The Kaiserslautern match was an excellent DRT and followed my script. SV scored, so I backed the 0-1 as insurance given that Kaiser had lost a few matches 1-0, and layed SV. Kaiserslautern ended up winning 2-1
With Marseille, there was a 0-0 correct score lay for any takers. I followed my advice and layed the 0-1 to Nice in the 90th minute given the late goals Nice had conceded of late, but it seems the derby element of this match ensured it was the away side who unexpectedly won
With Marseille, there was a 0-0 correct score lay for any takers. I followed my advice and layed the 0-1 to Nice in the 90th minute given the late goals Nice had conceded of late, but it seems the derby element of this match ensured it was the away side who unexpectedly won
SATURDAY
1230pm - FK Krasnodar v Ural - 1.5 home
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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Standout stats
- this is an FA Cup match
- it will probably have the same intensity as a Premiership match
- A 0-1 arsenal win and 3 consecutive draws, 2 1-1's suggest this will be equally as tight , remembering Martinez has a taste for FA Cup victory
Arsenal
- only 2 wins in 6 in all competitions and do take note of any potential injuries from the International break.
- Recent losses to Liverpool, bayern munich and Stoke City
- only 1 defeat at home in 15 matches was against Bayern Munich.Note the 8 2-0 wins in those 15 matches
- 2014 FA Cup wins v Tottenham ,Coventry and Liverpool scoring 2-4-2.
Everton
- have been winning and losing in alternative matches now for the last 7 matches. Their last match saw a win so....
- the last 3 defeats were away, 4-0, 1-0, 1-0
- most recently drew away with Arsenal 1-1 with both goals 80th+ minute goal
- 4-0 wins over QPR, Stevenage and a 3-1 win v Swansea mark out the 2014 FA cup matches.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- very tough to call and a feeling that this might be as tight as the last visit of everton where the goals didn't appear til the 80th minute. Will this suggest a 0-0 back to lay trade , to stay in for as long as you dare?
- Will Arsenal really lose 1-0 for a 2nd consecutive match? Indeed will everton lose 1-0 for a 3rd consecutive away match?
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Standout stats
- this is 17th v 7th
- 4 consecutive United wins ended with that 5-5 draw and a 1-2 West Brom win at Old Trafford
West Brom
- 7 score draws in 11 matches indicates an inability to hold on to a lead, and an ability to come from behind.
- 4 1-1's in the last 6 matches
- have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 11 matches
- have failed to score in only 1 of their last 11 matches
- only 1 clean sheet in their last 17 matches
- 1-1 draws at home against 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 6th and a loss 2-3 v 4th
- have scored and conceded home and away in 9 of the 10 matches they have played against 7th and above
- have scored in their last 6 overall and conceded in their last 7 overall
- only 2 0-0's at halftime at home
- only 2 0-0's all season
- have scored an eyecatching 9 goals in the last 1/4 hour at home
Manchester United " Moyes United"
- have only won one of their last 4 home matches
- have failed to score in the last 2 away matches so vulnerable to a rear guard action.
- have failed to score in only 5 matches all season
- much more comfortable against 11th and below this season, with 7 away wins, a draw and a loss 2-1 v Stoke.
- have scored and conceded away to the bottom 3 teams.
- only 1 0-0 away from home
- only 3 0-0's at halftime away
- Rooney, Welbeck and Van Persie are the 3 key away goalscorers. I hope hapless Moyes remembers Welbeck!
Profitable in-play opportunities
- this is a Man Utd team whose form is that of a mid table mediocrity outfit. They don't seem to win v top 8 but away to 11th and below, I think Man Utd can be competitive.
- Both teams have a chance of scoring; with West Brom only failing to score in 1 of their last 11 matches and United failing to score in only 5 all season.
- We have a good chance of seeing a goal before halftime.
