Follow this step-by-step strategy to optimise your chances of collecting an evens return time after time.
1) Ensure you know your fractional and decimal odds. This will allow you to use both the bookmakers and www.betfair.com as your resources with which to mine for 1/5, 1 /4 and 1/3 shots. For the record, a 1/5 shot is 1.20 in decimal odds. A 1 /4 shot is 1.25 in decimal odds. A 1/3 shot is 1.33 in decimal odds.
2) Don’t restrict yourself to backing selections in order to make your quota of 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shots. With our ability to lay ( as the patriarch reminds us this month), we can get the same return as a 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shot by laying selections at certain prices. Keep a note of the lay odds below which correspond to the same as backing the selection.
1/5 shot is 1.20 - lay a selection at 6.00 . Backing a 1.20 shot with £100 will return £20. Laying a selection at odds of 6.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £20.
1 /4 shot is 1.25 – lay a selection at 5.00. Backing a 1.25 shot with £100 will return £25. Laying a selection at odds of 5.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £25.
1/3 shot is 1.33 – lay a selection at 4.00. Backing a 1.33 shot with £100 will return £33. Laying a selection at odds of 4.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £33.
What I am going to attempt now is to try and sniff out a 1.2, 1.25 or 1.3 shot which can be backed, or a 6.00, 5.00 or 4.00 shot which can be layed.
I will use the techniques I suggested within the article. I hope you find it informative
Great day yesterday, perhaps I should rush more often! Tampines Rovers WIN, HIFK WIN, Kohlschreiber WIN, Wawrinka WIN, Nishikori WIN. You will have made a successful treble yesterday.
RACING POST SHORTLISTERS/PRICE GAPPERS. We look to find horses with an obvious chance of winning, but we want to back them in the TO PLACE ONLY market.
245 Hexham
Betting forecast: 4/5 Vyta Du Roc, 11/4 Mister Spingsprong, 7/2 Shrewd, 20/1 Noir Girl, 20/1 Oleohneh, 25/1 The Banastoir, 33/1 Sparville, 50/1 Alwaysrecommended, 50/1 Indalo Return, 50/1 Poppies Milan, 100/1 Catchthemoonlight, 100/1 Spread Boy, 100/1 Stuckinthefence, 200/1 Red Mystique.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Mister Spingsprong is looking a bargain buy at six grand but he may struggle to concede 4lb to VYTA DU ROC, who has always been described as a nice prospect by Nicky Henderson and he looked one at Uttoxeter.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
Only 3 under 20/1 to dominate?
-----------------------------------------------------
100 Musselburgh
Betting forecast: 4/6 Lily Moreton, 9/2 Straightothepoint, 13/2 Penalty Scorer, 8/1 Just The Tip, 10/1 Come On Galey.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The speedy LILY MORETON sets a decent standard having finished placed on both starts (good/soft). Straightothepoint could be the main threat although it would be no surprise to see an improved run from Just The Tip on her second start, especially if well backed. [Ben Hutton]
Only 2 places and these are 2 year olds ( yuk) but the price ggapper here has 2 places already so a hope she finishes in the first 2 in this maiden.
TENNIS SHORT PRICES
12pm - A Ivanovic ( 1.21) v S Zhang - 13th v 36th and 1-0 head to heads
12pm - Kohlschreiber ( 1.23) v Falla - kohl a very lucky boy indeed to beat Dustin Brown
1pm - Rosol( 1.16) v Lammer- 56th v 490th
130pm - Ma Gonzalez ( 1.27)v G Mina -1st seed for France this Gonzalez
315pm - M Rodrigues v G Elias ( 1.34) - 512th v 168th
FOOTBALL SHORTIES
2pm - Skive v Aarhus Fremad - 1.32 home
3pm - HJK Helsinki v VPS - 1.37 home
8pm - Uruguay v Costa Rica - 1.47 home
SHORTLIST
.1pm - Rosol( 1.16) v Lammer- 56th v 490th - just below the 1.2 minimum for our evens treble but that is an impressive rankings gap. WIN
8pm - Uruguay v Costa Rica - 1.47 home - not sure how to play this as the odds are too high really. Our treble maximum is 1.33. Uruguay must win really with England and Italy likely to cut each other's throats.
I haven't been able to research the football as yet. Finland is at www.soccerstats.com and www.soccerway.com if you want to to that yourself. LOSS 1-3
100 Musselburgh
Betting forecast: 4/6 Lily Moreton, 9/2 Straightothepoint, 13/2 Penalty Scorer, 8/1 Just The Tip, 10/1 Come On Galey.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The speedy LILY MORETON sets a decent standard having finished placed on both starts (good/soft). Straightothepoint could be the main threat although it would be no surprise to see an improved run from Just The Tip on her second start, especially if well backed. [Ben Hutton]
Only 2 places and these are 2 year olds ( yuk) but the price ggapper here has 2 places already so a hope she finishes in the first 2 in this maiden. LOST
No comments:
Post a Comment