Follow this step-by-step strategy to optimise your chances of collecting an evens return time after time.
1) Ensure you know your fractional and decimal odds. This will allow you to use both the bookmakers and www.betfair.com as your resources with which to mine for 1/5, 1 /4 and 1/3 shots. For the record, a 1/5 shot is 1.20 in decimal odds. A 1 /4 shot is 1.25 in decimal odds. A 1/3 shot is 1.33 in decimal odds.
2) Don’t restrict yourself to backing selections in order to make your quota of 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shots. With our ability to lay ( as the patriarch reminds us this month), we can get the same return as a 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shot by laying selections at certain prices. Keep a note of the lay odds below which correspond to the same as backing the selection.
1/5 shot is 1.20 - lay a selection at 6.00 . Backing a 1.20 shot with £100 will return £20. Laying a selection at odds of 6.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £20.
1 /4 shot is 1.25 – lay a selection at 5.00. Backing a 1.25 shot with £100 will return £25. Laying a selection at odds of 5.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £25.
1/3 shot is 1.33 – lay a selection at 4.00. Backing a 1.33 shot with £100 will return £33. Laying a selection at odds of 4.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £33.
I will use the techniques I suggested within the article. I hope you find it informative
RACING POST SHORTLISTERS/PRICE GAPPERS. We look to find horses with an obvious chance of winning, but we want to back them in the TO PLACE ONLY market.
410 Killarney
Betting forecast: 8/15 Baily Green, 4/1 Foildubh, 8/1 Lambro, 12/1 Down In Neworleans, 14/1 Pride Of The Artic.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It is hard to believe that BAILY GREEN hasn't won since November 2012 and is 0-12 since landing a Grade 3 novice chase at Cork. That said, he has performed admirably in defeat at the top level on plenty of occasions and this looks the ideal opportunity to regain the winning habit provided the effects of a long, hard season haven't taken their toll. He gets 7lb from his main rival Foildubh and the other trio don't appear to have the class to make him work too hard. [David Jennings]
The beautiful Killarney course. A price gapper here in a small field chase. 1st 1.27
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255 Leopardstown
Betting forecast: 2/1 Mustajeeb, 5/1 Brendan Brackan, 11/2 Afonso De Sousa, 6/1 Penitent, 8/1 Pearl Of Africa, 10/1 Leitir Mor, 14/1 Ansgar, 14/1 Qewy, 20/1 Pop Art, 25/1 Dandy Boy, 33/1 One Spirit.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An intriguing meeting of a thrice-seen three-year-old making his seasonal bow and mainly battle-hardened rivals. MUSTAJEEB gets the age allowance, is bred to make a three-year-old, represents a stable in scarcely believable form and might be the answer. Indeed, Dermot Weld would likely be careful about what he runs in a race Famous Name farmed. Brendan Bracken, Leitir Mor and the ground-reliant Alfonso De Sousa are all dangers. [Johnny Ward]
A big price gapper here in this group 3 race has not run for 260 days. Represents Weld/Smullen - 1st 1.8 to place
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200 Plumpton
Betting forecast: 1/2 Civil War, 4/1 Money Talks, 13/2 Song Light, 16/1 Flamingo Beat, 20/1 Head Rush, 25/1 Bermacha, 25/1 Blue Bear, 40/1 Good To Dream, 50/1 Frank N Fair, 50/1 Run Rabbit Run, 66/1 Make A Fuss, 66/1 Trust Me Boy.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It is very hard to see beyond CIVIL WAR, who is the clear form pick on two seconds over C&D earlier this year and whose two recent Flat wins show he comes here in fine form. Money Talks and Song Light (in that order) can fill the places. [Mel Cullinan]
Big price gapper in this maiden hurdle. There are a few debutants. Civil war is fit, having run 8 days ago on the flat - 4th 1.33 win 1.06 plcae
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TENNIS SHORT PRICES
1030am - Albert Ramos ( 1.28) v Stephane Robert - unsure of Ramos's rankings. Robert is 86th in the world. Robert won 2 sets
130pm - Belinda Bencic ( 1.2) v Urszula Radwanska - 103 v 74th in the world and the higher ranked player is the strong favourite. - WON 2 sets
215pm - Santiago Giraldo ( 1.18) v Victor Estrella Burgos - 46th v 101st and 1-0 to Giraldo in head to heads - WON 2 SETS
515pm - Rafael Nadal ( 1.14)v Kei Nishikori - 6-0 in head to heads and 1st v 12th. I think Nishikori could be top 10 soon and this is a player who has beaten Federer in the past. 1.14 a tad short for Rafa despite convincing head to heads - NOT FINISHED 2 SETS EACH NADAL 3-0 IN LAST SET NISHIKORI RETIRES
FOOTBALL SHORTIES
1215pm - Celtic v Dundee United - 1.33 home. Celtic's last home match of the season a win for the home support? - WIN
1245pm - CSKA Moscow v Tomsk - 1.26 home - WIN
2pm - Zorya v Shakhtar - 1.34 away WIN
230pm - G Furth v SV Sandhausen - 1.28 home - WIN
230pm - Paderborn v Aalen - 1.33 home - WIN
3pm - Liverpool v Newcastle - 1.23 home3 - WIN
3pm - Man City v West Ham - 1.17 home - WIN
330pm - Wolfsberger AC v Red Bull Salzburg - 1.34 away -LOSS
515pm - Rostov v Lokomotiv - 1.34 away - LOST
6pm - Atl Madrid v malaga - 1.23 home - DRAW
6pm - Elche v barcelona - 1.25 away - DRAW
SHORTLIST
For me today, Celtic may win infront of home fans on their last match. Do remember there is a risk here as this is a dead rubber match.
Liverpool and Man City both must win in order to keep pressure on top spot. Atl Madrid must win too as must Barcelona
Tennis wise, Nadal has an amazing 6-0 head to head record against Nishikori. I think Nadal's price might rise inplay so that is how I would play this match. Nishikori will be difficult to beat. He played another top 10 player in Ferrer and beat him.
The horse racing is tough today and I would look to create a treble from the football and horse races, being mindful that if creating a treble with football, each bet would have to be on a match which starts at a different time,.
Man City I think looks the strongest and is just below the 1.2 we need for starters. Faith in Celtic infront of home support to celebrate the title?
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