- West Brom are going to be tough to score 2 against , but their 1-1 sequences v top sides must come to an end soon. Perhaps lay any late 1-1 draw ( low and late as usual and hope for a change in the 1-1 West Brom pattern)
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230pm - Hamburg v Eintracht Frankfurt - 2.38 home
Standout stats
- advantage Eintracht Frankfurt ( Frankfurt) in the last 3 head to heads, with a 3-2 win, 0-2 win and a 2-2 home draw
- this is 16th v 12th
Hamburg
- have lost 8 and won 1 of their last 9 matches
- 4 consecutive home defeats until that out of character 3-0 home win against Dortmund
- only 4 clean sheets all season
- 7 losses and 2 wins v top 13 and playing 12th today
- 73% over 2.5 goals at home
- no 0-0 this season
- only 1 0-0 at halftime all season
Frankfurt
- 5 defeats and a 0-1 win in their last 6 away matches
- only 2 defeats in their last 8 matches and they were away to the powerhouses Dortmund and Bayern Munich
- Frankfurt will be pleased to be playing a team below them today because they are undefeated home and away in 9 matches against teams below them ( where Hamburg resides)
- all well and good but 5 draws ( 4 of which were score draws)
- 4 0-0's at halftime away from home
- only 1 0-0 all season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- do note that Hamburg have had only 1 0-0 at halftime all season so lay the 0-0 halftime score as late as you dare at as low a price as you dare
- these guys tend to avoid fulltime 0-0's
- as the odds suggest these 2 cannot really be split by the bookies, but it is compelling that Frankfurt do not lose home or away to teams below them. Will this continue today? If so then favour Frankfurt in your trading decisions ( and this seems borne out by the head to heads )
Standout stats
- I tend to research all Bundesliga matches now regardless of the unsuitability of the matches as shown by the odds ( 2.44 for a favourite does not make said favourite rock solid)
- advantage Leverkusen were this a home match for them. As it is a home match for Hannover, they are unbeaten in 3 visits from Leverkusen ( Bayer for short)
- this is 11th v 3rd and given the respective differences in the league positions, logic would have assumed Bayer to be the strong favs
Hannover
- only 3 wins in 17 matches
- have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches
- only 3 clean sheets all season
- although losing at home convincingly to Bayern Munich, Hannover have beaten 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th and 9th at home . It seems that horrendous recent losing run occured largely away from home
- Hannover have scored and conceded at home against 4th, 6th, 7th, 8th, 9th, 10th
- only 1 0-0 all season
- only 3 0-0's at halftime at home
- scored 8 goals at home in the last 1/4 hour of matches
Leverkusen
- 6 defeats in their last 8 has sounded the death knell to title hopes which were looking realistic 8 matches ago!!
- Leverkusen have had consistent struggles away from home. Since November we've seen 1-0 loss, 0-1 win, 0-1 win, 1-0 loss, 3-2 loss, 0-1 win, 3-1 loss
- only 1 draw all season
- no 0-0 this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Hannover are likely to concede at some stage.
- Leverkusen tend to avoid draws.
- Watch out for a potential late score from Hannover ( post 75th minute)
- expect a goal -Bayer avoid 0-0's
- Leverkusen have scored 10 of their 13 away goals in the first half so perhaps expect a 0-0 halftime score lay to be a success.
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230pm - Mgladbach v Augsburg - 2.36 home
Standout stats
- another match where the odds make it tough to make a prediction
- 3 draws and a 1-0 penalty win for Mgladbach in the last 4 head to heads
- this is 7th v 9th and only a point separates these 2 teams
Mgladbach
- no win in 8 includes 5 draws and 3 consecutive draws latest
- Mgladbach have led in the last 3 matches and ended up drawing them
- have only failed to score in 4 matches this season
- only lost at home to 1st and 3rd
- have scored 2+ in all home matches bar one against teams 4th and below
- 1/3rd of home matches end 0-0 at halftime
- only 1 0-0 all season
- have scored a whopping 14 goals in the last 1/2 hour of home matches
Augsburg
- only 1 loss in 11 matches
- are unbeaten in 6 away matches , scoring 2-4-4 in their last 3 away matches
- have kept only 4 clean sheets all season and have conceded in their last 8 matches
- have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches
- all away wins have come v 14th and below
- 3 0-0's at halftime away
- only 1 0-0 all season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Mgladbach tend to throw away leads - 3 consecutive matches now. Lay them if they score first?
- Mgladbach are good at home, for all that they have not won in 8 matches overall. They have only lost to 1st and 3rd at home
- will score 2 at least if on song today
- Watch out for late action ( last 1/2 hour) if it's tight up to 60 minutes
- both teams could score today, what with Augsburg scoring 10 in their last 3 aways.
- Augsburg may not win today ( a draw not out of the question) -all of their away wins v 14th and lower.
- It seems we could lay the first goalscorer today?
- Do not expect a 0-0
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Standout stats
- regular live chatters should be making a mint out of Hoffenheim week after week after all of the ultra-strong stats I bring to their attention. Continue to pick the fruit if Hoffenheim continue to follow the stats
- 5-3-6-4 total goals when these 2 have met the last 4 times. Schalke have scored 3 in the last 3 head to heads
- this is 4th v 10th
Schalke
- only 4 defeats in 20 matches and it's the likes of Bayern ( twice) and Dortmund who have beaten Schalke
- 5 wins and a 0-0 draw in their last 6 home matches
- have failed to score in only 4 matches this season
- have only had 3 0-0's at halftime all season
- the 2 home defeats were v 1st and 2nd
- have scored 2+ in all bar one of the rest of their home matches
- only 1 0-0 at home
- have scored first in only 6 of their 11 home matches. Now if they have only lost 2 matches at home, what does that tell you about Schalke's abilities to bounce back?
Hoffenheim
- if Hoff continue being so predictable, I'll be as rich as David Hasselhoff, the other Hoff.
- have failed to have over 2.5 goals in only 3 matches all season
- have kept only one clean sheet all season
- have failed to score in only 3 matches all season
- have scored 4-2-4-1-6 in their last 5 matches
- have had only 2 0-0's at halftime all season
- are yet to meet the top 4 away but have conceded 2 away to 5th, 6th, 7th and 9th
- have conceded in 11 aways
- 55% of away matches are over 3.5 goals
- no 0-0 this season
- have scored first in only 5 of 11 away matches
- it is 50/50 who will score first here .Statistically advantage Schalke here . Hoffenheim tend to concede 2 goals away to top 10 sides so factor that in.
