Follow this step-by-step strategy to optimise your chances of collecting an evens return time after time.
1) Ensure you know your fractional and decimal odds. This will allow you to use both the bookmakers and www.betfair.com as your resources with which to mine for 1/5, 1 /4 and 1/3 shots. For the record, a 1/5 shot is 1.20 in decimal odds. A 1 /4 shot is 1.25 in decimal odds. A 1/3 shot is 1.33 in decimal odds.
2) Don’t restrict yourself to backing selections in order to make your quota of 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shots. With our ability to lay ( as the patriarch reminds us this month), we can get the same return as a 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shot by laying selections at certain prices. Keep a note of the lay odds below which correspond to the same as backing the selection.
1/5 shot is 1.20 - lay a selection at 6.00 . Backing a 1.20 shot with £100 will return £20. Laying a selection at odds of 6.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £20.
1 /4 shot is 1.25 – lay a selection at 5.00. Backing a 1.25 shot with £100 will return £25. Laying a selection at odds of 5.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £25.
1/3 shot is 1.33 – lay a selection at 4.00. Backing a 1.33 shot with £100 will return £33. Laying a selection at odds of 4.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £33.
What I am going to attempt now is to try and sniff out a 1.2, 1.25 or 1.3 shot which can be backed, or a 6.00, 5.00 or 4.00 shot which can be layed.
I will use the techniques I suggested within the article. I hope you find it informative
A solid day for the shortlisters with all winning. In fact a 100% day for the tennis and football and only 1 horse failed to place.
RACING POST SHORTLISTERS/PRICE GAPPERS. We look to find horses with an obvious chance of winning, but we want to back them in the TO PLACE ONLY market.
725 Downroyal
Betting forecast: 11/10 Primo Uomo, 5/1 Wee Monster, 6/1 Whip Up A Frenzy, 7/1 Lady Mandeville, 8/1 Fomo, 10/1 Intenser, 12/1 Kicking Leaves, 14/1 Arterial, 20/1 Lord Carleton.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PRIMO UOMO (nap) has much the best credentials and will be very hard to beat providing he has recovered from last Saturday's run in the Marble Hill. Wee Monster may give him most to do. [Alan Sweetman]
Smallish field and Primo Uomo " hard to beat"
620 stratford
Betting forecast: 8/11 Rum And Butter, 5/4 Mcllhatton, 25/1 The Jugopolist, 50/1 Dr Anubis.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Rum And Butter boasts better form credentials than MCLLHATTON but the forecast ground is more of a worry for him than for Paul Nicholls' chasing debutant, who is taken to make the most of the 6lb he receives.
4 horses, 2 places but it is a novices chase and we are unlikely to see 1.2 odds - we might given the status of the race though
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TENNIS SHORT PRICES
All Tennis shorties came in yesterday so you must have had a successful treble.
1130am - Cilic v Djokovic ( 1.03) -3-0 Djoko 26th v 2nd and 8-0 head to heads
1145am - Townsend v Suarez Novarro - 1.24 - 205th v 15th - shock win over Cornet yesterday but will she continue
1pm - Muguruza v Schmiedlova - 1.38 Mug - 35th v56th
115pm - Ormaechea v Sharapova ( 1.06) - 75th v 8th
115pm - Tsonga v Janowicz - 1.22 - 14th v 23rd and 0-1 Jano head to heads
245pm - Larsson v Bouchard - 1.27 -99th v 16th
3pm - Parmentier v Barthel - 1.33 - 145th v 74th 0-1
FOOTBALL SHORTIES
3-0 to Hobro for you 1.19 backers yesterday
330pm - Al Riffa v Malkiya Club - 1.28 home
630pm - Brazil Youth v Qatar Youth - 1.18 home ( illiquid betting market) - might we see 1.20 here? Not sure as it is illiquid.
730pm - Switzerland v Jamaica - 1.27 home - Swiss not renowned goal scorers but surely they'll get at least one?
745pm - Waterford v Cobh Ramblers - 1.3 home
8pm - England v Peru - 1.29 home - Peru adept at 0-0's in friendlies but Eng-er-land too much ?
9pm - Spain v Bolivia - 1.16 home
SHORTLIST
Despite my reservations yesterday it was a 100% strike rate and a nice treble up.
1130am - Cilic v Djokovic ( 1.03) -3-0 Djoko 26th v 2nd and 8-0 head to heads - looks like he has far too much for Cilic 1.44 3-0 sets a bit higher than our target 3-1
115pm - Tsonga v Janowicz - 1.22 - 14th v 23rd and 0-1 Jano head to heads - the last hope of the Frogs?
630pm - Brazil Youth v Qatar Youth - 1.18 home ( illiquid betting market) - might we see 1.20 here? Not sure as it is illiquid. - if we get near to 1.2 this is a goer. Easy w
8pm - England v Peru - 1.29 home - slight risk in this meaningless match. 0-0 is the spoiler here.
9pm - Spain v Bolivia - 1.16 home - hold out in play for 1.2 or higher?
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