drt bulletin 13th june 2014

3-0 to KTP was as easy as you like.  I did say a 0-0 was in play in the Bate Borisov match and so it ended 0-0. Hope you paid heed. 4-1 to Viking was another easy-as-you-like match.
'These are good DRT matches. As you see the favourite does the business so if the underdog gets the first blow in, then we are in business.
And that is what happened with Brazil v Croatia. Hope you got on at 0-1.

145pm - Harimau Muda B v Tampines Rovers - 1.31 away

The last time these 2 met, it was 3-2 to Tampines Rovers with 2 Tampines 90th+ minute goals. I turned £2 into about £260! Not bad.

Harimau I have researched recently and they are pants. This is a great DRT match if they repeat the dose against Tampines Rover. Lightning can't strike twice can it?

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3pm - FK Dainava v FK Suduva - 1.07 away

Standout stats

• another Latvian league match.This is 5th v 10th of 10 after 16 games. Sudova have 3 points.
• 4-0, 5-0, 5-0 in the last 3 head to heads in Sudova's favour and 1.07 suggests a replication of that.
• 6-0, 5-0, 6-0, 2-0 for Dainava until they won 2-0 v Banga and lost 9-1 to Zalgiris.
• I'll end the research here. I think you get the idea.

Profitable in=play opportunities

• the assumption is for another handsome tonking. 5-0 starters? If we get a concerted 0-0, then back over 5.5 goals at enhanced odds ( unless the match is illiquid).
• If the 1st half is 0-0 for a while, then lay the 0-0 halftime score, again with that liquidity proviso.
• Just hope and pray that Sudova lead 0-1 coming into the 90th minute!!
• These matches are, perversely, good DRT matches. THe away side is so strongly fancied that anything other than a comfortable win is a shock.

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430pm - HIFK v FC Jazz - 1.51 home

Standout stats

• the Ykkonen was very readable yesterday although the strong market leaders did not allow for a DRT
• only 1 head to head was a friendly , a 1-0 win for HIFK
• this is 3rd v 8th of 10 in this Finnish league, after only 8 matches. Very early Diana-Dors,

HIFK

• some 6 points from the 2nd placed so very much " best of the rest"
• they started this season with a loss, and ended their 8 matches with a loss, and inbetween we've seen 4 wins and 2 score draws.
• HIFK when not losing, have scored 2-2-1-4-4-4
• Only 3 home matches this season see a win, draw and a win.The wins were to nil

FC Jazz

• only 2 wins in 8 this season
• Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches. 
• have only had one draw away since July 2013 in all competitions
• win, 1-0 loss, 1-4 win away this season
• the away wins were v current 9th and 10th ( of 10)

Profitable in-play opportunities

• good DRT league this league, albeit favs winning with ease. Jazz have only beaten 9th and 10th away and are expected to struggle against "best of the rest" HIFK.
• another 2+ goals for HIFK? Possible win to nil as well with Jazz failing to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.

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430pm - VIFK v Sporting Kristina - 1.15 home

Standout stats


Profitable in=play opportunities

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5pm - Mexico v Cameroon - 2.28 home

Standout stats

• this is a must win for these sides this evening , what with Brazil likely to nail a qualifying spot from Group A
• this will be a toughie to evaluate as one team is South American, the other African.
• these 2 have not met before.

Mexico

• 2 consecutive 0-1 friendly defeats to Bosnia and Portugal suggest some defensive solidity as Bosnia had 2 of the top 3 scorers in World Cup Euro qualifying in their ranks, and the Pork and Cheese have a certain massive winker .
• If we look at Mexico's friendlies in the run up to the World Cup, they have conceded 0-0-2-0-1-1-1
• 80th, 41st and 90th minutes for goal concessions in the 3 most recent friendlies. It is tough of course to take friendlies on face value as managers might do a "Woy" and shuffle the pack for some games, thus not giving us a true reflection of the side in action.
• Mexico away from home have conceded 2-1-1-2-2-2-2-2 in their recent matches in all competitions. Is this stat relevant today though, as both teams are really away from home, albeit Mexico will be feeling the love more!
• Mexico have had a dire last 2 World Cups . In 2006 they only beat Iran. In 2010 they only beat France ( and it was THAT France!)

Cameroon

• There have been goals in recent Cameroon matches. 5-6-2-3-4-1  - that 1 was a 1-0 win over Moldova.
• There was a big gap for Cameroon in World Cups, 2002 and then 2010. I'll note 2010. In 2010, Cameroon lost all matches 1-0 v Japan, 1-2 v Denmark, and 1-2 v Netherlands.
• Teams in 2010 tended to score at around the halfhour mark. If this continues, then it is worth delaying entry into the market.

Profitable in-play opportunities

• This match does not appeal at all for me. There is an argument for both teams scoring if we take Mexico's away goals concesssions ( quite often 2) and Cameroon's total goals counts. I am though clutching at straws here.

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530pm - SaPa v HPS - 1.34 away

Standout stats

Profitable in=play opportunities

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6pm - Rynninge v KB Karlskoga - 1.44 home

Standout stats

Profitable in=play opportunities

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745pm - Cobh Ramblers v Shelbourne - 1.39 away

Standout stats

Profitable in=play opportunities

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8pm - Spain v Netherlands - 1.85 home

Standout stats

• the 2010 World Cup Final is the last head to head, a 0-0 after 90 minutes. There have been a number of close encounters over the years between these 2, always one goal or less in it.
• Both sides were World Cup Finalists in 2010

Spain

• Spain's last 3 friendlies see them trying to keep a clean sheet - is this a deliberate act? 3 wins to nil?
• only 2 defeats in 90 minutes in all competitions since May 2012 ( could be longer, soccerway only goes as far as there.)
• 6 wins in their last 7 matches in all competitions. 14 wins in their last 18 matches, only a 0-0 draw with Italy, a 2-2 friendly draw with Chile , a 3-0 loss to brazil and a 1-0 loss to South Africa marred their recent run.
• Spain's last 4 World Cup matches have been 1-0 , well the last was 1-0 after extra time. Spain only had a single over 2.5 goals match in their 2010 campaign. It is not impressive in an attacking sense, but effective nonetheless.
• Spain kept 5 clean sheets in their last 6 matches in the World Cup
• I cannot split matches into home and away form of course when looking specifically at the World Cup as all matches not played in Spain will be away , but then they'll also be away for Spain's opponents.

Netherlands

• only 1 loss in 21 matches sees the Dutch in good form, albeit with only 2 wins in 6 matches. 
• The Dutch last 2 friendlies were wins to nil v Ghana and Wales.
• The Dutch's 2010 was in stark contrast to Spain's but nevertheless obviously as effective as both sides met in the Final.
• The Dutch had a run of 4 over 2.5 goals matches before the World Cup final, and these matches saw both teams scored. The first 2 matches though ( group) of 2010 saw 2-0 and 1-0 wins so will the Dutch revert to this , in this Group stage?

Profitable in-play opportunities

• it's a tricky one this one. Revenge is in the air. Both sides are effective defensively in early group stages of the World Cup.
• Australia and Chile are the only other teams in Group B and a draw would actually suit either team tonight.
• Is 0-0 worth backing pre-match in the hope the World Cup Final 2010 is played out again? I think it might have legs?
• Spain show a distinct defensive solidity and nick a goal pattern, as did the Dutch in their first 2010 matches before letting loose. 

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