- both teams are likely to score and if Hoffenheim score first I would lay them, given Schalke tend to score 2+ goals against teams outside the top 2.
- there is likely to be a goal before halftime ( and a few knowing those Hoff's)
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Standout stats
- Stuttgart have won the last 3 home head to heads, Braunschweig have won 2 at their ground until a 0-4 Stuttgart win earlier this season
- this is 15th v 18th and both teams are struggling
Stuttgart
- 8 consecutive defeats part of a run of 10 defeats in 11 matches
- scored and conceded in their last 9 matches. Braunschweig must be in awful shape if a team with 8 defeats is 1.71!!
- have failed to score in only 3 matches this season
- have only played the bottom 3 away from home, drawing 3-3, winning 1-3 and 0-4
- have only had 1 0-0 at halftime all season
- no draw in 13
- have conceded in 11 at home and 16 overall
- no 0-0's all season
- score first in about 1/2 home matches
Braunschweig
- only 4 wins all season
- have not won their last 7 away matches
- only 5 clean sheets all season
- only 1 away win was against 5th
- 3 0-0's at halftime away
- only 2 0-0's all season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Stuttgart are so bad at the moment yet are 1.71 shots! I doubt you'll ever see a 1.71 shot again who has lost 10 of their last 11 matches!
- expect a goal before halftime and for this, naturally, to not end 0-0 fulltime
- Stuttgart avoid draws ( usually by losing). Will they replace a draw with a win this time?
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Standout stats
- 7 consecutive Bayern wins in head to heads. They won 0-1 and 0-2 in the 2 meetings at Wolfsburg
- this is 5th v 1st and do take a quick look at the Bayern team sheet as a large number of their team were on international duty midweek and may have picked up knocks.
Wolfsburg
- only 3 defeats in 15 matches
- 9 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches
- have scored and conceded in 11 of their last 13 matches
- 5 wins, a loss and a draw in their last 7 home matches
- have scored in their last 15 matches
- have kept only 5 clean sheets all season
- have beaten all of the top 10 teams who have visited this season , scoring at least 2 on each occasion.
- Did lose 1-0 away to Bayern earlier this season
- have failed to score in only 1 home match
- have scored in their last 15 matches
- only 2 0-0's at halftime at home
- no 0-0's all season
- scored 16 of their 24 home goals in the2nd half
Bayern Munich
- all wins bar 2 1-1 draws which occured away from home
- 15 match winning streak
- have scored in all matches
- have scored either 4 or 5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches
- 5 clean sheets in their last 6 away matches
- 9 clean sheets in their last 12 matches
- only 1 0-0 at halftime away
- have scored 29 away goals conceding only 4.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- an eyecatching set of wins against top 10 teams for the home side makes this an interesting match and Bayern perhaps a little too short initially.
- both teams could score today and the hope naturally will be on Wolfsburg to score so we can lay them
- we can usually rely on a goal before halftime so hope for a concerted 0-0 and then lay the 0-0 halftime score.
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3pm - Aberdeen v Dumbarton - 1.37 homeStandout stats
- this is a scottish cup match featuring Premiership v Championship teams
Aberdeen
- only 3 defeats in 17 matches in all competitions for Aberdeen sees only a single draw too so they have the winning thread.
- no draw in 12 matches at home in all competitions saw 9 wins.
- The last 2 defeats were 0-1's
- the 8th Feb saw a good 1-2 win over Celtic in the cup
- Only Hibs and Celtic have beaten Aberdeen in the cup since 2011
- no win in 4 cup matches at home, Loss v Celtic, 1-1 draw with Queen of the South, 1-2 loss to Hibernian, and a 1-1 with Motherwell
Dumbarton
- an 8 match unbeaten run in all competitions ended with a 3-1 loss to Queen of the South
- 7 of their last 8 matches in all competitions were over 2.5 goals.
- 4 wins in 5 in the Scottish Cup but tough to gauge the weight of that form given none of the defeated teams were Premiership
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Aberdeen are clearly the form team and have only lost to 2 teams in the Cup since 2011. We should statistically favour Aberdeen in this cup match.
- Do note Aberdeen have not won in 4 at home. Is this an opportunity to end this sequence?
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Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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Standout stats
- A Tony Pulis ( Patent Pending ) 1-0 home win today?
- the scoreline 2-0 has cropped up in the last 4 matches between these 2 teams, and in the last 3 head to heads , Southampton ( Saints) have won 2-0.
- Do note only 1 head to head was under the Premiership era and there are no head to heads between Southampton and this particular Pulis-inspired Palace side
- this is 9th v 16th . Palace are 3 points from the relegation zone, and pending other results could go as high as 12th with a win.
Crystal Pulis
- it takes a good team to beat this Pulis side. Recent conquerors include Chelsea , Manchester City, Tottenham, Arsenal and Manchester United.
