away 0-0's
Profitable in-play opportunities
- no strong stats for Genoa. Parma look good at home. Only the best have beaten them
- watch out also for Parma conceding and not going on to lose. They have conceded first in 7 of 14 home matches, yet only lost to Juventus and Roma
- If you want to really speculate, back over 4.5 goals if 0-0 for a while. This is based only on Parma's 4-2 and 3-2 at home to teams either side of Genoa
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1245pm - Brechin v Rangers - 1.25 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
1245pm - Silkeborg v Hvidovre - 1.42 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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1pm - PAOK v PAS Giannina - 1.28 home
Standout stats
- LWL( L=Loss, W=Win) when PAS have visited PAOK lately 0-1 last time
- PAOK have won the last 2 head to heads time wise1-2 and 0-2
- this is 2nd v 9th
- 2nd/3rd is still under threat for PAOK so that should keep them honest
PAOK
- 4 defeats in 6 matches for PAOK at the end of January has ended with a Win,Draw, Win, Draw
- 6 consecutive home wins includes a confidence boosting 2-1 win over Olympiakos
- have failed to score in only 4 matches all season
- 8 over 2.5 goals matches in PAOK's last 9, most un-Greek!
- all wins at home bar a 0-0 v 15th
Giannina
- PAS's positive away results have come against 14th and lower
- They lost 3-2 away to 1st and 1-0 away to 3rd
- only 3 clean sheets in 19 matches
- no 0-0 this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- as I said earlier, threats to 2nd and 3rd place will keep PAOK honest until the end of the season. Solid at home with all wins bar a 0-0, and playing a Giannina who have only 3 clean sheets in 19 matches, and no 0-0's this season, the only conclusion seems to be a PAOK win.
- So if Giannina score first, look to lay them
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1pm - St Etienne v Sochaux - 1.5 home
Standout stats
- 2 St Etienne wins followed by a 0-0 in the last 3 meetings
- this is 4th v 19th and I keep repeating there is always the chance at this stage of the season for an "over performance" by the strugglers in their desperate search for points
- It is not a lost cause of Sochaux
- St Etienne are collecting points for a push to 3rd
St Etienne
- 3 defeats in 18 looked good but St Etienne have lost in their last 2 matches ( both away)
- 6 wins and a draw in their last 7 home matches included 6 clean sheets
- 9 clean sheets in 13 for St Etienne shows what they are capable of
- only 1 over 2.5 goals match in their last 13 ( down to those clean sheets)
- have not played bottom 2 at home yet but beat 15th , 17th and 18th at home
- have scored in their last 14 home matches
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home - 8 1-0's !! So St Etienne might nick a goal before halftime
- have conceded only 1 goal at halftime at home
Sochaux
- only 2 defeats in 8 matches suggest Sochaux are scrapping for survival
- have conceded 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches
- Sochaux's recent clean sheets have come at home
- quite comprehensively Sochaux have lost to all of the top 15 away
- 2+ goals conceded v top 9 away
- have conceded in all away matches
- only 3 0-0's at halftime away
- no away 0-0
- have conceded 37 away goals and scored only 3 goals in the first half
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Sochaux have shown recently that they're up for the fight but losing all aways to top 15 sides in compelling
- clean sheets are St Etienne's thing at home recently
- If Sochaux keep a 0-0 for a while, expect them to concede at some stage
- Sochaux's wins recently have come at home, it seems away they are doomed to concede at least 2 to the top teams
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130pm - AZ Alkmaar v Zwolle - 1.52 home
Standout stats
- AZ are unbeaten when Zwolle visit , and have won the last 3 head to heads time-wise scoring 2-4-2
- this is 7th v 8th and you'd expect a closer match odds wise , rather than a very short priced home favourite?
