Follow this step-by-step strategy to optimise your chances of collecting an evens return time after time.
1) Ensure you know your fractional and decimal odds. This will allow you to use both the bookmakers and www.betfair.com as your resources with which to mine for 1/5, 1 /4 and 1/3 shots. For the record, a 1/5 shot is 1.20 in decimal odds. A 1 /4 shot is 1.25 in decimal odds. A 1/3 shot is 1.33 in decimal odds.
2) Don’t restrict yourself to backing selections in order to make your quota of 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shots. With our ability to lay ( as the patriarch reminds us this month), we can get the same return as a 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shot by laying selections at certain prices. Keep a note of the lay odds below which correspond to the same as backing the selection.
1/5 shot is 1.20 - lay a selection at 6.00 . Backing a 1.20 shot with £100 will return £20. Laying a selection at odds of 6.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £20.
1 /4 shot is 1.25 – lay a selection at 5.00. Backing a 1.25 shot with £100 will return £25. Laying a selection at odds of 5.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £25.
1/3 shot is 1.33 – lay a selection at 4.00. Backing a 1.33 shot with £100 will return £33. Laying a selection at odds of 4.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £33.
What I am going to attempt now is to try and sniff out a 1.2, 1.25 or 1.3 shot which can be backed, or a 6.00, 5.00 or 4.00 shot which can be layed.
I will use the techniques I suggested within the article. I hope you find it informative
RACING POST SHORTLISTERS/PRICE GAPPERS. We look to find horses with an obvious chance of winning, but we want to back them in the TO PLACE ONLY market.
Yesterday
Kibaar won at 4/11, Kafeel won at 1/2 so 100% record yesterday
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610 bath
Betting forecast: 11/10 Jimmy´s Girl, 11/2 Powerfulstorm, 6/1 Multi Quest, 6/1 Scent Of Power, 12/1 Frank The Barber, 16/1 Indian Tim, 16/1 King´s Bond, 20/1 Spirit In Time.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Powerfulstorm has been a single-figure price on both runs so far and although she's yet to beat a rival, she could have more to come in headgear and this looks particularly weak. JIMMY'S GIRL has her limitations but she should give her running and that could be enough to see her get off the mark at the fourth attempt.[Paul Smith]
yes a maiden, but I do like the profile here, 2 consecutive 2nd places for the fav and 3 places
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330 Brighton
Betting forecast: 1/2 Tryster, 9/2 Mbhali, 5/1 Executrix, 14/1 Dream And Hope, 50/1 Red Inferno.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TRYSTER probably doesn't need to improve on his promising recent debut at Newmarket to get off the mark here. Executrix didn't show much on her first start but has an excellent pedigree and is in good hands.[Chris Wilson]
another maiden, fav has had only 1 run and is expected to win or place in 1st 2 at least.
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550 Gowran Park
Betting forecast: 4/7 Highland Reel, 9/2 Hall Of Fame, 11/2 Crescent, 6/1 Taqaseem, 10/1 Kilimanjaro, 14/1 Fresh Focus, 20/1 Nickscreamcracker, 25/1 Ripped, 50/1 Cleano.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: HIGHLAND REEL is hard to oppose on the basis of an opening run at Leopardstown which gives him the measure of two key opponents, Crescent and Taqaseem. [Alan Sweetman]
The usual Aiden O'Brien shortie here after only 1 run and in another maiden.
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TENNIS SHORT PRICES
See the shortlist for my list of results.
Today
11am - Gerald Melzer v Maximilian Marterer - 1.26 Melz - 146th v 639th - cancelled
1130am - Tereza Smitkova v Lucie Safarova - 1.23 Saf - 175th v 23rd - WIN 2 SETS
12pm - Caroline Wozniacki v Barbora Zahlavova Strycova - 1.35 Woz - 16th v 43rd 3-0 H2H - LOST 2 SET
1pm - Jeremy Chardy v Marin Cilic - 1.34 Cil - 42nd v 29th 1-0 H2H - WON 3 SETS
1pm - Jozef Kovalik v Thomaz Bellucci - 1.28 bell - 400th v 97th - WON 2 SETS
130pm - Petra Kvitova v Shuai Peng - 1.16 Kvit - 6th v 61st 4-0 H2H - WON 2 SETS
130pm - Ekaterina Makarova v Agnieszka Radwanska - 1.36 Rad - 22nd v 4th - 1-3 H2H - LOST 2 SETS
2pm - Grigor Dimitrov v Leonardo Mayer - 1.09 Dimi - 13th v 64th - LOST 3 SETS
230pm - Andy Murray v Kevin Anderson - 1.06 Murr - 5th v 18th 1-1 H2H - WON 3 SETS
4pm - Angelique Kerber v Maria Sharapova - 1.26 Shara - 7th v 5th 1-4 H2H - the rankings are very tight but the market is unbalanced in favour of Maria. - YET TO PLAY
430pm - Novak Djokovic v Jo Wilfried Tsonga - 1.11 Djoko - 2nd v 17th 12 v 5 H2H - WON 3 SETS
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FOOTBALL SHORTIES
Yesterday - Haka v Jazz was 3-3. Jazz were 0-3 up at halftime. Laying them as per my DRT strategies would have profited very well. KTP won 4-0, bate Borisov won 1-2
Today
5pm - France v Nigeria -1.47 home - 2-0
9pm - Germany v Algeria - 1.32 home 0-0 2-1 AET
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SHORTLIST
Nothing really of interest yesterday .
130pm - Petra Kvitova v Shuai Peng - 1.16 Kvit - 6th v 61st 4-0 H2H - I like the gap in rankings here and the head to heads which are comprehensive. This is slightly under our 1.2 minimum for this each way treble. WON 2 SETS
1130am - Tereza Smitkova v Lucie Safarova - 1.23 Saf - 175th v 23rd - another whopping rankings gap here. - WON 2 SETS
9pm - Germany v Algeria - 1.32 home - a slight risk here as this is a winner-takes-all match. Algeria have scored and conceded in all World Cup matches in 2014 and were beaten by Belgium. Germany, like Belgium., have a solid attacking line-up 0-0
815 Ffos Las
Betting forecast: Evs Kafeel, 5/1 Know Your Name, 5/1 Space Walker, 6/1 Unison, 7/1 Caramack. WIN
A whopping price gap here and 2 places should allow for a 1.2+ odds punt here .
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