- Unbeaten in 7 of 9 home matches under Tony Pulis
- 3 wins ended with a 0-2 United win, which the stats predicted with ease.
- only 3 over 2.5 goals matches under Tony Pulis
- I told you this stat last weekend and it came to fruition. Crystal Palace have failed to score agaisnst top 8 this season at home and are playing 9th today.
- All positive home results occur against 10th and lower, so Saints are in the cusp between teams Palace lose to and teams Palace can be competitive against!
- 3 1-0 wins v 10th, 12th and 13th signal Pulis's intent
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home
- Only 1 0-0 at home all season
- vulnerable after halftime. 6 of the 11 goals conceded 2nd half at home came in that 1/4 hour after halftime
Southampton
- 2 consecutive defeats , conceding 3 to West ham and Liverpool, ended a reasonable run of 6 unnbeaten matches.
- have failed to score in only 5 matches all season
- 4 clean sheets only in 19 matches
- 10 over 2.5 goals matches in their last 12 is in stark contrast to palace
- Saints seem comfortable home and away v the bottom 5 where palace reside, winning 6 and drawing home and away v Sunderland
- 5 0-0's at halftime away
- no 0-0 away this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
- a 1-0 would be Palace's goal today as they showed v the teams just below Southampton. One thing lingers though, Palace have failed to score at home v the top 8. Where do 9th placed Saints fit in?
- Saints have conceded 3 in each of their last 2 matches so may be vulnerable.
- I would not lay 0-0 halftime score.
- Last weekend I backed 0-0 pre-match to trade out at halftime. Will that work again? You can at least be assured that, by reputation, a Tony Pulis side will be doing their best to not concede.
- this is a match where you have to decide in which camp Saints belong. With the top 8 who Palace can't score against? Or with 10th and below who Palace can beat at home?
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Standout stats
- a wholly unappealing match if I'm honest but the stats might uncover something
- head to heads are irrelevant given the managerial merry-go-round at these 2 clubs
- this is 19th v 20th - relegation 6 pointer
Cardiff
- only 2 wins in 18 matches part of a season of only 5 wins
- have failed to score in their last 4 matches. In fact they have failed to score in 16 matches this season ( over half)
- only 1 defeat in their last 3 home matches, saw wins v Norwich 2-1 and a draw v Aston Villa 0-0
- only 1 clean sheet in 12 matches
- a hint of hope at home. have won 3 and drawn 1 2-2 against teams 14th and below
- have beaten Fulham 2-1 away this season
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home
- have scored 10 of their 12 home goals in the 2nd half.
Fulham
- only 6 wins all season
- no win in 8 matches
- after 3 consecutive away defeats to nil, Fulham have score drawn their last 2 away matches 2-2 v Manchester United and 1-1 v West Brom
- only 3 clean sheets all season
- only 6 under 2.5 goals matches in their last 23
- a cause for optimism? Fulham have beaten 15th, 16th and 18th away, and drawn 1-1 with 17th
- Fulham have conceded in their last 13 matches
- 7 0-0's at halftime away
- no 0-0 this season
- have conceded 23 of their 31 away goals 2nd half
Profitable in-play opportunities
- a relegation 6 pointer usually assures we can throw the stats out of the window, but for the sake of it....
- both teams tend not to lose to bottom teams , is this a recipe for both teams scoring?
- it is in the 2nd half that Cardiff tend to score and Fulham tend to concede a bucket load. Watch perhaps for an extended 0-0?
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Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
Standout stats
- 1-0 Stoke, 1-0 Norwich, 1-0 Stoke, 0-1 Norwich in the last 4 head to heads.
- this is 15th v 14th and the teams are 4 and 5 points from the current relegation zone
Profitable in-play opportunities
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Standout stats
- with Atl Madrid and Real Madrid taking points off each other in the recent derby, this must afford Barcelona an ideal opportunity to get the 3 points. Check for absentees post international break. Argentina played in Romania, and Spain played at home so there should be no fatigue ( this was the cause of one Barca defeat when the Spanish side had to play a friendly mid week in South America!)
- comfortable enough head to heads with Barca only failing to score 3+ goals in 1 of their last 5 meetings
- this is 2nd v 18th. Might we see some stubborness from the relegation threatened hosts?
Valladolid
- only 4 wins all season, 3 of which came at home
- 4 draws in their last 5 matches suggests a renewed effort?
- unbeaten in 5 home matches with WDWDD ( where W=Win, D=Draw)
- have lost at home to 3rd ( 0-2) and 4th (1-2) so perhaps vulnerable to the best.
- in 6 matches played home and away v top 4, Valladolid have lost all.
- when Valladolid win, they keep a clean sheet. Will they really keep Barcelona out?
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home
Barcelona
- 3 defeats this season, 2 of which came in the last 5 matches
- both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 matches
- only 2 wins in their last 6 away matches
- have failed to score in only 3 this season
- most vulnerable away to top 8 sides but ominously have scored 4 against 19th and 20th away
- 3 0-0's at halftime away
- have scored a whopping 12 goals in the 1/4 hour directly before halftime
- have scored first in only 6 of 13 away matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- at their best Barcelona will replicate the 4 goals they have scored away to other bottom 3 sides.
