footballtradingresearch: thursday , friday, saturday sunday

SUNDAY

130pm - Manchester Utd v Liverpool - 2.4 home
Standout stats

this falls under my category of "best on the day" so stats are likely to be thrown out of the window. It is surely advantage Liverpool though as Manchester United's stats profile is of a non-top 10 side struggling against the top 7 home and away, and finding it easier against lower half side.
Sturridge and Suarez could tear holes in a ropey defence

130pm - Feyenoord V Heerenveen - 1.45 home
Standout stats

there is no real standout team in head to heads.
this is 4th v 6th so why are the home team so short?

Feyenoord

only 4 defeats since 25th August
lost their last home match to ajax
only 1 win in 4
a run of scoring and conceding in 8 matches ended with a 0-2 away win
have failed to score in only 1 match
only 6 clean sheets all season
only 7 under 2.5 goals matches all season
have scored and conceded at home v top 7
scored in all home matches
no 0-0 at halftime at home
no 0-0 this season
have scored a whopping 12 goals in the last 1/4 hour of 1st half home matches and 2nd in the 1st 1/4 hour of 2nd half home matches

Heerenveen

unbeaten in 3 matches
have failed to score in only 4 matches
only 4 clean sheets this season
7 under 2.5 goals matches all season
2 1-1's away to teams either side of Feyenoord in the league
have conceded in their last 12 away matches
no away 0-0

Profitable in-play opportunities

eyecatching is the 7 under 2.5 goals matches each team has had this season . Suggests both teams could score and over 2.5 goals more likely than not.
Feyenoord have not had a 0-0 at halftime at home so lay the 0-0 low and late , hopefully at around the 30 minute mark.
If Heerenveen score first, I would lay them. They may draw but they may not win

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2pm - Milan v Parma - 1.8 home

Standout stats

a 90th minute Parma winner in the last head to head is not representative of usual Milan dominance
this is 11th v 6th

Milan

2 consecutive defeats without scoring
that was part of only 5 occasions this season without a goal - unlikely a 3rd consecutive match surely?
all bar 2 of Milan's defeats home and away this season have come against top 7 sides
1-0 v 7th, 1-1 v 8th, 9th, 10th at home
4 0-0's at halftime at home

Parma

15 matches withuot defeat
7 away matches without defeat
Parma have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 6 matches
have failed to score in only 2 of their last 15 matches
more vulnerable away, only 1 win 0-1 v Napoli v top 10 away
have scored 2, 3 ,2 in score draws v 4th and 5th and a 3-2 loss to 7th away

Profitable in-play opportunities

AC Milan usually have the measure of Parma in head to heads but it is Parma who are unbeaten in 15 matches
tough to read. This could be 1-0, 1-1 yet there is an argument for 2-2, 3-2, 2-3 given Parma's goals v 4th,, 5th and 7th away

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2pm - Dinamo Zagreb V Istra 1961 - 1.20 home
Just one for your notebook. Dinamo Zagreb dont' lose at home to Croatian opposition. So hope Istra score first. Place Zagreb at home in your note books next to Hoffenheim!!

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230pm - Hamburg v Nurnberg - 2.2 home
Standout stats

a mixed bag really with head to heads shared between the teams and a draw in last 3 meetings. Hamburg did win 0-5 last match
this is 16th v 14th
both sides are in desparate need of points

Hamburg

only 1 win in 11 was a shock 3-0 win against a Dortmund side perhaps distracted by an up-and-coming Champions League match
unbeaten in 2 home matches now.
have only kept 4 clean sheets all season
have only had 1 0-0 at halftime at home
are unbeaten at home agianst 12th and lower ( only 4 matches0
no 0-0 this season

Nurnberg

no draw in 7 and have lost their last 2 matches
only 3 clean sheets all season
all score draws away to 10th and lower
4 0-0's at halftime away
have conceded 17 of their 23 away goals in the 2nd half

Profitable in-play opportunities

note Hamburg have only had one 0-0 at halfitme all season so lay the 0-0 halftime score low and late
Nurnberg keep score drawing v 10th and lower so I would venture a 2-2 pre match back correct score which covers either team scoring first as well as any team going 2-1 up. The problem is the lack of liquidity generally in these markets

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3pm - Basel V Aarau - 1.36 home
Another for the notebook. The Swiss league is a small league and not worth researching.
If Aarau surprise I will research in-play. I put the match here just so I can see it's kick off time and keep an eye out for it.

