Follow this step-by-step strategy to optimise your chances of collecting an evens return time after time.
1) Ensure you know your fractional and decimal odds. This will allow you to use both the bookmakers and www.betfair.com as your resources with which to mine for 1/5, 1 /4 and 1/3 shots. For the record, a 1/5 shot is 1.20 in decimal odds. A 1 /4 shot is 1.25 in decimal odds. A 1/3 shot is 1.33 in decimal odds.
2) Don’t restrict yourself to backing selections in order to make your quota of 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shots. With our ability to lay ( as the patriarch reminds us this month), we can get the same return as a 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shot by laying selections at certain prices. Keep a note of the lay odds below which correspond to the same as backing the selection.
1/5 shot is 1.20 - lay a selection at 6.00 . Backing a 1.20 shot with £100 will return £20. Laying a selection at odds of 6.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £20.
1 /4 shot is 1.25 – lay a selection at 5.00. Backing a 1.25 shot with £100 will return £25. Laying a selection at odds of 5.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £25.
1/3 shot is 1.33 – lay a selection at 4.00. Backing a 1.33 shot with £100 will return £33. Laying a selection at odds of 4.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £33.
What I am going to attempt now is to try and sniff out a 1.2, 1.25 or 1.3 shot which can be backed, or a 6.00, 5.00 or 4.00 shot which can be layed.
I will use the techniques I suggested within the article. I hope you find it informative
RACING POST SHORTLISTERS/PRICE GAPPERS. We look to find horses with an obvious chance of winning, but we want to back them in the TO PLACE ONLY market.
715 downpatrick
Betting forecast: 15/8 Wicklow Gold, 6/1 Bose Ikard, 6/1 Waltz Legend, 7/1 Totally Couture, 8/1 Sarabad, 10/1 Clara More, 10/1 Ultra Light, 12/1 Afterclass, 14/1 Bottle Rattler, 16/1 Maple Mons, 20/1 Six Senses, 25/1 Maddoxtown, 33/1 Beechview Boy, 33/1 Native Court.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With a hurdle rating of 123, Wicklow Gold should be hard to beat on his chasing bow but he is not the most attractive type to be backing at a short price so it could be worth taking a chance on WALTZ LEGEND. She jumped for fun out in front at Kilbeggan last Sunday and was only beaten 7l in a much better race than this. If she can get loose on the lead, she could be hard to peg back. Bose Ikard, who won a maiden hurdle here, is another with claims. [David Jennings]
Quite a price gapper this one, but a hurdle debutant!
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850 downpatrick
Betting forecast: 8/11 Crofton Trail, 6/1 Big Kern, 8/1 Cinder Rose, 8/1 Sulu Sea, 10/1 Quiet Account, 10/1 Scolboa Rock, 14/1 Nevada Rose, 14/1 Some Pride, 16/1 Bohernagore, 16/1 South Circle, 20/1 Massini Benz, 25/1 Clodagh Daal, 30/1 Hidden Key.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CROFTON TRAIL (nap) represents a powerful combination and has the best form credentials as well. Cinder Rosie appeals as as a place prospect. Big Kern has been consistent in points. [Alan Sweetman]
This is a bumper which is a gambling race. The fav represents Nina Carberry and Noel Meade
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320 Epsom
Betting forecast: 9/4 Abseil, 8/1 Dance And Dance, 8/1 Llanarmon Lad, 8/1 Velox, 10/1 Farlow, 10/1 Fury, 12/1 Angelic Upstart, 14/1 Tigers Tale, 16/1 Busatto, 16/1 Red Avenger, 16/1 Vainglory, 20/1 Henry The Aviator, 20/1 Spirit Of The Law, 25/1 Brocklebank, 25/1 Jacob Cats, 25/1 Trail Blaze.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Velox, Llanarmon Lad and, in particular, Abseil are unexposed types to consider seriously but the vote goes to the 8yo DANCE AND DANCE whose two starts at Epsom have resulted in a success (off 6lb higher) in this race in 2011 and a second in the Diomed on this card the following year. He hasn't won for a while but nearly got back on the scoresheet last time and that sets him up nicely for his return to this venue.[Steve Boow]
Another big price gapper albeit in a competitive handicap at Epsom. Will the horse place in what is likely to be a 4 placer race?