AZ
- 4 wins and a 1-1 draw in their last 5 home matches
- 3 of AZ's last 4 defeats have come against PSV, Ajax and Twente so not that much of a shock
- 4 clean sheets in their last 5 home matches
- have failed to score in only 5 matches this season
- only home defeats were v 3rd and 6th
- against 9th-16th inclusive, AZ won all bar one draw. They play 8th today
- AZ have scored in all home matches
- no 0-0's at halftime at home
- no 0-0's this season
- have scored a whopping 17 home goals in the last 1/2 hour of the first half
Zwolle
- only 2 defeats in 9 matches came in their last 2 away matches
- 3 score draws in their last 6 matches
- have scored and conceded in 11 of their last 14 matches
- only 2 clean sheets in 19 matches
- failed to score in only 3 of 16 matches
- Zwolle have not won away to top 10 this season
- 72% over 2.5 goals for AZ plays 77% over 2.5 goals for Zwolle
Profitable in-play opportunities
- despite their close proximity in the league positions it seems advantage AZ for me. Over 2.5 goals looks a good goer stats wise
- AZ have not had a 0-0 at halftime all season. Lay the 0-0 halftime score low and late
- Both teams could score today. Although statistically Zwolle are unlikely to score first, if they do, lay them
- If the match is 0-0 coming to the 15th minute, lay the 0-0 halftime score. AZ have scored 17 goals in the last 1/2 hour of home matches
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130pm - Tottenham v Southampton - 2.26 home
Standout stats
- Tottenham have won the last 3 meetings with Southampton
- this is 5th v 8th. Spurs are 7 points away from 4th place
Tottenham
- 3 defeats in their last 4 matches
- 3 consecutive 1-0 results at home, 2 wins and a loss v Arsenal
- this is the worst period under Tim Sherwood and did coincide with the Europa League
- Only arsenal and Manchester city have beaten Spurs at home under Tim Sherwood
- Tottenham have suddenly failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home
- no 0-0's at home
Southampton
- only 2 defeats in the last 10 matches
- only 1 defeat away in their last 5 matches
- 3 away clean sheets in their last 4 away matches
- have failed to score in only 5 matches this season
- only 1 win home and away v top 7 sides might offer a crumb of something to Tottenham
- all wins bar 1 this season have come against 13th and lower
- have scored in their last 9 away matches
- 5 0-0's at halftime away from home
- no away 0-0's
Profitable in-play opportunities
- it could be advantage to a stuttering Spurs today given Saints tend to win against 13th and lower in the league. They do tend to find the net though so are layable if scoring first and we could chance both teams to score today
- this match should not end 0-0 so you know what to do should this be 0-0 at halftime and there is a chance
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2pm - Bologna v Cagliari - 2.44 home
Standout stats
- 3 wins in 4 head to heads for Bologna includes 2 consecutive 3-0 wins
- this is 18th v 15th - Cagliari are 6 points clear of relegation but Bologna are slap bang in the middle
Bologna
- only 4 wins all season does not suggest a 3rd consecutive 3-0 win over Cagliari
- 2 1-0's and 2 0-0's in the last 5 matches suggests a focus on defending
- have failed to score in 4 of their last 5
- 4 0-0's at halftime in their last 5 matches
- have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 home matches
- 0-0 v 16th, 1-0 v 17th and 0-0 v 19th. Cagliari are 15th.
- 4 0-0's at halftime at home and 3 0-0's at home
Cagliari
- only 3 wins in 16 matches
- strange patterns away, 0-0, 0-0, 0-1, 0-1, 1-1, 1-1 - again tight like Bologna's recent matches
- 5 clean sheets only this season
- no wins away
- all draws v bottom 5 sides away
- 15% over 2.5 goals only away from home
- 7 0-0's at halftime away is over 50% of matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- it all has the feel of a tight nervy affair and under 2.5 goals 0-0 at halftime or for a period seems most likely. Cagliari though have gone from 0-0's to 1-0 losses to 1-1 draws away. Will they draw a 3rd away?
