Saturday, 31 May 2014

1 June 2014 DRT bulletin



2pm - Helsingborgs v Falkenbergs - 1.64 home
Standout stats
  • no head to heads so I assume the away side are newccomers to the top flight
  • this is 12th v 10th after 11 matches so the away side are having a reasonable start to the season
Helsingborgs
  • 6 defeats this season. only 1 loss at home, 0-1 v Malmo
  • only 2 clean sheets this season
  • only one loss at home was 0-1 v top side.Have scored and conceded in 3 of 5 home matches.
  • have scored 6 of their 8 home goals second half
Falkenbergs

  • undefeated in 5 matches
  • 2 consecutive away clean sheets
  • have lost matches to 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 6th and 7th, 
  • have failed to score away v current top 9 teams 
  • 4 0-0's at halftime in 5 away matches
  • have conceded 5 of 6 away matches in last 1/4 hour of matches
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • no head to heads so the away side could surprise. They are on a solid run at present but have only scored in 1 of 5 away matches and may find their match against an established home side today.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime away for the away side.
  • too early in the season for stats patterns so this is conjecture on my part. Perhaps a 0-0- back to lay trade in the hope the away side keep a 0-0 to halftime again.

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3pm - Marienlyst v Fredericia - 1.53 away
Standout stats
  • this is the danish 1st division and I am tending towards Marienlyst as a reliably poor team!
  • 3-0 and 4-1 to Fredericia in head to heads.
  • this is 12th ( of 12) v 8th. Marienlyst have only 14 points from 31 matches so are dire.
Marienlyst
  • have won their last 2 home matches, part though of a run of 20 matches without a draw, 17 of them being defeats.
  • the 2 home wins were to nil and were the only 2 clean sheets of the season
  • 14 home matches without a draw
  • 73% over 2.5 goals.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home
Frederica
  • 2 consecutive wins to nil
  • only 2 defeats in 8 matches.only 1 win in 9 aways was last match, a 0-1 so a bit dodgy away from home
Profitable in-play opportunities
  • I thought Marienlyst could be opposable but their opponents are pretty poor themselves away. The value call is a Marienlyst win to nil, but surely not a 3rd consecutive home win to nil, with only 2 clean sheets all season.

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330pm - Ferencvaros v Paks - 1.37 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

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430pm - Elfsborg v Malmo FF - 2.34 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

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430pm - Finland U21 v Moldova U21 - 1.58 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

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5pm - Dnepr Mogilev v BATE Borisov - 1.34 away
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

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7pm - USA v Turkey - 2.48 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities

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730pm - Germany v Cameroon - 1.28 home
Standout stats
  • no recent head to heads but 2 wins to nil historically for Germany
  • this is a friendly
Germany
  • only 1 defeat in 19 matches in all competitions
  • 5  clean sheets in their last 8 matches
  • unbeaten in 8 at home and 4 consecutive clean sheets at home
  • only 1 defeat in 9 friendlies was a 3-4 v USA
  • 3 consecutive clean sheets in friendlies in 1-0, 1-0, 0-0 scorelines 
  • only 2 defeats in 8 friendlies at home were v France and Argentina.
  • 2 consecutive home clean sheets in friendlies
Cameroon
  • only 1 win in 9 friendliues was against Macedonia.
  •  a run of 6 without scoring has ended with Cameroon scoring in their last 3 friendlies.

Profitable in-play opportunities
  • will Cameroon score again? They did in defeat to Paraguay.Germany look strong. But a clean sheet for Germany like their last 3 clean sheets in friendlies.
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730pm - Sweden v Belgium - 2.32 away
Standout stats
  • this could be an interesting friendly given Belgium have such a wealth of talent in this generation.
  • no recent head to heads of relevance
Sweden
  • only 1 draw in 18 friendlies was a 0-0 ,  so is that a good angle in? Lay a late draw?
  • 2 consecutive defeats in friendlies v Turkey and Denmark
  • no draw in 8 home friendlies, saw 6 wins and 2 losses
Belgium
  • only 1 win in their last 5 friendlies . Belgium have a reputation for lots of goals in friendlies 6-3-3-6-0-2-5-4-6 in recent friendlies can offer us hope for a goal fest today
  • only 3 wins in 14 aways sees the Belgians unlucky travellers. They have scored and conceded in 3 of their last 4 away friendlies

Profitable in-play opportunities
  • can we hope for the avoidance of a draw here?
  • Both teams might be able to score as there seems to be a good amount of goals in Belgium friendlies - 5-4-6 in their last 3.
  • Remember though folks that this is a friendly so don't put the mortgage on.

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8pm - France v Paraguay - 1.41 home
Standout stats
  • no recent head to heads.
  • this is another friendly and predictably the choice of South American opponents for France.
France
  • 6 wins and a defeat in their last 7 matches in all competitions and you suspect the French will want to keep this winning streak going.
  • 5 of the last 6 winnings were to nil
  • 4 consecutive clean sheets in friendlies sees a 0-0 and 3 wins. 
  • 3 consecutive home friendly wins.
Paraguay
  • only 2 defeats in 17 friendlies and a recent 1-2 win over Cameroon in this pre-World Cup run of friendlies
  • have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 friendlies.
  • only 1 draw in 14 away friendlies was a 3-3 so Paraguay look good possible lay the draw candidates.
  • have scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 away friendlies.

Profitable in-play opportunities
  • will Paraguay score and concede again? France seem to be focussing on keeping clean sheets in the run up to this World Cup, and that is expected with Laurent Blanc in charge.
  • Who will out? Will Paraguay score again, or with this adept French defence hold firm. If you think France can keep a clean sheet then correct score 2-0 starters is a goer?
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815pm - Hafnarfjordur v Vikingur Reykjavik - 1.29 home
Standout stats

Profitable in-play opportunities




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