Follow this step-by-step strategy to optimise your chances of collecting an evens return time after time.
1) Ensure you know your fractional and decimal odds. This will allow you to use both the bookmakers and www.betfair.com as your resources with which to mine for 1/5, 1 /4 and 1/3 shots. For the record, a 1/5 shot is 1.20 in decimal odds. A 1 /4 shot is 1.25 in decimal odds. A 1/3 shot is 1.33 in decimal odds.
2) Don’t restrict yourself to backing selections in order to make your quota of 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shots. With our ability to lay ( as the patriarch reminds us this month), we can get the same return as a 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shot by laying selections at certain prices. Keep a note of the lay odds below which correspond to the same as backing the selection.
1/5 shot is 1.20 - lay a selection at 6.00 . Backing a 1.20 shot with £100 will return £20. Laying a selection at odds of 6.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £20.
1 /4 shot is 1.25 – lay a selection at 5.00. Backing a 1.25 shot with £100 will return £25. Laying a selection at odds of 5.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £25.
1/3 shot is 1.33 – lay a selection at 4.00. Backing a 1.33 shot with £100 will return £33. Laying a selection at odds of 4.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £33.
What I am going to attempt now is to try and sniff out a 1.2, 1.25 or 1.3 shot which can be backed, or a 6.00, 5.00 or 4.00 shot which can be layed.
I will use the techniques I suggested within the article. I hope you find it informative
A solid day for the shortlisters with all winning. In fact a 100% day for the tennis and football and only 1 horse failed to place.
RACING POST SHORTLISTERS/PRICE GAPPERS. We look to find horses with an obvious chance of winning, but we want to back them in the TO PLACE ONLY market.
Primo Uno won at 1.61 odds
Rum and Butter the fav won at 1.72 odds
200 Chester
Betting forecast: 4/5 Baitha Alga, 11/2 Popeswood, 6/1 Billy Slater, 8/1 Cymro, 12/1 Indescribable, 14/1 Anonymous John, 20/1 Verchild Lad.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BAITHA ALGA had to give best to a rival with the benefit of experience on his Haydock debut last week but he left the impression he wouldn't be long in going one better and he can get off the mark at the second attempt. Popeswood and Billy Slater are both open to improvement, the former giving the distinct impression this trip would suit.[Paul Smith]
Only 2 places and a maiden race.
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525 Chester
Betting forecast: 13/8 Empress Adelaide, 8/1 Dolphin Rock, 8/1 Las Verglas Star, 8/1 No Dominion, 10/1 Hydrant, 11/1 Skytrain, 12/1 Gabrial The Duke, 12/1 Halfsin, 12/1 Tatting, 14/1 Heavy Metal, 25/1 El Bravo.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Some of the more-exposed contenders have a bit to prove and although she might need a stiffer test in time, the lightly raced EMPRESS ADELAIDE is taken to make a winning return to action. Progressive in her four starts last year, she looks on a fair mark and can prove too strong for last year's winner Dolphin Rock and Skytrain.[Paul Smith]
A huge price gapper here. This is what I ideally look for.A class 4 handicap and a 230 day absence to overcome
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TENNIS SHORT PRICES
All Tennis shorties came in yesterday so you must have had a successful treble.
1130am - Safarova v Ivanovic( 1.33) - 24th v 52nd and 4-2 to Safarova in head to heads
12pm - Jankovic ( 1.28) v Cirstea - 7th v 26th and 2-3 head to heads for Cirstea
130pm - Petkovic ( 1.28)v Mladenovic - 27th v 103rd and 1-0
130pm - Garcia Lopez ( 1.21)v Young - 41st b 79th and Young is 0-1 in head to heads
330pm - Bryan/Bryan ( 1.22)v Murray/Peers - no research but reputation for Bryan/Bryan
FOOTBALL SHORTIES
Plenty of winners yesterday from the football shorties. I hope you chose well.
3pm - Croatia v Mali - 1.38 home - not the best in friendlies - 2 consecutive home friendly defeats
4pm - Estonia U21 v Russia U21 - 1.39 away - Russia have the edge historically
5pm - Sparta Prague v Vysocina Jihlava - 1.33 home - way ahead in the Czech league and 1-4 earlier in the season to Sparta
SHORTLIST
Plenty of trading potential for the Djokovic 3-0 sets bet as he won the first 2 and the odds were as low as 1.14 allowing an equivalent 1.3 return.
Tsonga win , Brazil youth won, Eng-er-land won, and Spain won making for a successful day IF you trading the Djokovic 3-0 sets ( the price was above the 1.33 needed initially)
525 Chester
Betting forecast: 13/8 Empress Adelaide, 8/1 Dolphin Rock, 8/1 Las Verglas Star, 8/1 No Dominion, 10/1 Hydrant, 11/1 Skytrain, 12/1 Gabrial The Duke, 12/1 Halfsin, 12/1 Tatting, 14/1 Heavy Metal, 25/1 El Bravo.
130pm - Petkovic ( 1.28)v Mladenovic - 27th v 103rd and 1-0 - a nice rankings gap but do note that the deeper we get into a tournament the more even the matches will be despite the odds discrepancy
5pm - Sparta Prague v Vysocina Jihlava - 1.33 home
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