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635 goodwood
Betting forecast: 11/8 Aledaid, 8/1 Belle Fille, 9/1 Geological, 10/1 Able Mate, 10/1 Jungle Cat, 10/1 Maraakib, 10/1 Sixty, 12/1 Harlequin Striker, 14/1 Kingsbridge, 16/1 Best Endeavour, 33/1 Chilworth Bells, 33/1 Foylesideview, 33/1 Pink Ribbon.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The Richard Hannon yard has won this five times in the last six years (including with Olympic Glory in 2012) and they run three, with ALEDAID probably the one to concentrate on over the two newcomers. The selection will be hard to beat if building on his encouraging debut, although Able Mate, Best Endeavour and Maraakib all make some appeal on pedigree, and Jungle Cat can step up on his first performance.[Ron Wood]
This is a maiden race so beware. The betting forecaster is taken by the Hannon horse who he makes a very warm favourite, but note all bar 3 horses are debutants.
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155 Market Rasen
Betting forecast: 8/11 Gabrial The Great, 5/4 Rolling Maul, 14/1 Midnight Chorister, 20/1 Cyclone, 50/1 Auldthunder, 50/1 Our Ivor, 100/1 Global Dream, 100/1 Ruaraidh Hugh, 100/1 Saint Brieuc.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GABRIAL THE GREAT could be really good if settling better in his races but he got away with it when outclassing them at Aintree and that may happen again, for all that Rolling Maul is much respected.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
TENNIS SHORT PRICES
12pm - Gulbis v Djokovic - 1.13 - will Djoko win 3-0? - 4-1 to Novak in head to heads
12pm - Sijsling v B Mitchell - 1.29 Sij - 55th v 241st
1245pm - M Cuevas v Pouille ( 1.31) - 464th v 190th
115pm - Collarini v P Cuevas ( 1.28) - 196th v 136th
145pm - G Muller v Jim Wang - 1.3 Mull - 113th v 142nd
145pm - Kutrovsky v R Harrison - 1.3 - 329th v 125th
2pm - Nadal v Murray - 1.17 nadal
FOOTBALL SHORTIES
8pm - Brazil v Serbia - 1.23 home
SHORTLIST
All shortlisters won yesterday
12pm - Sijsling v B Mitchell - 1.29 Sij - 55th v 241st - easy yesterday and a nice rankings gap again today.
1245pm - M Cuevas v Pouille ( 1.31) - 464th v 190th - another big rankings gap. Slight concern putting your faith in a 190 ranked player.
8pm - Brazil v Serbia - 1.23 home
850 downpatrick
Betting forecast: 8/11 Crofton Trail, 6/1 Big Kern, 8/1 Cinder Rose, 8/1 Sulu Sea, 10/1 Quiet Account, 10/1 Scolboa Rock, 14/1 Nevada Rose, 14/1 Some Pride, 16/1 Bohernagore, 16/1 South Circle, 20/1 Massini Benz, 25/1 Clodagh Daal, 30/1 Hidden Key.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CROFTON TRAIL (nap) represents a powerful combination and has the best form credentials as well. Cinder Rosie appeals as as a place prospect. Big Kern has been consistent in points. [Alan Sweetman]
This is a bumper which is a gambling race. The fav represents Nina Carberry and Noel Meade
Try and get your treble up before relying on horse racing.
155 Market Rasen
Betting forecast: 8/11 Gabrial The Great, 5/4 Rolling Maul, 14/1 Midnight Chorister, 20/1 Cyclone, 50/1 Auldthunder, 50/1 Our Ivor, 100/1 Global Dream, 100/1 Ruaraidh Hugh, 100/1 Saint Brieuc.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GABRIAL THE GREAT could be really good if settling better in his races but he got away with it when outclassing them at Aintree and that may happen again, for all that Rolling Maul is much respected.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
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