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3pm - Metalurg Z v Shakhtar - 1.3 away

315pm - Asteras Tripolis v Ergotelis - 1,41 home
Standout stats

Asteras have won 4 of the last 5 head to heads to nil
this is 5th v 12th

Asteras Tripolis

only 2 defeats in 14 matches
have failed to score in only 4 matches this season
have kept clean sheets in 7 of their last 8 home matches
unbeaten at home

Ergotelis

only 3 wins in 17 matches
have failed to beat any of the top 13 away from home
have conceded 3-2-2-1-2-2 against top 7 away

Profitable-inplay opportunities

limited stats for Greece but a suggestion Ergotelis will not win this match,and could concede 2 goals
no halftime or goal time stats

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330pm - NAC Breda V Ajax - 1.4 away
Standout stats

6 wins for Ajax and a 2-2 draw in head to heads
this is 11th v 1st
Vitesse and Twente could take points off each other today which will be great news for Ajax

NAC

only 3 wins in 14 matches
have failed to score in only 7 matches
have only played one of the top 3 at home, a 1-2 loss v 2nd placed Vitesse
have scored in their last 12 home matches
5 0-0's at halftime at home
no 0-0 at home

AJAX

undefeated in 15 matches
only 3 defeats all season
have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 away matches
have failed to score in only 3 matches all season
are more vulnerable away from home, with only 2 wins away to top 10. Have scored and conceded in 7 of the 8 matches played away to top 10
have scored in their last 15 matches
only 2 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable in-play opportunities

head to heads and recent form signal advantage Ajax. They should not lose but might concede as they have done in recent away matches ( undefeated) and against top 10 teams away
a chance both teams will score
there is also a chance of a goal before halftime so lay the 0-0 halftime score low and late

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4pm - Barcelona v Osasuna - 1.07 home

No research necessary here, suffice to say monitor the match for any surprises and look for at least one goal before halftime

