2pm - Livorno v Bologna - 2.32 home
Standout stats
- Bologna have won the last 4 head to heads to nil, the last 3 1-0
- this is 18th v 17th
- only 5 wins all season plays onlt 4 wins all season so I don't think this warrants full research.
- Here are the key stats
- 2 consecutive 0-0's for Bologna.
- Bologna have failed to score in their last 4 matches
- Livorno have only kept 3 clean sheets all season
- 3 wins at home for Livorno, 2 against bottom 2.
- Bologna have lost away to bottom 2
- That's it really given this is likely to be a relegation 6 pointer. 2 consecutive 0-0's for Bologna. Is this a sequence to end today?
2pm - Rubin Kazan v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod - 1.6 home
2pm - Sassuolo v Catania - 2.44 home
- 20th v 19th in the league and this is a relegation 6 pointer so is tough to predict
- both sides have only had 4 wins all season.
- Catania have not won away from home
- Catania have scored 6 and conceded 31 goals away
- Not much else for me with this match between bottom and 2nd bottom.
230pm - Aberdeen v Inverness CT - 1.91 home
3pm - FC Basel v Aarau - 1.43 home
3pm - Metalurg Z v Shakhtar - 1.15 away
315pm - Asteras Tripolis v Ergotelis - 1.49 home
315pm - Panionios v Levadiakos - 1.49 home
315pm - Platanias v AEL Kalloni - 1.56 home
330pm - Breda v Ajax - 1.44 away
4pm - Barcelona v Osasuna - 1.06 home
4pm - Lyon v Monaco - 2.8 home
Standout stats
- Only 1 recent head to head of relevance a 2-1 Monaco home win
- this is 5th v 2nd
Lyon
- only 1 defeat in 13 matches
- unbeaten in 12 at home
- 2 0-0's in their last 3 matches
- only one loss at home v 7th
- have not played top 2 at home but did draw 0-0 v 3rd
- no defeat in 12 at home
- 6 0-0's at home at halftime
- no opponent has led at halftime at Lyon
- Lyon have conceded only 2 goals at home in the first half.
- Lyon have not beaten top 9 at home , drawing 4.
Monaco
- have only lost 3 matches all season
- lost their last away matches
- have failed to score in only 3 matches this season
- Monaco have lost 2-0 away to 3rd and 4th and are playing 5th today.
- only 1 0-0 all season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- both teams are in good form,only 1 loss in 13 for Lyon and only 3 losses all season for Monaco.
- Lyon are great at home too and Monaco have lost 2-0 to 3rd and 4th away. Tough to rely upon Monaco today if they concede.
- This shoudl not end 0-0.
4pm - Slovan Bratislava v Spartak Trnava - 1.46 home
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4pm - Tottenham v Arsenal - 2.46 away
This is another of those " best on the day" matches although I suspect that Tim Sherwood's relative lack of experience in managing in this derby might be his downfall against an Arsenal side who will have duly noted Chelsea's Villa Nightmare
With Manchester United and Liverpool possibly both dropping points ( and one of the 2 guaranteed to drop points) Arsenal need a win to to go 2nd ( albeit with City having a game in hand)
Arsenal have not won any of their last 3 away matches and that must end if the title bid is to remain alive.
2 consecutive 2-1 home wins for Spurs in head to heads.
Again not my conventional research given the unique aspect of this match.
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430pm - Eintracht Frankfurt v Freiburg - 1.9 home
Standout stats
- 2 consecutive draws in 2013
- this is 13th v 17th and points far more important to Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
- only 2 defeats in 9 were against Bayern Munich and Dortmund
- unbeaten in 5 at home, lkeeping 3 clean sheets
- have only failed to score in 5 all season
- only 6 clean sheets kept all season and 2 came in their last 3 home matches
- unbeaten at home to 14th and below
- only 1 0-0 all season
Freiburg
- only 2 wins in 11 matches
- have failed to score in the last 5 away matches
- have failed to score in 4 of the last 6 matches
- only 2 wins away came v 14th and 18th ( only 4 wins all season)
- interestingly are unbeaten away to 9th and below
- 1/2 of away matches are 0-0 at halftime
- only 2 0-0's away
Profitable in-play opportunities
- only 2 wins away and 4 all season, but the draw is a goer here for a Freiburg side unbeaten away v 9th and below. The 0-0 could be backable pre-match in the home Freiburg collect yet another halftime 0-0 ( 50% of away matches)
- Freiburg need points and are playing a Frankfurt side in good form at home. Freiburg have failed to score in the last 5 away matches which again strengthens the 0-0 argument at least until halftime?
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5pm - Anderlecht v Oostende - 1.28 home
Standout stats
- Anderlecht tend to win scoring 2/3 historically. Only one recent head to head a 0-3 win
- this is 3rd v 9th and Anderlecht are 12 points shy of top spot
- this looks to be the last match of the season so is a dead rubber of sorts but suerly Anderlecht want to win infront of home fans
I will not spend time researching this match as it is a dead rubber. Suffice to say I'd favour Anderlecht in their home season farewell.