- Back the 0-0 pre-match and hope for a concerted 0-0? I wouldn't trust these 2 with stolen money!! Draws look obvious here
2pm - Inter v Atalanta - 1.52 home
Standout stats
- both sides have scored in 6 of their last 7 meetings
- Inter have not beaten Atalanta in 6 of their last 7 meetings ( this does not account for 4 draws)
- this is 5th v 9th
Inter Milan
- looking at head to heads, this does not make Inter Milan a 1.52 shot today. Atalanta look like a bogey team?
- unbeaten in 6 matches
- have kept 3 clean sheets in 4 matches
- Inter have only lost to Roma at home.
- They have beaten 8th, 10th, 11th, 12th at home and are playing 9th today
- no defeat in 10 at home
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home ( 43% of matches) and considering they have had just 1 0-0, we can lay the 0-0 in the 2nd half in expectation of a goal
Atalanta
- unbeaten in 4 matches with 3 consecutive wins
- have kept 2 consecutive clean sheets to Inter's 3. A battle of defences early doors?
- have only won 2 away matches, both 0-1 so the stats point to Inter being the more likely victors
- have lost away to 3rd, 4th and 6th
- 6 0-0's at halftime away is the same percentage as Inter Milan
- have conceded 9 goals away in the 61st to 75th minutes
Profitable in-play opportunities
- it looks as if this might be a defensive tussle today. Look perhaps at a 0-0 at halftime and a goal scored 2nd half. For Atalanta the key time they concede most seems to be after the hour mark.
- There is the question of a bogey team. Inter Milan have been unable to beat Atalanta in 6 of their last 7 meetings.
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2pm - Sampdoria v Verona - 2.06 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
2pm - Udinese v Sassuolo - 1.64 home
Standout stats
- 1-2 last time these 2 met in favour of Udinese. A tight match where a Udinese penalty opened the scoring
- this is 14th v 19th/ You'd think Udinese are safe but sassuolo desparately need points
Udinese
- only 2 defeats in 7 came away from home
- WDW( W=Win, D=Draw) in the last 3 home matches saw a 1-0 win against AC Milan latest
- yet to play the bottom 2 at home, but drew against 3rd bottom 1-1
- unbeaten in the 5 matches played at home to 11th and lower
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home ( nearly 50%)
Sassuolo
- only 2 wins in 15 matches and they are unbeaten in 2 now with a draw and win
- no win in 8 away matches and a 0-0 in the latest away
- have failed to score in 4 of 6 away matches
- have only kept 3 clean sheets
- interestingly have won 3-4 away to 13th and drawn 2-2 v 15th. Are playing 14th today
- have only scored first in 1 of their 14 away matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Udinese are statistically the most likeliest to score first.
- I would venture to lay any team who go 2-0/0-2 or 3-0/0-3 up given Sassuolo's performances against teams either side of Udinese in the league
- both teams may score today
230pm - Nurnberg v Eintracht Frankfurt - 2.52 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
3pm - Olhanense v Nacional - 1.88 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
315pm - AEL Kalloni v OFI - 1.62 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
315pm - Atromitos v Platanias - 1.34 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
315pm - Levadiakos v Veria - 1.95 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
315pm - Xanthi v Panionios - 1.59 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
330pm - Red Bull Salzburg v FC Wiener Neustadt - 1.13 home
4pm - Aston Villa v Stoke - 2.22 home
Standout stats
- it's been tight historically but Aston Villa and Stoke have one win eash in the last 2 head to heads
- this is 10th v 11th and 9 points clear of the relegation zone
Aston Villa
- 2 consecutive wins in a row
- 3 wins in their last 4 home matches includes the scalp of Chelsea
- 4 0-0's at halftime in their last 5 matches
- not really readable at home, albeit losing all bar 2 home matches v top 8. An easier assignment today?
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home
- only 1 0-0 at home
- have scored 1st in only 3 of 15 home matches
Stoke
- only 1 defeat in their last 7 matches was against manchester City.