- Valladolid might put up some resistance, such is their form at present ( draws suggest an ability to fight) but they tend to find the top 4 a step too far.
- If this match is 0-0 coming into the 1/2 hour, I would look to lay the 0-0 halftime score such is Barca's record in the last 1/4 hour of first half matches away from home
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Standout stats
- PSG have won all head to heads and scored 4-3-4 most recently
- this is 9th v 1st
Bastia
- only 1 win in their last 5 matches, included 3 defeats to nil.
- Bastia have lost their last 2 home matches to nil.
- have conceded 2-3-1-2-2-1 in their last 6 matches
- have lost 3 and drawn 1 0-0 at home to top 6.
- 8 defeats and 2 draws home and away to the top 7 sides.
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home
PSG
- only 1 defeat all season
- 11 match unbeaten run
- have scored and conceded in their last 5 matches, in fact 2 score draws in their last 3 away matches
- have failed to score in only 1 match
- have scored at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 11 matches
- have scored and conceded in 8 of 10 matches played away v top 15 sides.
- have scored in the last 5 aways and conceded in the last 6 aways
- only 2 0-0's at halftime away
- 40 goals scored at home, 24 away so less prolific.
- have scored first in only 7 of 13 away matches and considering they lost only 1 , this makes PSG a reliable force should they concede first.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Bastia are unable to beat top 7 home or away so a score draw is the best case scenario.
- they have failed to score in their last 2 home matches - will this sequence continue?
- Faith in PSG scoring at some stage if this is tight. They usually chip in with 2 goals minimum.
- PSG are vulnerable away from home as far as conceding goes. In fact they have conceded first in about 1/2 away matches. If they concede first, I would back them to win rather than lay Bastia.
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Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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Standout stats
- galatasary lost the last match 2-1 but won the previous 2 head to heads
- this is 2nd v 5th
Galatasary
- only 2 defeats all season
- 8 consecutive home wins
- the last 5 draws have all come away from home
- failed to score in only 3 matches
- 4 clean sheets in the last 6 matches
- undefeated at home
- 2-1's generally against 4th, 7th, 8th
- have scored in all home matches
- only 2 0-0's all season
Akhisar
- have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches and their last 4 away matches
- have conceded in their last 10 matches
- have only beaten 6th and 7th away 2-4 in each case. Lost 4-0 away to 1st
- have conceded in their last 10 matches
- 3 0-0's away
- 2-1 seems to pervade teams around Akhisar's when they visit Galatasary
- Galatasary tend to score at home and Akhisar have conceded in their last 10 so if Galatasary concede first, then lay Akhisar
- no halftime stats
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Standout stats
- 4 2-1's ( equally shared) in the last 5 head to heads. Udinese won the most recent head to head which was an Italian cup match, after Milan took the lead.
- this is 15th v 10th
Udinese
- only 3 wins in 13 matches.
- Udinese have only lost 1 of their last 5 matches
- only 5 clean sheets all season. Messy stats
- no draw at home to top 11 sides
- unbeaten at home to 11th and lower
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home
- no 0-0 this season
- have scored first in only half of home matches
AC Milan
- only 4 defeats in 15 matches and recent defeats v the likes of Inter, Napoli and Juventus suggest AC Milan can still be competitive.
- they have failed to score in only 4 matches this season
Profitable in-play opportunities
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Standout stats
- both teams have scored in 6 of their last 7 matches
- the last 2 matches were score draws
- this is a london derby and the first for Sherwood as manager of Tottenham ( Spurs)
- this is 1st v 5th
Chelsea
- only 3 losses all season came away from home
- unbeaten in 13 matches with only 3 draws
- clean sheets in the last 3 home matches
- 6 clean sheets in their last 9 matches
- have failed to score in only 5 matches this season
- have conceded in 4 of 6 home matches v top 9 ( all wins).
- undefeated at home
- 3 0-0's at halftime at home
- only 1 0-0 at home
- have scored 15 first half and 14 2nd half goals this season at home
Tottenham
- only 2 defeats under Sherwood at Manchester City and at Norwich.
- 3 Spurs clean sheets in their last 4 matches
- Spurs have only failed to score in one match under Sherwood
- Draw, Win, Loss in their last 3 away matches
- look convincingly vulnerable to top 4 teams home and away, losing 4 and drawing 1-1 at home to Chelsea
- failed to score in the 3 defeats away from home
- 5 0-0's at halftime away ( only 1 away v Spurs)
- have scored 15 of their 23 goals away from home
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Spurs look vulnerable to top 4 sides home and away
- Chelsea are in extremely good form recently , unbeaten in 13.
- 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches might see Spurs put up some resistance early on in this match. It looks as if Chelsea will not lose so that is my angle into this match in-play.
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Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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Standout stats
- 1-0, 1-0, 1-1 in the last 3 head to heads at Panathanaikos.
