A nice DRT for you night hawks saw Egypt take a 0-2 lead against Chile ( 4/11 shots) only for Chile to end up winning 3-2.
3pm - Croatia v Mali - 1.38 home
Standout stats
- no head to heads before for this friendly match
Croatia
- will want to lay down a marker being involved in the first world cup match
- only 3 defeats in 25 friendlies , they all came since 2012, 2 of them saw both teams score
- have scored and conceded in their last 3 friendlies including against Leichtenstein
- 3 defeats and a win in their last 4 home friendlies.
- Croatia have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 friendlies at home
Mali
- no win in 7 friendlies and have scored and conceded in all of them.
- An almost exclusive set of African opponents suggests Croatia may be a step up.
- only 2 wins in 14 away friendlies, v Angola and Iran - and they have scored and conceded in their last 5 aways
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Croatia have 2 consecutive home friendly defeats so will want that to end. Both sides like scoring and conceding in friendlies although it must be said that Mali's opponents are african largely, and assumed to be weaker opponents
4pm - Estonia U21 v Russia U21 - 1.39 away
Standout stats
- this is the UEFA U21 Championship
- Russia have won the last 4 head to heads
Estonia U21
- 3-0 ( Russia), 2-0, 8-0 losses in their last 3 matches. Yikes!
- A 1-0 loss to Russia and 8-0 loss to Denmark in the UEFA u21 Championship recently
- Wins have come against the likes of Slovenia and Andorra
- only 1 win in 10 home matches in this competition
Russia U21
- Russia tend to lose against the cream, such as Spain, Netherlands , Germany and the Danes. Their last 2 wins in this competition have been 1-0 with 90th and 84th minute goals, so beware the Russian bear might be muzzled.
- Russia's last 11 away wins in this competition have been to nil
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Estonia don't look up to it at all against a Russia side who tend to lose against the best. Slight concerns with Russia's recent goalscoring , late late shows.
- Russia tend to win to nil, so on the assumption that they win this one, look for a correct score to nil, perhaps 0-2 starters?
5pm - Sparta Prague v Vysocina Jihlava - 1.33 home
Standout stats
- this is a Czech top flight league match
- a run of 4 score draws in head to heads ended with a Sparta 1-4 win latest.
- this is 1st v 7th and a degree of safely at the top for Sparta does not make this a must win match
Sparta Prague
- only 1 defeat all season came away
- a perfect home record, only failing to score 2-4 goals in 1 match
- 8 clean sheets at home and the maximum number of home goals conceded is 1
- have failed to score in only one match
- 3-3-4-1-5-4 scored in their last 6 matches
- 86% over 2.5 goals at home
Jihlava
- only 2 defeats in 11 matches both came in the last 2 away matches, conceding 3 goals in each of those
- have failed to score in only 1 of 12 matches
- only 2 away wins. Have lost away to 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th
- 64% overs away
Profitable in-play opportunities
- an away side conceding 3 goals away recently might be vulnerable to a home side scoring 5-4 in their last 2 matches.
- A run of draws ended with an emphatic Sparta win, and it is with Sparta that I'll side today and hope Jihlava score first.
- Although there are no half time stats in Czech league, I would venture towards a goal before halftime, so lay 0-0 halftime score low and late
6pm - Alaves v Numancia - 1.52 home
Standout stats
- Spanish segunda division
- only 1 recent relevant head to head saw an Alaves 0-2 win this season
- this is 21st v 12th here. Alaves win and they could stay up
- this is not a match I can be confident about siding with a relegation threatened side who are so short in the betting so I will leave this alone.
730pm - Netherlands v Ghana - 1.5 home
Standout stats
- 4-1 back in 2010 for Holland in head to heads
- this is a friendly
Holland
- since 2008 only Germany, Bulgaria, Belgium and France have beaten Holland in friendlies.
- only 2 wins in 10 friendlies includes 6 draws and suggests Holland have currently a certain attitude towards friendlies!
- 5 consecutive home draws now for the Dutch in friendlies. Surely this is a sequence which will end at some point?
- 3 of the last 4 home draws were score draws
Ghana
- only 1 win in 6 friendlies and Ghana have the same "couldn't care less" attitude it seems
- only 2 wins in 25 away friendllies were 1-0's v Cape Verde and namibia
Profitable in-play opportunities
- world cup preparation to ensure a proper game of footy between 2 teams who treat friendlies the way Fergie treated the Carling Cup?
- Ghana's away record is simply dire. Holland have only won 2 in 10 so the draw is in play here. Surely they'll want to end that run of 5 consecutive home draws?
730pm - Portugal v Greece - 1.63 home
Standout stats
- Portugal have not beaten Greece in 5 matches - bogey team!!
- Do note this was 2008 and earlier, pre-Ronaldo
Portugal
- only 3 wins in 10 friendlies and a mish mash of 4 draws, 3 defeats ( both teams scoring) and those 3 wins
- only 3 defeats in 27 home friendlies since 2004 and in those defeats ( one v Greece), both teams scored
- only 2 wins in their last 6 home frineldies though
Greece
- only 2 defeats in 16 friendlies suggests a professional attitude?
- 4 wins , a 0-0 and a 0-2 loss to Korea in their last 7 matches
- Greece are unbeaten in 7 away friendlies - winning 5 of them. Tough of course to quantify their opponents as compared with Pork and Cheese.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- the value it seems is in opposing Portugal against a possible bogey team, albeit pre-Ronaldo.
- Greece are none too shabby in friendlies so 1.63 Portugal looks a little skinny. Remember folks it is a friendly so you must search for "low risk, high reward" trades, in these matches more than any others!
745pm - Italy v Rep of Ireland - 1.57 home
Standout stats
- an Ireland in transition under a new manager and that of course makes them hard to read. Any previous form relates to previous management, so I'll just look to italy here
- Drtaw, Draw Ireland, Italy in head to heads
italy
- 4 score draws and a 1-0 loss to Spain in their last 5 matches
- only 1 win in 13 matches in friendlies was against San Marino
- 5 draws in the last 8 matches were all score draws.
Profitable in-play opportunities
- Italy don't half look as if they really couldn't care less in friendlies. That makes their 1.57 very ropey. It's a new Ireland side and perhaps they can show something?
No comments:
Post a Comment