- Stoke's last 3 defeats have all been 1-0 and all away in their last 5 matches
- 3 0-0's at halftime in their last 4 matches
- Stoke have not been able to beat teams above them in the league away from home
- they have only 1 win in 7 matches against teams below them
- no win in 13 away
- 6 0-0's at halftime away
- Stoke have conceded 26 of their 29 away goals conceded after the halfthour mark
Profitable in-play opportunities
- both sides are hitting form at just the right time to ensure Premiership survival but little else. Form wise, Aston Villa have 3 wins in 4 homes. Stoke have only 1 away win but don't discount the draw.
- Aston Villa tend to concede first at home, so perhaps lay Stoke if Stoke score first. Note Stoke's last 3 away defeats were 1-0 so they keep things tight but seem unable to score 2 goals .
- After the 1/2 hour mark the floodgates seem to open for Stoke away, so factor that into any potential 0-0halftime score lay, although the percentages of 0-0's for these 2 is a bit high
4pm - Betis v Atl Madrid - 1.65 away
Standout stats
- 4 wins and a 1-1 draw in the last 5 matches in madrid's favour
- this is 20th v 2nd. Atl Madrid have wrestled a point difference between themselves in 2nd and Barca in 3rd. A win will heap pressure on Real Madrid at the top ( 3 points difference)
Betis
- undefeated in 3 matches but only 2 wins in 21 should alert Atl Madrid to a win here, particularly with Barca and Real Madrid cutting each other's throats later on
- Betis have actually won 2 of their last 3 at home, but as you can see, wins are a collector's item
- Betis have comprehensively lost at home to 1st, 3rd and 4th. What chance another loss via 2nd?
- 4 0-0's at halftime at home
Atl Madrid
- only 3 defeats all season but 2 have come away in their last 6 matches
- a 2-2 draw with Real Madrid has been followed by 2 wins to nil now. REmember this is a must-win with barca and Real potentially taking points off each other
- have only failed to score in 4 matches this season, twice in those 2 away defeats recently
- a 0-2 loss to Almeria away is interesting , as they are 2nd bottom
- 6 0-0's at halftime away ( 46%) and in their last 2 matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- a must win for Atl Madrid today as their rivals play each other. Betis have lost easily to 1st, 3rd and 4th, but intriguingly, Atl Madrid lost away to 2nd bottom, and have lost their 2 away matches in their last 3.
- Atl Madrid failed to score in their 2 recent away defeats but having only failed to score injust 4 matches, they are statistically more likely to score than not.
- 1.65 is a very trepidatious quote for Atl Madrid today
- I would not be surprised were this 0-0 at halftime.
4pm - FC Copenhagen v Randers - 1.5 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
4pm -Guingamp v Lyon - 2.84 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
430pm - Leverkusen v Hoffenheim - 1.79 home
Standout stats
- 6 consecutive wins for Leverkusen in head to heads
- this is 4th v 10th
Leverkusen
- only 2 wins in 10 matches now and the season has imploded
- have only failed to score in 5 this season
- have scored and conceded in 6 of the last 8 matches
- only 1 draw at home was v Bayern Munich
- 67% over 2.5 goals at home
- only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
- no 0-0 this season
- have scored first in only 1/2 home matches and considering they only lost 2, this suggests that leverkusen can come from behind
Hoffenheim
- only 3 under 2.5 goals matches all season
- failed to score in only 4 matches
- only 1 clean sheet
- 4-3-2-5-4-8-4-6 - total goals in recent Hoffenheim matches
- Hoff have not won v the 5 top 8 teams they have played away
- have conceded in their last 12 away matches
- 75% over 2.5 goals away
- only 2 0-0's at halftime away
- no 0-0 this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- either team could score first and if it is Hoffenheim you'd think they'd be as vulnerable as they were last weekend,
- there should be a goal before halftime. Both sides have strong stats.