- Panathainakos ( Pana) won the last head to head 0-2
- this is 4th v 18th so Pana should be favoured naturally against the bottom side
Panathanaikos ( Pana)
- only 1 loss in 9 matches was a 1-0 loss away to Asteras
- Pana seem to struggle to win at home. Here's an example of recent home scorelines - 2-1, 1-0, 1-0, 2-1, 1-1 so while they win, it is courtesy of scoring 1 more goal.
- have only failed to score in 4 matches all season
- beat Aris 0-2 this season, but at home v bottom 3, scorelines of 1-0 and 1-1 might suggest a continuation of those tight home matches
- have scored in their last 7 home matches
Aris
- only 3 wins all season, 2 of which were 1-0
- 3 0-0's in their last 5 matches recounts Aris's typically Greek defensive tactics
- only 1 win in 19 matches
- 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches
- against top 7 away from home, losses of 3-1, 2-0, 2-1, 2-0 are more in keeping with Pana's odds
- only 2 draws away so these draws for Aris seem to occur at home
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Pana are winning, but only just, so expectation for a home win could come after a concerted 0-0. If the 0-0 pre-match odds are reasonable, then back 0-0 and hope Aris are as tough to score against as their 3 0-0's in the last 5 matches suggest
- The expectation is 2 goals at least for panathanaikos.....eventually!
- only 1 win in 19 for Aris suggests a 0-0 is the best they can get. As Pana tend to win by only 1, perhaps a 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 type of correct score.
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Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
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Standout stats
- a very interesting price about title challengers must betray something about Celta at home or Atl Madrid away?
- 4 consecutive wins now for Madrid , 3-1 and 2-1 last 2 times
- this is 11th v 3rd and title hopes remain for Atl Madrid
Celta Vigo
- only 1 defeat in 6 matches. the last 5 defeats were all away from home
- WDWWDD ( where W=Win, D=Draw) in the last 6 home matches
- only 5 clean sheets all season
- lost 0-3 at home to barcelona, but drew 0-0 with Ath Bilbao and Villereal in 4th and 5th
- 4 0-0's at halftime at home
- 2 0-0's at home the only 0-0's all season
Atl Madrid
- only 3 defeats all season , 2 of which have come in the last 2 away matches 2-0 v Almeria and 3-0 v Osasuna
- only 1 win in the last 4 matches
- have only failed to score in 4 matches all season and 2 of those were the last 2 away matches
- 5 0-0's at halftime away
- score 43 goals at home and only 18 away
Profitable in-play opportunities
- statitistically, Celta have failed to score in 3 matches against top 5 at home
- Atl Madrid must win in order to keep the pressure on Barcelona and Real Madrid who are both heavily odds on
- Sequentially, will Atl Madrid really go a 3rd match away without scoring? Only 5 clean sheets for Celta all season suggests that they could concede.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standout stats
- in 2011 Sochaux won 3-0 at home. In 2013, at Sochaux, it was a 2-2 draw. Monaco were 0-2 up in that match
- this is 2nd v 19th, or rather 2nd top v 2nd bottom
Monaco
- only 3 defeats all season and lost their last match - 2 consecutive defeats? Surely not?
- have scored and conceded in 3 of their last 4 matches
- have failed to score in only 3 matches all season
- havelost only 1 home match
- eyecatching performances v bottom 4, drawing 1-1 with 4th bottom, 1-2 loss v 3rd bottom and 1-0 win against bottom.
- only 1 0-0 all season
- only 2 0-0's at home
Sochaux
- only 5 wins all season, 3 of this have come in the last 5 matches and all at home
- have lost all away matches bar 3 draws v bottom 4 sides
- have conceded in all away matches
- no away 0-0's
- only 3 0-0's at halftime away
- have conceded 15 first half and 20 2nd half goals away from home
Profitable in-play opportunities
- only 3 defeats all season for Monaco suggests they will not lose, particularly as they lost their last match and a defeat here will pretty much end their hopes of a title
- Sochaux have an appalling away record and have conceded at least 2 goals in all away losses v 13th and above
- Sochaux have conceded in all away matches so if an extended 0-0, keep faith in this stat
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
745pm - PSV v Utrecht - 1.25 homeStandout stats
- PSV have won the last 2 head to heads 2-1 and 1-5
- The last 3 head to heads at PSV have been 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- this is 5th v 13th. It looks as if the title is out of PSV's reach but 3rd and 4th is still open
PSV
- no draw in 12 matches
- 5 consecutive wins scoring 2-3-2-2-3
- have failed to score on only 4 matches all season
- only 3 clean sheets in 19 matches
- 4 consecutive home wins
- only 1 defeat at home was a 2-6 loss v 3rd
- all wins scoring 2+ goals against 12th and lower at home
- have scored in their last 9 home matches
- 1/3rd of home matches end 0-0 at halftime at home
- no opponent has led at halftime at PSV this season
Utrecht
- unbeaten in 3 matches with 2 1-1 draws and a 1-0 home win
- only 1 away win v Heracles saw Utrecht 1-0 down
- only 1 win in 10 matches
- have failed to score in only 1 of their last 16 matches
- have lost away to 1st-4th inclusive and are playing 5th today
- have conceded in all away matches
- no 0-0 this season
- only 1 0-0 at halftime away from home
- have conceded 15 goals in the last 1/2 hour of away matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
- PSV are in the winning groove scoring 2/3 goals and could continue that agianst a Utrecht with defeats to the top 4 away from home
- Utrecht still find goals despite winning only 1 of their last 10 so expectation is for both sides to score, especially with only 3 clean sheets in PSV's last 19 matches.
