Follow this step-by-step strategy to optimise your chances of collecting an evens return time after time.
1) Ensure you know your fractional and decimal odds. This will allow you to use both the bookmakers and www.betfair.com as your resources with which to mine for 1/5, 1 /4 and 1/3 shots. For the record, a 1/5 shot is 1.20 in decimal odds. A 1 /4 shot is 1.25 in decimal odds. A 1/3 shot is 1.33 in decimal odds.
2) Don’t restrict yourself to backing selections in order to make your quota of 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shots. With our ability to lay ( as the patriarch reminds us this month), we can get the same return as a 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shot by laying selections at certain prices. Keep a note of the lay odds below which correspond to the same as backing the selection.
1/5 shot is 1.20 - lay a selection at 6.00 . Backing a 1.20 shot with £100 will return £20. Laying a selection at odds of 6.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £20.
1 /4 shot is 1.25 – lay a selection at 5.00. Backing a 1.25 shot with £100 will return £25. Laying a selection at odds of 5.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £25.
1/3 shot is 1.33 – lay a selection at 4.00. Backing a 1.33 shot with £100 will return £33. Laying a selection at odds of 4.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £33.
What I am going to attempt now is to try and sniff out a 1.2, 1.25 or 1.3 shot which can be backed, or a 6.00, 5.00 or 4.00 shot which can be layed.
I will use the techniques I suggested within the article. I hope you find it informative
I left you with my single bet of France at 1.34 to win ( 15th June)
RACING POST SHORTLISTERS/PRICE GAPPERS. We look to find horses with an obvious chance of winning, but we want to back them in the TO PLACE ONLY market.
345 Ascot
Betting forecast: 4/6 Treve, 9/2 Magician, 13/2 Mukhadram, 8/1 The Fugue, 12/1 Dank, 50/1 Elkaayed, 50/1 Parish Hall, 100/1 Zambucca.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Treve stands out on her easy Arc win at 1m4f but wasn't as good when losing her unbeaten record on her reappearance and although she may very well still win, she is an unattractive betting proposition at the skinny odds on offer. Provided all eight line up, an each-way bet on THE FUGUE may be the best way to go, as she is a top-flight mare at her best and, on last summer's two Group 1 wins, is well capable of finishing second at worst if John Gosden has got her back to her best after a below-par return (when she suffered a cut heel) in March. Mukhadram can claim third. [Mel Cullinan]
A nice price gapper and 3 places but this is Royal Ascot and a very competitive affair
Treve came 3rd so placed
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740 Sthl
Betting forecast: 10/11 Nordic Quest, 7/2 Stephen Hero, 5/1 Song Light, 12/1 Sir Note, 14/1 Dubai Celebration, 14/1 Teajaybe, 20/1 Bennachie, 33/1 Finish The Story, 100/1 Danger In The Park, 100/1 Mill Run.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Wincanton winner NORDIC QUEST posted a good effort when second at Kempton last month and looks the one beat here. Stephen Hero may provide the biggest threat.[Chris Wilson]
Nordic Quest to place again?
Nordic Queen placed again
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435 Uttoxeter
Betting forecast: 6/4 According To Sarah, 6/1 Personal Shopper, 7/1 Mon Reve, 10/1 C J Mackintosh, 10/1 Theionlady, 12/1 Hope Point, 14/1 Hortense Mancini, 14/1 Ilewindelilah, 16/1 Knight Blaze, 20/1 Multiview, 20/1 Simmons, 25/1 Queenswood Bay, 33/1 Jamaddji, 50/1 Boosha, 50/1 Squealy Keely.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: These conditions look key to ACCORDING TO SARAH (nap) and she must have a massive chance of going one better than at Newton Abbot off the very same mark. Irish challenger Personal Shopper can prove best of the rest.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
A "massive chance" eh?
According to Sarah placed
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TENNIS SHORT PRICES
1245pm - Ebden v Bautista Agut ( 1.27) - 86th v 28th - WIN 2 SETS
130pm - Huta Galung v Verdasco ( 1.2) - 146th v 23rd - WIN 2 SETS
330pm - Halep ( 1.13) v A Beck - 3rd v 55th 2-0 head to heads - LOST 2 SETS
4pm - Lepchenko v Kvitova ( 1.18) - 57th v 6th 0-5 head to heads - WIN 2 SETS
415pm - Chardy ( 1.36)v Berlocq - 43rd v 44th - WIN 2 SETS
FOOTBALL SHORTIES
4pm - Finland (W) v Bulgaria (W) - Finland women are unbackable. How can be get a 1.2 bet? Look for the over x.5 goals market which is priced at 1.2, it could be over 5.5 goals or higher? - 4-0
430pm - Czech Republic (W) v FYR Macedonia (W) - 1.02 home - as above really. 5-2
5pm - Australia v Netherlands - 1.23 away - there have only been a handful of shocks this World Cup so far and I cannot see an Australian win adding to them! 2-3
8pm - Spain v Chile - 1.55 home - last time I included odds this high ( Uruguay) they failed. This is a must win for Spain. If Chile win, they should be through to the round of 16. 0-2
SHORTLIST
When I last left you, I selected only France for my shortlist. That came in, so I want to end this treble today and maybe start a new cycle too.
These bets are not in time order, rather strength order
4pm - Lepchenko v Kvitova ( 1.18) - 57th v 6th 0-5 head to heads - emphatic head to heads and very near to the 1.2 odds minimum WIN
130pm - Huta Galung v Verdasco ( 1.2) - 146th v 23rd - that's a whopping rankings gap.WIN
345 Ascot - Treve might be a good bet to place only if there are 3 places. This is an ARC winner for goodness sake! Negatives? This is a really competitive race with top class animals. WIN
5pm - Australia v Netherlands - 1.23 away - Aussies don't seem to have a hope in Castlemaine XXXX of winning today if the Netherlands who played Spain turn up tonight.WIN
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