- Expect over 2.5 goals with Hoff matches and for them to score and concede
- Neither side has had a 0-0 and this should not be a concerted 0-0
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5pm - Besiktas v Akhisar Belediye - 1.7 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
5pm - Sageata Navodari v Steaua Bucharest - 1.34 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
530pm - Ergotelis v Olympiakos - 1.38 away
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
530pm - Napoli v Fiorentina - 1.89 home
Standout stats
- both teams have scored in the last 3 meetings , napoli have won 2 2-1 and the other was a 1-1
- this is 3rd v 4th but there's a 10 point gap. There is a chance that Napoli can catch Roma if the latter slip up and Napoli continue to win
napoli
- only 4 defeats all season so more likely to draw or win than not!
- unbeaten in 6 matches with 2 1-1's and 2 1-0 wins latest, including a win against Roma
- Napoli only failed to score when they lost this season
- only Parma have beaten napoli at home this season
- have scored in their last 7 home matches
- 4 0-0's at halftime at home
- no 0-0's this season
- have scored 29 times at home and 16 in the first half
Fiorentina
- only 2 wins in 7 matches, includes 4 defeats, 3 of those 1-0
- no win in 3 aways includes 2 1-0 defeats
- have failed to score in 6 matches this season
- no win away to top 9, but draws v 6th, 7th and 9th
- Have lost to 1st, 2nd and 5th
- 4 0-0's at halftime away
Profitable in-play opportunities
- the general rule is if Napoli fail to score , they tend to lose. They don't do 0-0's
- Fiorentina are unlikely to beat a top 3 side away, a draw is the best they seem to be able to achieve
- I think we can trust Napoli if Fiorentina score first.
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6pm - Benfica v Academica - 1.2 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
6pm - Valencia v Villarreal - 2.1 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
7pm - Corinthians v Sorocaba - 1.43 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
715pm - Porto v Belenenses - 1.18 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
745pm - Catania v Juventus - 1.46 away
Standout stats
- 4 consecutive wins in head to heads for Juventus
- this is 20th v 1st and it is interesting that Juventus are such a tentative price!
Catania
- have won only 4 matches this season
- have lost only 1 of their last 6 matches
- have failed to score in 8 of their last 14 matches
- are yet to play the top 3 at home but lost to 4th and 5th 0-3
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home
Juventus
- only 1 defeat was away and they were 0-2 up at halftime!
- 3 1-0's in their last 4 matches
- 4 consecutive clean sheets
- have scored in all matches
- the 0-0 halftime last match was the first in 14 matches
- all dropped points away ( loss and 3 draws) have come v top 8 sides
- are yet to play bottom 2 away but against 17th and 18th won 0-2
- 6 0-0's at halftime away
- hyave scored 18 of their 26 goals away in the 2nd half
Profitable in-play opportunities
- an interesting price for Juventus. They have been winning 1-0 lately so reliant on defence.
- this may be 0-0 for a while. Big halftime 0-0 stats for these 2
- 0-1, 0-2, 0-3 are the most likely scorelines in Juventus's favour
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745pm - Lazio v AC Milan - 2.5 home
Standout stats
- Lazio have won the last 2 visits of Milan
- In 2013, Milan won at home and it was a 1-1 home draw for Milan
- this is 7th v 12th
Lazio
Profitable in-play opportunities
8pm - Monaco v Lille - 1.9 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
8pm - Real Madrid v Barcelona - 2.26 home
Standout stats
- both teams have scored in the last 14 meetings
- Barcelona have won the last 2 visits at Real and Real have drawn and won on their last 2 visits to Barcelona
- this is a must win for 3rd placed Barcelona who are 4 points adrift of Real
- I'll not research this fully as it's a "one off" match.
- Barcelona have lost their last 2 away matches
- Real Madrid's last defeat ( 18 matches ago) was against Barcelona
Profitable in-play opportunities
- the both teams to score angle looks solid here as does the over 2.5 goals angle. It is very difficult to choose of course. Will Barcelona really lose a 3rd consecutive away match?
- Barcelona MUST win. Will that be enough?
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