- There could be a goal before halftime so lay the 0-0 halftime score late and low
- BUT look late if the match is tight. Utrecht concede a shed load in the last 1/2 hour
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
815pm - Braga v Nacional - 1.65 homeStandout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
Standout stats
Profitable in-play opportunities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1130am - Juventus v Fiorentina - 1.44 home
Standout stats
- 2 consecutive matches coming up 4 days apart for these 2 ( Europa League the 2nd match) so time for one to lay down a psychological marker?
- Juventus have won the last 2 home matches 2-1 and 2-0 but Fiorentina won the last head to head 4-2
- this is 1st v 4th
Juventus
- only 1 defeat this season saw Juventus 0-2 up away at .......Fiorentina before losing 4-2
- since then 16 wins, and 2 score draws
- all home wins
- have scored 3 against 2nd, 3rd and 5th at home
- only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
- 21 first half and 16 2nd half goals at home
Fiorentina
- only 1 win in 6 matches
- have failed to score in only 5 this season
- have not beaten any of the top 9 sides away, with 2-1 losses to 2nd and 5th and a 2-2 draw v 6th, and 2 0-0's v 8th and 9th
- 4 0-0's at halftime away ( 30%)
- Guiseppe Rossi is the key goalscorer for Fiorentina
Profitable in-play opportunities
- the first of a double header in 2 separate competitions
- Juventus face the only team to beat them
- Normally there is a goal before halftime at Juventus home matches
- Fiorentina have lost 2-1 to top 4 away so perhaps they'll score today? They have, after all, failed to score in only 5 matches.
- Juventus are expected to continue scoring at least a goal.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
130pm - Go Ahead Eagles V Twente - 1.4 away
Standard stats
- only 1 head to head in recent years saw a 3-1 win for Twente at home Go ahead scored from a penalty
- this is 14th v 2nd. Twente are some 8 points shy of Ajax in what might be a lost cause for them
Go ahead eagles
- only 1 win in 8 matches and lost 3-2 in their last 2 matches . The last match saw Go ahead eagles 2-0 up against PSV before losing. I remember this match.
- 4-2-0-2-2-2 scored at home in their last 6 matches. Only Ajax kept them out.
- only 1 clean sheet all season so faith that they will concede if this is 0-0 for a while
- all 3 home defeats v 1st , 3rd and 5th - a step too far perhaps?
- 3 0-0's at halftime at home
- only 1 0-0 at home
- have conceded 14 goals in the last 1/2 hour of home matches - this is what killed the PSV game!
Twente
- only 3 defeats all season, all away from home
- have score drawn 3 of their last 4 matches
- have failed to score in only 2 matches
- have only won 1 of their last 5 matches away, 1-1, 0-2, 3-2, 1-1, 1-1
- Draw, Loss , Draw away to teams right around Go ahead in the league.
- have scored in their last 22 matches
- no away 0-0's
- no away 0-0's at halftime
Profitable in-play opportunities
- both teams could score today, given Twente's recent collection of score draws, and Go Ahead eagle's impressive scoring at home .
- Go ahead have only had one clean sheet all season so faith in them conceding if they are leading or it is 0-0 for a while - this is compounded by Twente's scoring in their last 22 matches
- There is likely to be a goal before halftime.
- I will favour Twente here as Go head tend to find the top 5 a step too far.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2pm - Inter v Torino - 1.53 home
Standout stats
- 3 score draws and an Inter away win in the last 4 head to heads. Interestingly Torino led in each of those drawn head to heads
- this is 5th v 9th. Only 5 points separate these 2.
Inter Milan
- have lost only 5 matches this season and their 11 draws are the reason they are not title-bound.
