For reference
The away side is a great one for scrabble but that's as far as my interest lays here.
530pm - FC Stumbras v Lokomotyvas Radviliskis - 1.32 home
If you want to play this match, hope Stumbras falter. Remember low risk, high reward, especially with these matches
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6pm - Netherlands U21 v Luxembourg U21 - 1.06 home
Standout stats
- emphatic betting market are expecting a massacre. I will not research this one suffice to say we will expect the following
- goal(s) before halftime. Netherlands expected to win both halves
- over 5.5 goals must have a chance will all teams quoted under 1.1 in the match odds.
- base your entry into this market on the assumption of goals.
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730pm - Czech Republic v Austria - 2.3 home
Standout stats
- the odds suggest to me that this is not really a match in which I can choose a side to favour. Still I will check to see if there are any friendly patterns.
Czech
- 2 consecutive 2-2 draws is a sequence which will end at some stage.
- Czechs have now scored 2 goals at least in their last 3 matches
- The Czechs aren't going to Brazil but have Euro qualifiers coming up in October.
- unbeaten in 6 friendlies and scored 2 at least in 5 of those matches
- have scored 2+ goals in 9 of their last 12 home friendlies.
Austria
- have a 2 draw 1-1 sequence to end. One of these 2 teams will end their sequence today.
- Austria have had trouble scoring recently, 0-0-1-1-3-1-1-1- those 3 goals were against the Faroe Islands.
- no win in 7 away friendlies but that does go back to 2007.
- have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 away friendlies.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- lay the draw if you think these short score draw sequences will end with these 2. To be fair, it might continue given Austria's propensity for scoring and conceding. That said, the Czechs have been adept at scorin 2+ goals so a lay the draw policy might pay off in-play
- Don't get carried away. This is a friendly, and the market tells you that these 2 are tough to split.
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Standout stats
- this is a friendly with no recent head to heads
Swiss
- an 84th minute winner against Jamaica last friendly
- only 3 losses in 18 friendlies and only 1 loss in 7.
- 2 defeats in 9 at home.
- Recent wins at home v Germany and Brazil in friendlies
Peru
- 3 defeats in their last 16 friendlies, all conceding 3 and most recently losing 3-0 to Eng-er-land, whose first goal came 30th minute. I know, as I was watching England's odds rise to 1.5
- 3 0-0'S in their last 6 friendlies suggests that this could be a tight match against the right opponents
- have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 friendlies away, and 2 0-0's
Profitable in-play opportunities
- The England research should be fresh in your mind. There is a chance of a long 0-0 in this match so I would back 0-0 pre-match and hope this is tight.
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8pm - Brazil v Panama - 1.11 home
Standout stats
- no recent head to heads
- this is a friendly
Brazil
- 7 consecutive wins in friendlies and you suspect at home, in World Cup year, and hosting the Tournament, that the Brazilians will be highly motivated to make it 8 wins
- 5 clean sheets in those 7 wins - are Brazil trying things out defensively in friendlies?
- only 3 home defeats in friendlies since 1995. no defeat in 13 friendlies at home and 5 consecutive wins
Panama
- no win in their last 6 matches , scoring and conceding in their last 4
- only 1 draw in their last 23 friendlies came in their last match v Serbia.
- recent friendly wins have come against Jamaica ( twice) and Guatemala ( twice)
Profitable in-play opportunities
- I suppose research is futile here. 1.11 suggests 3/4 goals minimum and a possible win to nil
- Back over 4.5 goals if the match is 0-0 after , say, 25 minutes.
- Expectation is for a goal before halftime logically.
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