creating value 11/6

Here is an excerpt of April's article on "creating value from short prices"
Follow this step-by-step strategy to optimise your chances of collecting an evens return time after time.
1) Ensure you know your fractional and decimal odds.  This will allow you to use both the bookmakers and www.betfair.com as your resources with which to mine for 1/5, 1 /4 and 1/3 shots. For the record, a 1/5 shot is 1.20 in decimal odds. A 1 /4 shot is 1.25 in decimal odds. A 1/3 shot is 1.33 in decimal odds.
2) Don’t restrict yourself to backing selections in order to make your quota of 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shots. With our ability to lay ( as the patriarch reminds us this month), we can get the same return as a 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shot by laying selections at certain prices. Keep a note of the lay odds below which correspond to the same as backing the selection.
1/5 shot is 1.20  - lay a selection at 6.00  . Backing a 1.20 shot with £100 will return £20. Laying a selection at odds of 6.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £20.
1 /4 shot is 1.25 – lay a selection at 5.00. Backing a 1.25 shot with £100 will return £25. Laying a selection at odds of 5.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £25.
1/3 shot is 1.33 – lay a selection at 4.00. Backing a 1.33 shot with £100 will return £33. Laying a selection at odds of 4.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £33.

What I am going to attempt now is to try and sniff out a 1.2, 1.25 or 1.3 shot which can be backed, or a 6.00, 5.00 or 4.00 shot which can be layed.
 I will use the techniques I suggested within the article. I hope you find it informative


RACING POST SHORTLISTERS/PRICE GAPPERS. We look to find horses with an obvious chance of winning, but we want to back them in the TO PLACE ONLY  market.

630 Fairyhouse
Betting forecast: 1/2 Photo Call, 7/1 Miss Spellt, 10/1 Adroit, 14/1 Affectionate Lady, 14/1 Saga Diamond, 14/1 Whipalong, 25/1 Omri, 33/1 Botanical Lady.

8 runners and 3 places and a Wachman/Lordan favourite. Not sure we'll get 1.2 minimum odds though. 1st 1/4
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840 HAmilton
Betting forecast: 11/8 Classy Anne, 9/2 Captain Scooby, 8/1 Commandable, 10/1 Busy Bimbo, 10/1 Exkaliber, 10/1 Ishetoo, 14/1 Flow Chart, 14/1 Hellolini, 16/1 Wicked Wilma, 20/1 Running Water.

2 time handicap winner and priced for a 3rd? - 1st 2/5
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430 Yarmouth
Betting forecast: 15/8 Specialty, 5/1 Aomen Rock, 13/2 Zammy, 17/2 Severiano, 9/1 Staines Massive, 10/1 Refuse Colette, 11/1 Man In The Arena, 11/1 Tin Pan Alley, 12/1 Avidly, 20/1 Alberto, 25/1 Jack Firefly.

A maiden handicap and the price gapper here has 2 2nd places in his last 3 runs. Priced to place at least? - speciality 2nd 10/3
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TENNIS SHORT PRICES
all straight sets winners aapart from Benneteau, Cilic and Berdych who won in 3 sets.
12pm - Rudnev ( 1.2) v Dubinski - WIN 2 SETS
1230pm - Estrella Burgos v A Mannarino ( 1.23) -  - WIN 2 SETS
1230pm - Gulbis (1.25) v K De Schepper -  LOST 2 SETS
1230pm -  Lama v Riba ( 1.35) - LOST 2 SETS
1230pm - N Kichenok v Riske ( 1.25) - WIN 2 SETS
1pm - Alund( 1.33) v M Rodrigues -  LOST 3 SETS
215pm - P Mathieu v A Murray ( 1.05) - hard to trust these win in 2 set bets after Berdych's show yesterday? - WIN 2 SETS
545pm - Goffin v Tsonga ( 1.18) - WIN 2 SETS


FOOTBALL SHORTIES
No football of interest today


SHORTLIST
545pm - Goffin v Tsonga ( 1.18)

That's it for me today really. Does anything appeal for you?