- they have drawn their last 2 matches
- Recent home form exemplifies this draw-itis - DDWDDWDD where D=Draw and W=Win. The wins were 1-0's, one v AC Milan and the other v Sassuolo
230pm - Freiburg v Borussia Dortmund -1.33 away
330pm - Rangers v Albion - 1.03 home
330pm - Ajax V Cambuur - 1.2 home
405pm - Manchester City v Wigan - 1.14 home
09 Mar. 00:00
|
 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
+60
|
09 Mar. 00:30
| 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 01:00
| 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.55 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 01:00
| 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.40 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 01:30
| 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 01:30
|
| 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
+60
|
09 Mar. 03:00
| 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.20 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 03:30
| 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 03:30
| 1.65 | 3.30 | 5.25 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 04:00
| 1.65 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 06:00
| 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 09:15
| 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.33 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 10:00
| 1.80 | 3.10 | 4.60 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 11:00
|
| 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
+114
|
09 Mar. 11:00
|
| 1.90 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
+60
|
09 Mar. 11:00
| 1.57 | 3.40 | 6.00 | ||
09 Mar. 11:00
| 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.25 | ||
09 Mar. 11:00
| 1.30 | 4.50 | 11.00 | ||
09 Mar. 11:00
| 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.25 | ||
09 Mar. 11:00
| 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.50 | ||
09 Mar. 11:30
|
Juventus v Fiorentina
| 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
+116
|
09 Mar. 11:30
| 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.65 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 11:30
| 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 11:30
| 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 12:00
|
| 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
+121
|
09 Mar. 12:00
| 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 12:00
| 2.35 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 12:30
|
| 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
+110
|
09 Mar. 12:30
| 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
+99
| |
09 Mar. 12:30
| 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
+99
| |
09 Mar. 12:30
|
| 2.37 | 3.20 | 2.87 |
+99
|
09 Mar. 12:30
|
| 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
+110
|
09 Mar. 12:45
| 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 12:45
|
| 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.65 |
+10
|
09 Mar. 13:00
|
| 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
+97
|
09 Mar. 13:00
|
| 3.60 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
+98
|
09 Mar. 13:00
| 1.40 | 3.75 | 9.00 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 13:30
| 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 13:30
| 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 13:30
|
Go Ahead Eagles V Twente
| 6.00 | 4.30 | 1.40 |
+60
|
09 Mar. 13:30
| 5.25 | 3.80 | 1.55 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 13:30
| 1.45 | 3.90 | 6.50 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 13:30
| 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 13:30
| 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 14:00
|
| 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
+122
|
09 Mar. 14:00
| 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
+109
| |
09 Mar. 14:00
|
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
+109
|
09 Mar. 14:00
|
Inter v Torino
| 1.53 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
+116
|
09 Mar. 14:00
|
| 1.61 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
+109
|
09 Mar. 14:00
|
| 1.72 | 3.75 | 4.50 |
+109
|
09 Mar. 14:00
|
| 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
+109
|
09 Mar. 14:00
| 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 14:00
| 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.90 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 14:00
|
| 1.45 | 3.80 | 7.00 |
+10
|
09 Mar. 14:00
| 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 14:00
| 1.40 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 14:00
| 1.33 | 4.60 | 9.00 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 14:00
| 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 14:30
|
Freiburg v Borussia Dortmund
| 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
+105
|
09 Mar. 14:30
| 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 14:30
| 1.22 | 5.50 | 13.00 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 15:00
|
| 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.55 |
+10
|
09 Mar. 15:15
| 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.40 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 15:15
| 2.05 | 2.90 | 3.50 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 15:15
| 2.05 | 2.90 | 3.60 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 15:30
|
Rangers v Albion
| 1.08 | 10.00 | 23.00 |
+111
|
09 Mar. 15:30
| 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.10 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 15:30
|
Ajax V Cambuur
| 1.20 | 6.00 | 14.00 |
+60
|
09 Mar. 15:30
|
| 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
+10
|
09 Mar. 16:00
|
| 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
+114
|
09 Mar. 16:00
| 1.83 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
+61
| |
09 Mar. 16:00
|
| 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
+61
|
09 Mar. 16:00
|
| 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
+61
|
09 Mar. 16:00
|
| 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
+97
|
09 Mar. 16:00
| 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 16:00
|
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
+98
|
09 Mar. 16:00
| 1.72 | 3.25 | 4.80 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 16:00
| 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.70 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 16:05
|
Manchester City v Wigan
| 1.14 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
+122
|
09 Mar. 16:30
|
| 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
+99
|
09 Mar. 17:00
|
| 2.20 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
+61
|
09 Mar. 17:00
|
| 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.95 |
+10
|
09 Mar. 17:00
| 1.45 | 3.90 | 6.50 |
+60
| |
09 Mar. 17:00
|
| 5.50 | 3.40 | 1.61 |
+60
|
09 Mar. 17:00
|
| 1.61 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
+60
|
09 Mar. 17:15
| 2.15 | 3.20 | 2.87 |
+61
| |
09 Mar. 17:30
| 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 17:30
| 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
+10
| |
09 Mar. 17:30
|
| 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
+10
|
09 Mar. 18:00
|
| 1.07 | 12.00 | 21.00 |
+113
|
09 Mar. 18:00
|
| 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.95 |
+10
|
09 Mar. 18:00
|
| 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
+98
|
09 Mar. 19:00
|
| 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.10 |
+60
|
09 Mar. 19:00
|
| 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
+10
|
09 Mar. 19:15
|
Porto V Arouca
| 1.16 | 6.00 | 18.00 |
+60
|
09 Mar. 19:45
|
| 2.37 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
+116
|
09 Mar. 20:00
|
| 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
+108
|
09 Mar. 20:00
| 2.15 | 3.20 | 2.87 |
+61
| |
09 Mar. 20:00
|
| 2.37 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
+97
|
09 Mar. 23:00
| 2.00 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
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