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5pm - Club Brugge v Cercle Brugge - 1.3 home
standout stats
- we now learn that this is the last match of the season and Club Brugge are 2nd . They cannot win the title. They cannot get caught.
- this is a local derby too to account for that
- Another dead rubber really. The only argument for an interest is as per the Anderlecht match where we hope the home support galvanises the home team.
- Are Cercle Brugge safe on 33 points? 3rd bottom have 30 points and a better goal difference. If they win, and Mechelen, Charleroi and Lierse win, and Cercle lose, they could conceivably be relegated.
- Although I think Belgium operates a strange end of season mini league .
- Cercle Brugge won the last meeting and the last meeting at Club Brugge too! Interesting
- Cercle Brugge though have not won an away match v 12th and above this season
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5pm - Fenerbahce v Kayseri Erciyesspor - 1.42 home
Standout stats
- 4 wins and a couple of draws ( away at Kayseri) see Fenerbahce solid in head to heads
- this is top v 2nd bottom
Fenerbahce
- only 4 defeats all season and 3 came in the last 8 matches
- 5 consecutive home wins
- have failed to score in only 2 matches
- all losses came away
- only 3 clean sheets in 16 matches
- scored 5 against bottom side - a template for today?
- 50% over 3.5 goals at home
Erci
- unbeaten in 5 matches with 4 consecutive wins
- 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches
- have scored in their last 10 matches
- 3 away wins v 5th, 14th and 18th
- Have lost 3-2 and 2-0 v 3rd and 4th
- no draw in 9 away
Profitable-in-play opportunities
- Erci have put together a potentially season-saving run based around not conceding, but it remains clear that they have lost to 3rd and 4th away, conceding 3 and 2 goals
- recent away wins v 5th and 18th ( bottom)
- Fenerbahce are unbeaten at home and should remain so. An argument for 4/5 goals from the home side today if they really click. Look to favour Fenerbahce here.
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5pm - Mallorca v Tenerife - 1.91 home
5pm - Waasland-Beveren v Standard - 1.57 away
530pm - Aris v PAOK - 1.61 away
Standout stats
- PAOK are unbeaten in the last 6 head to heads and have scored 4-2-3 in their last 3 matches
- this is 18th v 3rd
Aris
- only 3 wins all season, 2 were 1-0
- 3 0-0's in their last 6 matches
- the last 5 home matches have been really tight 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-0, 0-0
- 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches
- have failed to score at home to the top 4 losing 0-2 to 1st, 0-0 to 2nd and 0-2 to 4th
- only 1 home win was v 14th
PAOK
- 4 defeats and a draw in their last 5 away matches contrasts with a recent home 2-1 win over the mighty Olympiakos.
- have failed to score in only 4 matches all season
- lsat 8 matches over 2.5 goals is most un-Greek
- not very readable away , as they have lost to 2nd bottom.
Profitable in-play opportunties
- 0-0 must surely be worth backing today pre-match given Aris have been so tough to score against of late.
- At their best, PAOK should score 2 goals today and are on a 3 match unbeaten run BUT have lost 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 away matches. This must end sometime
530pm - Dinamo Kiev v Tavriya - 1.13 home
6pm - Plzen v Slovacko - 1.4 home
6pm - Sevilla v Valladolid - 1.49 home
Standout stats
- 2 consecutive score draws in head to heads
- 7th v 19th. Points required from Valladolid to take them out of the bottom 3
Sevilla
- unbeaten in 4 with 3 consecutive wins, 2 of which were 1-0
- have failed to score in only 3 matches all season
- 3 clean sheets in 4 matches now
- against 16th and lower, Sevilla find things very easy with 4 wins scored 4-3-2-4
- 70% over 2.5 goals at home
- 4 0-0's at halftime at home
Valladolid
- hats off to them. They are battling. only 1 defeat in 7 matches was a 3-0 against Atl Madrid. BUT 4 draws meant 2 points dropped in each case. A 1-0 win against Barcelona was against a "curse of the Champions league" Barcelona
- no win in 9 away matches
- only 1 away win, defeats v 1st-5th inclusive. Score draws v 8th and 9th. It seems a score draw would be the best case scenario here
- only 2 0-0's at halftime away
- have conceded 14 goals in the last 1/2 hour of matches away
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Valladolid are likely to put up a fight but it seems a draw will be the best they can hope for. A score draw is possible here so if Valladolid score first, lay them.
- Based on Valladolid, perhaps we can lay the 0-0 halftime score
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715pm - Sp Lisbon v Porto - 2.52 away
745pm - Fiorentina v Chievo - 1.59 home
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