Monday, 17 March 2014

MONDAY

530pm - Panaitolikos v Xanthi - 1.88 home
Standout stats

  • inconclusive head to heads see Pana scoring 0-1 away and Xanthi winning 3-1 at home latest
  • this is 10th v 14th and the need is greater with the away side, flirting with relegation.
Panaitolikos ( Pana for short)
  • only 1 win in 7 came at home
  • scored and conceded in the last 4 matches
  • only 1 defeat at home
  • have had 4 0-0's at home. 
  • are unbeaten v 11th and lower with 4 wins and 2 0-0's
Xanthi
  • only 2 wins in 12 matches came at home
  • failed to score in 5 of their last 8 matches
  • no win in 10 away
  • only 1 clean sheet in 14 matches
  • only 1 away win
  • have conceded at least 2 goals away to 9th and above
  • conceded in the last 7 aways
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • 2 of the lesser lights and I won't be dwelling too long on this. Xanthi have trouble away , only 1 win and no wins v top 9 ( play 10th today)
  • no win in 7 for pana sees them in poor form in a match to be quickly forgotten
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6pm - Torino v Napoli - 2.32 away
Standout stats

  • Napoli have won the last 2 meetings scoring 5 and 2
  • this is 10th v 3rd
Torino
  • 3 consecutive defeats to nil and only 1 win in the last 6 matches
  • have lost the last 2 home matches
  • only 3 defeats at home this season came against 1st, 13th and 18th
  • no win against top 5 at home
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home
  • only 1 0-0 all season
Napoli
  • only 4 defeats all season and only 1 loss in 14 matches
  • Napoli play Porto in the Europa league on the 20th March which may not impact on this match
  • only failed to score in 4 all season
  • no draw away to top 12 this season includes 5 wins and 2 defeats
  • only 1 0-0 at halftime away
  • no 0-0 this season


Profitable in-play opportunities

  • this should not end 0-0 and there is a chance for a goal before halftime despite Torino failing to score in 3 matches
  • form wise it's advantage Napoli  and that's who I'll favour here if Torino take the lead.
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745pm - Albion v Rangers - 1.15 away
Standout stats

  • 1-1 from the first replay and Albion scored first for Rangers to keep us waiting for an equaliser
  • not much research to be done. Well aware of albion's 1-0's and tight Scottish cup matches. Rangers at their best are too good, but complacency?
  • since the 1-1 v Albion Rangers have gone on to win 3-0 and 2-0 at home in the league.
  • Albion are coming off a 4-0 loss away to Queen's Park in league 2.
  • This should be a 3/4 goals haul for Rangers today if on song against an albion side who seem to have had their day in the sun

745pm - Luton v Woking - 1.32 home
Standout stats

  • this is a conference premier match so tread warily.
  • this is 1st v 16th. Luton sitting pretty with a 13 point gap and 2 games in hand - complacency?
  • Luton have won the last 2 meetings in 2013 0-4 and 0-1
Luton
  • only 2 defeats all season, the last coming in september 2013
  • have won their last 13 matches
  • have only failed to score in 3 of their last 23 matches
  • 7 clean sheets in their last 9 matches
  • 5 clean sheets in last 6 home matches
  • no defeat in 27 matches. 77% over 2.5 goals at home
  • only 1 0-0 at home
Woking
  • only 1 draw in 21 matches
  • have won 3 of their lsat 4 matches
  • have lost 3-1 and 2-0 away to 2nd and 3rd, but beaten 4th 0-2 and 5th 3-4
  • no away 0-0

Profitable in-play opportunities

  • limited stats for this league -it does all look rather straightforward but complacency could set in for a Luton side in the comfort zone at the top. Possibility for a win to nil if on song and if a concerted 0-0, lay it
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8pm - Nacional v Benfica - 1.57 away
Standout stats

  • 6 wins for Benfica and a 2-2 draw in recent meetings
  • this is 5th v 1st
nacional
  • only 4 defeats all season, 1 of which came against Benfica and the most recent ( last match) was against Braga
  • undefeated in 9 at home
  • have failed to score in 5 matches
  • not played top 3 at home and this is a concern, as we cannot gauge their performance/tactics v the best
  • have not beaten the top 4 away though, drawing with 2nd and 3rd
  • have scored in their last 6 home matches
  • 3 0-0's at halftime and only one 0-0 at home
  • have scored first in 6 of their 11 home matches
Benfica
  • only loss was v 1st team played this season
  • have won 8 of their last 9 matches
  • 8 clean sheets in their last 9 matches
  • scored in all matches
  • 1-1 draw away to 2nd and 1-2 win v 4th. Will both teams score today?


Profitable in-play opportunities

  • Benfica keep scoring and keep winning, mostly to nil . Will that continue today? They have conceded v top 4 away this season without losing. Nacional have not played top 3 at home this season but are Loss-Draw-Draw-Loss v top 4 away
  • Nacional are undefeated in 9 at home so could put up some resistance
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8pm - Roma v Udinese - 1.43 home
Standout stats

  • 1-1 and 0-1 Roma win in the last 2 matches
  • this is 2nd v 14th. 2 games in hand over Juventus but 13 points adrift
Roma
  • only 2 defeats all season, 1 came last match
  • 5 consecutive clean sheets at home
  • have failed to score in 5 matches
  • 6 clean sheets in 8 matches
  • undefeated at home
  • only conceded 2 goals at home
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home
  • no opponent has scored first at Roma or led at halftime at Roma
Udinese
  • only 1 defeat in 6 came away latest
  • have conceded 3 in each of the last 2 away matches
  • only 3 clean sheets in 14 matches
  • have only beaten 17th and lower away
  • lost 1-0 to 1st and 6th away and drew 3-3 with 3rd
  • only 1 0-0 at halftime away
  • no 0-0 this season


Profitable in-play opportunities

  • Roma must win to keep slim hopes of a title and to take advantage should Juventus slip up at any stage
  • Udinese are unlikely to win so lay them should they score first ( and it's unlikely)
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9pm - Villarreal v Ath Bilbao - 2.4 home
Standout stats

  • draw-draw and Ath Bilbao win in the last 3 head to heads
  • this is 7th v 4th
Villareal
  • only 2 wins in 7
  • 6 clean sheets only all season
  • have drawn at home to 1st and 2nd so can be tough to beat
  • only 3 home defeats
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home
  • only 1 0-0 all season
Ath Bilbao
  • only 2 defeats in 15 matches
  • only 1 defeat in 6 away matches
  • no win away v 12th and above
  • score draws v 6th and 9th away and playing 7th today
  • only 2 0-0's at halftime away
  • only 1 0-0 all season
  • have scored first in only 4 of 13 away

Profitable in-play opportunities

  • the away side are the form side but cannot seem to beat top 12 sides away  -this brings the draw into play , and I think both sides could score today
  • a chance for a goal before halftime
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