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16 Mar. 00:30	Sporting Kansas City V Dallas	1.75	3.30	4.30	+60
16 Mar. 00:30	Houston Dynamo V Montreal Impact	1.66	3.40	4.80	+60
16 Mar. 01:00	Santos Laguna V Pachuca	2.05	3.10	3.30	+10
16 Mar. 01:00	Monterrey V Monarcas Morelia	2.20	3.00	3.20	+10
16 Mar. 02:30	San Jose Earthquakes V Real Salt Lake	2.25	3.00	3.00	+60
16 Mar. 03:00	Jaguares Chiapas V Club America	3.20	3.10	2.15	+10
16 Mar. 04:00	Fukuoka V Ehime	2.37	2.90	3.00	+10
16 Mar. 04:00	Montedio Yamagata V Gifu	1.55	3.50	5.75	+10
16 Mar. 04:00	Kataller Toyama V Yokohama FC	3.30	2.90	2.20	+10
16 Mar. 04:00	Matsumoto Yamaga V V-Varen Nagasaki	2.30	2.90	3.10	+10
16 Mar. 04:00	Oita Trinita V Kamatamare Sanuki	1.61	3.30	6.00	+10
16 Mar. 05:00	Melbourne Heart V Wellington Phoenix	1.72	3.50	4.33	+60
16 Mar. 05:00	Kyoto Sanga V Tochigi	2.05	3.10	3.40	+10
16 Mar. 07:00	Shonan V Consadole Sapporo	2.10	3.00	3.40	+10
16 Mar. 07:00	Jubilo Iwata V Kumamoto	1.36	4.25	7.50	+10
16 Mar. 07:00	Tokyo Verdy V JEF United Chiba	3.20	3.00	2.20	+10
16 Mar. 07:00	Kitakyushu V Mito	2.50	2.90	2.80	+10
16 Mar. 08:00	Fagiano Okayama V Kusatsu	1.95	3.00	3.90	+10
16 Mar. 09:30	Amkar Perm V Lokomotiv Moscow	3.90	2.90	2.00	+10
16 Mar. 09:30	Spartak Moscow V Anzi Makhachkala	1.40	4.00	7.00	+10
16 Mar. 11:00	Elche v Real Betis	2.30	3.25	3.20	+108
16 Mar. 11:00	Ponferradina V Zaragoza	2.30	3.10	2.70	+62
16 Mar. 11:00	Konyaspor V Gaziantepspor	2.05	3.25	3.30	+60
16 Mar. 11:30	Atalanta v Sampdoria	2.20	3.10	3.50	+116
16 Mar. 11:30	Twente V AZ Alkmaar	1.50	3.90	5.50	+60
16 Mar. 11:30	Eskisehirspor V Elazigspor	1.75	3.30	4.50	+60
16 Mar. 12:00	Legia Warsaw V Wisła Kraków	1.66	3.30	5.00	+10
16 Mar. 12:30	Fort Dusseldorf v St.Pauli	2.25	3.30	3.00	+99
16 Mar. 12:30	Greuther Furth v Union Berlin	1.83	3.40	4.00	+99
16 Mar. 12:30	Sandhausen v Arminia Bielefeld	2.10	3.30	3.30	+99
16 Mar. 12:45	Luzern V FC Zurich	2.75	3.10	2.40	+10
16 Mar. 12:45	Grasshoppers V Sion	1.60	3.50	5.25	+10
16 Mar. 13:00	Montpellier v Bordeaux	2.05	3.10	4.00	+107
16 Mar. 13:00	OB Odense v Viborg	1.70	3.80	4.75	+98
16 Mar. 13:00	PAS Giannina V Panathinaikos	4.10	3.00	1.90	+10
16 Mar. 13:30	Manchester Utd v Liverpool	2.40	3.50	2.80	+121
16 Mar. 13:30	Varnsdorf V Viktoria Zizkov	1.95	3.20	3.60	+10
16 Mar. 13:30	Feyenoord V Heerenveen	1.45	4.10	6.00	+60
16 Mar. 13:30	Zwolle V Go Ahead Eagles	2.05	3.20	3.30	+60
16 Mar. 13:30	NEC Nijmegen V Utrecht	1.85	3.50	3.60	+60
16 Mar. 13:30	Volendam V Den Bosch	2.10	3.50	2.90	+10
16 Mar. 13:30	Mezokovesd V Ujpesti	2.20	3.30	2.87	+10
16 Mar. 14:00	Milan v Parma	1.80	3.60	4.50	+120
16 Mar. 14:00	Cagliari v Lazio	2.70	3.20	2.70	+109
16 Mar. 14:00	Livorno v Bologna	2.25	3.20	3.25	+109
16 Mar. 14:00	Sassuolo v Catania	2.25	3.20	3.25	+109
16 Mar. 14:00	Aalst V Brussels	2.25	3.00	3.00	+10
16 Mar. 14:00	White Star Bruxelles V Roeselare	1.95	3.10	3.70	+10
16 Mar. 14:00	Dinamo Zagreb V Istra 1961	1.20	5.75	15.00	+10
16 Mar. 14:00	Baumit Jablonec V Sigma Olomouc	1.95	3.20	3.70	+10
16 Mar. 14:00	Hradec Kralove V Trinec	1.45	3.90	6.50	+10
16 Mar. 14:00	Rubin Kazan V Volga Novgorod	1.55	3.50	6.00	+10
16 Mar. 14:00	Krka V Domzale	3.40	3.10	2.05	+10
16 Mar. 14:00	Sivasspor V Trabzonspor	2.37	3.10	2.80	+60
16 Mar. 14:30	Hamburg v Nurnberg	2.20	3.40	3.20	+105
16 Mar. 14:30	Aberdeen v Inverness CT	2.00	3.30	3.80	+112
