CREATING VALUE FROM SHORT PRICES 16 MAY

Here is an excerpt of April's article on "creating value from short prices"
Follow this step-by-step strategy to optimise your chances of collecting an evens return time after time.
1) Ensure you know your fractional and decimal odds.  This will allow you to use both the bookmakers and www.betfair.com as your resources with which to mine for 1/5, 1 /4 and 1/3 shots. For the record, a 1/5 shot is 1.20 in decimal odds. A 1 /4 shot is 1.25 in decimal odds. A 1/3 shot is 1.33 in decimal odds.
2) Don’t restrict yourself to backing selections in order to make your quota of 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shots. With our ability to lay ( as the patriarch reminds us this month), we can get the same return as a 1/5 , 1/4 and 1/3 shot by laying selections at certain prices. Keep a note of the lay odds below which correspond to the same as backing the selection.
1/5 shot is 1.20  - lay a selection at 6.00  . Backing a 1.20 shot with £100 will return £20. Laying a selection at odds of 6.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £20.
1 /4 shot is 1.25 – lay a selection at 5.00. Backing a 1.25 shot with £100 will return £25. Laying a selection at odds of 5.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £25.
1/3 shot is 1.33 – lay a selection at 4.00. Backing a 1.33 shot with £100 will return £33. Laying a selection at odds of 4.00 for £100 liability ( not stake) will return around £33.

What I am going to attempt now is to try and sniff out a 1.2, 1.25 or 1.3 shot which can be backed, or a 6.00, 5.00 or 4.00 shot which can be layed.
 I will use the techniques I suggested within the article. I hope you find it informative

All shortlisters won yesterday, 2 tennis and one football.


RACING POST SHORTLISTERS/PRICE GAPPERS. We look to find horses with an obvious chance of winning, but we want to back them in the TO PLACE ONLY  market.

Time is short today so it's tennis and football only.
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TENNIS SHORT PRICES
130pm -  Piter ( 1.33) v Evtimova - 95th v 297th - lost in 3 sets
330pm -  Bryan/Bryan ( 1.23) v Haas/Stepanek  - won
430pm -  Struff ( 1.34)v Ghem - 74th v 233rd  -won in 2 sets
630pm - Ser Williams ( 1.06)v S Zhang  - 1st v 43rd 1-0 head to head - won in 2 sets
8pm -  Nadal  ( 1.22)v A Murray - 1st v 8th and 13 - 5 head to heads - won in 3 sets

FOOTBALL SHORTIES
2pm - Marienlyst v HB Koge - 1.34 away - only 2 wins all season for the home side
6pm - Rosenborg v Stabaek - 1.36 home - lost
745pm - UCD v St Patricks - 1.34 away - 5-4-3-3 scored by away side in head to heads


SHORTLIST
330pm - Bryan/Bryan ( 1.23) v Haas/Stepanek - no research done, just reputation - won
2pm - Marienlyst v HB Koge - 1.34 away  - away side have had 3 recent 0-0's but home side are really poor.  2-0
745pm - UCD v St Patricks - 1.34 away  - goals expected from the away side - 1-1