16 Mar. 14:30	Zagłębie Lubin V Śląsk Wrocław	2.30	2.90	3.00	+10
16 Mar. 15:00	Coventry v Port Vale	2.05	3.30	3.60	+98
16 Mar. 15:00	Newport v Exeter	2.00	3.40	3.75	+98
16 Mar. 15:00	Shamrock Rovers II V Finn Harps	2.40	3.20	2.62	+10
16 Mar. 15:00	Basel V Aarau	1.36	4.33	7.50	+10
16 Mar. 15:15	Platanias V Kalloni	1.57	3.40	6.00	+10
16 Mar. 15:15	Asteras Tripolis V Ergotelis	1.40	3.90	9.00	+10
16 Mar. 15:15	Panionios V Levadiakos	1.45	3.70	7.50	+10
16 Mar. 15:15	Derry City V Cork City	2.15	3.10	3.20	+64
16 Mar. 15:30	NAC Breda V Ajax	7.00	4.30	1.40	+60
16 Mar. 15:30	Kaposvari V Puskas Academy	2.20	3.25	3.00	+10
16 Mar. 15:30	Pecsi V MTK Budapest	1.75	3.40	4.10	+10
16 Mar. 15:30	Ferencvaros V Debrecen	2.90	3.25	2.25	+10
16 Mar. 16:00	Tottenham v Arsenal	2.80	3.30	2.50	+121
16 Mar. 16:00	Barcelona v Osasuna	1.07	11.00	23.00	+114
16 Mar. 16:00	Córdoba V Lugo	2.00	3.20	3.20	+61
16 Mar. 16:00	Girona V Real Murcia	2.25	3.10	2.80	+62
16 Mar. 16:00	Lyon v Monaco	2.60	3.25	2.70	+107
16 Mar. 16:00	Bohemians 1905 V Slovan Liberec	2.80	3.00	2.40	+10
16 Mar. 16:00	Zbrojovka Brno V Banik Ostrava	2.00	3.00	3.70	+10
16 Mar. 16:00	Banik Most V Taborsko	2.50	2.90	2.80	+10
16 Mar. 16:00	AaB Aalborg v FC Midtjylland	2.37	3.30	2.90	+98
16 Mar. 16:00	Arouca V Olhanense	1.90	3.00	4.10	+60
16 Mar. 16:00	Belenenses V Vitoria Setubal	2.40	2.90	2.90	+60
16 Mar. 16:00	Slovan Bratislava V Spartak Trnava	1.36	4.33	8.00	+10
16 Mar. 16:30	Eintracht Frankfurt v Freiburg	1.80	3.60	4.33	+105
16 Mar. 17:00	Mallorca V Tenerife	1.90	3.20	3.50	+62
16 Mar. 17:00	Club Brugge V Cercle Brugge	1.25	5.00	11.00	+10
16 Mar. 17:00	Gent V Zulte Waregem	2.00	3.10	3.50	+10
16 Mar. 17:00	Anderlecht V Oostende	1.22	5.50	12.00	+10
16 Mar. 17:00	Kortrijk V Genk	2.55	3.10	2.55	+10
16 Mar. 17:00	KV Mechelen V Royal Charleroi	1.72	3.40	4.50	+10
16 Mar. 17:00	Mons V OH Leuven	2.30	3.20	2.80	+10
16 Mar. 17:00	Lierse V Sporting Lokeren	3.70	3.10	1.95	+10
16 Mar. 17:00	Waasland Beveren V Standard Liege	6.00	3.80	1.50	+10
16 Mar. 17:00	Ruch Chorzów V Piast Gliwice	1.75	3.25	4.60	+10
16 Mar. 17:00	Fenerbahçe V Erciyesspor	1.36	4.25	7.50	+60
16 Mar. 17:15	Eibar V Hércules	1.80	3.30	3.80	+62
16 Mar. 17:30	Aris Salonika V PAOK	7.00	3.60	1.50	+10
16 Mar. 17:30	Videoton V Gyori	1.85	3.40	3.80	+10
16 Mar. 18:00	Sevilla v Valladolid	1.44	4.33	7.00	+108
16 Mar. 18:00	Gimnasia La Plata V Estudiantes la Plata	2.45	2.75	3.10	+10
16 Mar. 18:00	Osijek V Hajduk Split	4.50	3.30	1.75	+10
16 Mar. 18:00	Viktoria Plzen V Slovacko	1.30	4.50	10.00	+10
16 Mar. 18:00	Esbjerg v Brondby	2.50	3.30	2.75	+98
16 Mar. 18:00	Puebla V Tigres	3.30	3.00	2.15	+10
16 Mar. 18:00	Pumas UNAM V Atlante	2.15	3.10	3.25	+10
16 Mar. 19:00	Numancia V Alcorcón	1.95	3.20	3.40	+62
16 Mar. 19:00	Portland Timbers V Chicago Fire	1.61	3.50	5.00	+60
16 Mar. 19:15	Sporting Lisbon V Porto	3.10	3.10	2.20	+60
16 Mar. 19:45	Fiorentina v Chievo	1.44	4.20	7.50	+109
16 Mar. 19:45	Genoa v Juventus	8.00	4.50	1.40	+116
16 Mar. 20:00	Real Sociedad v Valencia	2.10	3.40	3.40	+114
16 Mar. 20:00	PSG v St Etienne	1.36	4.50	9.00	+114
16 Mar. 20:00	Arsenal de Sarandi V Rosario Central	2.45	2.70	3.10	+10
16 Mar. 20:10	Newells Old Boys V Racing Club	1.72	3.20	4.80	+10
16 Mar. 21:15	Boca Juniors V Argentinos Juniors	1.75	3.10	5.00	+10
16 Mar. 23:00	Chivas USA V Vancouver Whitecaps	2.65	3.00	2.55	+60
16 Mar. 23:00	Chivas Guadalajara V Club Leon	2.62	3.00	2.55

715pm - Sporting Lisbon V Porto - 2.2 away
Standout stats

the last 3 home head to heads for Sporting have been 0-0. Porto tend to win when Sporting visit their ground
this is 2nd v 3rd. 7 and 9 points away from benfica at the top.

Sporting Lisbon

only 2 defeats this season have come against Porto and Benfica
have failed to score in 4 matches only
undefeated at home
only 2 0-0's at home
have scored 24 and conceded only 6 goals at home

Porto

only 4 defeats this season, all without Porto scoring, and 3 of them came away in 3 of their last 6 matches
have failed to score in only 4 matches this season
far more vulnerable away from home, losing away to benfica, drawing 2-2 away to estoril, and Guimaraes and losing 1-0 away to 8th and 9th
have conceded in their last 9 away matches
only 1 0-0 at halftime away
no 0-0 this season

Profitable in-play opportunities

Advantage Sporting Lisbon based on the stats. Porto have not yet won away v top 9 sides
back the 0-0 pre-match given its history in head to heads. The match, though, may not end 0-0 as Porto are yet to have a 0-0 this season

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745pm - Fiorentina v Chievo - 1.44 home
Standout stats

3 consecutive wins for Fiorentina 2-1, 2-1, 2-0
this is 4th v 16th. Chievo are not out of the woods and at this time of the season we do get some rear-guard actions from those threatened

Fiorentina

only 1 win in 7 matches
have lost their last 2 matches 1-0
lost their last 2 home matches
failed to score in 6 matches only this season
3 defeats at home have come against top 8 teams
only 2 0-0's at halftime at home
have scored first in only 7 of their 13 home matches

Chievo

only 6 wins this season and 2 have come in their last 3 matches
no win in 6 away matches , losing their last 3
have drawn away to 3rd, 5th and 6th and beat 7th 0-1
6 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable in-play opportunities

Chievo have a good record away to teams around Fiorentina's and with the home team faltering of late, Fiorentina's 1.41 odds look more layable than backable.
Fiorentina at home only tend to lose to top 8 sides so they may not get beat but the draw is a goer.

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745pm - Genoa v Juventus - 1 4 away
Standout stats

Juve are unbeaten in head to heads with the occasional draw
this is 10th v 1st

Genoa

Genoa's last 7 wins were all to nil. Will they really keep Juventus out?
only 2 defeats in 8 matches
have failed to score in only 3 of 17 matches
have lost away to 1st and 2nd and home to 3rd and 4th. Top 4 a step too far?
4 0-0's at halftime at home
only 1 0-0 this season

Juventus

only one loss all season
only 3 score draws all season and the rest wins
have scored in all matches
3 consecutive clean sheets
13 consecutive matches with a goal before halftime
tend to falter away to top 8, Genoa are 10th
5 0-0's at halftime away
scored 17 of their 25 away goals in the 2nd half

Profitable in-play opportunities

Juventus are vulnerable to the better sides away from home, the top 8 to be exact. Where do 10th placed Genoa fit in?
the top 4 seem a step too far for Genoa so if they are leading at any stage, lay them.
if the match is 0-0 at halftime fear not. Juventus tend to score and score the majority of away goals 2nd half.
Juventus matches recently have tended to see a goal before halftime, so lay the 0-0 halftime score low and late

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8pm - PSG v St Etienne - 1,36 home
Standout stats

the last 2 league matches have ended 2-2, latterly with St Etienne taking the lead
this is 1st v 4th

PSG

only 1 defeat all season was the only match PSG failed to score
3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches
10 wins in 11 home matches keeping 9 clean sheets
have had 2 score draws against 2nd and 3rd, and are playing 4th today
3 0-0's at halftime at home
Ibrahimovic and Cavani have scored 26 goals at home
have scored 40 goals at home and conceded 5

St Etienne

an overall habit of keeping it tight away from home conceding 0-0-2-0-0-1 in their last 6 away matches
11 clean sheets in their last 15 matches
have lost away to 2nd, 3rd, 6th and 8th
5 0-0's at halftime away from home

Profitable in-play opportunities

there is a possibility of a score draw today. It seems to be a recent head to head habit and a recent habit for PSG at home to 2nd and 3rd.
St Etienne have been keeping things very tight of late but have lost to 2nd, 3rd , 6th and 8th away.
PSG look reliable in coming back from conceding first in-play

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footballtradingresearch

Wednesday, 12 March 2014

thursday , friday, saturday sunday

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